• 제목/요약/키워드: Self-Prediction Error

검색결과 40건 처리시간 0.027초

복합지형에 대한 WAsP의 풍속 예측성 평가 (Wind Speed Prediction using WAsP for Complex Terrain)

  • 윤광용;유능수;백인수
    • 산업기술연구
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    • 제28권B호
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    • pp.199-207
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    • 2008
  • A linear wind prediction program, WAsP, was employed to predict wind speed at two different sites located in complex terrain in South Korea. The reference data obtained at locations more than 7 kilometers away from the prediction sites were used for prediction. The predictions from the linear model were compared with the measured data at the two prediction sites. Two compensation methods such as a self-prediction error method and a delta ruggedness index (RIX) method were used to improve the wind speed prediction from WAsP and showed a good possibility. The wind speed prediction errors reached within 3.5 % with the self prediction error method, and within 10% with the delta RIX method. The self prediction error method can be used as a compensation method to reduce the wind speed prediction error in WAsP.

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WAsP을 이용한 복잡지형의 풍속 예측 및 보정 (Wind Speed Prediction using WAsP for Complex Terrain)

  • 윤광용;백인수;유능수
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신재생에너지학회 2008년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.268-273
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    • 2008
  • A linear wind prediction program, WAsP, was employed to predict wind speed at two different sites located in complex terrain in South Korea. The reference data obtained at locations more than 7 kilometers away from the prediction sites were used for prediction. The predictions from the linear model were compared with the measured data at the two prediction sites. Two compensation methods such as a self-prediction error method and a delta ruggedness index (RIX) method were used to improve the wind speed prediction from WAsP and showed a good possibility. The wind speed prediction errors reached within 3.5 % with the self prediction error method, and within 10% with the delta RIX method. The self prediction error method can be used as a compensation method to reduce the wind speed prediction error in WAsP.

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Modeling properties of self-compacting concrete: support vector machines approach

  • Siddique, Rafat;Aggarwal, Paratibha;Aggarwal, Yogesh;Gupta, S.M.
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제5권5호
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    • pp.461-473
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    • 2008
  • The paper explores the potential of Support Vector Machines (SVM) approach in predicting 28-day compressive strength and slump flow of self-compacting concrete. Total of 80 data collected from the exiting literature were used in present work. To compare the performance of the technique, prediction was also done using a back propagation neural network model. For this data-set, RBF kernel worked well in comparison to polynomial kernel based support vector machines and provide a root mean square error of 4.688 (MPa) (correlation coefficient=0.942) for 28-day compressive strength prediction and a root mean square error of 7.825 cm (correlation coefficient=0.931) for slump flow. Results obtained for RMSE and correlation coefficient suggested a comparable performance by Support Vector Machine approach to neural network approach for both 28-day compressive strength and slump flow prediction.

준설매립지반의 압밀침하에 대한 쌍곡선 침하예측기법의 적용성 연구 (A Study on the Applicability of Hyperbolic Settlement Prediction Method to Consolidation Settlement in the Dredged and Reclaimed Ground)

  • 유남재;전상현;전진용
    • 산업기술연구
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    • 제28권A호
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    • pp.11-17
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    • 2008
  • Applicability of hyperbolic settlement prediction method to consolidation settlement in the dredged and reclaimed ground was assessed by analyzing results of centrifuge tests modelling self-weight consolidation of soft marine clay. From literature review about self-weight consolidation of soft marine clays located in southern coast in Korea, constitutive relationships of void ratio - effective stress - permeability and typical self-weight consolidation curves with time were obtained by analyzing centrifuge model experiments. For the condition of surcharge loading, exact solution of consolidation settlement curve obtained by using Terzaghi's consolidation theory was compared with results predicted by the hyperbolic method. It was found to have its own inherent error to predict final consolidation settlement. From results of analyzing thc self-weight consolidation with time by using this method, it predicted relatively well in error range of 0.04~18% for the case of showing the linearity in the relationship between T vs T/S in the stage of consolidation degree of 60~90 %. However, it overestimated the final settlement with large errors if those relation curves were nonlinear.

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In-depth Recommendation Model Based on Self-Attention Factorization

  • Hongshuang Ma;Qicheng Liu
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.721-739
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    • 2023
  • Rating prediction is an important issue in recommender systems, and its accuracy affects the experience of the user and the revenue of the company. Traditional recommender systems use Factorization Machinesfor rating predictions and each feature is selected with the same weight. Thus, there are problems with inaccurate ratings and limited data representation. This study proposes a deep recommendation model based on self-attention Factorization (SAFMR) to solve these problems. This model uses Convolutional Neural Networks to extract features from user and item reviews. The obtained features are fed into self-attention mechanism Factorization Machines, where the self-attention network automatically learns the dependencies of the features and distinguishes the weights of the different features, thereby reducing the prediction error. The model was experimentally evaluated using six classes of dataset. We compared MSE, NDCG and time for several real datasets. The experiment demonstrated that the SAFMR model achieved excellent rating prediction results and recommendation correlations, thereby verifying the effectiveness of the model.

A Fast Algorithm for Real-time Adaptive Notch Filtering

  • Kim, Haeng-Gihl
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • 제1권4호
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    • pp.189-193
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    • 2003
  • A new algorithm is presented for adaptive notch filtering of narrow band or sine signals for embedded among broad band noise. The notch filter is implemented as a constrained infinite impulse response filter with a minimal number of parameters, Based on the recursive prediction error (RPE) method, the algorithm has the advantages of the fast convergence, accurate results and initial estimate of filter coefficient and its covariance is revealed. A convergence criterion is also developed. By using the information of the noise-to-signal power, the algorithm can self-adjust its initial filter coefficient estimate and its covariance to ensure convergence.

자중압밀지반에 대한 침하예측기법의 적용성 (Applicability of Settlement Prediction Methods to Selfweight Consolidated Ground)

  • 전상현;전진용;유남재
    • 산업기술연구
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    • 제28권B호
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    • pp.91-99
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    • 2008
  • Applicability of existing methods of predicting consolidation settlement was assessed by analyzing results of centrifuge tests modelling self-weight consolidation of soft marine clay. From extensive literature review about self-weight consolidation of soft marine clays located in southern coast in Korea, constitutive relationships of void ratio-effective stress-permeability and typical self-weight consolidation curves with time were obtained by centrifuge model experiments. For the condition of surcharge loading, exact solution of consolidation settlement curve was obtained by Terzaghi's consolidation theory and was compared with the results predicted by currently available methods such as Hyperbolic method, Asaoka's method, Hoshino's method and ${\sqrt{S}}$ method. All methods were found to have their own inherent error to predict final consolidation settlement. From results of analyzing the self-weight consolidation with time by using those methods, Asaoka's method predicted the best. Hyperbolic method predicted relatively well in error range of 2~24% for the case of showing the linearity in the relationship between T vs T/S in the stage of consolidation degree of 60~90 %. For the case of relation curve of T vs $T/S^2$ showing the lineality after the middle stage, error range from Hoshino method was close to those from Hyperbolic method. However, Hoshino method is not able to predict the final settlement in the case of relation curve of T vs $T/S^2$ being horizontal. For the given data about self-weight consolidation after the middle stage, relation curve of T vs T/S from ${\sqrt{S}}$ method shows the better linearity than that of T vs $T/{\sqrt{s}}$ from Hyperbolic method.

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Development of an integrated machine learning model for rheological behaviours and compressive strength prediction of self-compacting concrete incorporating environmental-friendly materials

  • Pouryan Hadi;KhodaBandehLou Ashkan;Hamidi Peyman;Ashrafzadeh Fedra
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제86권2호
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    • pp.181-195
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    • 2023
  • To predict the rheological behaviours along with the compressive strength of self-compacting concrete that incorporates environmentally friendly ingredients as cement substitutes, a comparative evaluation of machine learning methods is conducted. To model four parameters, slump flow diameter, L-box ratio, V-funnel time, as well as compressive strength at 28 days-a complete mix design dataset from available pieces of literature is gathered and used to construct the suggested machine learning standards, SVM, MARS, and Mp5-MT. Six input variables-the amount of binder, the percentage of SCMs, the proportion of water to the binder, the amount of fine and coarse aggregates, and the amount of superplasticizer are grouped in a particular pattern. For optimizing the hyper-parameters of the MARS model with the lowest possible prediction error, a gravitational search algorithm (GSA) is required. In terms of the correlation coefficient for modelling slump flow diameter, L-box ratio, V-funnel duration, and compressive strength, the prediction results showed that MARS combined with GSA could improve the accuracy of the solo MARS model with 1.35%, 11.1%, 2.3%, as well as 1.07%. By contrast, Mp5-MT often demonstrates greater identification capability and more accurate prediction in comparison to MARS-GSA, and it may be regarded as an efficient approach to forecasting the rheological behaviors and compressive strength of SCC in infrastructure practice.

RPE 방법을 이용한 다입출력 시스템의 상태공간 극배치 자기동조 제어기 설계 (Design of state space pole assignment self-tuning controller for MIMO systems using RPE method)

  • 강석종;전기준
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1986년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집; 한국과학기술대학, 충남; 17-18 Oct. 1986
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    • pp.90-94
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    • 1986
  • This paper describes expansion of the state space pole assignment self-tuning control of SISO systems with system noise and abservation noise to that of MIMO systems. Resursive Prediction Error method is used for both parameter and state estimation in the block controllable canonical form. This simplifies the state feedback law by eliminating the online computation of transformation matrix.

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교통사고통합지수를 이용한 차년도 지방자치단체 교통안전수준 추정에 관한 연구 (A Study on Forecasting Traffic Safety Level by Traffic Accident Merging Index of Local Government)

  • 임철웅;조정권
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.108-114
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    • 2012
  • Traffic Accident Merging Index(TAMI) is developed for TMACS(Traffic Safety Information Management Complex System). TAMI is calculated by combining 'Severity Index' and 'Frequency'. This paper suggest the accurate TAMI prediction model by time series forecasting. Preventing the traffic accident by accurately predicting it in advance can greatly improve road traffic safety. Searches the model which minimizes the error of 230 local self-governing groups. TAMI of 2007~2009 years data predicts TAMI of 2010. And TAMI of 2010 compares an actual index and a prediction index. And the error is minimized the constant where selects. Exponential Smoothing model was selected. And smoothing constant was decided with 0.59. TAMI Forecasting model provides traffic next year safety information of the local government.