• Title/Summary/Keyword: Seasonal trend

Search Result 406, Processing Time 0.025 seconds

Analysis of the influence of sex, slaughter season, and feeding system on carcass traits in Hanwoo

  • Kim, Gye-Woong;Kim, Ji-Hyuk
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
    • /
    • v.44 no.3
    • /
    • pp.375-383
    • /
    • 2017
  • This study was conducted to investigate the effects of sex, environmental factors, and feeding system on the carcass traits of Hanwoo (Korean Native Cattle). Data were collected from 7,866 heads slaughtered in Chungnam province during one-year period. Using the collected carcass traits data which greatly influence a Hanwoo's carcass grade, the effects of sex class, slaughter season, and feeding system were estimated. Backfat thickness of steers was significantly higher than that of bulls (p < 0.05). Marbling score was also the highest in steers when compared with cows and bulls (p < 0.05). Live weight and carcass weight were significantly higher in winter than in summer (p < 0.05). However, backfat thickness was significantly lower in summer than in other seasons (p < 0.05). Marbling score was higher in spring and fall than in summer and winter (p < 0.05). In terms of feeding systems, TMR (Total mixed ration) and TMF (Total mixed fermentation feed) fed groups showed the highest carcass grade (p < 0.05). However, the group fed TMR and formula feed at the final fattening period showed the lowest performance (p < 0.05) and it is assumed that some stress was associated to the feed change. The results reconfirm that castration may be recommended in order to improve meat quality and marbling scores in bulls. There was no consistent trend of seasonal effects of slaughter on carcass traits although some traits were significantly affected. Regarding the feeding system, either TMR or TMF can be supplied to achieve high feed efficiency and good carcass characteristics in Hanwoo.

Biochemical Studies on Korean Fermented Foods. (IX) Variation of Vitamin $B_{12}$ during the Kimchi Fermentation Period (한국 발효식품에 대한 생물화학적 연구 (제9보) 침채류의 발효에 따르는 $VitaminB_{12}$의 변화에 대하여)

  • Lee, In-Jae;Haw, Kum;Kim, Sung-Ikk
    • YAKHAK HOEJI
    • /
    • v.4 no.1
    • /
    • pp.53-55
    • /
    • 1959
  • In order to confirm on production of vitamin $B_{12}$ during the kimchi fermentation period, the variation of its content is studied in this paper As a sample of kimchi for this fermentation study due to the seasonal condition, nabakkimchi which is aseasonal one in early spring, is prepared by author. The content of vitamin $B_{12}$ is estimated by the microbiological assay method using lactobacillus leichmannii A Tee 7830. Details for assay are indicated in the original part. And the pseudo-vitamin $B_{12}$ substances as thymidine which is active to the growth of lactobacillus leichmannii, are eliminated by the alkali treatment method of sample solution, According to the results shown in table 2 and 3 and figures 1 to 4, the following conclusions are summerized; 1. Vitamin $B_{12}$ produced during the fermentation period of kimchi. And the content of this vitamin during its optimum fermentation period, is much higher content compared with the theoretically calculated amount from its materials, This has been confirmed at the repeated experiment. The trend of variation during its period is indicated at the figures. 2. The sterilized kimchi inhibited the fermentation by sterilization at the preparation, did not increased its content showing only its theoretically calculated amount.

  • PDF

A Development Study for Fashion Market Forecasting Models - Focusing on Univariate Time Series Models -

  • Lee, Yu-Soon;Lee, Yong-Joo;Kang, Hyun-Cheol
    • Journal of Fashion Business
    • /
    • v.15 no.6
    • /
    • pp.176-203
    • /
    • 2011
  • In today's intensifying global competition, Korean fashion industry is relying on only qualitative data for feasibility study of future projects and developmental plan. This study was conducted in order to support establishment of a scientific and rational management system that reflects market demand. First, fashion market size was limited to the total amount of expenditure for fashion clothing products directly purchased by Koreans for wear during 6 months in spring and summer and 6 months in autumn and winter. Fashion market forecasting model was developed using statistical forecasting method proposed by previous research. Specifically, time series model was selected, which is a verified statistical forecasting method that can predict future demand when data from the past is available. The time series for empirical analysis was fashion market sizes for 8 segmented markets at 22 time points, obtained twice each year by the author from 1998 to 2008. Targets of the demand forecasting model were 21 research models: total of 7 markets (excluding outerwear market which is sensitive to seasonal index), including 6 segmented markets (men's formal wear, women's formal wear, casual wear, sportswear, underwear, and children's wear) and the total market, and these markets were divided in time into the first half, the second half, and the whole year. To develop demand forecasting model, time series of the 21 research targets were used to develop univariate time series models using 9 types of exponential smoothing methods. The forecasting models predicted the demands in most fashion markets to grow, but demand for women's formal wear market was forecasted to decrease. Decrease in demand for women's formal wear market has been pronounced since 2002 when casualization of fashion market intensified, and this trend was analyzed to continue affecting the demand in the future.

Effect of Air Pollution on Emergency Room Visits for Asthma : a Time Series Analysis (대기오염과 천식발작의 관련성에 관한 시계열적 연구)

  • Ju, Young-Su;Cho, Soo-Hun
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
    • /
    • v.34 no.1
    • /
    • pp.61-72
    • /
    • 2001
  • Objectives : To evaluate the hypothesis that increasing ambient levels of ozone or particulate matter are associated with increased emergency room visits for asthma and to quantify the strength of association, if any, between these. Methods : Daily counts of emergency room visits for asthma, air quality, and weather data were collected from hospitals with over 200 beds and from monitoring Stations in Seoul, Korea from 1994 through 1997. Daily counts of emergency mom visits for asthma attack were analyzed using a general additive Poisson model, with adjustment for the effects of secular trend, seasonal variation, Sunday and holiday, temperature, and humidly, according to levels of ozone and particulate matter. Results : The association between daily counts of emergency room visits for asthma attack and ozone levels was statistically significant in summer(from June to August), and the RR by unit inclement of 100 ppb ozone was 1.30(95% CI = $1.11\sim1.52$) without lag time. With restriction of the period from April to September in 1996, the RR was 1.37(95% CI = $1.06\sim1.76$), and from June to August in 1995, the RR was 1.62(95% CI = $1.12\sim2.35$). In the data for children$(5\sim14yr)$, the RR was 2.57(95% CI = $1.31\sim5.05$) with restriction of the period from April to September in 1997. There was no Significant association between TSP levels and asthma attacks, but a slight association was seen between PM10 levels and asthma attacks in a very restricted period. Conclusion : There was a statistically significant association between ambient levels of ozone and daily counts of emergency room visits for asthma attack. Therefore, we must make efforts to effectively minimize air pollution, in order to protect public health.

  • PDF

A Study on Production, Dressing and Marketing of Broiler (육계생산과 도계유통에 관한 조사연구)

  • 오세정
    • Korean Journal of Poultry Science
    • /
    • v.10 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-22
    • /
    • 1983
  • The Purpose of this study is to examine both supply and demand side of broiler chicken in Korea. Especially the paper aims to investigate the broiler chicken production Dressing and marketing pattern which may affect the demand for it. It is generally understood that broiler chicken production becomes unstable because of frequent market price fluctuation mainly due to disequilibrium of quantities demanded ana supplied It is important to point out that marketing in the form dressed chicken has been enforced by the regulation in Seoul area since March 1st, 1983, though live birds have been customarily marketed for year. It is assumed that the subsituation of chicken meat for beef would save foreign exchanges, because increasingly large amount of beef is imported mainly thanked to a chronical shortage in local production. Main findings of this study may be summarized as follows: 1) Broiler chicker production has been rapidly increased recently, estimating 180-200 million head per year with the trend of contineous increase year after year. Price fluctuation during the year is found, especially summer and winter mainly due to seasonal demand change. It is known that mal-funconing of broiler chicken market may be one of the causes for a large Price fluctuation. Accordingly the increase of marketing efficiency may reduce the price fluctuation and also positively impact on creating demand for the chicken consumption. 2) It is also interesting to note that 90 percent of broilers are grown on the floor and almost 86 percent of total broilers composed of so called high-bros, weighing on an average more than 1.6kg per head Approximately 8 weeks are required for of around marketing birds at the feed efficiency of around 2.3-2.5 Average broiler farm raises between 1,000 and 2,000 head, showing a quite small scale of operation. Only a few sampled farmers follow an all-in and all-out method in broiler production.

  • PDF

The AADT estimation through time series analysis using irregular factor decomposition method (불규칙변동 분해 시계열분석 기법을 사용한 AADT 추정)

  • 이승재;백남철;권희정;최대순;도명식
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.19 no.6
    • /
    • pp.65-73
    • /
    • 2001
  • Until recently, we use only weekly and monthly adjustment factors in order to estimate the AADT. By the way. we can suppose that the traffic is time series data related to flow of time. So we tried to analyse traffic patterns using time series analysis and apply them to estimate the AADT. We could divide traffic patterns into trend, cyclic variation, seasonal variation and irregular variation like as time series data. Also, in order to reduce random error components, we have looked for the weather conditions as an influential factor. There are many weather conditions such as rainfalls, but, temperatures, and sunshine hours among others but we selected rainfalls and lowest temperatures. And then, we have estimated the AADT using time series factors. To compare the results of, we have applied both irregular variation joined to weather factors and that not joined to. RMSE and U-test were opted at methods to appreciate results of AADT estimation.

  • PDF

The Forecast of the Cargo Transportation and Traffic Volume on Container in Gwangyang Port, using Time Series Models (시계열 모형을 이용한 광양항의 컨테이너 물동량 및 교통량 예측)

  • Kim, Jung-Hoon
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
    • /
    • v.32 no.6
    • /
    • pp.425-431
    • /
    • 2008
  • The future cargo transportation and traffic volume on container in Gwangyang port was forecasted by using univariate time series models in this research. And the container ship traffic was produced. The constructed models all were most adapted to Winters' additive models with a trend and seasonal change. The cargo transportation on container in Gwangyang port was estimated each about 2,756 thousand TEU and 4,470 thousand TEU in 2011 and 2015 by increasing each 7.4%, 16.2% compared with 2007. The volume per ship on container was estimated each about 675TEU and 801TEU in 2011 and 2015 by increasing each 30.3%, 54.6% compared with 2007. Also, traffic volume on container incoming in Gwangyang Port was prospected each about 4,078ships and 5,921ships in 2011 and 2015.

Correlation between Internet Search Query Data and the Health Insurance Review & Assessment Service Data for Seasonality of Plantar Fasciitis (족저 근막염의 계절성에 대한 인터넷 검색어 데이터와 건강보험심사평가원 자료의 연관성)

  • Hwang, Seok Min;Lee, Geum Ho;Oh, Seung Yeol
    • Journal of Korean Foot and Ankle Society
    • /
    • v.25 no.3
    • /
    • pp.126-132
    • /
    • 2021
  • Purpose: This study examined whether there are seasonal variations in the number of plantar fasciitis cases from the database of the Korean Health Insurance Review & Assessment Service and an internet search of the volume data related to plantar fasciitis and whether there are correlations between variations. Materials and Methods: The number of plantar fasciitis cases per month was acquired from the Korean Health Insurance Review & Assessment Service from January 2016 to December 2019. The monthly internet relative search volumes for the keywords "plantar fasciitis" and "heel pain" were collected during the same period from DataLab, an internet search query trend service provided by the Korean portal website, Naver. Cosinor analysis was performed to confirm the seasonality of the monthly number of cases and relative search volumes, and Pearson and Spearman correlation analysis was conducted to assess the correlation between them. Results: The number of cases with plantar fasciitis and the relative search volume for the keywords "plantar fasciitis" and "heel pain" all showed significant seasonality (p<0.001), with the highest in the summer and the lowest in the winter. The number of cases with plantar fasciitis was correlated significantly with the relative search volumes of the keywords "plantar fasciitis" (r=0.632; p<0.001) and "heel pain" (r=0.791; p<0.001), respectively. Conclusion: Both the number of cases with plantar fasciitis and the internet search data for related keywords showed seasonality, which was the highest in summer. The number of cases showed a significant correlation with the internet search data for the seasonality of plantar fasciitis. Internet big data could be a complementary resource for researching and monitoring plantar fasciitis.

Basic reproduction number of African swine fever in wild boars (Sus scrofa) and its spatiotemporal heterogeneity in South Korea

  • Lim, Jun-Sik;Kim, Eutteum;Ryu, Pan-Dong;Pak, Son-Il
    • Journal of Veterinary Science
    • /
    • v.22 no.5
    • /
    • pp.71.1-71.12
    • /
    • 2021
  • Background: African swine fever (ASF) is a hemorrhagic fever occurring in wild boars (Sus scrofa) and domestic pigs. The epidemic situation of ASF in South Korean wild boars has increased the risk of ASF in domestic pig farms. Although basic reproduction number (R0) can be applied for control policies, it is challenging to estimate the R0 for ASF in wild boars due to surveillance bias, lack of wild boar population data, and the effect of ASF-positive wild boar carcass on disease dynamics. Objectives: This study was undertaken to estimate the R0 of ASF in wild boars in South Korea, and subsequently analyze the spatiotemporal heterogeneity. Methods: We detected the local transmission clusters using the spatiotemporal clustering algorithm, which was modified to incorporate the effect of ASF-positive wild boar carcass. With the assumption of exponential growth, R0 was estimated for each cluster. The temporal change of the estimates and its association with the habitat suitability of wild boar were analyzed. Results: Totally, 22 local transmission clusters were detected, showing seasonal patterns occurring in winter and spring. Mean value of R0 of each cluster was 1.54. The estimates showed a temporal increasing trend and positive association with habitat suitability of wild boar. Conclusions: The disease dynamics among wild boars seems to have worsened over time. Thus, in areas with a high elevation and suitable for wild boars, practical methods need to be contrived to ratify the control policies for wild boars.

Production of agricultural weather information by Deep Learning (심층신경망을 이용한 농업기상 정보 생산방법)

  • Yang, Miyeon;Yoon, Sanghoo
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.16 no.12
    • /
    • pp.293-299
    • /
    • 2018
  • The weather has a lot of influence on the cultivation of crops. Weather information on agricultural crop cultivation areas is indispensable for efficient cultivation and management of agricultural crops. Despite the high demand for agricultural weather, research on this is in short supply. In this research, we deal with the production method of agricultural weather in Jeollanam-do, which is the main production area of onions through GloSea5 and deep learning. A deep neural network model using the sliding window method was used and utilized to train daily weather prediction for predicting the agricultural weather. RMSE and MAE are used for evaluating the accuracy of the model. The accuracy improves as the learning period increases, so we compare the prediction performance according to the learning period and the prediction period. As a result of the analysis, although the learning period and the prediction period are similar, there was a limit to reflect the trend according to the seasonal change. a modified deep layer neural network model was presented, that applying the difference between the predicted value and the observed value to the next day predicted value.