• Title/Summary/Keyword: Seasonal effects

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Analysis of Marginal Count Failure Data by using Covariates

  • Karim, Md.Rezaul;Suzuki, Kazuyuki
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.79-95
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    • 2003
  • Manufacturers collect and analyze field reliability data to enhance the quality and reliability of their products and to improve customer satisfaction. To reduce the data collecting and maintenance costs, the amount of data maintained for evaluating product quality and reliability should be minimized. With this in mind, some industrial companies assemble warranty databases by gathering data from different sources for a particular time period. This “marginal count failure data” does not provide (i) the number of failures by when the product entered service, (ii) the number of failures by product age, or (iii) information about the effects of the operating season or environment. This article describes a method for estimating age-based claim rates from marginal count failure data. It uses covariates to identify variations in claims relative to variables such as manufacturing characteristics, time of manufacture, operating season or environment. A Poisson model is presented, and the method is illustrated using warranty claims data for two electrical products.

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The Effects of Seasonal Wind Stress on the Formation of the Tsushima Current (대만 난류의 계절변동에 대한 연구)

  • Nam, Su-Yong;Seok, Mun-Sik;Bang, In-Gwon;Seung, Yeong-Ho;Park, Pil-Seong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers Conference
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    • 1994.07a
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    • pp.14-18
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    • 1994
  • Barotropic Model을 이용하여 바람의 계절변화에 따른 대마난류의 형성을 살펴보았다. 모델 격자간격은 위도와 경도방향 모두 $0.25^{\circ}$로 하였고 바람은 Hellerman & Rosenstein (1983)의 바람을 이용하였다. 모델결과에 의하면 대마난류는 대만해협이 음의 유선함수 (Stream Function) 값을 갖는 동계 (10월-3월)에는 쿠로시오로 부터 직접 분기되어 형성되며 대만해협이 양의 유선함수값을 갖는 하계 (4월-9월)에는 대만해협을 통해 유입된 대만난류가 대마난류의 기원으로 나타난다. 이러한 대만난류 유입경로의 계절변화는 쿠로시오 수송량의 계절변화에 의한 것이 아니라 연해 (동지나해) 에서의 바람의 계절변화에 의해 야기되는 것으로 사료된다. 대한해협과 대만해협에서의 수송량과 쿠로시오의 수송량변화는 각각의 최대, 최소값만을 고려하면 쿠로시오와 대한해협에서의 수송량 변화는 약 $180^{\circ}$의 위상차를 갖으며, 대만해협에서의 수송량변화는 북풍계열의 바람이 우세한 동계를 제외하고는 쿠로시오의 수송량변화와 같은 위상을 갖는다.

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A Study on Demand Pattern Analysis for Forecasting of Customer's Electricity Demand (수요측 전력사용량 예측을 위한 수요패턴 분석 연구)

  • Ko, Jong-Min;Yang, Il-Kwon;Yu, In-Hyeob
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.57 no.8
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    • pp.1342-1348
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    • 2008
  • One important objective of the electricity market is to decrease the price by ensuring stability in the market operation. Interconnected to this is another objective; namely, to realize sustainable consumption of electricity by equitably distributing the effects and benefits of participating in the market among all participants of the industry. One method that can help achieve these objectives is the ^{(R)}$demand-response program, - which allows for active adjustment of the loadage from the demand side in response to the price. The demand-response program requires a customer baseline load (CBL), a criterion of calculating the success of decreases in demand. This study was conducted in order to calculate undistorted CBL by analyzing the correlations between such external or seasonal factors as temperature, humidity, and discomfort indices and the amounts of electricity consumed. The method and findings of this study are accordingly explicated.

A Study on Improvement of Means of Realization of Train Destination Equipment System (인공자연광을 이용한 지하역사 환경개선 방안 연구)

  • Yeo, Yong-Joo;Yoon, In-Young
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2008.11b
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    • pp.352-357
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    • 2008
  • Using the artificial sun, namely the BIOSUN, we can control the sun light according to the latitude and longitude and for the seasonal changes and apply that to subway stations. By doing this, we can expect three effects, a. allowing the plants to grow inside the stations which will in turn contribute to improving air purity, controlling humidity, and reducing dust for pleasant environment, b. pleasant environment will foster positive emotional responses of the passengers and that would increase the satisfaction, and c. fostering good service for the citizenry and establishing an environmental friendly image of the Seoul Metro Subway System. The purpose of this thesis paper is to contemplate on the uses of the artificial sun powered by the microprocessor of a Light Emitting Diode (LED) in controlling the light and how the light can be utilized in facilitating photosynthesis that would allow plants to grow inside subway stations.

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Spatio-temporal Distribution and Suspended Sediment Effects on Fish Flora in the Upper Basin of Soyang-Dam (소양댐 상류 유역 내 어류상의 시⋅공간 분포와 부유성 퇴적물 영향)

  • Yu Eunjin;Ahn Jongho;Lee Moonhwan;Jeon Dongjin
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.329-342
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    • 2023
  • Turbid water and suspended sediment (SS) load are having negative consequences such as water quality degradation and ecological damage, thus necessitating the establishment of management guidelines to reduce their impact. The present work investigates the spatio-temporal distribution of fish species and the effects of turbid water from 2011-2016 in the upper reaches of Soyang-Dam. The family Cyprinidae is the largest population in the study area, among which Zacco platypus and Zacco koreanus are the dominant species. The diversity of species is relatively abundant in the upper watershed, while the seasonal effect on the population distribution remains unclear. Using two main common components of the empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis, the distribution characteristics of 27 species at five survey sites are revealed. Zacco koreanus is found to be predominant at the upstream A-Naerincheon, while Zacco platypus and Rhinogobius brunneus are found to be predominant at the upstream B-Bukcheon. Disturbance of an aquatic ecosystem has a relatively greater impact in the downstream, as-compared to the upper area-the high proportion of forest area is decreased whereas that of agricultural and urbanized areas is increased. The patterns of representative species are changed according to the mid- to long-term effects of turbid water and SS. Accordingly, the significant correlation between the SS load and fish distribution EOF analysis indicates that it should be considered as a potential alternative that can overcome the limitations of impact assessment on turbid water to the Fish Assessment Index (FAI). A comprehensive study examining the long-term effects of SS load to the fish ecosystems with a systematic statistical analysis of sufficiently accumulated data at the national level is needed as future research.

Disentangling Trade Effects of the Korea - China FTA: Trade Liberalization or Political Conflicts?

  • HuiHui Yin;Juyoung Cheong
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.21-42
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - This paper investigates the trade effect of the Korea-China Free Trade Agreement (KCFTA) which coincides with political conflicts between the two countries due to the deployment of the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) in Korea. The two events occurred in the same year and both are likely to affect trade between two countries but in opposite directions. Therefore, it is crucial to distinguish between the trade effects from the KCFTA event and those from the THAAD event to evaluate the true FTA effects. However, this would be difficult when using only annual data. Accordingly, ex post studies to examine the trade effects of KCFTA are lacking in trustworthiness while many ex ante studies that conjecture the positive trade effects neglect the THAAD deployment impact. This paper aims to fill that gap. Design/methodology - Given that the KCFTA and THAAD events occurred in the same year but in different months, we use the monthly data from 2000 to 2019 of Korea's exports to bracket this period. We employ the difference-in-difference (DID) method within a gravity equation specification that uses hi-dimensional fixed effects to address various endogeneity issues and seasonal effects. We identify the net impact of KCFTA ratification from these two near-simultaneous events to quantify the effects of trade liberalization between these two countries. Findings - After isolating the THAAD effects on trade, the analysis creates a positive and statistically significant coefficient estimate of the KCFTA impact. In contrast, failing to isolate the THAAD effect produced a negative and statistically significant coefficient estimate of the KCFTA impact. Our results indicate that KCFTA independently increased Korea's exports to China by 10.2%, but that this increase was fully mitigated by the THAAD event. Further, our results verify that unobserved heterogeneity and multilateral resistance are technically difficult to account for in those estimations as that rely solely upon annual data, as this type of data are inadequate to control for the potential for endogeneity. Originality/value - This paper is one of the first studies to carefully evaluate the net trade effects of the KCFTA on Korea's largest trading partner while isolating the impact of simultaneously occurred political events that may influence trade in opposing directions. Our findings indicate that the lack of prior evidence of positive trade effects of the KCFTA when using annual data may be attributed to a failure to identify the impact of each event separately. This analysis supports using the correct modeling specification to avoid misleading conclusions when evaluating any important international trade policy.

Effects of Various Synchronization Methods on Postpartum Reproduction in Hanwoo (다양한 발정제어 방법이 한우의 분만성적과 분만후 차기번식에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee M. S.;Park J. J.;Jung Y. H.;Park S. B.;Suh G. H.;Kang M. J.;Moon S. J.;Kim C. K.
    • Journal of Embryo Transfer
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.49-53
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    • 2005
  • This study was conducted to investigate the effects of repetition usage of various estrus synchronization and seasonal breeding in Hanwoo. Body weight(kg) at birth and weaning in calves produced by seasonal breeding are 24.0kg, 75.6kg in female, 24.9kg, 78.3kg in male, respectively. Changes of birth weight(kg) by parity in Hanwoo increased gradually. Raising rates of calves by raising experience of farmer higher than in more 10 years as $88.4\%$ and in more 6 years as $84.0\%$. Delivering rates by induced estrus methods in $PGF_{2}{\alpha}$, PRID, CIDR and $GnRH-PGF_{2}{\alpha}-GnRH$ were $87.0\%$, $87.3\%$, $91.6\%$ and $96.0\%$, respectively. Conception days of post-partum following to induced estrus methods in Control, $PGF_{2}{\alpha}$ PRID, CIDR and $GnRH-PGF_{2}{\alpha}-GnRH$ were 137.1, 147.6, 141.3, 116.6 and 118.0 days, respectively. The results show that repetition usage of various estrus synchronization were not effective on postpartum reproduction in Hanwoo.

Concentrations of Criteria Pollutants in Indoor and Ambient Air of Public Facilities in Taegu Area (대구지역 공중이용시설의 실내 $\cdot$ 외 공기 중 기준성오염물질의 농도)

  • 송희봉;민경섭;한개희;김종우;백성옥
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.429-439
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    • 1996
  • A comprehensive air quality monitoring was carried out in this study to investigate the concentrations of criteria air pollutants in indoor and outdoor air of public facilities in Taegu area. Four different kinds of public facilities were seleced as sampling sites, which are underground stores, stations & terminals, general hospitals, and department stores. Each group of the public facilities was consisted of three different sampling sites. As a consequence, a total of 12 different sampling sites were surveyed throughout this study. Sampling was conducted simultaneously indoors, three times per day (in the morning, afternoon, and evening) and four times per year (spring, summer, fall, and winter) at each sampling site during the period of October 1994 to July 1995. A range of criteria pollutants were measured in order to obtain a broad profile of indoor and ambient air quality, including total suspended particles (TSP), carbon monoxide (CO), carbon dioxide ($CO_2$), formaldehyde (HCHO), sulfur dioxide ($SO_2$), and nitrogen dioxide ($NO_2$). In addition, temperature, relative humidity, and air current were measured on site together with those air pollutants. Results of this study indicated that the indoor levels of TSP, CO, $SO_2, and NO_2$ appeared to be generally higher in stations/terminals and underground stores than those in department stores and hospitals. However, HCHO and $CO_2$ were found to have higher levels in the department stores and hospitals than other places, indicating that the effects of indoor sources for these pollutants are significantly different from other combustion related pollutants such as TSP, CO, and $SO_2$. It was also found that there are marked seasonal and daily variations both in indoor and outdoor air quality. In general, combustion related pollutants such as CO, $SO_2$ and $NO_2$ showed a typical pattern of higher levels in winter than insummer, and also higher in the morning and/or in the evening than in the afternoon. However, the seasonal and daily patterns of HCHO appeared to be opposite to the combustion related pollutants, i.e., higher both in summer and in the afternoon, implying the effect of temperature on the volatilization from indoor sources of HCHO. Results of correlation analyses between indoor and outdoor air quality also indicated that the effects of outdoor sources on the indoor levels of TSP, $SO_2$, CO, and $NO_2$ and much significant, whilst no significant correlations between indoor and outdoor levels were found for HCHO and $CO_2$.

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GOCI-IIVisible Radiometric Calibration Using Solar Radiance Observations and Sensor Stability Analysis (GOCI-II 태양광 보정시스템을 활용한 가시 채널 복사 보정 개선 및 센서 안정성 분석)

  • Minsang Kim;Myung-Sook Park;Jae-Hyun Ahn;Gm-Sil Kang
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.39 no.6_2
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    • pp.1541-1551
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    • 2023
  • Radiometric calibration is a fundamental step in ocean color remote sensing since the step to derive solar radiance spectrum in visible to near-infrared wavelengths from the sensor-observed electromagnetic signals. Generally, satellite sensor suffers from degradation over the mission period, which results in biases/uncertainties in radiometric calibration and the final ocean products such as water-leaving radiance, chlorophyll-a concentration, and colored dissolved organic matter. Therefore, the importance of radiometric calibration for the continuity of ocean color satellites has been emphasized internationally. This study introduces an approach to improve the radiometric calibration algorithm for the visible bands of the Geostationary Ocean Color Imager-II (GOCI-II) satellite with a focus on stability. Solar Diffuser (SD) measurements were employed as an on-orbit radiometric calibration reference, to obtain the continuous monitoring of absolute gain values. Time series analysis of GOCI-II absolute gains revealed seasonal variations depending on the azimuth angle, as well as long-term trends by possible sensor degradation effects. To resolve the complexities in gain variability, an azimuth angle correction model was developed to eliminate seasonal periodicity, and a sensor degradation correction model was applied to estimate nonlinear trends in the absolute gain parameters. The results demonstrate the effects of the azimuth angle correction and sensor degradation correction model on the spectrum of Top of Atmosphere (TOA) radiance, confirming the capability for improving the long-term stability of GOCI-II data.

A study of the Effects of Siberian Wildfires on Ozone Concentrations over East Asia in Spring 2003 (시베리아 산불이 2003년 봄철 동아시아 오존 농도에 끼치는 영향 연구)

  • Park, Rokjin;Jeong, Jaein;Yun, Daeok
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.227-235
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    • 2009
  • Global climate warming induced by long-lived greenhouse gases is expected to cause increases in wildfire frequencies and intensity in boreal forest regions of mid- and high-latitudes in the future. Siberian forest fires are one of important sources for air pollutants such as ozone and aerosols over East Asia. Thus an accurate quantification of forest fire influences on air quality is crucial, in particular considering its higher occurrences expected under the future warming climate conditions. We here use the 3-D global chemical transport model (GEOS-Chem) with the satellite constrained fire emissions to quantify Siberian fire effects on ozone concentrations in East Asia. Our focus is mainly on spring 2003 when the largest fires occurred over Siberia in the past decade. We first evaluated the model by comparing to the EANET observations. The model reproduced observed ozone concentrations in spring 2003 with the high $R^2$ of 0.77 but slightly underestimated by 20%. Enhancements in seasonal mean ozone concentrations were estimated from the difference in simulations with and without Siberian fires and amounted up to 24 ppbv over Siberia. Effects of Siberian fires also resulted in 3-10 ppbv incresases in Korea and Japan. These increases account for about 5-15% of the ozone air quality standard of 60 ppbv in Korea, indicating a significant effect of Siberian fires on ozone concentrations. We found however that possible changes in regional meteorology due to Siberian fires may also affect air quality. Further study on the interaction between regional air quality and meteorology is necessary in the future.