• 한국건설관리학회논문집
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• 제14권4호
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• pp.73-83
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• 2013

최근 국내 외 대도시를 중심으로, 글로벌 경제 위기와 부동산 경기 침체로 중단되거나 연기되었던 초고층 프로젝트들이 재개되고 있으며, 이를 수주하기 위한 건설사들의 경쟁은 전보다 더욱 치열해지고 있다. 국내 건설사들이 초고층 건축 분야에서 경쟁력을 높이기 위해서는, 전체 프로젝트의 근간이 되는 중요한 요소인 양중계획의 체계적인 리스크 관리가 반드시 수반되어야 하지만, 여전히 개인적 경험에 의존하여 작성 된, 양중계획의 오류로 인한, 현장 전체의 공기 지연 및 원가 관리 실패의 문제가 빈번하게 발생하고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는, 양중계획의 정확성을 높이기 위한 방안으로, 현행 양중계획 체계의 문제점을 분석하고, 계획 요소에 따라 실패 유형을 도출하였으며, 각 실패 유형이 전체 프로젝트의 공정, 원가, 안전관리에 미치는 영향도를 분석하였다. 또한 양중 장비별 세부 리스크 요인을 분석하고, 이를 바탕으로 FMEA 기법을 적용하여 초고층 프로젝트 양중계획의 핵심 리스크 요인을 도출하였다.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제41권2호
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• pp.221-232
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• 2013

Purpose: This paper examines risk factors which affect project success, and proposes a method utilizing the average potential satisfaction index(API) to evaluate how much the satisfaction level of the personnel involved in the project can change by reducing the risk. Methods: The current study derives 11 risk factors affecting project success from literature review and conducts survey of 253 subjects who have project work experience. A modified Kano's questionnaire using 5-point Likert-scale is applied to investigate the amount of satisfaction or dissatisfaction when the risk factors are reducted or not, respectively. Results: The respondents consider that the risk factors which include the three elements of project management(schedule, quality, cost) is more important than other risk factors related to the project environment, and technology and profitability. Conclusion: The average potential satisfaction index proposed in this study can measure the perception on the risk factors of the personnel involved in the project, since it has a strong correlation with the perceived importance by the respondents in this study.

• 한국군사과학기술학회지
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• 제2권2호
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• pp.197-208
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• 1999

위험관리는 최근 다양한 분야의 산업에 적용 가능한 매우 중요한 토픽이다. 본 연구에서는 기본적인 위험관리의 일반적인 방법론과 새로운 위험관리 평가의 방법론을 제시한다. 위험관리의 실제 적용에 있어서 재정, 보험산업 등의 분야에서는 이미 많은 현실적 방법론들이 개발되었다. 다양한 산업현장에서 발전된 많은 적용사례들이 있으나 여전히 위험관리는 어려운 부분이며, 두 가지 주요한 위험평가 방법론이 시스템 엔지니어링 분야에서 개선되고 발전되어왔다. 그중 하나는 본래의 위험평가의 기본개념을 바탕으로 하여 발전한 것이며 다른 하나는 소프트웨어 엔지니어링분야의 위험평가에서 비롯된 것이다. 규모가 크고 복잡한 시스템에서 효과적인 위험관리는 프로젝트의 최종 목적을 달성하는데 있어서 불확실성에 적절히 대처하여 총 개발비용을 줄이고 목표일정과 성능을 달성하는 효과를 가져온다.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2010년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회 2부
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• pp.103-108
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• 2010

The purpose of this study is to analyze of the risk factors for oversea plants construction projects. For this study, risk factors data from related literature review, research organization and construction company was researched and classified under each EPC phases. In addition, a questionnaire survey by plant experts was conducted for analysis of risk weight and costs and time impact on each EPC phases. The results of this study are as follows: First, a detail design errors(engineering phase), a equipment procurement plan(procurement phase), and exchange rate fluctuations(construction phase) were analyzed the highest weight factors. Second, a financing plan(engineering phase), quantity take-off bill(procurement phase), and exchange rate fluctuations(construction phase) were analyzed the highest cost impact factors. Third, detail design errors(engineering phase), a equipment procurement plan(procurement phase), and schedule management errors(construction phase) were analyzed the highest time impact factors.

• Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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• 제2권2호
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• pp.133-143
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• 2015

Civil engineering infrastructure is aging and requires cost-effective maintenance strategies to enable infrastructure systems operate reliably and sustainably. This paper presents an approach for determining risk-cost balanced repair strategy of corrosion damaged reinforced concrete structures with consideration of uncertainty in structural resistance deterioration. On the basis of analytical models of cover concrete cracking evolution and bond strength degradation due to reinforcement corrosion, the effect of reinforcement corrosion on residual load carrying capacity of corroded reinforced concrete structures is investigated. A stochastic deterioration model based on gamma process is adopted to evaluate the probability of failure of structural bearing capacity over the lifetime. Optimal repair planning and maintenance strategies during the service life are determined by balancing the cost for maintenance and the risk of structural failure. The method proposed in this study is then demonstrated by numerical investigations for a concrete structure subjected to reinforcement corrosion. The obtained results show that the proposed method can provide a risk cost optimised repair schedule during the service life of corroded concrete structures.

• 한국건설관리학회논문집
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• 제5권4호
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• pp.87-96
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• 2004

건설공사에서 공기는 매우 중요한 요소로 건설사업비에 미치는 영향이 크다. 선진국들은 공기단축을 통한 건설사업비 절감을 위해 노력하고 있다. 국내에서도 공기단축의 필요성을 절감함으로써 공기단축을 위해 많은 노력을 기울여 왔지만, 그 효과는 아직 미미한 것으로 나타나고 있다. 향후 주 5일 근무제가 시행되고, 후분양제가 도입될 경우, 건설사업비 절감이나 리스크 관리측면에서 공기단축은 필수불가결한 요인이 될 것이다. 공기를 효과적으로 단축하기 위해서는 공기에 영향을 미치는 중요요인과 공정 메커니즘을 명확하게 분석해야 한다. 이러한 사항들이 규명될 때 효과적인 공기단축이 가능해져 건설사업비를 줄일 수 있게 될 것이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 아파트 건설공사에서 공기의 $40\sim50\%$를 차지하는 골조공사의 기준층에 대한 공정메커니즘을 분석하여 골조공사의 공기에 영향을 미치는 요인들을 규명하고자 한다. 또한, 도출된 요인들을 효과적으로 활용할 수 있는 방법들을 사례 분석함으로써 합리적인 공기단축방안을 제시하고자 한다.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제42권2호
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• pp.9-17
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• 2019

In order to deal with high uncertainty and variability in emergency medical centers, many researchers have developed various models for their operational planning and scheduling. However, most of the models just provide static plans without any risk measures as their results, and thus the users often lose the opportunity to analyze how much risk the patients have, whether the plan is still implementable or how the plan should be changed when an unexpected event happens. In this study, we construct a simulation model combined with a risk-based planning and scheduling module designed by Simio LLC. In addition to static schedules, it provides possibility of treatment delay for each patient as a risk measure, and updates the schedule to avoid the risk when it is needed. By using the simulation model, the users can experiment various scenarios in operations quickly, and also can make a decision not based on their past experience or intuition but based on scientific estimation of risks even in urgent situations. An example of such an operational decision making process is demonstrated for a real mid-size emergency medical center located in Seoul, Republic of Korea. The model is designed for temporal short-term planning especially, but it can be expanded for long-term planning also with some appropriate adjustments.

• 한국국방경영분석학회지
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• 제32권1호
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• pp.73-89
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• 2006

이 논문에는 한국형 헬기 시제품(KHP) 개발을 위한 EVMS 적용절차를 제시하였다. 무기체계의 연구개발은 사업기간이 긴 사업으로서 불확실성과 위험에 기인한 비용상승의 확률이 높다. 따라서 일정과 기술적 성능을 만족하고 초과비용을 억제하는 것이 연구개발사업을 성공하기 위한 주요 관건이다. EVMS는 성과를 활용하여 비용, 일정 및 기술적 성능을 통제하는 사업관리시스템이다. 그러므로 한국형 헬기 시제품 개발사업의 비용 및 일정을 통해하고, 기술적 성능을 만족시키기 위하여 EVMS의 적용이 요구된다.

• 국제강구조저널
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• 제18권4호
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• pp.1200-1209
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• 2018

In this study, a probabilistic framework of the damage assessment of pipelines subjected to extreme hazard scenario was developed to mitigate the risk and enhance design reliability. Nonlinear 3D finite element models of T-joint systems were developed based on experimental tests with respect to leakage detection of black iron piping systems, and a damage assessment analysis of the vulnerability of their components according to nominal pipe size, coupling type, and wall thickness under seismic wave propagations was performed. The analysis results showed the 2-inch schedule 40 threaded T-joint system to be more fragile than the others with respect to the nominal pipe sizes. As for the coupling types, the data indicated that the probability of failure of the threaded T-joint coupling was significantly higher than that of the grooved type. Finally, the seismic capacity of the schedule 40 wall thickness was weaker than that of schedule 10 in the 4-inch grooved coupling, due to the difference in the prohibition of energy dissipation. Therefore, this assessment can contribute to the damage detection and financial losses due to failure of the joint piping system in a liquid pipeline, prior to the decision-making.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 9th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.1254-1254
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• 2022

The Multi-family Residential is one of the most famous building types for a rental property in the US. Often times it includes multiple residential buildings and some amenity facilities, including a clubhouse or leasing office, swimming pool, dog park, and garages. Since the building type is built for rental purposes, the construction planning is phased and it makes the project complicated. Detailed planning and execution are important for successful construction management. This paper provides some management practices that are applied to one of the multi-family residential construction projects in Phoenix, AZ. The Front End Planning (FEP) process performed by both owner and contractor is the first key to a successful construction project. Specifically, the early review of phased turnover strategy, grading, fire/Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA) compliance, and Mechanical/ Electricity/Plumbing/Technology (MEPT) will provide absolute benefit to the project. Second, using a scheduling method to control short-term schedules and long-term can provide the ability to manage the issues with agility. Third, material delivery and procurement dominate the both project schedule and cost. With this COVID-19 circumstance, it is hard to expect the material, equipment, and labor forces to be delivered on time with the contracted price. Managing floats are more than important to managing construction productivity. Risk management should work to share the risks fairly. Lastly, turnover is directly linked with the profit of the project for both owner and contractor. The communication between the owner and contractor to re-schedule the proper turnover schedule is important for the phased construction project.