• 한국지형학회지
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• 제25권1호
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• pp.97-113
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• 2018

Low-frequency geological natural disaster events such as Pohang earthquake have been occurred. As a results, there's a growing recognition on the importance of education and training for low frequency geological disasters in Korea. In spite of many years of scientific researches on volcanic disaster prevention and preparedness on Baekdusan volcano, the results do not provide the proper scenario for the training for volcanic ash event. Fall 3D volcanic ash diffusion model was run based on wind field data for the last five year, assuming Aso Mountain's explosion with volcanic explosion index 5 for seventy two hours. The management criteria values for proper actions in the previous studies were applied to make a scenario for thirteen groups of the disaster response teams such as train transportation, water supply, electrical facilities and human health. The models on the relationship between education and training for disaster prevention and response were suggested to fulfill the scientific and practical training at local level.

• Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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• 제28권1호
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• pp.30-36
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• 2012

The total yield of Pinus koraiensis stands was reviewed along forest function by using goal programming, which is one of the operations research techniques. The 4 kinds of management goals are set to identify timber production in the Research Forest of Kangwon National University. As a result, scenario 1 was estimated the best timber production over 2,073 ha area and also 588 ha in the third quarter was showed the most timber harvest. The rate of timber harvest was separated by 10 to 50 percent in non-timber forest function in the scenario 1 and that model was applied to the Research Forest of Kangwon National University. The structure of the area and volume is showed to be balanced quarterly when rate of timber harvest at 10 to 20 percent.

• 한국측량학회지
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• 제33권3호
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• pp.193-202
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• 2015

The greenbelt of South Korea has been under the process of adjustment and removal since its first designated year. This research is aimed at predicting the effect that the removal of the greenbelt has on urban growth. The SLEUTH model was executed via three calibration phases using historical data between 1990 and 2010. The urban growth of Busan Metropolitan City was predicted under its historical trend, as well as two different scenarios including development and compact development up to the year 2030. The accuracy of model, as verified by ROC, was 85.7%. The historical trend scenario showed the smallest increase, with the urban area expanding from 175.96 km² to 214.68 km² in 2030. Scenario 2, the development scenario, showed the most increase, with a 39.9% growth rate from 2010 to 2030. However, according to scenario 3, the compact development scenario, the urban area decreased in comparison to scenario 2. Accordingly, it is necessary to have effective urban growth management to provoke eco-friendly development on the removed areas, and to strengthen the non-removed areas for sustainable development. The results obtained in this study showed that the SLEUTH model can be useful for predicting urban growth, and that it can help policy makers establish proper urban planning as a decision-support tool for sustainable development.

• 디지털융복합연구
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• 제11권2호
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• pp.221-228
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• 2013

시나리오 기반 학습과 관련하여 학습 관련 효과에 관한 많은 연구들이 집중되고 있다. 그렇지만, 이와 관련하여 바람직한 효과 측정 방법이 제시되지 못하고 있다. 본 연구는 시나리오 학습과 관련하여 보다 바람직한 학습 효과 측정을 위해 하나의 퍼지 논리 기반 프레임워크를 제안하는데 있다. 이러한 프레임워크의 사용은 학습 효과의 측정에 있어서 언어적인 불확실성 문제를 해결할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 시나리오 기반 학습의 효과 측정을 위해 정확성, 이해성, 완비성의 3가지 불확실성 측도를 사용한다. 이러한 측도의 사용은 시나리오 맥락 측면에서 완전성뿐만 아니라 사용자 선택에 따른 효과 차이를 최소화시킬 수 있는 강점을 가진다. 다른 무엇보다도 시나리오 기반의 학습에 퍼지 논리의 적용은 실제 학습 상황에서 학습 목표 도달을 위한 학습 경로 진행 상황을 쉽게 관측할 수 있다.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제15권5호
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• pp.461-469
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• 2006

As a frontier of Sustainable Basin Research Initiative, we commenced a scenario-driven planning and evaluation research project which is to identify the strategic policy scenarios. As a part of the project, this study attempts to estimate the ecological impacts of land cover changes using landscape indices at the whole basin level. We analyzed spatio-temporal characteristics of natural area including forest, agricultural land, water area, barren which play an important role in nature-friendly sustainable watershed management. The results of analysis shelved that the size and diversity of natural area have been reduced, while patch number and isolation have been increased in proportion to urbanization in 1974, 1995 and four future scenarios in the Ara River Basin. Also, we estimated that the natural area could be conserved to some degree in the SD or DE scenarios with a concept of environment-friendly development and lifestyle. Various strategic environment policies may be evaluated and designed on the basis of the method, that is, scenario approach and landscape ecological analysis suggested in this study.

• 한국건설관리학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건설관리학회 2007년도 정기학술발표대회 논문집
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• pp.809-812
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• 2007

본 연구에서는 4D CAD의 객체정보에 자원 및 비용정보를 연동한 nD CAD시스템의 기능 구성방안을 제안하며, 제안된 기능들은 플랜트공사의 시각화된 방식 공정모델을 선정할 수 있는 시나리오기반 공정분석 모형으로 구성하였다. 제안된 모형은 다양한 공사관리 정보를 nD CAD기반으로 통합함으로써 최적 일정계획과 자원 및 비용정보의 효율적인 시각화 관리가 가능하다. 또한 최적 공정 시나리오 분석 및 분석정보의 공유 기능을 통해 발주자의 효율적인 의사결정 정보로 활용될 수 있다.

• Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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• 제11권2호
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• pp.196-201
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• 2012

This study has developed a packaging criterion to minimize the level of discomfort which drivers using their vehicles for daily life purposes may experience due to ill designed vehicle packaging of mid-size sedan based on users' daily-life scenario. To find out optimal range of packaging dimension criterion, discomfort levels the test participants with different physical conditions suffer while performing various activities were analyzed. One hundred two test participants were carefully selected to represent entire Korean mid-size sedan owner-drivers. They were directed to test drive on the course designed to simulate mid-size sedan daily-usage scenario. At pre-designed locations, each of questions was asked to the test participants to be answered in the form of 10 point discomfort level score. By analyzing the test results, the optimal range for packaging dimensions was defined to be used as a packaging criterion.

• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국방재학회 2009년도 정기 학술발표대회
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• pp.13-24
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• 2009

This paper introduces various kinds of applications of the scenario-based seismic risk assessment in Taiwan. Seismic scenario simulation (SSS) is a GIS-based technique to assess distribution of ground shaking intensity, soil liquefaction probability, building damages and associated casualties, interruption of lifeline systems, economic losses, etc. given source parameters of an earthquake. The SSS may integrate with rapid earthquake information release system to obtain valuable information and to assist in decision-making processes to dispatch rescue and medical resources efficiently. The SSS may also integrate with probabilistic seismic hazard analysis to evaluate various kinds of risk estimates, such as average annual loss and probable maximum loss in one event, in a probabilistic sense and to help proposing feasible countermeasures.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.1570-1575
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• 2009

The purpose of this research is to propose the conceptual model of Scenario-based Project Planning Expert System which has not been used in domestic LNG plant industry. This research examines data on the plant project planning expert system of domestic and oversea, analyzes the components of project planning expert systems and benchmark excellent cases. The conceptual model of LNG plant project planning expert system is established through the procedure as has been noted above. The results of this research are as follows: First, this research draws out such components of LNG plant project planning expert system as feasibility, cost control, contract management and risk management. Second, this research proposes the conceptual model of LNG plant project planning expert system which core module is consist of feasibility evaluation, life cycle cost evaluation and decision making. Finally, each module of LNG plant project planning expert system would be integrated into the Scenario-based Project Planning Expert System.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제11권8호
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• pp.3060-3069
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• 2010

LBS는 이동 중인 사용자의 위치정보를 이용하여 사용자에게 필요로 하는 부가 서비스를 제공하는 서비스 기법이다. 본 논문에서는 무선 모바일 네트워크상에서 모바일 클라이언트의 이동성 성능 테스트를 위한 Auto_Test 시스템을 제안한다. 현재 이동성 관리 기법의 중요성에도 불구하고 LBS이동성 관리에 대한 연구는 시작 단계에 있으며 본 논문에서는 이러한 문제를 해결하기 위하여 LBS 상에서의 서비스 이동성을 Auto-Test하기 위한 모듈형 관리 시스템을 개발하였다. 제안된 개발모듈은 거리 기반 모니터링, 위치 기반 모니터링, 시나리오관리, 이동성관리, 그리고 통계관리 모듈로 구성되며, 각 모듈을 통해서 이동성이 제어되도록 하였다. 시뮬레이션 결과 제안된 시스템이 기존 시스템들에 비해서 성능이 보다 더 효율적임을 알 수 있었다.