• Title/Summary/Keyword: Scenario evaluation

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The Evaluation of Sediment Yield of Dam-basin considering Future Climate Change in GIS Environment (미래 기후변화를 고려한 GIS 기반의 댐유역 유사량 평가)

  • Lee, Geun-Sang;Choi, Yun-Woong;Cho, Gi-Sung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry, and Cartography Conference
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    • 2010.04a
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    • pp.383-385
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    • 2010
  • This study analyzed the change of flowout and suspend solid in Andong and Imha basin according to the climate change to develop evaluation index about turbid water occurrence possibility and to support the countermeasures for turbid water management using GIS-based Soil and Water Assessment Tools (SWAT). MIROC3.2 hires model values of A1B climate change scenario that were supplied by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) were applied to future climage change data. Precipitation and temperature were corrected by applying the output value of 20th Century Climate Coupled Model (20C3M) based on past climate data during 1977 and 2006 and downscaled with Change Factor (CF) method. And future climate change scenarios were classified as three periods (2020s, 2050s, 2080s) and the change of flowout and suspended solid according to the climate change were estimated by coupling modeled value with SWAT model.

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A Fire Scenario for Application of Water Mist System to an Indoor Power Transformer Room (변전소 주변압기실 미분무수 소화시스템 성능평가를 위한 화재시나리오)

  • Choi Byung-Il;Han Yong-Shik;Kim Myung-Bae
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.19 no.3 s.59
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    • pp.52-57
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    • 2005
  • It has been known that there is not the general design method for water mist system because the fire extinguishing mechanisms are dependent on both spray characteristics and a fire compartment. It is therefore rational that a general performance-evaluation guideline does not exist. The present work suggests the performance-evaluation guideline for water mist system applied to the power transformer room based upon the investigation and analysis of fire accidents and the similar guideline.

DEVELOPMENT AND VALIDATION OF A NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE ANALYSIS TOOL: A FUTURE CODE

  • Kim, S.K.;Ko, W.I.;Lee, Yoon Hee
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.45 no.5
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    • pp.665-674
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    • 2013
  • This paper presents the development and validation methods of the FUTURE (FUel cycle analysis Tool for nUcleaR Energy) code, which was developed for a dynamic material flow evaluation and economic analysis of the nuclear fuel cycle. This code enables an evaluation of a nuclear material flow and its economy for diverse nuclear fuel cycles based on a predictable scenario. The most notable virtue of this FUTURE code, which was developed using C# and MICROSOFT SQL DBMS, is that a program user can design a nuclear fuel cycle process easily using a standard process on the canvas screen through a drag-and-drop method. From the user's point of view, this code is very easy to use thanks to its high flexibility. In addition, the new code also enables the maintenance of data integrity by constructing a database environment of the results of the nuclear fuel cycle analyses.

Safety Margin Evaluation of Railway wheel Based on Fracture Scenarios

  • Kwon, Seok Jin;Lee, Dong Hyung;Seo, Jung Won;Kwon, Sung Tae
    • International Journal of Railway
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.84-88
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    • 2012
  • Derailment due to wheel failure would cause a tremendous social and economical cost in service operation. It is necessary to evaluate quantitatively the safety with respect to high-speed train. Although the safety of railway wheel has been ensured by an regular inspection, all critical defects cannot be detected in inspection cycles and the wheel has been replaced because a defect quickly become critical for safety. Therefore, it is important to calculate quantitatively the fracture limit and remnant life of damaged railway wheel in wheel-rail system. In present paper, the critical crack size of wheel for high-speed train is simulated based on fracture scenario and the safety of wheel is evaluated.

Generation of local wind pressure coefficients for the design of low building roofs

  • Kumar, K. Suresh;Stathopoulos, Ted
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.4 no.6
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    • pp.455-468
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    • 2001
  • This paper presents recent research on the experimental evaluation of wind loads on low buildings and the recommendations provided in the form of traditional codification. These mainly include the wind loads on buildings with geometries different from those examined in previous studies. This is followed by the evaluation of simulated wind loads on low building roofs. The overall application of a recently proposed simulation methodology for codification purposes is discussed in detail. The traditional codification provides for a group of roof geometries a single peak design pressure coefficient for each roof zone considering a nominal worst-case scenario; this may often lead to uneconomical loads. Alternatively, the presented methodology is capable of providing peak pressure coefficients corresponding to specific roof geometries and according to risk levels; this can generate risk consistent and more economical design wind loads for specific roof configurations taking into account, for instance, directional design conditions and upstream roughnesses.

External exposure specific analysis for radiation worker in reuse of containment building for Kori Unit 1

  • Byon, Jihyang;Park, Sangjune;Kim, Yangjin;Ahn, Seokyoung
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.5
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    • pp.1781-1788
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    • 2022
  • The containment building Kori Unit 1 may require sequential steps for full decommissioning. This study assumes that the containment building is to be used as an auxiliary building that handles nuclear power systems and materials during decommissioning before conversion into a greenfield. Through the derivation of guidelines and dose evaluation, it was confirmed whether the radiation workers were satisfied with the ALARA decision. The specific modeling of the external radiation exposure was performed based on the facility investigation procedures. The external radiation specific derived concentration guideline levels (DCGLs) for radiation workers in containment building were obtained using the RESRAD-BUILD code and were applied to the VISIPLAN 3D ALARA Planning Tool code to calculate the working dose and check worker safety. The derivation of site-specific and realistic DCGLs and dose evaluation via 3D modeling can contribute to the scenario development for the decommission and remediation of containment building.

Estimation of Effective Dose to Residents Due to Hypothetical Accidents During Dismantling of Steam Generator

  • Kyeong-Ju Lee;Chang-Lak Kim
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.183-191
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    • 2023
  • The potential impact of hypothetical accidents that occur during the immediate and deferred dismantling of the Kori Unit 1 steam generator has been comprehensively evaluated. The evaluation includes determining the inventory of radionuclides in the Steam Generator based on surface contamination measurements, assuming a rate of release for each accident scenario, and applying external and internal exposure dose coefficients to assess the effects of radionuclides on human health. The evaluation also includes calculating the atmospheric dispersion factor using the PAVAN code and analyzing three years of meteorological data from Kori NPP to determine the degree of diffusion of radionuclides in the atmosphere. Overall, the effective dose for residents living in the Exclusion Area Boundary (EAB) of Kori NPP is predicted, an it is found that the maximum level of the dose is 0.034% compared to the annual dose limit of 1 mSv for the general public. This implies that the potential impact of hypothetical accidents on human health discussed above is within acceptable limits.

Numerical Simulation for Evaluation the Feasibility of Using Sand and Gravel Contaminated by Heavy Metals for Dam Embankment Materials (중금속으로 오염된 사력재의 댐축조 재료 활용 가능성 평가를 위한 수치 모델링)

  • Suk, Hee-Jun;Seo, Min-Woo;Kim, Hyoung-Soo;Lee, Jeong-Min
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.40 no.2 s.183
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    • pp.209-221
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    • 2007
  • Numerical analysis was performed to investigate the effect of heavy metal contamination on neighboring environment in case a dam is constructed by using rockfill materials contaminated by heavy metals. The numerical simulation carried out in this research includes both subsurface flow and contaminant transport in the inside of the CFRD(Concrete Faced Rockfill Dam), using two commercial programs, SEEP2D and FEMWATER. The three representative cases of scenarios were chosen to consider a variety of cases occurring in a dam site; (1) Scenario 1 : no crack in the concrete face slab, (2) Scenario 2 : a crack In the upper part of face slab, and (3) Scenario 3 : a crack between plinth and face slab in the lower part of face slab. As a result of seepage analysis, the amount of seepage in scenario 2 was calculated as $14.31\sim14.924m^3/day$ per unit width, corresponding to the 1,000 times higher value than that in other scenarios. Also, in the simulation of contaminant transport by using FEMWATER, specified contaminant concentration of 13 ppb in main rockfill zone was set to consider continuous leakage from the rock materials. Through the analysis of contaminant transport, we found that elapsed times to take for the contaminant concentration of about 2 ppb to arrive at the end of a dam are as follows. Scenario 1 has the elapsed time of 55,000 years. In Scenario 2. it is 50 years. Finally, scenario 3 has 27,000 years. The rapid transport of the contaminant in scenario 2 was attributed to greater seepage flow by 500 times than other scenarios. Although, in case of upper crack in the face slab, it was identified that the contaminant might transport to the end of a dam within 100 years with about 2 ppb concentration, however, it happened that the contaminant was hardly transported out of the dam in other scenarios, which correspond to either no crack or a crack between plinth and face slab. In conclusion, the numerical analysis showed that the alternative usage of the contaminated sand and gravel as the dam embankment material can be one of the feasible methods with the assumption that the cracks in a face slab could be controlled adequately.

A Study on Scenario to establish Coastal Inundation Prediction Map due to Storm Surge (폭풍해일에 의한 해안침수예상도 작성 시나리오 연구)

  • Moon, Seung-Rok;Kang, Tae-Soon;Nam, Soo-Yong;Hwang, Joon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.492-501
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    • 2007
  • Coastal disasters have become one of the most important issues in every coastal country. In Korea, coastal disasters such as storm surge, sea level rise and extreme weather have placed many coastal regions in danger of being exposed or damaged during subsequent storms and gradual shoreline retreat. A storm surge is an onshore gush of water associated with a tow pressure weather system, typically in typhoon season. However, it is very difficult to predict storm surge height and inundation due to the irregularity of the course and intensity of a typhoon. To provide a new scheme of typhoon damage prediction model, the scenario which changes the central pressure, the maximum wind radius, the track and the proceeding speed by corresponding previous typhoon database, was composed. The virtual typhoon scenario database was constructed with individual scenario simulation and evaluation, in which it extracted the result from the scenario database of information of the hereafter typhoon and information due to climate change. This virtual typhoon scenario database will apply damage prediction information about a typhoon. This study performed construction and analysis of the simulation system with the storm surge/coastal inundation model at Masan coastal areas, and applied method for predicting using the scenario of the storm surge.

A Study on Security Evaluation for Mobile Web Services Message (모바일 웹서비스 메시지의 보안 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Seoung-Hyeon;Lee, Jae-Seung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2007.06a
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    • pp.765-768
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, the security evaluation method about mobile web services message is suggested in the method for improving the safety an reliability about the mobile web services message. In order that the goal of this paper is accomplished, the security threat and the security vulnerability which can be occurred in the mobile web services message are defined. The evaluation method for performing the security evaluation about the mobile web services message is defined. Also, the requirements for the mobile web services message security evaluation are defined. Finally, the evaluation framework for performing the mobile web services message security evaluation is constituted, and the evaluation scenario example is suggested. By using the mobile web services message security evaluation defined in the paper, before the mobile web services is deployed, the security threats and security vulnerability can be verified. Also, the countermeasure for the security threat and security vulnerability discovered in the verification result can be prepared. Therefore, the sorority and reliability about the mobile web services can be improved.

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