• 제목/요약/키워드: Sampling and analysis error

검색결과 197건 처리시간 0.026초

2008 총선 출구조사의 총조사오차 분석 (A Total Survey Error Analysis of the Exit Polling for General Election 2008 in Korea)

  • 김영원;곽은선
    • 한국조사연구학회지:조사연구
    • /
    • 제11권3호
    • /
    • pp.33-55
    • /
    • 2010
  • 본 논문에서는 2008년 18대 총선의 출구조사 자료를 이용하여 출구조사의 정확성을 평가할 수 있는 총조사오차 개념을 새로 정의하고, 출구조사에서 발생하는 총조사오차가 투표소 추출오차와 투표자 선정 및 응답 과정에서 발생하는 실사오차 중 어떤 것에 더 많은 영향을 받는지 분석했다. 또한 선거구별 무응답률이 총조사오차와 실사오차에 미치는 영향을 분석하였고, 중앙선거관리위원회의 투표율 분석자료를 이용하여 출구조사 표본의 대표성을 검증했다. 분석 결과 선거구 내 표본 투표소 추출 관련 오차보다는 표본투표소 내에서 투표자 선택 및 응답 과정에서 발생하는 오차가 더 컸던 것으로 나타났다. 또한 무응답률과 실사오차는 양의 상관관계를 갖는 것으로 나타났으며, 이는 특정한 지지성향을 갖는 사람들의 응답 거절로 인해 표본의 대표성이 떨어지고, 결과적으로 오차가 커지는 것으로 해석될 수 있다. 아울러 선관위와 출구조사 자료에 대한 카이제곱 검정을 통해 성/연령대별 구성비에 유의한 차이가 있다는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.

  • PDF

교류 전동기 구동용 불연속 PWM 인버터의 전류 샘플링 오차 해석 및 보상 (Analysis and Compensation of Current Sampling Error in Discontinuous PWM Inverter for AC Drive)

  • 송승호;손요찬;설승기
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전기기기및에너지변환시스템부문B
    • /
    • 제48권9호
    • /
    • pp.517-522
    • /
    • 1999
  • This paper addresses the issue of current sampling in a high performance AC drive system fed by a discontinuous PWM inverter. The effect of the sampling error due to the measurement delay produced by an input stage low pass filter and an A/D converter is described in the case of discontinuous PWM. To compensate for the sampling error, a method to estimate the delay time of the whole measurement system based on the measured current is proposed and its effectiveness is verified by experimental results. The proposed algorithm can automatically estimate the system delay introduced by the low pass filter and the A/D converter at the commissioning stage. By delaying the current sampling by the estimated value, experimental results indicate that more than 50% reduction of current ripple can be achieved.

  • PDF

The Effect of Transformer Leakage Inductance on the Steady State Performance of Push-pull based Converter with Continuous Current

  • Chen, Qian;Zheng, Trillion Q.;Li, Yan;Shao, Tiancong
    • Journal of Power Electronics
    • /
    • 제13권3호
    • /
    • pp.349-361
    • /
    • 2013
  • As a result of the advantages such as high efficiency, continuous current and high stability margin, push-pull converter with continuous current (PPCWCC) is competitive for battery discharge regulator (BDR) which plays an important role in power conditioning unit (PCU). Leakage inductance yields current spike in low-ripple current of PPCWCCs. The operating modes are added due to leakage inductance. Therefore the steady state performance is affected, which is embodied in the spike of low-ripple current. PPCWCCs which are suitable for BDR can be separated into three types by current spike characteristics. Three representative topologies IIs1, IIcb2 and Is3 are analyzed in order to investigate the factors on the magnitude and duration of spike. Equivalent current sampling method (ECSM) which eliminates the sampling time delay and achieves excellent dynamic performance is adopted to prevent the spike disturbance on current sampling. However, ECSM reduces the sampling accuracy and telemetry accuracy due to neglecting the spike. In this paper, ECSM used in PPCWCCs is summarized. The current sampling error is analyzed in quality and quantity, which provides the foundation for offsetting and enhancing the telemetry accuracy. Finally, current sampling error rate of three topologies is compared by experiment results, which verify the theoretical analysis.

이중표본에서 모비율의 구간추정 (Interval Estimation of Population Proportion in a Double Sampling Scheme)

  • 이승천;최병수
    • 응용통계연구
    • /
    • 제22권6호
    • /
    • pp.1289-1300
    • /
    • 2009
  • 표본추출 비용의 절감을 위해 흔히 사용되는 이중표본추출방법은 대부분의 표본들이 2종류의 오류에 의해 오염이 되어 있어 통계적 분석이 상대적으로 용이하지 않다. 특히, 비율의 추론을 위한 중요한 분석 도구인 구간추정은 현재까지 우도추정량의 정규근사에 의존하는 Wald 방법만이 알려져 있으나 Wald 신뢰구간은 포함확률의 근사성 등에서 많은 문제가 있다는 것이 여러 연구에서 확인되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 이중표본추출에서 Wald 신뢰구간의 문제점을 파악하고 이에 대한 대안으로 Agresti-Coull 유형의 신뢰구간을 제시한다.

SAMPLING ERROR ANALYSIS FOR SOIL MOISTURE ESTIMATION

  • Kim, Gwang-Seob;Yoo, Chul-sang
    • Water Engineering Research
    • /
    • 제1권3호
    • /
    • pp.209-222
    • /
    • 2000
  • A spectral formalism was applied to quantify the sampling errors due to spatial and/or temporal gaps in soil moisture measurements. The lack of temporal measurements of the two-dimensional soil moisture field makes it difficult to compute the spectra directly from observed records. Therefore, the space-time soil moisture spectra derived by stochastic models of rainfall and soil moisture was used in their record. Parameters for both models were tuned with Southern Great Plains Hydrology Experiment(SGP'97) data and the Oklahoma Mesonet data. The structure of soil moisture data is discrete in space and time. A design filter was developed to compute the sampling errors for discrete measurements in space and time. This filter has the advantage in its general form applicable for all kinds of sampling designs. Sampling errors of the soil moisture estimation during the SGP'97 Hydrology Experiment period were estimated. The sampling errors for various sampling designs such as satedlite over pass and point measurement ground probe were estimated under the climate condition between June and August 1997 and soil properties of the SGP'97 experimental area. The ground truth design was evaluated to 25km and 50km spatial gap and the temporal gap from zero to 5 days.

  • PDF

토양오염도 평가시 시료채취 불확실성 정량화 및 저감방안 (Quantification of Uncertainty Associated with Soil Sampling and Its Reduction Approaches)

  • 김건하
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
    • /
    • 제18권1호
    • /
    • pp.94-101
    • /
    • 2013
  • It is well known that uncertainty associated with soil sampling is bigger than that with analysis. In this research, uncertainties for soil sampling when assessing TPH and BTEX concentration in soils were quantified based on actual field data. It is almost impossible to assess exact contamination of the site regardless how carefully devised for sampling. Uncertainties associated with sample reduction for further chemical analysis were quantified approximately 10 times larger than those associated with core sampling on site. Bigger uncertainties occur when contamination level is low, sample quantity is small, and soil particle is coarse. To minimize the uncertainties on field, homogenization of soil sample is necessary and its procedures are proposed in this research as well.

오류 마루 현상이 완화된 비이진 LDPC 부호의 설계 및 성능 분석 연구 (Design and Performance Analysis of Nonbinary LDPC Codes With Low Error-Floors)

  • 안석기;임승찬;양영오;양경철
    • 한국통신학회논문지
    • /
    • 제38C권10호
    • /
    • pp.852-857
    • /
    • 2013
  • 본 논문은 오류 마루 영역에서 우수한 성능을 가지는 비이진 LDPC (low-density parity-check) 부호의 설계 방법을 제안하고 성능을 검증한다. 제안된 설계 방법은 비이진 LDPC 부호의 이진 최소 거리(binary minimum distance)를 최대화하도록 패리티 검사 행렬의 비이진 원소 값들을 결정한다. BPSK (binary phase-shift keying) 변조 방식 하에서 제안된 방법으로 설계된 비이진 LDPC 부호가 오류 마루(error floor) 영역에서 우수한 성능을 가지는 것을 Monte Carlo 시뮬레이션과 중요도 표본 추출(importance sampling) 기법을 사용하여 검증한다.

시화호.인천연안 환경자료의 오차범위 분석 (Error Bounds Analysis of the Environmental Data in Lake Shihwa and Incheon Coastal Zone)

  • 조홍연
    • Ocean and Polar Research
    • /
    • 제30권2호
    • /
    • pp.149-158
    • /
    • 2008
  • The characteristic analysis of the estimated population parameters, i.e., standard deviation and error bound of coastal pollutant concentrations (hereafter PC, i.e., COD, TN, and TP concentrations), was carried out by using environmental data with different sampling frequency in Lake Shihwa and Incheon coastal zone. The results clearly show that standard deviation of the PC increases as its mean value increases. The error bounds of the annual mean values based on seasonally measured DO concentrations and PC data in Incheon coastal zone were estimated as ranges 2.26 mg/l, $0.68{\sim}0.86\;mg/l$, $0.62{\sim}0.80\;mg/l$, and $0.074{\sim}0.082\;mg/l$, respectively. In terms of annual mean of the DO concentration and PC in Lake Shihwa, the error bounds based on monthly measured data from 1997 to 2003 were also estimated as ranges 4.0 mg/l, 3.0 mg/l, $0.5{\sim}1.0\;mg/l$, and 0.05 mg/l, respectively. The error bound on the basis of real-time monitoring data is $7{\sim}13%$ only as compared to that of monthly measured data.

A new structural reliability analysis method based on PC-Kriging and adaptive sampling region

  • Yu, Zhenliang;Sun, Zhili;Guo, Fanyi;Cao, Runan;Wang, Jian
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
    • /
    • 제82권3호
    • /
    • pp.271-282
    • /
    • 2022
  • The active learning surrogate model based on adaptive sampling strategy is increasingly popular in reliability analysis. However, most of the existing sampling strategies adopt the trial and error method to determine the size of the Monte Carlo (MC) candidate sample pool which satisfies the requirement of variation coefficient of failure probability. It will lead to a reduction in the calculation efficiency of reliability analysis. To avoid this defect, a new method for determining the optimal size of the MC candidate sample pool is proposed, and a new structural reliability analysis method combining polynomial chaos-based Kriging model (PC-Kriging) with adaptive sampling region is also proposed (PCK-ASR). Firstly, based on the lower limit of the confidence interval, a new method for estimating the optimal size of the MC candidate sample pool is proposed. Secondly, based on the upper limit of the confidence interval, an adaptive sampling region strategy similar to the radial centralized sampling method is developed. Then, the k-means++ clustering technique and the learning function LIF are used to complete the adaptive design of experiments (DoE). Finally, the effectiveness and accuracy of the PCK-ASR method are verified by three numerical examples and one practical engineering example.

후보점과 대표점 교차검증에 의한 순차적 실험계획 (Candidate Points and Representative Cross-Validation Approach for Sequential Sampling)

  • 김승원;정재준;이태희
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
    • /
    • 제31권1호
    • /
    • pp.55-61
    • /
    • 2007
  • Recently simulation model becomes an essential tool for analysis and design of a system but it is often expensive and time consuming as it becomes complicate to achieve reliable results. Therefore, high-fidelity simulation model needs to be replaced by an approximate model, the so-called metamodel. Metamodeling techniques include 3 components of sampling, metamodel and validation. Cross-validation approach has been proposed to provide sequnatially new sample point based on cross-validation error but it is very expensive because cross-validation must be evaluated at each stage. To enhance the cross-validation of metamodel, sequential sampling method using candidate points and representative cross-validation is proposed in this paper. The candidate and representative cross-validation approach of sequential sampling is illustrated for two-dimensional domain. To verify the performance of the suggested sampling technique, we compare the accuracy of the metamodels for various mathematical functions with that obtained by conventional sequential sampling strategies such as maximum distance, mean squared error, and maximum entropy sequential samplings. Through this research we team that the proposed approach is computationally inexpensive and provides good prediction performance.