• Title/Summary/Keyword: Runoff analysis

Search Result 1,387, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources: Waimea Plains, New Zealand Case Example

  • Zemansky, Gil;Hong, Yoon-Seeok Timothy;Rose, Jennifer;Song, Sung-Ho;Thomas, Joseph
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2011.05a
    • /
    • pp.18-18
    • /
    • 2011
  • Climate change is impacting and will increasingly impact both the quantity and quality of the world's water resources in a variety of ways. In some areas warming climate results in increased rainfall, surface runoff, and groundwater recharge while in others there may be declines in all of these. Water quality is described by a number of variables. Some are directly impacted by climate change. Temperature is an obvious example. Notably, increased atmospheric concentrations of $CO_2$ triggering climate change increase the $CO_2$ dissolving into water. This has manifold consequences including decreased pH and increased alkalinity, with resultant increases in dissolved concentrations of the minerals in geologic materials contacted by such water. Climate change is also expected to increase the number and intensity of extreme climate events, with related hydrologic changes. A simple framework has been developed in New Zealand for assessing and predicting climate change impacts on water resources. Assessment is largely based on trend analysis of historic data using the non-parametric Mann-Kendall method. Trend analysis requires long-term, regular monitoring data for both climate and hydrologic variables. Data quality is of primary importance and data gaps must be avoided. Quantitative prediction of climate change impacts on the quantity of water resources can be accomplished by computer modelling. This requires the serial coupling of various models. For example, regional downscaling of results from a world-wide general circulation model (GCM) can be used to forecast temperatures and precipitation for various emissions scenarios in specific catchments. Mechanistic or artificial intelligence modelling can then be used with these inputs to simulate climate change impacts over time, such as changes in streamflow, groundwater-surface water interactions, and changes in groundwater levels. The Waimea Plains catchment in New Zealand was selected for a test application of these assessment and prediction methods. This catchment is predicted to undergo relatively minor impacts due to climate change. All available climate and hydrologic databases were obtained and analyzed. These included climate (temperature, precipitation, solar radiation and sunshine hours, evapotranspiration, humidity, and cloud cover) and hydrologic (streamflow and quality and groundwater levels and quality) records. Results varied but there were indications of atmospheric temperature increasing, rainfall decreasing, streamflow decreasing, and groundwater level decreasing trends. Artificial intelligence modelling was applied to predict water usage, rainfall recharge of groundwater, and upstream flow for two regionally downscaled climate change scenarios (A1B and A2). The AI methods used were multi-layer perceptron (MLP) with extended Kalman filtering (EKF), genetic programming (GP), and a dynamic neuro-fuzzy local modelling system (DNFLMS), respectively. These were then used as inputs to a mechanistic groundwater flow-surface water interaction model (MODFLOW). A DNFLMS was also used to simulate downstream flow and groundwater levels for comparison with MODFLOW outputs. MODFLOW and DNFLMS outputs were consistent. They indicated declines in streamflow on the order of 21 to 23% for MODFLOW and DNFLMS (A1B scenario), respectively, and 27% in both cases for the A2 scenario under severe drought conditions by 2058-2059, with little if any change in groundwater levels.

  • PDF

The Soil Loss Analysis using Landcover of WAMIS - for Musimcheon Watershed - (WAMIS 토지피복도를 활용한 토양유실량 분석 - 무심천 유역을 대상으로 -)

  • Kim, Joo-Hun;Lee, Chung-Dae;Kim, Kyung-Tak;Choi, Yun-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
    • /
    • v.10 no.4
    • /
    • pp.122-131
    • /
    • 2007
  • This study estimates how soil loss in a basin has been occurred according to the change of land cover, and analyzes which type of land cover has the largest soil loss by classifying the land-cover type into each area and a whole basin. Musimcheon, the second branch stream of GeumGang, is chosen as a research area. The result of analysis shows that the average soil loss occurs most largely in a crop land and a paddy field. The yearly soil loss of watershed estimates approximately 14,000 ton/yr in case of using 100-year-frequency rainfall data. A forest area, which takes the largest area in watershed, shows the soil loss occurs approximately 1,000ton/yr. A crop field shows that soil loss increased most largely 4,900 ton/yr (34.6%) in 1985 to 8,100 ton/yr (56.1%) in 2000. The change of land cover in a crop land increased 8% to 14%, and this change influences on the increase of soil loss. As a result of analyzing the area over $200ton/km^2/yr$, the soil loss in a crop field accounts for 74% to 96%.

  • PDF

Investigation of the Characteristic Velocity of Geomorphologic Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph (지형형태학적 순간단위도의 특성속도에 대한 고찰)

  • Kim, Sang-Dan;Yu, Cheol-Sang;Yun, Yong-Nam
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.33 no.3
    • /
    • pp.315-330
    • /
    • 2000
  • The GIUH (Geomorphologic Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph) is to be applied to the ungauged or insufficiently gauged basins. For tIris purpose, an accurate estimation of the charactenstlc velocity is one very important part, but any proper method for this has not been developed yet. In case that we have enough rainfall and runoff clata, the estimation of the characteristic velocity may be an easy job, but it is out of the purpose of the GIUH. Remindmg that the purpose of GIUH the characterisbc veloclty should be estimated based on the geomorpholog1c analysis and also be snnple for easy apphcation. In tIris research analysis cmd application of the GruH was given to several sub-basins in Wi-stream river basin, Gono, Donggok and Hyoryung. After deriving the characteristic velocity througn a optimizatlOn process with real data, it is compared w1th several velOCIties der1ved from geOlnoI1Jhoclimatic instantaneous unit hydrograph theory and several other concentration time formulae. The estimated charactenstic velocities using Kerby, Kim, KInematic Wave, and Brasby- Williams formulae found to g1ve the appropriate results. Hmvever, as the Kerby, and the Kinematic Wave require user's decision of the IvIanning's n value, the K1m and the Braby-Williams seem to be more applicable and recommended as characteristic velocity formula.

  • PDF

Study on the influence of sewer network simplification on urban inundation modelling results (하수관망의 간소화가 도시침수 모의에 미치는 영향 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Seung-Soo;Pakdimanivong, Mary;Jung, Kwan-Sue;Kim, Yeonsu
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.51 no.4
    • /
    • pp.347-354
    • /
    • 2018
  • In urban areas, runoff flow is drained through sewer networks as well as surface areas. Therefore, it is very important to consider sewer networks as a component of hydrological drainage processes when conducting urban inundation modelling. However, most researchers who have implemented urban inundation/flood modelling, instinctively simplified the sewer networks without the appropriate criteria. In this research, a 1D-2D fully coupled urban inundation model is applied to estimate the influence of sewer network simplification on urban inundation modelling based on the dendritic network classification. The one-dimensional (1D) sewerage system analysis model, which was introduced by Lee et al. (2017), is used to simulate inlet and overflow phenomena by interacting with surface flow. Two-dimensional (2D) unstructured meshes are also applied to simulate surface flow and are combined with the 1D sewerage analysis model. Sewer network pipes are simplified based on the dendritic network classification method, namely the second and third order, and all cases of pipes are conducted as a control group. Each classified network case, including a control group, is evaluated through their application to the 27 July 2011 extreme rainfall event, which caused severe inundation damages in the Sadang area in Seoul, South Korea. All cases are compared together regarding inundation area, inflow discharge and overflow discharge. Finally, relevant criterion for the simplification method is recommended.

Univariate Analysis of Soil Moisture Time Series for a Hillslope Located in the KoFlux Gwangneung Supersite (광릉수목원 내 산지사면에서의 토양수분 시계열 자료의 단변량 분석)

  • Son, Mi-Na;Kim, Sang-Hyun;Kim, Do-Hoon;Lee, Dong-Ho;Kim, Joon
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
    • /
    • v.9 no.2
    • /
    • pp.88-99
    • /
    • 2007
  • Soil moisture is one of the essential components in determining surface hydrological processes such as infiltration, surface runoff as well as meteorological, ecological and water quality responses at watershed scale. This paper discusses soil moisture transfer processes measured at hillslope scale in the Gwangneung forest catchment to understand and provide the basis of stochastic structures of soil moisture variation. Measured soil moisture series were modelled based upon the developed univariate model platform. The modeling consists of a series of procedures: pre-treatment of data, model structure investigation, selection of candidate models, parameter estimation and diagnostic checking. The spatial distribution of model is associated with topographic characteristics of the hillslope. The upslope area computed by the multiple flow direction algorithm and the local slope are found to be effective parameters to explain the distribution of the model structure. This study enables us to identify the key factors affecting the soil moisture distribution and to ultimately construct a realistic soil moisture map in a complex landscape such as the Gwangneung Supersite.

Predicting Rainfall Infiltration-Groundwater Flow Based on GIS for a Landslide Analysis (산사태해석을 위한 GIS기반의 강우침투-지하수흐름 예측 기법 제안)

  • Kim, Jung-Hwan;Jeong, Sang-Seom;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
    • /
    • v.29 no.7
    • /
    • pp.75-89
    • /
    • 2013
  • This paper describes a GIS-based geohydrologic methodology, called YSGWF (YonSei GroundWater Flow) for predicting the rainfall infiltration-groundwater flow of slopes. This physical-based model was developed by the combination of modified Green-Ampt model that considers the unsaturated soil parameters and GIS-based raster model using Darcy's law that reflects the groundwater flow. In the model, raster data are used to simulate the three dimensional inclination of bedrock surface as actual topographic data, and the groundwater flow is governed by the slope. Also, soil profile is ideally subdivided into three zones, i.e., the wetting band zone, partially saturated zone, and fully saturated zone. In the wetting band and partially saturated zones the vertical infiltration of water (rainfall) from surface into ground is modeled. When the infiltrated water recharges into the fully saturated zone, the horizontal flow of groundwater is introduced. A comparison between the numerical calculation and real landslide data shows a reasonable agreement, which indicate that the model can be used to simulate real rainfall infiltration-groundwater flow.

Analysis of Korea Soil Loss and Hazard Zone (한국토양유실량 및 토양유실위험 지역 분석)

  • Kim, Joo-Hun;Kim, Kyung-Tak;Lee, Hyo-Jeong
    • Spatial Information Research
    • /
    • v.17 no.3
    • /
    • pp.261-268
    • /
    • 2009
  • This study accomplished to draw a soil erosion map and a grade map of soil loss hazard in Korea. RUSLE and Rainfall-runoff (R) factor, which was estimated by using the rainfall data observed in 59 meteorological stations from 1977 to 2006 (for 30 years). FARD was used to analyze the frequency, and the whole country R factor was estimated according to the frequency. In the analysis of estimating the whole country R factor, Nakdong river has the smallest vaule, but Han river has the biggest value. According to the result of analyzing soil loss, soil loss occurred in a grass land, a bare land and a field in size order, and also approximately 17.2 ton/ha soil loss happened on the whole area. The average soil loss amount by the unit area takes place in a bare land and a grass land a lot. The total amount of soil loss in 5-year-frequency rainfall yields 15,000 ton and, what is more, a lot of soil loss happens in a paddy field, a forest and a crop field. The grade map of soil loss hazard is drawn up by classifying soil loss hazard grade by 5. As a result of analyzing soil loss, the moderate area which is the soil loss hazard grade 2 takes up the largest part, 72.8% of the total soil loss hazard area, on the contrary, the severe soil loss hazard area takes up only $1,038km^2$ (1.1%) of the whole area. The severe soil loss hazard area by land cover shows $93.5km^2$ in a bare land, $168.1km^2$ in a grass land and $327.4km^2$ in a crop field respectively.

  • PDF

A modification of SWMM to simulate permeable pavement, and the effect analysis on a release of treated wastewater and the permeable pavement (투수성 포장을 고려한 SWMM의 수정 및 하수처리 재이용수와 투수성 포장의 효과분석)

  • Lee, Jung-Min;Lee, Sang-Ho;Lee, Kil-Seong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.39 no.2 s.163
    • /
    • pp.109-120
    • /
    • 2006
  • Permeable pavement and release of treated wastewater into streams can increase streamflow of urban streams for a dry weather period. A SWMM code was modified to have a permeable pavement option. The modified SWMM was applied to continuous simulations of urban runoff from Hakuicheon watershed and it was used to analyse the effect of a permeable pavement installation and the reuse of treated wastewater. A critical error in the pan coefficient multiplication was also corrected in the modification. The analysis results of the reuse of treated wastewater is as follows: The low flow ($Q_{275}$) increases by 1.63 times as much as the current one and the drought flow ($Q_{355}$) increases by 3.57 times as much as the current one. If the impervious area in the Hakuicheon watershed is replaced with the permeable pavement area by 10 percent, the low flow and the drought flow increases by 3 percent and 17 percent, respectively. The results shows the effectiveness of the release of treated wastewater into stream to increase urban streamflow. The permeable pavement installation also play a minor role in the drought flow increase.

Analysis of Rainfall Effect on the GIUH Characteristic Velocity (GIUH 특성속도에 대한 강우의 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Kee-Wook;Roh, Jung-Hwan;Jeon, Yong-Woon;Yoo, Chul-Sang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.36 no.4
    • /
    • pp.533-545
    • /
    • 2003
  • This study analyzed several storm events observed in the Seolma-chun basin to derive the characteristic velocity of GIUH (Geomophological Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph) as well as its variability. Especially, this study focused on the variation of characteristic velocity due to the change of rainfall characteristics. The IUH of the Seolma-chun basin was derived using the HEC-1, whose peak discharge and time were then compared with those of the GIUH to derive the characteristic velocities. The characteristics velocities were analyzed by comparing with the GcIUH (Geomorphoclimatic IUH) as well as the characteristics of rainfall. Results are summarized as follows. (1) The characteristic velocity of GIUH was estimated higher with higher variability than the GcIUH, but their trends were found similar (2) Total amount of effective rainfall (or, mean effective rainfall) well explains the characteristic velocity of GIUH. This could be assured by the regression analysis, whose coefficient of determination was estimated about 0.6. (3) The duration and the maximum intensity of rainfall were found not to affect significantly on the characteristic velocity of GIUH. The coefficients of determination were estimated less than 0.3 for all cases considered. (4) For the rainfall events used in this study, the characteristic velocities of GIUH were found to follow the Gaussian distribution with its mean and the standard deviation 0.402 m/s and 0.173 m/s, respectively. Most of the values are within the range of 0.4∼0.5 m/s, and its coefficient of variation was estimated to be 0.43, much less than that of the runoff itself (about 1.0).

Assessing the Effect of Upstream Dam Outflows and River Water Uses on the Inflows to the Paldang Dam (상류 댐 방류량 및 하천수 사용량이 팔당댐 유입량에 미치는 영향 평가)

  • Kim, Chul Gyum;Kim, Nam Won;Lee, Jeong Eun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.47 no.11
    • /
    • pp.1017-1026
    • /
    • 2014
  • To investigate the effect of upstream dam operation and river water use on the downstream flows, SWAT-K watershed model was applied to the Paldang Dam watershed of the Han River basin. Analysis results from 2001 to 2009 showed that outflows from the multi-purpose dams such as the Soyanggang Dam and Chungju Dam much have a strong influence on the downstream flows during both the low- and high-flow seasons. This resulted an increase of low-flow at the Paldang Dam, the end of Pukhangang, and the Yangpyeong stage station by $100.57m^3/s$, $33.01m^3/s$, and $49.66m^3/s$, respectively. Whereas, the impact of river water use was hardly found in the Pukhangang, and also was not significant in the (Nam)hangang. Therefore, the effect of small dam such as the Hoengseong Dam or river water use would be able be excluded for long-term runoff analysis. But, in the case of the areas with a large amount of water use, a sufficient information such water-intake and water movement also must be taken into account like this study.