• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rolling Period

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Development and Empirical Validation of an Electric Vehicle Battery Consumption Analysis Model (전기차 배터리 소모량 분석모형 개발 및 실증)

  • In-Seon Suh;Young-Mi Lee;Sang-Yul Oh;Myeong-Chang Gwak;Hyeon-Ji Lee
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.33 no.7
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    • pp.523-532
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    • 2024
  • In popular tourist destinations such as Jeju and Gangwon, electric rental cars are increasingly adopted. However, sudden battery drain due to weather conditions can pose safety issues. To address this, we developed a battery consumption analysis model that considers resistive energy factors such as acceleration, rolling resistance, and aerodynamic drag. Focusing on the effects of ambient temperature and wind speed, the model's performance was evaluated during an empirical validation period from November to December 2023. Comparing predicted and actual state of charge (SoC) across different routes identified ambient temperature, wind speed, and driving time as major sources of error. The mean absolute error (MAE) increased with lower temperatures due to reduced battery efficiency. Higher wind speeds on routes 1 and 6 resulted in larger errors, indicating the model's limitation in considering only tailwinds for aerodynamic drag calculations. Additionally, longer driving times led to higher actual SoC than predicted, suggesting the need to account for varying driver habits influenced by road conditions. Our model, providing more accurate SoC predictions to prevent battery depletion incidents, shows high potential for application in navigation apps for electric vehicle users in tourist areas. Future research should endeavor to the model by including wind direction, HVAC system usage, and braking frequency to improve prediction accuracy further.

Continual Reassessment Method in Phase I Clinical Trials for Leukemia Patients (백혈병환자 대상의 제1상임상시험 연속재평가방법)

  • Lee, Joo-Hyoung;Song, Hae-Hiang
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.581-594
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    • 2011
  • The traditional method of 3+3 standard design and model-based Bayesian continual reassessment method (CRM) are commonly used in Phase I clinical trials to identify the maximal tolerated dose(MTD) of a new drug. In this paper we review clinical examples of Phase I trials that were carried out in patients with refractory or relapsed leukemia and myelodysplastic syndrome. The recently proposed 3+1+1 design and rolling-6 design can shorten the trial duration, when a very slow accrual of patients with a simple 3+3 standard design may result in the untimely termination of trials. Too conservative approaches in determining the dose levels in Phase I clinical trials can leave clinical investigators unable to accurately determine the MTD. When determining future patient doses, the designs that use a time-to-event CRM can cooperate late toxicities by accounting for the proportion of the observation period of each enrolled patient. With the CRM design, simulations under different scenarios during the trial are important in detecting the under- or over-estimation of the initial estimate of the dose-limiting toxicity rate for each dose level. We present the advantages and drawbacks of the designs used in Phase I clinical trials for leukemia patients.

The Analysis and Comparison of the Hedging Effectiveness for Currency Futures Markets : Emerging Currency versus Advanced Currency (통화선물시장의 헤징유효성 비교 : 신흥통화 대 선진통화)

  • Kang, Seok-Kyu
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.155-180
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    • 2009
  • This study is to estimate and compare hedging effectiveness in emerging currency and advanced currency futures markets. Emerging currency futures includes Korea won, Mexico peso, and Brazil real and advanced currency futures is Europe euro, British pound, and Japan yen. Hedging effectiveness is measured by comparing hedging performance of the naive hedge model, OLS model, error correction model and constant condintional correlation bivariate GARCH(1, 1) hedge model based on rolling windows. Analysis data is used daily spot and futures rates from January, 2, 2001 to March. 10, 2006. The empirical results are summarized as follows : First, irrespective of hedging period and model, hedging using Korea won/dollar futures reduces spot rate's volatility risk by 97%. Second, Korea won/dollar futures market produces the best hedging performance in emerging and advanced currency futures markets, i.e. Mexico peso, Brazil real, Europe euro, British pound, and Japan yen. Third, there are no difference of hedging effectiveness among hedging models.

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Analysis of Export Behaviors of Busan, Incheon and Gwangyang Port (부산항, 인천항, 광양항의 수출행태분석)

  • Mo, Soowon;Chung, Hongyoung;Lee, Kwangbae
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.35-46
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    • 2016
  • This study investigates the export behavior of Busan, Gwangyang and Incheon Port. The monthly data cover the period from January 2000 to December 2015. We employ six export functions composed of various exchange rates and industrial production index. This paper finds that the nominal effective exchange rate is more appropriate for explaining the export behaviors of the three ports, regardless of the narrow and wide indices which comprise 26 and 61 economies for the nominal and real indices respectively. This paper tests whether exchange rate and industrial production are stationary or not, rejecting the null hypothesis of a unit root in each of the level variables and of a unit root for the residuals from the cointegration at the 5 percent significance level. The error-correction model is estimated to find that both Gwangyang and Incheon ports are much slower than Busan port in adjusting the short-run disequilibrium and Gwangyang port is a little slower than Incheon port. The rolling regressions show that the influence of exchange rate as well as industrial production tends to decrease in all of three ports. The variance decomposition, however, shows that the export variables are very exogenous and the export of Busan Port is the least exogenous and that of Gwangyang Port the most. This result indicates that the economic variables such as exchange rate and economic activity affect the export of Busan Port more strongly than that of Gwangyang and Incheon Port.

The Effect of Creeping Bentgrass Growth on Greenspeed (그린잔디의 생육이 그린스피드에 미치는 영향)

  • Kwon, Il-Woo;Lee, Dong-Hee;Choi, Byuong-Man;Tae, Hyun-Sook;Shin, Dong-Hyun
    • Asian Journal of Turfgrass Science
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.223-228
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    • 2011
  • This research was performed to investigate change of green speed according to growth of grass, for this, the method of effective green management for improvement of green speed was searched by investigating green density, soil moisture, surface hardness, and mowing height every day for 6 months. As the result of the study, reliability between, green density, soil moisture, surface hardness, mowing height and green speed were measured to be respectively 0.4742, 0.5690, 0.4632, 0.2806, i.e. soil moisture is considered as the factor which affects green speed the most. Therefore, it will be an advantageous environment to maintain soil moisture a little bit low to improve green speed within the range that does not disrupt the growth of green. In case of green density, it is considered to be effective to get a fast green speed when obtaining enough density during May~June, the most vigorous growth period and at the same time green up period. Surface hardness was confirmed that management work as rolling is a considerably effective method to increase hardness. However, rolling gives high stress to the green, combining another management work as regular hilling could be a good alternative. Reliability of green preview and green speed was 0.2806, lower than soil moisture or surface hardness. Through the results, it was confirmed that management of mowing height to be low less than 3.00 mm is helpful to improve green speed, timely, and it is advantageous to manage green speed when adjusting mowing height during the vigorous growth period of bent grass. However, considering the range of mowing height was not various, being 2.9~3.4 mm, henceforth research on investigation of green speed at more various mowing heights would be necessary. Consequently, except mowing height, other three factors, i.e. green density, soil moisture and surface hardness were investigated to have considerable level of reliability on green speed, and it is considered that each factor affects green speed respectively according to green condition and time. Accordingly, in order for the manager to maintain high speed all year round, intensive care for each factor per time unit considering green growth condition is considered to be necessary.

Changes in Circulatory and Respiratory Activities Observed on Men in an Engine Room of a Navy Ship (함정 기관실내 활동의 순환 및 호흡 기능에 대한 영향)

  • Hyun, Kwang-Chul;Nam, Kee-Yong
    • The Korean Journal of Physiology
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.199-213
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    • 1967
  • Circulatory and respiratory activities were observed in men exposed to the environment of engine room of a cruising Republic of Korea Navy ship and compared to the control values obtained in an ordinary laboratory room on land. The environment of an engine room of cruising navy ship was presumed to be a multiple stress acting on men. The environment of the engine room included high temperature $(35-42^{\circ}C)$, low relative humidity (20-38% saturation), vibration (about 7 cycles per second), rolling and pitching of ship and noises. Sixteen men were divided into two groups consisted of each 8 subjects. Subjects of sea duty group had experience of continuous on board duty averaging 3.5 years. Men of land duty group had no experience of on board activity. On land observations were made on one day prior to the boarding and leaving the port and four days after landing. In between observations in the engine room were made on the first, 5 th, 9 th, 12 th, and 14 th day of on board activity. The whole experimental period lasted for 20 days. Measurements on circulatory and respiratory parameters were at standing resting state (after 30 minutes standing in the case of on land study and 15 minutes in engine room study) and within one minute after cessation of on the spot running of which rhythm was 30/min. and lasted for 5 minutes. Oxygen consumption and pulmonary function test were done in the period of two minutes from the 3rd to 5th minutes of running. The following results were obtained. 1. Body temperature showed no change regardless of group difference or on land or on board measurements. 2. Pulse rate increased markedly after boarding the ship id both groups. Pulse rate increased from the first day on board at rest and after exercise as compared to the on land control value. This increase in pulse rate was more marked after exercise. Sea duty group showed less increase in pulse rate at rest than the land duty group. Standing and resting pulse rate of sea duty group on lam was 81 and increased to 87 at the 5th day on board and remained smaller than the land duty group throughout the period on board. Control standing and resting pulse rate of land duty group on land was 76 and reached 89 at the 9th day on board and thereafter decreased a little. Pulse rate of land duty group at rest on board remained greater than that of sea duty group throughout the period on board. 3. Systolic blood pressure of sea duty group increased after boarding the ship and remained higher than the control value on land. In the land duty group, however, systolic blood pressure decreased during the period on board the ship. Diastolic blood pressure decreased in both groups. 4. Resting breathing rate of land duty group increased and remained higher than the control value on land. In sea duty group, however, resting breathing rate showed a transient increase on the 1st day on board and decreased thereafter to the control value on land and kept the same level throughout the period of cruise. Absolute value of breathing rate in the sea duty group was greater than the land duty group both at rest and after exercise. 5. There was a lowering of breathing efficiency in both groups. Thus, increases in tidal volume and minute ventilation volume and decreases in maximum breathing capacity, vital capacity, capacity ratio and air velocity Index were observed after boarding the ship. An increase in ventilation equivalent was also observed in both groups. The lowering of breathing efficiency was more marked in the land duty group than the sea duty group. 6. Energy expediture increased in both groups during their stay on the ship and was more marked in the sea duty group. 7, Lactate concentration in venous blood at rest and after exercise increased after boarding the ship and no group difference was observed.

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Frictional and Fatigue Characteristics of Journal Bearings by Ultrasonic Nanocrystal Surface Modification (UNSM) (초음파나노표면개질기술을 이용한 저널베어링 마찰 및 피로특성 연구)

  • Choi, Gab-Su;Darisuren, Shirmendagva;Lee, Seung-Chul;Kim, Jun-Hyong;Amanov, Auezhan;Pyun, Young-Sik
    • Tribology and Lubricants
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.1-5
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    • 2015
  • In this study, we apply an ultrasonic nanocrystal surface modification (UNSM) technique to radial journal bearings (JBs) and disks made of SUJ2 and SCM440, respectively. We investigate frictional properties of untreated and UNSM-treated specimens using a ball-on-disk tester. We construct the Stribeck curve at the boundary, under mixed and full hydrodynamic lubrication conditions for the specimens using friction data obtained from JB tests. The friction at the boundary lubrication condition and the transition period to mixed lubrication condition on the UNSM-treated specimens is reduced, which improves the service life of JBs. The major effects of this reduction in the three lubrication regimes can be explained in the terms of improved mechanical properties and the presence of micro dimples. Moreover, we estimate the friction and fatigue properties of SCM440 specimens using a ball-on-disk specimen under dry and oil-lubricated conditions. Friction test results reveal that the UNSM-treated specimens show lower friction coefficient than the untreated specimens under both dry and oil-lubricated conditions. We evaluate the fatigue properties of SCM440 specimens by calculating the Hertzian stress with respect to the failure cycles. Fatigue tests results also reveal that the UNSM-treated specimens possess a longer fatigue life than the untreated specimens. The improved properties are effective in increasing the energy efficiency of bearings.

Oxidation and Neutral Electrolytic Pickling Behavior of 304 and 430 Stainless Steels (304 및 430 스테인레스 강판의 산화 및 중성염 전해산세 거동)

  • Kim T. S.;Park Y. T.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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    • 2004.08a
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    • pp.285-293
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    • 2004
  • Oxidation behavior of 304 and 430 stainless steel were studied using thin film X-ray analysis and glow discharge spectrum analysis (here-after GDS). The oxidation layer of 304 stainless steel was composed of $Cr_2O_3\;and\;FeCrO_4$ and its thickness was about $1.5{\mu}m$ after $1\~5$ minutes of annealing at $1120^{\circ}C$ open air. However, the oxidation layer of 430 stainless steels was mainly composed of $Cr_2O_3$ and its typical thickness was 0.5um after $1\~5$ minutes of annealing at $1000^{\circ}C$ open air. Electro-chemical analysis revealed that the descaling of oxidation layer could be activated by Fe, Cr dissolution from the matrix behind the oxidation layer at the current density of $5\~10ASD$ and by Fe, Cr-oxide dissolution from the oxidation layer at the current density over than 10ASD. Electrolytic stripping of 430 and 304 revealed the intial incubation period of descaling by oxygen evolving at low current density range such as $5\~10ASD$. However the dissolution of oxide layer was occurred when applying the anodic current of $10\~20ASD$ on 430 and 304 stainless steels. It was suggested that the electrolytic pickling of high Cr bearing stainless steel such as 430 and 304 seemed to be the more effective in the high current density range such as $10\~20ASD$ than the low current density range such as $5\~10ASD$.

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Bacterial Contamination and Disinfection Status of Laryngoscopes Stored in Emergency Crash Carts

  • Choi, Jae Hyung;Cho, Young Soon;Lee, Jung Won;Shin, Hee Bong;Lee, In Kyung
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.50 no.3
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    • pp.158-164
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    • 2017
  • Objectives: To identify bacterial contamination rates of laryngoscope blades and handles stored in emergency crash carts by hospital and area according to the frequency of intubation attempts. Methods: One hundred forty-eight handles and 71 blades deemed ready for patient use from two tertiary hospitals were sampled with sterile swabs using a standardized rolling technique. Samples were considered negative (not contaminated) if no colonies were present on the blood agar plate after an 18-hour incubation period. Samples were stratified by hospital and according to the frequency of intubation attempts (10 attempts per year) using the ${\chi}^2-test$ and Fisher exact test. Results: One or more species of bacteria were isolated from 4 (5.6%) handle tops, 20 (28.2%) handles with knurled surfaces, and 27 (18.2%) blades. No significant differences were found in microbial contamination levels on the handle tops and blades between the two hospitals and two areas according to the frequency of intubation attempts. However, significant differences were found between the two hospitals and two areas in the level of microbial contamination on the handles with knurled surfaces (p<0.05). Conclusions: Protocols and policies must be reviewed to standardize procedures to clean and disinfect laryngoscope blades and handles; handles should be re-designed to eliminate points of contact with the blade; and single-use, one-piece laryngoscopes should be introduced.

A Study on Michelle Obama's Hair Styles - Focused on Her Period of the First Lady - (미셸 오바마의 헤어스타일 연구 - 퍼스트레이디 기간을 중심으로 -)

  • Jeoung, Sun-Ju
    • Journal of Fashion Business
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.88-99
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    • 2012
  • Recently the hair style of Michelle Obama, the world's most recognized First Lady of the United States has been loved by the public with her optimistic confidence and as a fashion leader. For Michelle Obama's hair styles by length, a medium-short cut style was expressed in various ways to show her strong will by exposing the forehead, an elegant image by asymmetry hair, or a progressive image by a short volume hair cut. A medium cut style expressed an elegant and intelligent image in shoulder-length and a trendy image using a side parting. A updo hair style produced young, womanly, and casual images using twisting, binding, typing up, and rolling technique according to situations. For hair styles associated with her roles, when participating as a diplomatic delegate, she expressed the President's helpful partner by a soft and womanly image using bobbed hair and half updo technique. For the participation in state occasions, her hair styles were examined in three situations. First of all, she mainly had a neat style, exposing her forehead in official schedules as a political partner to create an intelligent and high-class image. Second, she expressed a strong will with a medium-short style during an election campaign. Finally, she showed an elegant and refined hair style in consideration of T.P.O. during social activity. Michelle Obama overcame her hair's handicap, grasped her images associated with hair length, and expressed hair strategically according to her roles as the first African-American First Lady of the United States.