• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk-based assessment

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Establishment of Navigational Risk Assessment Model Combining Dynamic Ship Domain and Collision Judgement Model (선박동적영역과 충돌위험평가식을 결합한 항해위험성평가모델 전개)

  • Kim, Won-Ouk;Kim, Chang-Je
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.36-42
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    • 2018
  • This paper considers the Marine Traffic Risk Assessment for fixed and moving targets, which threaten officers during a voyage. The Collision Risk Assessment Formula was calculated based on a dynamic ship domain considering the length, speed and maneuvering capability of a vessel. In particular, the Navigation Risk Assessment Model that is used to quantitatively index the effect of a ship's size, speed, etc. has been reviewed and improved using a hybrid combination of a vessel's dynamic area and the Collision Risk Assessment Formula. Accordingly, a new type of Marine Traffic Risk Assessment Model has been suggested giving consideration to the Speed Length Ratio, which was not sufficiently reflected in the existing Risk Assessment Model. The larger the Speed Length Ratio (dimensionless speed), the higher the CJ value. That is, the CJ value is presented well by the Speed Length Ratio. When the Speed Length Ratio is large, states ranging from [Caution], [Warning], [Dangerous] or [Very Dangerous] are presented from a greater distance than when the Speed Length Ratio is small. The results of this study, can be used for route and port development, including dangerous route avoidance, optimum route planning, breakwater width, bridge span, etc. as well as the development of costal navigation safety charts. This research is also applicable for the selection of optimum ship routing and the prevention of collisions for smart ships such as autonomous vessels.

The Application of Safety Impact Assessment to Tunnel Construction (터널공사에서의 안전영향평가의 적용)

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Choi, Bong-Joon;Seo, Jong-Won
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02a
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    • pp.545-548
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    • 2008
  • In this study, the concept of safety impact assessment to achieve 'Design-for-Safety' in design phase is introduced. For this purpose, safety impact assessment model was devised and a methodology using the risk-based safety impact assessment approach for NATM of tunnel projects is suggested. The suggested methodology includes safety information survey, classification of safety impact factors caused by design and construction, and quantitative estimation of magnitude and frequency of safety impact factors. A real-world case study on the safety impact assessment of a tunnel construction project is also provided in the paper.

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Probabilistic Risk Evaluation Method for Human-induced Disaster by Risk Curve Analysis (확률.통계적 리스크분석을 활용한 인적재난 위험평가 기법 제안)

  • Park, So-Soon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.57-68
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    • 2009
  • Recently, damage scale of human-induced disaster is sharply increased but its occurrences and damages are so uncertain that it is hard to construct a resonable response & mitigation plan for infrastructures. Therefore, the needs for a advanced risk management technique based on a probabilistic and stochastic risk evaluation theory is increased. In this study, these evaluation methods were investigated and a advanced disaster risk evaluation method, which is based on the probabilistic or stochastic risk assessment theory and also is a quantitative evaluation technique, was suggested. With this method, the safety changes as the result of fire damage management for recent 40 years was analyzed. And the result was compared with that of Japan. Through the consilience of the traditional risk assessment method and this method, a stochastical estimation technique for the uncertainty of future disaster's damage could support a cost-effective information for a resonable decision making on disaster mitigation.

The Study of Risk Acceptance Criteria for Railway System (철도시스템의 위험도 허용 기준 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Young-Sang;Maeng, Hee-Young;Wang, Jong-Bae
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2008.06a
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    • pp.796-805
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    • 2008
  • Safety Management of Korean railway industry has been rapidly changed into a risk-based approach adopted by developed countries since Railway Safety Act 2004, Rolling Stock Risk Assessment Guidance and its following regulations came into force. The fundamental requirements for the risk-based safety management is to carry out a systematic hazard identification and quantified risk analyses including cost-benefit analyses, but there has been rare a serious discussion over risk acceptance criteria and value of life in order to be able to judge the results of risk analyses and carry out cost-benefit analyses. This study presents the results of a review of risk acceptance criteria and value of life which may be adoped to Korean railway industry through the analyses with comparison of risk accepatnce principles and risk accepatnce criteria which have been already applied to other countries or other railway operators.

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Numerical simulation of turbulent flow around a building complex for development of risk assessment technique for windstorm hazards (강풍피해 위험성 평가를 위한 건물군 주위 유동해석)

  • Choi, Choon-Bum;Yang, Kyung-Soo;Lee, Sung-Su;Ham, Hee-Jung
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2007.05b
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    • pp.2737-2742
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    • 2007
  • Strong wind flow around a building complex was numerically studied by LES. The original motivation of this work stemmed from the efforts to develop a risk assessment technique for windstorm hazards. Lagrangian-averaged scale-invariant dynamic subgrid-scale model was used for turbulence modeling, and a log-law-based wall model was employed on all the solid surfaces including the ground and the surface of buildings to replace the no-slip condition. The shape of buildings was implemented on the Cartesian grid system by an immersed boundary method. Key flow quantities for the risk assessment such as mean and RMS values of pressure on the surface of the selected buildings are presented. In addition, characteristics of the velocity field at some selected locations vital to safety of human beings is also reported.

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A study on the risk assessment based on the semi-quantitative methodology (준 정량적 방법의 위험성 평가에 대한 연구)

  • Jung, Da-Woon;Oh, Sang-Min;Yoo, Deung-Ryeol;Seo, Jung-Wook;Kim, Du-Ill
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.1425-1432
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    • 2011
  • The various risk assessment methodologies have been introduced in the railway industries. The risk assessment suggested by CENELEC are described with two ways; quantitative and qualitative methods. However, in the industry application level, the quantitative method is hard to apply for a project because of somehow complicated or few statistical figures which was driven from the on-site and the qualitative method is too subject to have the confidence of its results fully. In this paper, the state-of-the-art methods which were suggested in Europe recently are introduced and compared to existing quantitative and qualitative methods. Furthermore, the application measures of railway projects are investigated.

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The Study on RVSM Safety Assessment of Incheon FIR (인천 비행정보구역의 RVSM 안전성 평가 연구)

  • Shin, Dae-Won;Kim, Seung-Kyem
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.49-54
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of RVSM is to reduce vertical separation minima for aircrafts which operate between FL290- FL410 inclusive in regional airspace, and to increase airspace capacity by providing additional flight levels. In order to introduce RVSM, it is necessary to estimate quantitatively airborne collision risk due to the reduction in vertical separation minimum. In this study, the basic concept of RVSM safety assessment and Reich collision risk model are introduced and mid-air collision risk in Incheon FIR is estimated based on ICAO RVSM safety assessment technique and Reich Model.

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Probabilistic Risk Assessment System Model and Methods for Construction Projects (건설공사의 확률적 위험도분석 시스템 모형 및 해석방법)

  • 조효남;최현호;김윤배
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 1999.04a
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    • pp.3-10
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    • 1999
  • This paper presents probabilistic risk assessment system model and methods for general construction projects and demonstrates the applicability of the approach to a specific subway construction project. The proposed system model entitled Integrated Risk Assessment System(IRAS) for construction projects is composed of four steps, which is newly reorganized and improved in order to be easily adjusted for a systematic PRA of construction projects. Based on the proposed model, and integrated prototype software is then developing for computer-aided PRA of construction projects under the environment of the graphic-user interface, which will be successfully applied to construction projects.

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Analysis of Damage Range and Impact of On-Site Hydrogen Fueling Station Using Quantitative Risk Assessment Program (Hy-KoRAM) (정량적 위험성평가 프로그램(Hy-KoRAM)을 이용한 제조식 수소충전소 피해범위 및 영향 분석)

  • KIM, HYELIM;KANG, SEUNGKYU
    • Transactions of the Korean hydrogen and new energy society
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.459-466
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    • 2020
  • As the hydrogen industry grows, expansion of infrastructure for hydrogen supply is required, but the safety of hydrogen facilities is concerned due to the recent accidents at the Gangneung hydrogen tank and the Norwegian hydrogen fueling station. In this study, the damage range and impact analysis on the on-site hydrogen fueling station was conducted using Hy-KoRAM. This is a domestically developed program that adds functions based on HyRAM. Through this risk assessment, it was evaluated whether the on-site hydrogen fueling station meets international standards and suggested ways to improve safety.

EFFORTS TO PROGRESS IN THE HARMONIZATION OF L2 PSA DEVELOPMENT AND THEIR APPLICATIONS IN EUROPE - STATUS OF ACTIVITIES AND PERSPECTIVES AFTER THE FUKUSHIMA ACCIDENT

  • Raimond, E.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.44 no.5
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    • pp.453-458
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    • 2012
  • A major issue for all nuclear stakeholders is to keep the probability of circumstances that could lead to core damage as low as possible. In addition, for NPP, appropriate accident management provisions are to be implemented to limit the consequences associated with an accident. Development and application of L2 PSA is a structured way to demonstrate that such objectives are achieved. The paper presents the efforts recently done in Europe to harmonize some best-practices in that field, from research area to risk assessment. The Fukushima Daiichi accident reiterated the importance of these activities and the need to efficiently reinforce the NPP safety based on risk assessment conclusions. New perspectives in Europe are briefly presented.