• 제목/요약/키워드: Risk-Based Design

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A case study on the optimal tunnel design based on risk analysis (위험도 분석에 근거한 최적 터널설계 사례)

  • You, Kwang-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.379-387
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    • 2010
  • In this study, a case study was introduced for the design of a twin tunnel along high speed national highway Route 12 from Damyang to Sungsan. It was related to determine the optimal tunnel support pattern and excavation method based on a risk analysis in order to incorporate the uncertainty of ground properties. To this end, three alternatives with different amounts of support and excavation method were selected and risk analysis was performed by applying Monte Carlo simulation technique, respectively. Stability of the tunnel was quantified by the factor of safety. To improve the result, the 729 cases of the combination of ground properties (deformation modulus, cohesion, and internal friction angle) satisfying a Gaussian distribution were generated and applied. Also, stability of the tunnel was confirmed by analyzing the distribution of both displacement and shotcrete bending stress.

A GIS-based Traffic Accident Analysis on Highways using Alignment Related Risk Indices (고속도로 선형조건과 GIS 기반 교통사고 위험도지수 분석 (호남.영동.중부고속도로를 중심으로))

  • 강승림;박창호
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.21-40
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    • 2003
  • A traffic accident analysis method was developed and tested based on the highway alignment risk indices using geographic information systems(GIS). Impacts of the highway alignment on traffic accidents have been identified by examining accidents occurred on different alignment conditions and by investigating traffic accident risk indices(TARI). Evaluative criteria are suggested using geometric design elements as an independent variable. Traffic accident rates were forecasted more realistically and objectively by considering the interaction between highway alignment factors and the design consistency. And traffic accident risk indices and risk ratings were suggested based on model estimation results and accident data. Finally, forecasting traffic accident rates, evaluating the level of risk and then visualizing information graphically were combined into one system called risk assessment system by means of GIS. This risk assessment system is expected to play a major role in designing four-lane highways and developing remedies for highway sections susceptible to traffic accidents.

Empirical Risk Assessment in Major Graphical Design Software Systems

  • Joh, HyunChul;Lee, JooYoung
    • Journal of Multimedia Information System
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.259-266
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    • 2021
  • Security vulnerabilities have been reported in major design software systems such as Adobe Photoshop and Illustrator, which are recognized as de facto standard design tools in most of the design industries. Companies need to evaluate and manage their risk levels posed by those vulnerabilities, so that they could mitigate the potential security bridges in advance. In general, security vulnerabilities are discovered throughout their life cycles repeatedly if software systems are continually used. Hence, in this study, we empirically analyze risk levels for the three major graphical design software systems, namely Photoshop, Illustrator and GIMP with respect to a software vulnerability discovery model. The analysis reveals that the Alhazmi-Malaiya Logistic model tends to describe the vulnerability discovery patterns significantly. This indicates that the vulnerability discovery model makes it possible to predict vulnerability discovery in advance for the software systems. Also, we found that none of the examined vulnerabilities requires even a single authentication step for successful attacks, which suggests that adding an authentication process in software systems dramatically reduce the probability of exploitations. The analysis also discloses that, for all the three software systems, the predictions with evenly distributed and daily based datasets perform better than the estimations with the datasets of vulnerability reporting dates only. The observed outcome from the analysis allows software development managers to prepare proactively for a hostile environment by deploying necessary resources before the expected time of vulnerability discovery. In addition, it can periodically remind designers who use the software systems to be aware of security risk, related to their digital work environments.

Effect of Perceived Risk and Psychological Distance on Gift Purchase

  • KIM, Dong-Tae
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.99-106
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to investigate the influence of perceived risk and psychological distance on purchase intention when purchasing a gift. It focuses on social distances and temporal distances, and aims to identify the interactions between these psychological distances and perceived risk. Data were collected through experiments. Research design, data and methodology: The experiment was carried out through the design of 2 (perceived risk: high/low) × 2 (social distance: far / near) × 2 (temporal distance: far / near) between-subjects design. Participants were 241 undergraduates from two universities in Chungnam and Gangwon, and randomly assigned to one of eight groups. Results: It was confirmed that there is a difference in purchase intention according to the risk perceived by consumers when purchasing a gift. In particular, the difference in purchase intention based on the risk perceived by the buyer was found to be greater as the social distance between the gift giver and the recipient is shorter. In addition, it was confirmed that the intention to purchase a gift was simultaneously influenced by three factors: social distance, perceived risk, and time remaining to purchase a gift. In other words, when both temporal distance and social distance were short, the difference in purchase intention according to perceived risk was greatest. Conclusions: The purpose of this study was to examine how the relationship between perceived risk and purchase intention when purchasing a gift varies with psychological distance. This study found that the closer the relationship between the gift purchaser and the beneficiary and the shorter the time remaining before the gift purchase, the greater the difference in the willingness to purchase due to the perceptual risk. In practice, the results of this study can be used to establish sales promotion strategies for various gift products. Above all, the closer the relationship between the gift buyer and the person receiving the gift, the more differentially there should be a guarantee program that can reduce or eliminate the risk perceived by the buyer. There is also a need to use step-by-step product recommendation programs that can reduce perceptual risk depending on the time remaining until a particular season, such as graduation or Christmas.

GMP Calculation Process in CM at Risk for Public Construction Project (공공 건설사업 CM at Risk 적용시 GMP 산출 프로세스)

  • Kim, Gun-Sung;Jin, Zheng-Xun;Hyun, Chang-Taek
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.48-49
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    • 2020
  • Recently the diversification of construction market and the continuous reduction of construction amount are raising the need of alternative delivery method in the construction industry. The foreign advanced companies actively adopted the CM at Risk delivery method where they perform the service of agent CM in the design phase, and agree GMP(Guaranteed Maximum Price) with the client at the time of 50~80% completion of design. Even in Korea they began to apply that method to pilot projects. In CM at Risk, through the early participation of builder, the level of design completion can be improved and the change order and construction period delay can be minimized. On the other hand, GMP is usually calculated when the design is about 80% complete, so there is uncertainty in the construction cost. Therefore, in this research, the increased amounts of construction cost are analyzed in a number of public construction projects, and GMP calculation process is proposed using the analysis results and CBR(Case-Based Reasoning) technique to reduce the construction cost increase in the construction phase.

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Project Performance Comparison Based on Different Types of Project Delivery System (사례연구 분석을 통한 발주방식별 성과비교)

  • Lee, Soo-Kyong;Jung, Young-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.207-209
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    • 2011
  • Numerous reports show that alternative project delivery systems (PDSs) such as design-build (DB), construction management at risk (CMR), and design-build-maintain (DBM) are increasingly used in many countries. This study compared characteristics of each PDS (design-bid-build (DBB), DB, CMR, or DBM) by analyzing quantitative data from 9 research articles. In order to compare characteristics between DBB and alternative PDSs, the study is based on principal 3 factors - Time, Cost, and Quality. DB shows the best performance in the time part and also the cost performance depending on facility type and project size. The performance of quality has minor difference among different PDSs. These results support the fact that using an appropriate PDS by the characteristic of a project makes high value of efficiency and productivity.

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Distribution and Application of Community-based Disaster Risk Information : Lessons from Shiga Prefecture in Japan

  • Choi, Choongik;Choi, Junho
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - This paper aims to explore the distribution and application of community-based disaster risk information and employ a case study as a qualitative research method to make some implications and suggestions for disaster management in the future. Research design, data, and methodology - This research has basically adopted an idiographic approaches to examine the basic policy of integrated flood risk management of Shiga prefecture in Japan. The methodology is based on a retrospective analysis, which starts from critical events and traces backwards processes to find out what goes well or wrong. Results - The results of this paper support that the multiple stakeholders in a community have to share and distribute disaster risk information in the proper time. The distribution and application of community-based disaster risk information cannot be overemphasized in that the local communities are culturally rich in traditional flood management knowledge, have voluntary organizations and have enjoyed mutual support and human network to cope with floods. Conclusions - The study results also imply that local residents of the community will be abe to have an important role in coping with natural disasters, which involves more proactive actions than passive actions for the enhancement of disaster management.

Probability-Based Estimates of Basic Design wind Speeds in Korea (확률에 기초한 한국의 기본 설계풍속 추정)

  • 조효남;차철준;백현식
    • Computational Structural Engineering
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.62-72
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    • 1989
  • This study presents rational methods for probability-based estimates of basic design wind speeds in Korea and proposes a risk-based nation-wide map of design wind speeds. The paper examines the fittings of the extreme Type I mode to largest yearly non-typhoon wind data from long-term records, and to largest monthly non-typhoon wind data from short-term records. For the estimation of the extreme typhoon wins speed distribution, an indirect analytical method based on a Monte-Carlo simulation is applied to typhoon-prone regions. The basic desig wind speeds for typhoon and non-typhoon winds at the sites of concern are made to be obtained from the mixed model given as a product of the two distributions. The results of this study show that the proposed models and methods provide a practicable tool for the development of the risk-based basic design wind speed and the design wind map from short-term station records currently available in Korea.

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Regional Seismic Risk Assessment for Structural Damage to Buildings in Korea (국내 건축물 지진피해 위험도의 지역단위 평가)

  • Ahn, Sook-Jin;Park, Ji-Hun;Kim, Hye-Won
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.265-273
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    • 2023
  • This study proposes a methodology for the regional seismic risk assessment of structural damage to buildings in Korea based on evaluating individual buildings, considering inconsistency between the administrative district border and grid lines to define seismic hazard. The accuracy of seismic hazards was enhanced by subdividing the current 2km-sized grids into ones with a smaller size. Considering the enhancement of the Korean seismic design code in 2005, existing seismic fragility functions for seismically designed buildings are revised by modifying the capacity spectrum according to the changes in seismic design load. A seismic risk index in building damage is defined using the total damaged floor area considering building size differences. The proposed seismic risk index was calculated for buildings in 29 administrative districts in 'A' city in Korea to validate the proposed assessment algorithm and risk index. In the validation procedure, sensitivity analysis was performed on the grid size, quantitative building damage measure, and seismic fragility function update.

On Enhancing Test and Evaluation Process of Weapon Systems Development using DSM-Based Risk and Safety Management (DSM기법에 의한 위험 및 안전 관리를 통해 무기체계 시험평가 프로세스의 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Sim, Sang Hyun;Lee, Jae-Chon
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.89-96
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    • 2015
  • The weapon systems development has some distinct characteristics in that a big size of government budget (derived from national tax) has been expended frequently and the completion of the development projects seems to take long. Thus, the impact of the potential changes in the required operational capability on the development activities can induce some type of project risks. As such, proper management of project risk has been one of crucial subjects in the weapon systems development. Although a variety of methods can be considered, an approach based on the test and evaluation (T&E) process has been selected in this paper in order to appropriately handle those potential risks. In the study of the underlying T&E process, the safety consideration (for instance, explosiveness) of weapon systems is also included. To achieve the objective of the paper, a step-by-step procedure is first presented in the analysis of the T&E process. Then, to pursue some enhancement on the process, a set of necessary and useful activities are added in terms of risk and safety management. The resultant process is further analyzed and tailored based on a design structure matrix method. The case study of a tank development is also discussed.