• 제목/요약/키워드: Risk-Averse

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혁신 서비스 이용 결정이 위험회피 성향 소비자의 선택에 미치는 영향 (The effect of the decision to use innovative services on the choice of consumers with a risk-averse tendency)

  • 박기경
    • 서비스연구
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.146-160
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    • 2023
  • 코로나 19로 인하여 비대면 서비스가 확산되면서 소비자의 구매행동에는 많은 변화가 일어나고, 여러 새로운 서비스도 주목받고 있다. 이렇게 갑작스레 변화된 환경으로 새로운 서비스를 경험하는 시도가 소비자의 기존 선택 행동의 형태를 변화시킬 수도 있을까? 특히 변화를 두려워하고 기존의 선택 경향을 고수하려는 소비자의 행동까지도 변화시킬 수 있다면 혁신 서비스 개발은 예상보다 더 많은 잠재 소비자를 획득할 수 있게 될 것이다. 이에 본 연구는 팬데믹 이후 나타난 언택트 서비스 중 하나인 무인 결제 서비스를 대상으로 혁신 서비스 이용 시도가 위험회피 성향을 가진 소비자의 기존 선택 행동에 변화, 즉 안전대안보다 위험대안을 선호할 가능성을 높이는지 살펴보고자 하였다. 탐색조사 결과에 따르면, 평소 위험회피 성향이 강할수록 혁신 서비스 사용에 대한 자기효능감은 낮아지는 부(-)의 관계가 나타났다. 이러한 조사 결과를 바탕으로 연구는 실험법을 사용하여 혁신 서비스 이용 여부와 소비자의 조절초점 간 상호작용과 심리적 기제를 함께 살펴보고자 하였다. 분석 결과에 따르면, 예방초점 소비자는 무인 결제 서비스 이용을 시도하는 조건에서 이용하지 않은 조건에 비하여 고위험 금융상품과 비유사 확장 브랜드에 대한 높은 선택가능성을 보였다. 이에 반하여 향상초점 소비자는 무인 결제 서비스 이용 시도 여부에 따른 차별된 선택 가능성을 보이지 않았다. 나아가 예방초점 소비자에게 나타난 이러한 선택 변화는 혁신 서비스에 대한 자기효능감이 심리적 기제로 작동하고 있음이 확인되었다. 본 연구는 새로운 행동을 시도하는데 주저함이 많다고 알려진 위험회피 성향의 소비자의 행동 변화 조건을 밝혀 혁신 서비스의 잠재적 소비자층을 발견하고, 관련 시장의 확장 가능성을 보여주었다는 점에서 실무 및 학문적 시사점을 제안하였다.

전자무역 활성화를 위한 글로벌 전자무역거래법의 요건과 역할기능의 이론적 기초 (Some Theoretical Foundations on the Necessities and Functions of Global Electronic Transactions Act)

  • 김기선
    • 무역상무연구
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    • 제17권
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    • pp.129-146
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    • 2002
  • The electronic technology development have occurred in the face of existing legal barriers to legal efficacy of computer information goods, and the liberating promise of electronic transactions cannot fully realized unless there is predictability in the legal rules that govern such transactions. This study analyzes some theoretical fundamentals of the Act. First, it proposes that the Act clarify and set forth uniform legal principles applicable to computer information transactions. Secondly, it suggests that if the individual is risk averse, the acceptance set for electronic transactions will be a convex set, and that the application of the Act will make the acceptance set more expanded by lowering the probability of conflicts and by downsizing the risk averness. Thirdly, it also suggest that through the mothod of contingent commodities analysis, the application of the Act by means of its restricted regulations will give more expected utility than the absence of the Act. Fourthly, it derives some implications that the degree of legitimate restriction will be affected by the objective risk inherent to the electronic transactions, and the individual's subjective risk-averseness. Finally, it concludes that harmonization of restriction and protection of individual's rights in electronic transaction process will be a necessary condition for more efficient body of law from the law-economic perspectives.

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The Impact of An Interaction between Product Quality and Perceived Risk on Seller Profit

  • Seung HUH
    • 융합경영연구
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.23-32
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: This study examines the effect of full information disclosure on seller profit when there exists information asymmetry between sellers and buyers, focusing on the risk averseness of buyers. By investigating the interaction between product quality and perceived risk through online sales data, we attempt to figure out the incentive structure of full information disclosure specifically when buyers are risk-averse, so that we can suggest more feasible information disclosure strategy to sellers. Research design, data and methodology: Our empirical model analyzes the sales data of collectible goods from a major online seller using Poisson regression. In our model, we have specifically considered risk-averseness of buyers by estimating the interaction effect between the product quality and perceived risk on seller profit, aiming for a more precise empirical analysis on sellers' incentive structure of full disclosure. Results: Our empirical analysis strongly supports the effect of interaction between product quality and perceived risk, showing that the incentive for full disclosure is much stronger when product quality is higher, and vice versa. Therefore, sellers are strongly encouraged to voluntarily reveal product weaknesses when their product quality is higher than average, while it is more profitable to hide any product defects when quality claim is lower than average. Conclusions: This study supports the related literature by confirming economic incentives for full disclosure, and also supplements and strengthens previous studies by presenting that the effect of interaction between product quality and perceived risk strongly affects seller profit. Our unique finding supports both mandatory disclosure and voluntary disclosure arguments and presents practical implications to marketing managers by suggesting that seller's incentive for revealing weaknesses depends on the level of seller's product quality.

수명분포가 Phase-Type인 수리불가능한 제품의 보증정책 (Warranty Policies for Non-Repairable Products with Phase-type Lifetime Distributions)

  • 김호균
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 1996
  • Ritchken(1985) analyzes free replacement and pro-rata warranty policies for products receiving renewable warranies. He shows that for constant failure rates pro-rata warranty policies are more attractive to risk-averse manufacturers than shorter term free replacement policies that result in the same average warranty cost. This paper considers the case when product lifetimes distributions are of phase-type. When this is so, Ritchken's performance measures can be simplified considerably. It is found, that irrespective of the pattern of failure rates, pro-rata warranty policies are preferable to free replacement policies. But the warranty period of the equivalent free replacement policy decreases and then increases, as product reliability(the average time between failures) increases.

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Human Behavior in Newsvendor Decisions: A Comparative Study with Experimental Results

  • Kwak, Jin Kyung
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.19-24
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    • 2015
  • As decision makers do not make optimal decisions in practice despite the existence of optimal solutions in many models, there has been a rising interest in behavioral operations management recently. In this study, we aim for a comparative study to analyze the inventory decisions in Korea, America, and China, by conducting the same newsvendor experiment in Korea and compare the results with those of previous studies. From the comparative analysis, some national characteristics in decision-making processes have been observed but there is lowly significant difference in order quantities among the three groups. Korean students show lower level of understanding in demand distributions and tendencies of anchoring on the mean demand and being risk-averse. The finding that individuals make their own decisions differently based on their different behaviors suggests that we need to consider individual approach in analyzing human decision-making processes rather than adapting aggregate approach.

위식도역류질환과 인후두역류질환의 약물 요법에 대한 최신지견 (Update on Medical Treatment of GERD/LPR)

  • 김미나;김주성
    • 대한기관식도과학회지
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.97-104
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    • 2010
  • Gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) is a common disorder caused by the reflux of gastric contents into the esophagus. According to the recent classification, GERD can elicit esophageal and extraesophageal syndromes. Laryngopharyngeal reflux (LPR) is defined as laryngeal symptoms with laryngeal inflammation caused by the acid reflux. The prevalence of GERD and LPR is increasing during the past decades in Korea and management of GERD and LPR is a challenging issue in clinical practice. Proton pump inhibitor is the most effective drug in the treatment of GERD. Most patients with LPR are given a 2-month trial of a proton pump inhibitor (PPI), however, there is still little evidence on the diagnosis or the treatment of LPR. During the last years concern have been raised regarding the risk of averse events related to long-term use of PPI. We review the recent update on medical treatment of GERD/LPR.

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ROBUST OPTIMAL PROPORTIONAL REINSURANCE AND INVESTMENT STRATEGY FOR AN INSURER WITH ORNSTEIN-UHLENBECK PROCESS

  • Ma, Jianjing;Wang, Guojing;Xing, Yongsheng
    • 대한수학회보
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    • 제56권6호
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    • pp.1467-1483
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    • 2019
  • This paper analyzes a robust optimal reinsurance and investment strategy for an Ambiguity-Averse Insurer (AAI), who worries about model misspecification and insists on seeking robust optimal strategies. The AAI's surplus process is assumed to follow a jump-diffusion model, and he is allowed to purchase proportional reinsurance or acquire new business, meanwhile invest his surplus in a risk-free asset and a risky-asset, whose price is described by an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. Under the criterion for maximizing the expected exponential utility of terminal wealth, robust optimal strategy and value function are derived by applying the stochastic dynamic programming approach. Serval numerical examples are given to illustrate the impact of model parameters on the robust optimal strategies and the loss utility function from ignoring the model uncertainty.

Application of the Fuzzy Method to Improve GIS Geomorphological Method of Predicting Flood Vulnerable Area

  • Kim Su Jeong;Yom Jae-Hong;Lee Dong-Cheon
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2004년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2004
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    • pp.264-267
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    • 2004
  • In identifying flood vulnerable areas, three methods are generally deployed: the geomorphology method which is based on topographic features; the past evidence method based on observed data of past actual floods; and, prediction of flood areas through hydrologic models. This study aims to improve the prediction model of the geomorphology method through the application of fuzzy method in GIS modeling. The generally used GIS method of superimposing thematic map layers assumes crisp boundaries of the layers, which results in either risk-averse solutions or risk-taking solutions. The introduction of fuzzy concepts to processing of evaluation criteria (DEM, slope, aspect) solves this problem. As the result of applying the fuzzy method to a test site in the west Nak-Dong river, similar flood vulnerable areas were predicted as when using the conventional Boolean criteria. The resulting map, however, showed varying degree of uncertainty of flooding in these areas. This extra information is deemed to be valuable in taking phased actions during flood response, leading to a more effective and timely decision-making.

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The Relationship Between CEO Characteristics and Leverage: The Role of Independent Commissioners

  • NILMAWATI, Nilmawati;UNTORO, Wisnu;HADINUGROHO, Bambang;ATMAJI, Atmaji
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.787-796
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    • 2021
  • This study investigates the effect of chief executive officers (CEO) demographic characteristics such as age, functional experience, education, and gender, on corporate leverage decisions. This study investigates the independent commissioner's role in moderating the relationship between CEO demographic characteristics and leverage decisions. The data used is panel data with a sample of 283 non-financial companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI) from 2010-2017. Moderated regression analysis is used as an analytical technique, with the selected model fixed effects model. The results showed that male and young CEOs were more risk-averse, so they tended to use debt more. However, this study found no evidence of the effect of CEO experience and education on leverage. This study finds evidence that independent commissioners reduce the influence of CEO age and gender on leverage decisions. It shows the role of independent commissioners in controlling risk-taking from male and young CEOs related to leverage decisions. These results become input for companies to consider demographic characteristics in choosing a CEO. Also, companies need a board (in this study seen from independent commissioners) that is strong enough to control the CEO regarding risky decision making, such as leverage decisions.

Contagion in Global Bond Markets

  • Sang-Kuck CHUNG;Vasila Shukhratovna ABDULLAEVA;Sun-Jae MOON
    • 융합경영연구
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.27-36
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: The paper analyzes for detecting unexpected shocks such as global financial crisis and COVID-19 pandemic, and contagion between countries by capturing in the mean-shift, variance-covariance-shift, and skewness-coskewness-shift parameters of interest rates. Research design, data and methodology: A flexible multivariate model of interest rates is provided by allowing for regime switching and a joint skewed normal distribution. The model is applying to the structural breaks of crisis and contagion between the US and the selected global bond markets during the global financial crisis and COVID-19 pandemic, respectively. Inspection of the moment statistics weakly suggests a flight to safety to the US during the global financial crisis and to Canada during the COVID-19 pandemic. Results: The results indicate that risk averse investors had a higher risk appetite for the US and Canada assets during the crisis regimes, compared to their counterparts. Conclusions: The results show that coskewness contagion dominates correlation contagion, and coskewness contagion is significant for the Korea and Japan-US pairs for the global financial crisis and the Euro-US pair for the COVID-19 pandemic. All channels of structural breaks of crisis and contagion are significant when considered jointly, reinforcing the need to consider contagion and structural breaks during crises in a multivariate setting.