• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk simulation

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Project Scheduling Technique for New Product Development (신제품 개발 프로젝트 일정관리기법)

  • Ahn Tae-Ho
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.14
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    • pp.67-77
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    • 2004
  • Although project management for new product development is a very important issue, only a few approach from project scheduling has been made. The traditional project scheduling research has focused on the project network with certainty, but the new product development project has some uncertainties in network; Some activities may not need to be peformed, and/or some precedent relationships between activities may not need to be kept. In this paper, a simulation model is introduced in order to reflect uncertainties in project network for new product development. This simulation model can be used as a project scheduling technique for product development. By repeating the simulation, the degree of the risk and the feasibility of the project can be assessed.

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The Development of Launch Vehicle Simulator Using an Object-orinted Design (객체지향 설계론을 이용한 발사체 시뮬레이터 개발)

  • Choi Won;Chung Hae uk;Seo Jin-Ho;Hong Il-Hee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.106-111
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    • 2005
  • LCC(Launch Control Center) in NARO Space Center perform a data monitoring and control through the interface to the external system of launch vehicle. Launch Control function needs a high reliability and processing speed. Hence, LCC's remote control system configure a real time system. An important role of the Simulation system is discovering a risk element and minimize it When developing a launch control system. Also, secure a development technique to solve the risks. Launch Vehicle simulator is composed of various component at characteristic of the Launch Vehicle. To be like this each function component the developer will be able to develop easily in order, it using the LabVIEW which is a Graphical Program and it programs, The LabVIEW GOOP(Graphical Object-orinted Programming) which supports an Object-orinted programming it uses with the Component it develops will have a strong point which reusability and a unit test, maintenance, size of program and individual developments.

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Ship Collision Avoidance System Considering Ship' Maneuverability

  • Lee, Seung-Keon;Surendran, S.;Im, Nam-Kyun;Hwang, Sung-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • v.1
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    • pp.95-100
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    • 2006
  • A ship collision avoidance system is developed to control the avoidance action of ship actually and properly in wind forces. The 4-DOF maneuvering equations of motion ar derived to catty out the simulation of the motion of a ship, and the wind forces are considered as the external forces in the simulation. This study suggests a new avoidance system that could include the ship's maneuvering characteristics.

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Extension of Rating Curve for High Water Level using Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS를 이용한 고수위 수위-유량관계곡선의 연장에 관한 연구)

  • Moon, Young-Il;Kim, Jong-Suk;Yoon, Sun-Kwon
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02a
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    • pp.683-686
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    • 2008
  • Flood damage has been increased due to the abnormal climate and extreme rainfall. So, quantitative and qualitative hydrologic data should be improved in oder to enhance accuracy of hydrologic forecast. However, research regarding hydrologic data have not been thorough enough. Therefore, in this study, monte carlo simulation was applied to rainfall runoff model to improve the reliability of runoff analysis and risk analysis. Rainfall-Stage-Discharge curve was developed as a consequence of MCS and it is possible to get correct rating curve for high water level.

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Simulation-Based Assessment of Seismic Slope Stability (시뮬레이션 기법을 이용한 지진 시 사면안정 해석)

  • 김진만
    • Proceedings of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2003.03a
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    • pp.157-164
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    • 2003
  • A simulation-based approach that can be used to systematically model the uncertainties of seismic loading and geotechnical property is presented in the context of reliability analysis of slope stability. The uncertainty of seismic loading is studied by generating a large series of hazard-compatible artificial motions, and by using them in subsequent response analyses. The stochastic nature of spatially varying material properties and also the uncertainty arising from insufficient information are treated in the framework of random fields. The simulation-based analyses indicate that in a seismically less active region, a moderate variability in soil properties has a relatively large effect as much as characterization of earthquake hazard on the computed risk of slope failure and excessive slope deformations.

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Prediction of Airflow and Temperature Field in a Room With Convective Heat Source (열원이 존재하는 작업장내 기류 및 온도장 예측)

  • Jung, Yu-Jin;Ha, Hyun-Chul;Kim, Tae-Hyeung;Yoo, Guen-Jong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Occupational and Environmental Hygiene
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.78-84
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    • 2001
  • A CFD simulation of airflow and temperature field in a heated room has been described in this paper. The thermal wall jet created by a radiator greatly influences the airflow pattern, temperature distribution. The area close La a heat source has a higher risk of air-borne contamination and imposes a harmful effect on occupants in that area. The predicted flow field, temperature results show good agreement with the measured data. As the results were compared with experimental data, the applicability of CFD was satisfactorily verified. Also, the CFD simulation can capture the natural convective flow features. If a CFD simulation is applied ventilation design with a heat source, An effective design will be attained. Further study is required to improve the accuracy of CFD simulation.

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An Analytical Study on the Prediction of Indoor Air Quality and the Reduction of Air Conditioning Load in Bio Safety Level 3 Laboratory (생물안전 3등급시설의 공기환경 예측 및 공조부하 절감에 대한 해석)

  • Hong, Jin Kwan;Park, Hyun Jin
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.24 no.11
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    • pp.813-822
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    • 2012
  • In this study, the multizone simulation for biosafety of BSL3 lab. and energy simulation are carried out simultaneously by using linked model of CONTAM and TRNSYS. In BSL3 lab., annual energy consumption is approximately five to ten times more than the magnitude of the office building. This is because required air change rate is extremely large and it is difficult to maintain room pressure difference efficiently. To maintain pressure difference between laboratory rooms through sealing condition of doors and proper airflow control is significant. In this study, to predict indoor environment of the BSL3 lab.(Influenza A research lab.), the multizone simulation for four kinds of biohazard scenario is also performed as part of risk assessment. Multizone and energy simulation results by using linked model show that these approaches are used as a tool for the energy efficient design and operation method for the safer BSL3 lab. facilities.

Probabilistic multi-objective optimization of a corrugated-core sandwich structure

  • Khalkhali, Abolfazl;Sarmadi, Morteza;Khakshournia, Sharif;Jafari, Nariman
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.709-726
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    • 2016
  • Corrugated-core sandwich panels are prevalent for many applications in industries. The researches performed with the aim of optimization of such structures in the literature have considered a deterministic approach. However, it is believed that deterministic optimum points may lead to high-risk designs instead of optimum ones. In this paper, an effort has been made to provide a reliable and robust design of corrugated-core sandwich structures through stochastic and probabilistic multi-objective optimization approach. The optimization is performed using a coupling between genetic algorithm (GA), Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) and finite element method (FEM). To this aim, Prob. Design module in ANSYS is employed and using a coupling between optimization codes in MATLAB and ANSYS, a connection has been made between numerical results and optimization process. Results in both cases of deterministic and probabilistic multi-objective optimizations are illustrated and compared together to gain a better understanding of the best sandwich panel design by taking into account reliability and robustness. Comparison of results with a similar deterministic optimization study demonstrated better reliability and robustness of optimum point of this study.

A Design Procedure for Safety Simulation System Using Virtual Reality

  • Jae-seug Ki
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 1999.11a
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    • pp.381-389
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    • 1999
  • One of the objectives of any task design is to provide a safe and helpful workplace for the employees. The safety and health module may include means for confronting the design with safety and health regulations and standards as well as tools for obstacles and collisions detection (such as error models and simulators). Virtual Reality is a leading edge technology which has only very recently become available on platforms and at prices accessible to the majority of simulation engineers. The design of an automated manufacturing system is a complicated, multidisciplinary task that requires involvement of several specialists. In this paper, a design procedure that facilitates the safety and ergonomic considerations of an automated manufacturing system are described. The procedure consists of the following major steps: Data collection and analysis of the data, creation of a three-dimensional simulation model of the work environment, simulation for safety analysis and risk assessment, development of safety solutions, selection of the preferred solutions, implementation of the selected solutions, reporting, and training When improving the safety of an existing system the three-dimensional simulation model helps the designer to perceive the work from operators point of view objectively and safely without the exposure to hazards of the actual system.

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A Study for Optimal Evacuation Simulation by Artificial Intelligence Evacuation Guidance Application (인공지능 피난유도설비 적용에 따른 최적 대피시뮬레이션 연구)

  • Jang, Jae-Soon;Kong, Il-Chean;Rie, Dong-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.118-122
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    • 2013
  • For safe evacuation in the fire disaster, the evacuees must find the exit and evacuate quickly. Especially, if the evacuees don't know the location of the exit, they have to depend on the evacuation guidance system. Because the more smoke spread, the less visibility is decreasing, it is difficult to find the way to the exit by the naked eye. For theses reasons, the evacuation guidance system is highly important. However, the evacuation guidance system without change of direction has the risk that introduce to the dangerous area. In the evacuation safety assessment scenario by the evacuation simulation has the same problem. Because the evacuee in the simulation evacuate by the shortest route to the exit, the simulation result is same like the evacuation without the evacuation guidance system. In this study, it was used with MAS (Multi Agent System)-based simulation program including the evacuation guidance system to implement the change of evacuation by fire. Using this method, confidence of evacuation safety assessment can be increase.