• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk scenario

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Assessment of Safety Management Cost with Accident Scenarios at Gas Governor Station (가스공급기지에서 사고 시나리오에 따른 안전관리비 평가)

  • Kim Tae-Ok;Jang Seo-Il;Kim So-Mi
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.8 no.3 s.24
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    • pp.37-42
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    • 2004
  • This study established a catastrophic scenario and a likely scenario by qualitative and quantitative risk assessments to consider climate condition with season, and assessed efficiency of safety management cost with scenarios by cost-benefit analysis. As results, the catastrophic scenario was the maintenance error for unsteady state operation, and the likely scenario was the gas release accident at node $\sharp$4 of HAZOP Also, benefit/cost ratios for total safety management cost and effective items of safety management could be assessed at each scenario.

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Study on the Scenario Earthquake Determining Methods Based on the Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (확률론적 지진재해도를 이용한 시나리오 지진의 결정기법에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, In-Kil;Nakajima, Masato;Choun, Young-Sun;Yun, Kwan-Hee
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.8 no.6 s.40
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    • pp.23-29
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    • 2004
  • The design earthquake used for the seismic analysis and design of NPP (Nuclear Power Plant) is determined by the deterministic or probabilistic methods. The probabilistic seismic hazard analysis(PSHA) for the nuclear power plant sites was performed for the probabilistic seismic risk assessment. The probabilistic seismic hazard analysis for the nuclear power plant site had been completed as a part of the probabilistic seismic risk assessment. The probabilistic method become a resonable method to determine the design earthquakes for NPPs. In this study, the defining method of the probability based scenario earthquake was established, and as a sample calculation, the probability based scenario earthquakes were estimated by the de-aggregation of the probabilistic seismic hazard. By using this method, it is possible to define the probability based scenario earthquakes for the seismic design and seismic safety evaluation of structures. It is necessary to develop the rational seismic source map and the attenuation equations for the development of reasonable scenario earthquakes.

A Study on a Scenario-based Information Leakage Risk Response Model Associated with the PC Event Detection Function and Security Control Procedures (PC 이벤트 탐지 기능과 보안 통제 절차를 연계시킨 시나리오 기반 금융정보유출 위험 대응 모델에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Ig Jun;Youm, Heung Youl
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.137-152
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    • 2018
  • It is a measure to overcome limitations that occur in the activity of detecting and blocking abnormal information leakage activity by collecting the activity log generated by the security solution to detect the leakage of existing financial information and analyzing it by pattern analysis. First, it monitors real-time execution programs in PC that are used as information leakage path (read from the outside, save to the outside, transfer to the outside, etc.) in the PC. Second, it determines whether it is a normal controlled exception control circumvention by interacting with the related security control process at the time the program is executed. Finally, we propose a risk management model that can control the risk of financial information leakage through the process procedure created on the basis of scenario.

A Study on the Quantitative Risk Assessment of Mobile Hydrogen Refueling Station (이동식수소스테이션 정량적 위험성평가에 관한 연구)

  • KIM, DONG-HWAN;LEE, SU-MIN;JOE, CHOONG-HEE;KANG, SEUNG KYU;HUH, YUN-SIL
    • Journal of Hydrogen and New Energy
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.605-613
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    • 2020
  • In July and October of this year, the government announced the 'Green new deal plan within the Korean new deal policy' and 'Strategies for proliferation of future vehicles and market preoccupation'. And, in response to changes in the global climate agreement, it has decided to expand green mobility such as electric vehicles and hydrogen electric vehicles with the aim of a "net-zero" society. Accordingly, the goal is to build 310 hydrogen refueling stations along with the supply of 60,000 hydrogen vehicles in 2022, and the hydrogen infrastructure is being expanded. however, it is difficult to secure hydrogen infrastructure due to expensive construction costs and difficulty the selection of a site. In Korea, it is possible to build a mobile hydrogen station according to the safety standards covering special case of the Ministry of Industry. Since the mobile hydrogen station can be charged while moving between authorized place, it has the advantage of being able to meet a large number of demands with only one hydrogen refueling station, so it is proposed as a model suitable for the early market of hydrogen infrastructure. This study demonstrates the establishment of a hydrogen refueling station by deriving a virtual accident scenario for leakage and catastrupture for each facility for the risk factors in a mobile hydrogen station, and performing a quantitative risk assessment through the derived scenario. Through the virtual accident scenario, direction of demonstration and implications for the construction of a mobile hydrogen refueling station were derived.

A Study on the Risk Assessment for Works on/near Operating Line (열차운행선 지장공사에 대한 위험도 평가 연구)

  • Jung, Do-Hyun;Wang, Jong-Bae;Lee, Su-Ryong
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2008.11b
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    • pp.1515-1524
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    • 2008
  • In this study, railway accidents from constructing or maintaining works on/near operating line were reviewed during 2005-2007 years. Causes and hazards analysis of these accidents was performed to make an accident scenario for risk assessments. And the risk of worker casualty on/near operating line was quantitatively assessed. Also a constitution method of Risk Matrix for manage tolerable risk level was proposed.

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A Study on Risk Assessment in Transporting Hazardous Material (위험물질 수송 시 위험성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Ryu Byung Tae;Ko Jae Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.6 no.4 s.18
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    • pp.53-58
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    • 2002
  • In this research, the goal is to ascertain the potential danger when transporting hazardous material by considering the important elements that contribute to such situation, instead of relying on the quantitative risk assessment of fixed facilities. Also, this study will verify the social and personal risk according to damage zone limits, by applying the worst case scenario and the alternative scenario that occur during the transportation process. Moreover, it has selected the optimum transportation route for maximum safety. The result of this research could be used to construct a systematic emergency system that can minimize the damage from serious industrial accidents, by effectively decreasing the danger zone and forming a connection between the community, the society, and the industries according to such evaluations.

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A Study on the Achievement of Required Safety Integrity Level to Reduce Risk for SMR On-Site Hydrogen Refueling Stations (개질형 On-Site 수소충전소의 리스크 감소를 위해 요구되는 SIL 등급 달성 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jin Ho;Lim, Jae-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2020
  • In recent years, hydrogen has received much attention as an alternative energy source to fossil fuels. In order to ensure safety from the increasing number of hydrogen refueling stations, prevention methods have been required. In this regard, this study suggested an approach to reduce the risk of hydrogen refueling station by increasing Safety Integrity Level (SIL) for a Steam Methane Reformer (SMR) in On-Site Hydrogen Refueling Station. The worst scenario in the SMR was selected by HAZOP and the required SIL for the worst scenario was identified by LOPA. To verify the required SIL, the PFDavg.(1/RRF) of Safety Instrumented System (SIS) in SMR was calculated by using realistic failure rate data of SIS. Next, several conditions were tested by varying the sensor redundancy and proof test interval reduction and their effects on risk reduction factor were investigated. Consequently, an improved condition, which were the redundancy of two-out-of-three and the proof test interval of twelve months, achieved the tolerable risk resulting in the magnitude of risk reduction factor ten times greater than that of the baseline condition.

Assessment on Damage Risk of Corn for High Temperature at Reproductive Stage in Summer Season Based on Climate Scenario RCP 8.5 and 4.5

  • Seo, Myung-Chul;Cho, Hyeon-Suk;Kim, Jun-Hwan;Sang, Wan-Gyu;Shin, Pyeong;Lee, Geon Hwi
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.50 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2017
  • In order to assess risk of high temperature damages about corn during reproduction stages in the future, we carried out analysis of climate change scenarios RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) 4.5 and RCP8.5 distributed by KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration) in 2012. We established two indexes such as average of annual risk days of high temperature damage which express frequency and strengthen index of high temperature damage. As results of producing maps for 157 cities and counties about average of annual risk days of high temperature damage during total periods of scenarios, the risk of high temperature in RCP8.5 was evaluated to increase at all over nation except inland area of Gangwon province, while RCP4.5 showed similar to present, or little higher. The maps of annual risk days of high temperature damage with 10 years interval in RCP8.5 prospected that the risk for damaging corn growth would increase rapidly from 2030's. The largest risk of high temperature damage in the future of RCP8.5 was analyzed at Changnyeong county located east-south inland area in Kyeongnam province, while the smallest of risk counties were Pyeongchang, Taebaek, Inje, and Jeongseon. The prospect at 12 counties which is large to produce corn at present and contains large plains have been showed that there will be only a little increase of risk of high temperature at Goesan, Yangpyeong, Hongcheon, Seosan, and Mooju until 2060's. But considering strengthen index of high temperature damage, most regions analyzed would be prospected to increase rapidly after 2030's. To cope with high temperature damage of corn in the future, we should develop various practical technologies including breeding adapted varieties and controlling cultivation periods.

Introduction of the STPA Mechanism to Derivation of Risk Scenarios for Establishment of Disaster Reduction Activity Plans (재해경감활동계획 수립에 위험 시나리오 도출을 위한 STPA기법 도입)

  • Kim, Sang Duk;Lee, Seok Hyung;Kim, Chang Soo
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.784-795
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: This study intends to review the risk assessment procedures specified in the corporate disaster management standard. Method: The requirements for each stage of risk assessment stipulated in the corporate disaster management standard were identified, the case of application of the organization'A' and the partner companies were reviewed, and the risk assessment procedure in line with the requirements was reviewed. Result: It was reviewed that it was necessary to clearly define the method and procedure for deriving risk scenarios, which are the requirements of the corporate disaster management standard, and to introduce a standardized procedure for deriving risk scenarios. Conclusion: A method of deriving risk scenarios was implemented by applying the STPA technique based on the system theory for power generation fuel supply and demand, and it was suggested that the STPA technique be reflected in corporate disaster management standards as a risk scenario derivation technique for the establishment of a disaster reduction activity plan.