• 제목/요약/키워드: Risk point

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A Risk Point Measuring Model for Improvement of the Information System Reliability (정보시스템 신뢰성 향상을 위한 위험점수 측정모델 연구)

  • Cho Doo Ho;Seo Jang Hoon
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.47-61
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    • 2005
  • Many researchers have proved that risk measurement of information systems is a very effective tool for improving confidence of information systems. However, information system risk in Korea still includes many subjective judgements. This study deals with applying a quantitative model to improve risk measurement of information system quality. First of all, we have come up with solutions to improve the evaluation efficiency on risk measurement. We have merged the risk guidelines of COBIT and CMM, and developed a quantified evaluation scheme that call by risk point. We have proved the validity of this model by interviews with experts and by case studies.

Study on Foreign Exchange Risk Insurance, Risk Premium Hedge Ratio in WTO/OECD (WTO/OECD하에서 환변동보험의 헤지 성과분석연구)

  • Lee, Eun-Jae;Oh, Tae-Hyung
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.151-160
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the risk premium hedge ratio in foreign exchange risk of the foreign exchange rate insurance. The applicants of exchange rate insurance and Korea Export Insurance Corporation will be facing the risk in change of currency and guaranteed currency’s swap point upon contract being made. Also upon making decision of hedging exchange rate insurance, the company will need to be aware of the risk causing due to change in swap point.

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Evaluation of the Validity of a Simple Screening Test Developed for Identifying Korean Elderly at Risk of Undernutrition (우리 나라 노인의 영양부족위험 진단을 위해 개발된 간이조사표의 타당성 평가)

  • 이정원;김경은;김기남;현태선;현화진;박영숙
    • Journal of Nutrition and Health
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    • v.33 no.8
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    • pp.864-872
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    • 2000
  • This study intended to evaluate the validity of the simple nutrition screening test that had been developed with the elderly living in Cheongju as a subject. Nutrition screening score(NSS) and reference standards for nutritional and health status(nutrient intakes, mean adequacy ratio, perceive health, and serum albumin, hematocrit, and hemoglobin) were estimated by using the date obtained in 1996 from the 174 elderly living in Taejon, Statistical analysis showed significant correlations between mean adequacy ratio(MAR) and NSS(r=0.341) and also between NSS and biological indices such as albumin and hematocrit, Around 65-75% of the elderly with perceive health and low level of serum albumin, hemoglobin and hematocrit had NSS$\leq$ll. Sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive values(PPV) were calculated from the crosstabulation of the three categories of NSS(high, moderate, and low nutritional risk) and low categories MAR(< 0.75, undernutrition;$\geq$0.75, normal) to validate the cut-off point for high or low nutritional risk by NSS. It was suggested that point l1 was appropriate as a criterion to determine high risk of undernutrition, but point 16 was better than 17 as criterion to determine low nutritional risk in the Taejon elderly. When point ll was used as a criterion of high nutritional risk, sensitivity, specificity, and PPV are 59.5, 60.5 and 82.1 respectively. When point 16 was used as a criterion of low nutritional risk, sensitivity, specificity, and PPV are 25.6, 95.4, and 64.7%, respectively. In conclusion, nutrition screening test that had been developed can be a simple, easy, and proper instrument to classify the high risk group of undernutrition. A further validation study seems to be required among other groups of individuals for the screening test to the finalized as a more valid instrument identifying Korean elderly at nutrition and health risk(Korean J Nutrition 33(8) : 864-872, 2000)

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Minimum risk point estimation of two-stage procedure for mean

  • Choi, Ki-Heon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.887-894
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    • 2009
  • The two-stage minimum risk point estimation of mean, the probability of success in a sequence of Bernoulli trials, is considered for the case where loss is taken to be symmetrized relative squared error of estimation, plus a fixed cost per observation. First order asymptotic expansions are obtained for large sample properties of two-stage procedure. Monte Carlo simulation is carried out to obtain the expected sample size that minimizes the risk and to examine its finite sample behavior.

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Development of a Delirium Occurrence Screening Model for Patients in Medical Intensive Care Units (내과계 중환자 섬망발생 선별모형 개발)

  • Lee, Hyun Sim;Kim, So Sun
    • Journal of Korean Clinical Nursing Research
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.357-368
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to investigate risk factors related to delirium and to develop screening model on delirium occurrence in MICU (Medical Intensive Care Unit) patients. Methods: For developing a preliminary tool for delirium, the data of 166 patients were collected and analyzed. In order to estimate the accuracy and discriminating power for the developed screening model, 98 patients were enrolled. The data used in this study were collected by EMR (Electronic Medical Record) review from January to September in 2012. The collected data were analyzed using SPSS/PC Win 18.0 program. Results: Screening model on delirium in MICU patients was developed using the results of logistic regression. The total score of screening model was 24 point and measuring point was 10 point. When the measuring point is over 10 point, it means that the risk of delirium occurrence is high. The discriminating power and the validity of screening model showed AUC .908 (p <.001) and .935 (p <.001) respectively. This result showed that the screening model on delirium which developed in this study was an appropriate model for screening the delirium risk group in MICU. The sensitivity of the screening model was 83%, specificity 89% and accuracy 84%. Conclusion: The developed screening model on delirium occurrence in MICU should be combined with EMR for screening and preventing delirium in a high risk group.

FUKUSHIMA DAI-ICHI ACCIDENT: LESSONS LEARNED AND FUTURE ACTIONS FROM THE RISK PERSPECTIVES

  • Yang, Joon-Eon
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.27-38
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    • 2014
  • The Fukushima Dai-Ichi accident in 2011 has affected various aspects of the nuclear society worldwide. The accident revealed some problems in the conventional approaches used to ensure the safety of nuclear installations. To prevent such disastrous accidents in the future, we have to learn from them and improve the conventional approaches in a more systematic manner. In this paper, we will cover three issues. The first is to identify the key issues that affected the progress of the Fukushima Dai-Ichi accident greatly. We examine the accident from a defense-in-depth point of view to identify such issues. The second is to develop a more systematic approach to enhance the safety of nuclear installations. We reexamine nuclear safety from a risk point of view. We use the concepts of residual and unknown risks in classifying the risk space. All possible accident scenarios types are reviewed to clarify the characteristics of the identified issues. An approach is proposed to improve our conventional approaches used to ensure nuclear safety including the design of safety features and the safety assessments from a risk point of view. Finally, we address some issues to be improved in the conventional risk assessment and management framework and/or practices to enhance nuclear safety.

Study for VTS Operating Using Bumper Contact point by Bumper Thery (범퍼이론을 사용한 선박접근 인식을 이용한 선박관제기법 연구)

  • Gang, Sang geun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2019.11a
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    • pp.26-27
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    • 2019
  • This study is to calculate the Real-Time contact point of ellipses between the vessels ships by Ship's Bumper Theory. The Real-Time contact point of ship's bumper ellipses can be used the important tool to feel the perceived risk evaluation of ship's collision risk by VTS operator. In this paper, The warning information to feel the risk of collision between the vessels in advance is able to help them for VTS operation, We will study the technique to certify the perceived risk of collision from several different angles by programming.

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A Study on Disaster Risk Assessment in the Urban Open Spaces (도시 녹지 공간의 재해 위험도 평가 연구)

  • Yu, Joo-Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.13-27
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    • 2015
  • This study examined disaster risk from climate change in urban open spaces. This study conducted an assessment depending on type of damage and type of open space, subcategorizing it into flood damage and wind damage, flat park and mountainous park, and classified the assessment items by type into natural factor, artificial factor, and social factor for the purpose of analysis. Our major findings from this study are as follows: To look at the standardized score for the disaster risk from flood damages in the case of a flat park, Asian Park was higher at 55.800 point than Seoul Forest at 51.775 point, and in the case of mountainous parks, Dogok Park was at 58.428 point and Baebongsan Park was at 58.374 point. To look at the standardized score for disaster risk from wind damage, in the case of a flat park, Asian Park was higher at 64.763 point than Seoul Forest at 61.054 point, and in the case of mountainous parks, Baebongsan Park was higher at 58.533 point than Dogok Park at 55.459 point. This study raised a question about the necessity for and value of this disaster risk assessment in open space from damages caused by climate change, established an assessment model for disaster risk from damages in open spaces only to attempt risk assessment. Disaster risk of urban green space was enhanced.

Some Properties of Sequential Point Estimation of the Mean

  • Choi, Ki-Heon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.657-663
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    • 2005
  • Under the minimum risk point estimation formulation of Robbins(1959), we consider the sequential point estimation problem for normal population $N({\theta},\;{\theta})$ with unknown parameter ${\theta}$. In the case of completely unknown ${\theta}$, Stein's(1945) two-stage procedure is known to enjoy the consistency property, but it is not even first-order efficient. In the case when ${\theta}>{\theta}_L\;where\;{\theta}_L(>0)$ is known, the revised two-stage procedure is shown to enjoy all the usual second-order properties.

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Measurement and Analysis of Risk Voltages in a Grounding System (접지계에서 위험전압의 측정과 분석)

  • Jin, Chang-Hwan;Park, Dae-Won;Seo, Jae-Seok;Kil, Gyung-Suk;Gil, Hyeong-Jun
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2011.10a
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    • pp.3099-3103
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    • 2011
  • In measurement of risk voltages; the step and touch voltage, the distance between the current electrode and the ground electrode recedes up to several hundred meters as the scale of grounding system increases. This paper dealt with the measurement method of risk voltage in a restricted space. The risk voltage was analyzed depending on the distance and the direction of the current electrode from the ground electrode in a $10[m]{\times}10[m]$ mesh grounding system. The average value of risk voltages measured at a point 20 [m] away from the current electrode was deviated below 5 [%] from that measured at 100 [m] point. Consequently, the evaluation of risk voltage of a large-scale grounding system buried in a spatially restricted place is available if the current electrode is installed in symmetry to the ground electrode.

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