• 제목/요약/키워드: Risk of Failure

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홍수 시 콘크리트 중력식댐의 위험도 분석을 위한 파괴확률 산정 (Failure Probability Assessment for Risk Analysis of Concrete Gravity Dam under Flood)

  • 조수진;신성우;심성한;임정열
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제31권6호
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    • pp.58-66
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    • 2016
  • This study aims to estimate the failure probability of concrete gravity dams for their risk analysis under flood situation. To the end, failure modes of concrete gravity dams and their limit state functions are proposed based on numerous review of domestic and international literatures on the dam failure cases and design standards. Three failure modes are proposed: overturning, sliding, and overstress. Based on the failure modes the limit state functions, the failure probability is assessed for a weir section and a non-weir section of a dam in Korea. As water level is rising from operational condition to extreme flood condition, the failure probability is found to be raised up to the warning condition, especially for overturning mode at the non-weir section. The result can be used to reduce the risk of the dam by random environmental variables under possible flood situation.

여유고만으로 추정된 국내 재해위험 저수지의 지진시 파괴확률 (Seismic Failure Probability of the Korean Disaster Risk Fill Dams Estimated by Considering Freeboard Only)

  • 하익수;이수권;임정열;정영훈
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제36권3호
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    • pp.451-461
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구의 목적은 소규모 필댐의 지진시 파괴확률을 산정하는 방법과 절차를 예시하고, 지반공학적 정보가 부족한 국내 재해위험 저수지의 지진시 파괴확률을 추정하는 것이다. 이를 위하여, 국내 재해위험 저수지로 지정된 저수지 중 지반공학적인 정보를 얻을 수 있는 7개 저수지에 대해 사건수 분석 기법을 적용하여 지진에 대한 파괴확률을 평가하였으며, 그 방법 및 절차를 예시하였다. 안전진단보고서를 확보한 84개 재해위험 저수지의 댐높이와 여유고와의 관계를 검토하였고, 미공병단 평가도구로 이용되는 파괴확률 산정식을 이러한 댐높이와 여유고와의 관계에 연관시켰다. 이러한 연관관계로부터, 지진시 파괴확률이 '0'이 되는 댐높이-여유고 임계곡선을 도출하였고, 이러한 임계곡선과 7개 저수지에 대해 산정한 지진시 파괴확률로부터 물성확보가 어려운 국내 재해위험 저수지의 개략적인 지진에 대한 파괴확률을 추정하였다.

D대학 수변전설비의 고장모드 영향 분석 (Failure Modes and Effects Analysis for Electric Power Installations of D University)

  • 박영호;김두현
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제31권5호
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    • pp.7-15
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this paper is to carry out Failure Modes and Effects Analysis (FMEA) and use criticality in order to determine risk priority number of the components of electric power installations in Engineering college building of D university. In risk priority number, GROUP A had 7 failure modes; more specifically, Transfomer had 4 modes, Filter(C)(1 mode), LA(1 mode), and CB(MCCB)(1 mode), and thus 4 components had failure modes. In terms of criticality, high-grade group a total of 16 failure modes, and 7 components-LA(1 mode), CB(MCCB)(1 mode), MOF(2 modes), PT(1 mode), Transformer(7 modes), Cable(3 modes), and Filter(C)(1 mode)-had failure modes. Comparison of risk priority number and criticality was made. The components which had high risk priority number and high criticality were Transformer, Filter(C), LA, and CB(MCCB). The components which had high criticality were MOF and cable. In particular, Transformer(RPN: 4 modes, Criticality: 7 modes) was chosen as an intensive management component.

Development of Risk Rating and Index for Coastal Activity Locations

  • Lee, Young-Jai;Jung, Cho-Young;Gu, Ja-Yeong
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.227-232
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    • 2020
  • This paper develops a risk index based on an indicator of risk assessment in terms of coastal activity location and accident type. The risk index is derived from a formula which adds the consequence of failure to a vulnerability value, then subtracts the mitigation value. Specifically, the consequence of failure is the number of casualties in coastal activity locations. An indicator of vulnerability refers to coastal environment elements and social elements. A pointer of mitigation includes managerial and organizational elements that indicate the capabilities of coastal activities. A risk rating of coastal activity location is found from a risk matrix consisting of the accident location and type. The purpose of this study is to prevent accidents at coastal activity locations by allowing the Coastal police guard to monitor effectively and inform visitors of potential risks.

오류유형 영향분석(FMEA)을 적용한 수술준비 위험예방활동의 효과 (A Study on Failure Mode and Effect Analysis (FMEA) for Preoperative Risk Prevention)

  • 김창희;이미향
    • 간호행정학회지
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    • 제22권5호
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    • pp.415-423
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: The purpose of this research was to provide patients with safe preoperative preparatory procedures by removing any risk factors from the preparatory procedures by using failure mode and effects analysis, which is a prospective risk-managing tool. Methods: This was a research design in which before and after conditions of a single group were studied, Failure mode and effects analysis were applied for the preparatory procedures done before operations. Results: The preparation omission rate before the operation decreased from 2.70% to 0.04%, and operation cancellation rate decreased from 0.48% to 0.08%. Conclusion: Failure mode and effects analysis which remove any risk factors for patients in advance of the operation is effective in preventing any negligent accidents.

Risk Analysis using Failure Data in Railway E&M System

  • Lee, Chang-Hwan;Song, Mi-Ok;Lim, Sung-Soo
    • International Journal of Railway
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.34-37
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    • 2010
  • In recent, the railway system consists of subsystems as rolling stock and infrastructures as signaling, telecommunication, power supply, overhead contact and platform screen door, etc. Furthermore, each subsystem has complicated interface so as not to understand these relationship. Consequently, to operate the railway system continuously with required safety and availability, the failure data should be corrected and analyzed systematically during operation. To achieve this object effectively, this paper presents the method which is evaluating the operational risk quantitatively using failure data, and selecting the critical equipment. Following this analysis, the improvement plan is established and applied to reduce the operational risk on system or equipment. From this study, the critical equipments of system could be determined and prioritized by risk analysis. Also, the effective maintenance to prevent critical failure could be implanted by this suggested methodology.

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Sensitivity analysis of failure correlation between structures, systems, and components on system risk

  • Seunghyun Eem ;Shinyoung Kwag ;In-Kil Choi ;Daegi Hahm
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제55권3호
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    • pp.981-988
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    • 2023
  • A seismic event caused an accident at the Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant, which further resulted in simultaneous accidents at several units. Consequently, this incident has aroused great interest in the safety of nuclear power plants worldwide. A reasonable safety evaluation of such an external event should appropriately consider the correlation between SSCs (structures, systems, and components) and the probability of failure. However, a probabilistic safety assessment in current nuclear industries is performed conservatively, assuming that the failure correlation between SSCs is independent or completely dependent. This is an extreme assumption; a reasonable risk can be calculated, or risk-based decision-making can be conducted only when the appropriate failure correlation between SSCs is considered. Thus, this study analyzed the effect of the failure correlation of SSCs on the safety of the system to realize rational safety assessment and decision-making. Consequently, the impact on the system differs according to the size of the failure probability of the SSCs and the AND and OR conditions.

FMEA에서 공통원인고장이 포함될 경우의 고장원인에 대한 위험평가 절차 (A Risk Evaluation Procedure in FMEA for Failure Causes including Common Cause Failures)

  • 김병남;권혁무;홍성훈;이민구
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제46권2호
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    • pp.327-338
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: A risk evaluation procedure is proposed for common failure causes in FMEA(Failure Mode and Effects Analysis). The conventional FMEA does not provide a proper means to compare common failure causes with other failure causes. This research aims to develop a risk evaluation procedure in FMEA where common failure causes and other failure causes exist together. Methods: For each common failure cause, the effect of each combination of its resulting failures is recommended to be reevaluated considering their interactive worsening effect. And the probability that each combination of failures is incurred by the same common cause is also considered. Based on these two factors, the severity of each common cause is determined. Other procedures are similar to the conventional method. Results: The proposed procedure enables to compare and prioritize every failure cause. Thus, the common causes, each of which incurring two or more failures, and other causes, each of which is corresponding to one failure, can be fairly compared. Conclusion: A fair and proper way of comparing the common failure causes and other causes is provided. The procedure is somewhat complicated and requires more works to do. But it is worth to do.

A Multivariate Mixture of Linear Failure Rate Distribution in Reliability Models

  • EI-Gohary A wad
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.101-115
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    • 2005
  • This article provides a new class of multivariate linear failure rate distributions where every component is a mixture of linear failure rate distribution. The new class includes several multivariate and bivariate models including Marslall and Olkin type. The approach in this paper is based on the introducing a linear failure rate distributed latent random variable. The distribution of minimum in a competing risk model is discussed.

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화력발전설비 위험도 평가를 통한 기기별 정비주기 예측 (Prediction of Maintenance Period of Equipment Through Risk Assessment of Thermal Power Plants)

  • 송기욱;김범신;최우성;박명수
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제37권10호
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    • pp.1291-1296
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    • 2013
  • 위험도 평가 기술은 주로 플랜트의 많은 운영설비 중 대형사고나 피해를 유발할 수 있는 위험설비를 선별하는 목적으로 개발되었다. 설비의 위험도를 평가하여 위험도의 크기에 따라 순위를 정하고 이 순위를 기준으로 정비자원을 투입하는 순서나 정비작업의 시급성을 판단한다. 위험도란 고장이 발생할 확률과 고장이 발생할 경우에 수반되는 파손피해의 곱으로 정의된다. 위험도 평가방법으로는 간단한 손상 및 고장 평가기법을 이용하여 기본적인 고장확률 데이터를 확보하고 정성적인 문진을 통해 이를 보완하는 준 정량적 방법이 많이 사용되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 준 정략적 평가를 이용하여 석탄화력발전소의 보일러설비에 대한 위험도 평가를 수행하고 이를 기반으로 설비 별차기 정비주기를 선정하였다.