• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk map

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Forest Fire Risk Analysis Using a Grid System Based on Cases of Wildfire Damage in the East Coast of Korean Peninsula (동해안 산불피해 사례기반 격자체계를 활용한 산불위험분석)

  • Kuyoon Kim ;Miran Lee;Chang Jae Kwak;Jihye Han
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.39 no.5_2
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    • pp.785-798
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    • 2023
  • Recently, forest fires have become frequent due to climate change, and the size of forest fires is also increasing. Forest fires in Korea continue to cause more than 100 ha of forest fire damage every year. It was found that 90% of the large-scale wildfires that occurred in Gangwon-do over the past five years were concentrated in the east coast area. The east coast area has a climate vulnerable to forest fires such as dry air and intermediate wind, and forest conditions of coniferous forests. In this regard, studies related to various forest fire analysis, such as predicting the risk of forest fires and calculating the risk of forest fires, are being promoted. There are many studies related to risk analysis for forest areas in consideration of weather and forest-related factors, but studies that have conducted risk analysis for forest-friendly areas are still insufficient. Management of forest adjacent areas is important for the protection of human life and property. Forest-adjacent houses and facilities are greatly threatened by forest fires. Therefore, in this study, a grid-based forest fire-related disaster risk map was created using factors affected by forest-neighboring areas using national branch numbers, and differences in risk ratings were compared for forest areas and areas adjacent to forests based on Gangneung forest fire cases.

Derivation of Building Fire Safety Assessment Factors for Generating 3D Safety Status Map (3D 안전상태지도 제작을 위한 건물 화재안전 평가항목 도출)

  • Youn, Junhee;Kim, Taehoon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.10
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    • pp.40-47
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    • 2020
  • Various technologies, systems, and legal systems are applied to prevent and quickly respond to fire disaster; nevertheless, the damages to life and property caused by fires are not reduced every year. For managing fire disaster, generating spatial information-based safety status map and procuring suitability of attribute information for each position information are essential. The safety status map is generated by deriving the fire safety status assessment factors, indexing, and locating the surveying results through various methods. In this paper, we deal with derivation of building fire safety assessment factors for 3D safety status map. At first, we survey the foreign and domestic fire assessment model cases and its factors, and analyze the applicability of Korean 3D fire safety status map. Next, assessment factors for fire safety assessment model are derived. Assessment factors are derived and categorized by their information collecting activity; factors that can be accessed through basic building information and factors that can be accessed through field survey. As a derivation result, 14 assessment factors were derived over five categories(Industry Risk, Structural Risk, Fire Fighting Facility, Fire Dangerousness, Fire Response Status).

Developing a Product Risk Assessment Model for Korea Using Injury Data (위해정보를 활용한 한국형 제품 위험성 평가 모델 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Bae, Jinhan;Song, HaeGeun;Park, Young T.
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.623-635
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: The recent major recalls of hazardous products caused consumer product safety acts to be strengthen worldwide. Although the recall system of hazardous products in Korea has been operating based on Framework Act on Product Safety since 2011, the evaluation of product risk has been relied on not the results of objective incident data but the results of illegal product investigations. The purpose of this paper is to propose a product risk assessment model for Korea using injury data. Methods: The authors derived Korea's risk assessment method by analysing the advantages and disadvantages of the most widely used models in advanced countries such as EU's RAPEX RAG and Janpan's R-MAP. In this study, the level of relative frequency and severity of injury are determined based on the objective incident data and the length of hospitalization respectively. In addition, the injury data occurred during 2011 is applied to the proposed risk assessment model for case study. Results: The data analysed in this paper can be classified as high risk, medium risk, low risk, acceptable risk, and safe products through the matrix f rom the combination of the relative frequency and the severity derived. Conclusion: The proposed risk assessment model in this study has advantage obtaining reliable objective results because it uses actual injury data and redeems the drawbacks of the existing models used in advanced countries. Furthermore, because the proposed model shows the high risk products among many, it is expected to be useful especially for customs whose main job is inspecting the imported goods and the government when selecting the target product groups for safety investigation.

Application of the Fuzzy Method to Improve GIS Geomorphological Method of Predicting Flood Vulnerable Area

  • Kim Su Jeong;Yom Jae-Hong;Lee Dong-Cheon
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.264-267
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    • 2004
  • In identifying flood vulnerable areas, three methods are generally deployed: the geomorphology method which is based on topographic features; the past evidence method based on observed data of past actual floods; and, prediction of flood areas through hydrologic models. This study aims to improve the prediction model of the geomorphology method through the application of fuzzy method in GIS modeling. The generally used GIS method of superimposing thematic map layers assumes crisp boundaries of the layers, which results in either risk-averse solutions or risk-taking solutions. The introduction of fuzzy concepts to processing of evaluation criteria (DEM, slope, aspect) solves this problem. As the result of applying the fuzzy method to a test site in the west Nak-Dong river, similar flood vulnerable areas were predicted as when using the conventional Boolean criteria. The resulting map, however, showed varying degree of uncertainty of flooding in these areas. This extra information is deemed to be valuable in taking phased actions during flood response, leading to a more effective and timely decision-making.

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Predicting the Invasion Potential of Pink Muhly (Muhlenbergia capillaris) in South Korea

  • Park, Jeong Soo;Choi, Donghui;Kim, Youngha
    • Proceedings of the National Institute of Ecology of the Republic of Korea
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.74-82
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    • 2020
  • Predictions of suitable habitat areas can provide important information pertaining to the risk assessment and management of alien plants at early stage of their establishment. Here, we predict the invasion potential of Muhlenbergia capillaris (pink muhly) in South Korea using five bioclimatic variables. We adopt four models (generalized linear model, generalized additive model, random forest (RF), and artificial neural network) for projection based on 630 presence and 600 pseudo-absence data points. The RF model yielded the highest performance. The presence probability of M. capillaris was highest within an annual temperature range of 12 to 24℃ and with precipitation from 800 to 1,300 mm. The occurrence of M. capillaris was positively associated with the precipitation of the driest quarter. The projection map showed that suitable areas for M. capillaris are mainly concentrated in the southern coastal regions of South Korea, where temperatures and precipitation are higher than in other regions, especially in the winter season. We can conclude that M. capillaris is not considered to be invasive based on a habitat suitability map. However, there is a possibility that rising temperatures and increasing precipitation levels in winter can accelerate the expansion of this plant on the Korean Peninsula.

A Proposal for Risk Evaluation Method of Slope Failure due to Rainfalls (강우 시 사면 붕괴 위험도 평가에 관한 제안)

  • Chae, Jong-Gil;Jung, Min-Su;Tori, Nobuyaki;Okimura, Takashi
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.893-903
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    • 2008
  • A method for predicting surface failures which occur during heavy rainfall on mountain slopes is proposed by using the digital land form model that is obtained by reading altitude on a topographical map at 10m grid point space. A depth of a potential failure layer is assumed at each grid point. In the layer, an infiltrated water movement from cell to cell is modeled in the study (cell is a square of the grid). Infiltrated ground water levels which show the three dimensional effects of a topographical factor in an area can be hourly calculated at every cell by the model. The safety factor of every cell is also calculated every hour by the infinite slope stability analysis method with the obtained infiltrated ground water level. Failure potential delineation is defined here as the time when the safety factor becomes less than unity under the assumptions that effective rainfall is 20mm/h and continues 20 hours.

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Probability-Based Estimates of Basic Design wind Speeds in Korea (확률에 기초한 한국의 기본 설계풍속 추정)

  • 조효남;차철준;백현식
    • Computational Structural Engineering
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.62-72
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    • 1989
  • This study presents rational methods for probability-based estimates of basic design wind speeds in Korea and proposes a risk-based nation-wide map of design wind speeds. The paper examines the fittings of the extreme Type I mode to largest yearly non-typhoon wind data from long-term records, and to largest monthly non-typhoon wind data from short-term records. For the estimation of the extreme typhoon wins speed distribution, an indirect analytical method based on a Monte-Carlo simulation is applied to typhoon-prone regions. The basic desig wind speeds for typhoon and non-typhoon winds at the sites of concern are made to be obtained from the mixed model given as a product of the two distributions. The results of this study show that the proposed models and methods provide a practicable tool for the development of the risk-based basic design wind speed and the design wind map from short-term station records currently available in Korea.

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Evaluation of an Applicability of HEC-RAS 5.0 for 2-D Flood Inundation Analysis (2차원 홍수범람해석을 위한 HEC-RAS 5.0 적용성 평가)

  • Lee, Choon-Ho;Lee, Tae-Geun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.726-733
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    • 2016
  • Recently, the flood frequency and magnitude have increased due to heavy rainfall. Considering the present condition, a flood risk map has been published in many countries to raise awareness about flood damage to people. A flood inundation analysis model, which is used to publish the flood risk map, can be classified as river and inland inundation models according to the inundation cause. Although a variety of flood inundation analysis models are utilized both domestically and overseas, their usability is limited by the expensive price, except for the HEC-RAS model developed by U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE). In the situation, the USACE has developed a 2-D HEC-RAS model that can be linked to the existing 1-D model. This model has been released as a beta version under the name, HEC-RAS 5.0. In this study, the HEC-RAS 5.0 model's features, usability, applicability, and accuracy were evaluated by comparing the performances on Gokgyo-cheon with the FLUMEN model, which is used for domestic flood risk mapping. The results of this study will contribute to river inundation analysis in many different ways after the HEC-RAS 5.0 model is stabilized.

Correlations of Earthquake Accelerations and LPIs for Liquefaction Risk Mapping in Seoul & Gyeonggi-do Area based on Artificial Scenarios (서울, 경기지역의 시나리오별 액상화 위험지도 작성을 위한 지진가속도와 LPI 상관관계 분석)

  • Baek, Woohyun;Choi, Jaesoon
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.5-12
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    • 2019
  • On November 15, 2017, a unpredictable liquefaction damage was occurred at the $M_L=5.4$ Pohang earthquake and after, many researches have been conducted in Korea. In Korea, where there were no cases of earthquake damage, it has been extremely neglectable in preparing earthquake risk maps and building earthquake systems that corresponded to prevention and preparation. Since it is almost impossible to observe signs and symptoms of drought, floods, and typhoons in advance, it is very effective to predict the impacts and magnitudes of seismic events. In this study, 14,040 borehole data were collected in the metropolitan area and liquefaction evaluation was performed using the amplification factor. Based on this data, liquefaction hazard maps were prepared for ground accelerations of 0.06 g, 0.14 g, 0.22 g, and 0.30 g, including 200years return period to 4,800years return period. Also, the correlation analysis between the earthquake acceleration and LPI was carried out to draw a real-time predictable liquefaction hazard map. As a result, 707 correlation equations in every cells in GIS map were proposed. Finally, the simulation for liquefaction risk mapping against artificial earthquake was performed in the metropolitan area using the proposed correlation equations.

IDENTIFICATION OF EROSION PRONE FOREST AREA - A REMOTE SENSING AND GIS APPROACH

  • Jayakumar, S.;Lee, Jung-Bin;Enkhbaatar, Lkhagva;Heo, Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.251-253
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    • 2008
  • Erosion and landslide cause serious damage to forest areas. As a consequence, partial or complete destruction of vegetation occurs, which leads to many cascading problems. In this study, an attempt has been made to identify the forest areas, which are under different risk categories of erosion and landslide, in part of Eastern Ghats of Tamil Nadu. Relevantthematic maps were generated from satellite data, topographical maps, primary and secondary data and weights to each map were assigned appropriately. Weighted overlay analysis was carried out to identify the erosionprone forest areas. The result of erosion and landslide prone model reveals that 4712 ha(17%) of forest area is under high risk category and 15879 ha(58.65%) isunder medium risk category. The results of spatial modeling would be very much useful to the forest officials and conservationist to plan for effective conservation.

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