• 제목/요약/키워드: Risk cost

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공공건설임대주택사업의 현금흐름에 대한 리스크분석 (A Study of the Analysis and Identification of Risk Factor in Regard to Cash Flow in Public Rental Housing Development Project)

  • 이상곤;이재영;이학기
    • 한국건설관리학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건설관리학회 2004년도 제5회 정기학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.423-426
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    • 2004
  • 공공건설임대주택의 사업비는 국민주택기금, 임대료, 임대보증금, 공사비, 금융비용 등 다양한 수익과 비용이 복합적으로 나타나게 된다. 따라서 공공건설임대주택 사업은 그 특성상 유동성과 재무탄력성에 대한 유용한 정보를 제공해 줄 수 있는 현금흐름예측이 필요하다. 그러나 현금흐름분석은 일부 시행하고 있었으나, 이를 예측 $\cdot$ 관리하고 있는 곳은 전무한 것으로 나타났다. 현금흐름 예측을 위한 일반적인 사항들은 실적자료와 문헌을 통하여 알 수 있으나, 현금흐름 예측의 정확성을 높이기 위한 리스크에 대한 연구는 전무한 실정이었다. 기존의 리스크에 대한 연구는 사업 전체에 대한 연구로 현금흐름과 정확한 상관관계를 알 수 없었다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 수익성 측면에서의 사업성분석 방법으로 현금흐름 예측방법을 제안하고 공공건설임대주택사업의 정확한 현금흐름예측과 관리를 위하여 현금흐름 각 항목에 영향을 미치는 리스크 인자들을 식별 $\cdot$ 분석 하고 그 대응방안을 모색하고자 한다.

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서울지역 패밀리레스토랑의 서비스마케팅믹스(7Ps)성과가 고객의 구매위험인지에 미치는 영향 (Influence of Service Marketing-Mix(7Ps) on Consumers' Risk Perception of Eating at Family Restaurants in Seoul)

  • 윤태환
    • 한국식품조리과학회지
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    • 제26권5호
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    • pp.511-520
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this article was to study how the 7Ps influence consumers' risk perception of eating at family restaurants in Seoul. In this study, frequency analysis, reliability analysis, factor analysis and path analysis (SEM) of the data were performed. First, reliability analysis confirmed that the 7Ps performance and risk data could be used in this investigation. Path analysis showed that the 7Ps significantly influenced customers' risk perception of eating at restaurants in Seoul. According to the results, product negatively influenced performance risk (p<0.05) and financial risk (p<0.001); price negatively influenced performance risk (p<0.001), financial risk (p<0.001), and time risk (p<0.01); place negatively influenced performance risk (p<0.01) and time risk (p<0.001); promotion negatively influenced financial risk (p<0.05) and time risk (p<0.001); process negatively influenced performance risk (p<0.001) and time risk (p<0.001); physical evidence negatively influenced performance risk (p<0.05) and financial risk (p<0.001); and people negatively influenced performance risk (p<0.05), financial risk (p<0.001), and time risk (p<0.001). As a result, we confirmed that 7Ps were an effective marketing tactic for reducing consumers' risk perception of eating at restaurants. Therefore, family restaurant companies are recommended to administer the 7Ps without additional cost.

사회적 비용을 고려한 국내 주요 발전기술의 균등화발전비용 산정 (LCOE Assessment of Major Power Generation Technologies Reflecting Social Costs)

  • 조영탁;석광훈;박종배
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제67권2호
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    • pp.179-185
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    • 2018
  • A considerable cost gap between three major power generation technologies, namely nuclear, coal, and combined cycle gas turbine (CCGT), has been a well-established fact in the Korean electricity market. Alternatively, this paper analyzes the levelized costs of electricity (LCOE) of the three technologies reflecting overall social costs of electricity generation including accident risk, $CO_2$ emission, and air pollution damage. The paper unveils to what extent current discriminative subsidies on fuels regarding the social costs, mostly through tax exemptions, affect economic competitiveness of the technologies. In particular, it finds relative positions of coal and CCGT could be altered depending on appreciation level of the social costs. It has limits in analyzing fixed costs of the technologies, however, due to limited data availability of nuclear power, and suggests further studies on the issue.

상급종합병원 근처의 한 지역약국 처방전 분석에 의한 노인 환자의 다약제복용과 약제비용 및 잠재적으로 부적절한 약물사용 관련 위험인자 (Risk Factors of Potentially Inappropriate Medications and Cost by Polypharmacy among Elderly Patients of a Community Pharmacy near a Top Tier General Hospital)

  • 김아람;김홍아;이정연
    • 한국임상약학회지
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.159-165
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    • 2015
  • Objective: Polypharmacy is one of the main causes of inappropriate medication use, adverse drug-related events and cost. It aimed to investigate the status of polypharmacy and potentially inappropriate medication (PIM), the factors affecting polypharmacy and cost in elderly outpatients. Method: A pharmacy claim data were retrospectively analyzed with elderly patients prescriptions at a pharmacy located near a top tier general hospital. The numbers of medications per person, prevalence of polypharmacy and PIM according to the 2012 Beers criteria and Korea PIM list, medication cost and the factors affecting polypharmacy were investigated. Results: Forty-six percentages of the elderly outpatients received polypharmacy and over 21% of them had medications listed in Beers or Korean PIM. In multiregressional analysis, we found that age, gender and insurance types were affective factors of polypharmacy. (p < 0.001, 0.047, 0.009, respectively). The cost of polypharmacy with PIM in elderly outpatients was increased with age. Various approaches of interventions would be further required.

Multihazard capacity optimization of an NPP using a multi-objective genetic algorithm and sampling-based PSA

  • Eujeong Choi;Shinyoung Kwag;Daegi Hahm
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제56권2호
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    • pp.644-654
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    • 2024
  • After the Tohoku earthquake and tsunami (Japan, 2011), regulatory efforts to mitigate external hazards have increased both the safety requirements and the total capital cost of nuclear power plants (NPPs). In these circumstances, identifying not only disaster robustness but also cost-effective capacity setting of NPPs has become one of the most important tasks for the nuclear power industry. A few studies have been performed to relocate the seismic capacity of NPPs, yet the effects of multiple hazards have not been accounted for in NPP capacity optimization. The major challenges in extending this problem to the multihazard dimension are (1) the high computational costs for both multihazard risk quantification and system-level optimization and (2) the lack of capital cost databases of NPPs. To resolve these issues, this paper proposes an effective method that identifies the optimal multihazard capacity of NPPs using a multi-objective genetic algorithm and the two-stage direct quantification of fault trees using Monte Carlo simulation method, called the two-stage DQFM. Also, a capacity-based indirect capital cost measure is proposed. Such a proposed method enables NPP to achieve safety and cost-effectiveness against multi-hazard simultaneously within the computationally efficient platform. The proposed multihazard capacity optimization framework is demonstrated and tested with an earthquake-tsunami example.

의약품 접근성 향상을 위한 방안 고찰 (Review of Programs for Improving Patient's Access to Medicines)

  • 김유진;김윤희
    • 한국임상약학회지
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.40-50
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    • 2018
  • Objective: This study presented the analysis period, the complexity of combined therapy and comparator choice as the key limitations in the economic evaluation of new drugs, and discussed programs for coping with these limitations. Methods: This study evaluated the post-evaluation, risk-sharing agreement, extra funding program, and flexible incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) threshold as actions or programs that would increase accessibility to costly new drugs. The study also presented the cases of other countries. The application of the post-evaluation was considered to deal with high uncertainty regarding new drugs. Results: The risk-sharing agreement was introduced in European countries as well as South Korea and has been responsible for the shift from using the financial schemes to outcome-based schemes. The drug funding program has had troubled in securing stable extra funds. The application of higher ICER in the economic evaluation of expensive and innovative oncology drugs was criticized because of the inequity between oncology patients and patients with other diseases. Conclusion: Therefore, introducing and applying actions that would increase the accessibility to costly new drugs in South Korea have been deemed necessary after careful reviews and discussions with various stakeholders (insurer, policy makers, pharmaceutical companies and patients).

층고절감형 거더를 이용한 영구 스트러트 공법 (Strut as a Permanent System using Composite Beams)

  • 홍원기;박선치;김진민;이호찬
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.87-92
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    • 2008
  • Sheathing work used for excavation in a crowded downtown is generally a temporary strut method using H-piles and sheathing wall includes lagging, CIP, SCW or slurry wall. A temporary strut serving the support for sheathing wall acts to resist the earth pressure, but it shall be removed when installing the underground structure members. A traditional temporary strut might cause the stress imbalance of the sheathing wall when it is demolished, resulting in time extension and the risk of collapse. A traditional temporary strut method thus needs to be improved for schedule and cost reduction, risk mitigation and for preparation for potential civic complaint. A permanent strut method doesn't require installing and demolishing the temporary structure that will lead to reducing the time and cost and the structural risk during the demolition process. And given the girder, the part of the underground structure, serves the role of strut, it can secure the wider interval compared to the traditional method, which enables to secure the wider space for the convenience of excavation as well as enhance the constructability and efficient site management. The thesis was intended to study the composite girder designed to use the strut as permanent structure so as to reduce the excavation and floor height.

Nonlinear semi-active/passive retrofit design evaluation using incremental dynamic analysis

  • Rodgers, Geoffrey W.;Chase, J. Geoffrey;Roland, Thomas;Macrae, Gregory A.;Zhou, Cong
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.109-120
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    • 2022
  • Older or damaged structures can require significant retrofit to ensure they perform well in subsequent earthquakes. Supplemental damping devices are used to achieve this goal, but increase base shear forces, foundation demand, and cost. Displacement reduction without increasing base shear is possible using novel semi-active and recently-created passive devices, which offer energy dissipation in selected quadrants of the force-displacement response. Combining these devices with large, strictly passive energy dissipation devices can offer greater, yet customized response reductions. Supplemental damping to reduce response without increasing base shear enables a net-zero base shear approach. This study evaluates this concept using two incremental dynamic analyses (IDAs) to show displacement reductions up to 40% without increasing base shear, more than would be achieved for either device alone, significantly reducing the risk of response exceeding the unaltered structural case. IDA results lead to direct calculation of reductions in risk and annualized economic cost for adding these devices using this net-zero concept, thus quantifying the trade-off. The overall device assessment and risk analysis method presented provides a generalizable proof-of-concept approach, and provides a framework for assessing the impact and economic cost-benefit of using modern supplemental energy dissipation devices.

석면해체 공사의 공정 리스크를 고려한 비용 산정 모델 개발 (Development of Cost Estimation Model Considering Process Risk for Asbestos Dismantling Work)

  • 노재윤;이수민;한승우
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2023년도 가을학술발표대회논문집
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    • pp.49-50
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    • 2023
  • Asbestos is a building material that has been actively used because of its excellent durability and heat resistance until 2009, when it was found to be a first-class carcinogen and prohibited in Korea. Currently, asbestos dismantling is an essential process in demolition of old buildings. Workers are likely to be exposed to asbestos in the process of dismantling and removing them, which causes various occupational diseases, suggesting related laws and work standards to ensure the safety of asbestos dismantling process. Accordingly, prior studies have been conducted to analyze the level of asbestos exposure and influencing factors occurring during work, but most of them are mainly concerning health issue while research on process risks considering field characteristics and safety aspects of the work processes is still insufficient. Therefore, this study aims to derive the process risks affecting the safety of workers based on the survey results of asbestos dismantling companies, and further proposed a cost calculation model taking those risks into account.

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국가단위 신규 IT인프라의 위험도 등급화 기법 개발 방향 연구 (Development Strategy on the Risk Rating Method for Nationwide Emerging IT Infrastructure)

  • 김상균
    • 산업기술연구
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    • 제30권B호
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    • pp.11-16
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    • 2010
  • To provide a development strategy on the method which assesses a potential risk of nationwide emerging IT infrastructure in planning and design phase, and to classify the assessment result into 5 levels is the goal of this research. The development strategy provided in this paper could improve a benefit-cost-ratio of investments on emerging IT infrastructure. With a premature assessment of the potential risks of a nationwide emerging IT infrastructure which needs astronomical amount of public funds, it could show a way of systematic investments on security systems and improve a benefit-cost-ratio of investments on emerging IT infrastructure. Also, this approach might improve the safety of nationwide IT infrastructure. It could identify and provide an optimized solution for the potential risks of nationwide IT infrastructure.

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