• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk cost

Search Result 1,538, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

Evaluating of Risk Order for Urban Road by User Cost Analysis (사용자비용분석을 통한 간선도로 위험순위 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jung-Ha;Park, Tae-Hoon;Im, Jong-Moon;Park, Je-Jin;Yoon, Pan;Ha, Tae-Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.23 no.7 s.85
    • /
    • pp.77-86
    • /
    • 2005
  • Level of service(LOS) is a quantify measure describing operational conditions within a traffic stream, generally, in terms of such service measures as speed, travel time, freedom to measures, traffic interruptions, comfort and convenience. The LOS is leveled by highway facilities according to measure of effectiveness(MOE) and then used to evaluate performance capacity. The current evaluation of a urban road is performed by only a aspect of traffic operation without any concepts of safety. Therefore, this paper presents a method for evaluation of risk order for urban road with new MOE, user cost analysis, considering both smooth traffic operation(congestion) and traffic safety(accident). The user coat is included traffic accident cast by traffic safety and traffic congestion cost by traffic operation. First of all, a number of traffic accident and accident rate by highway geometric is inferred from urban road traffic accident prediction model (Poul Greibe(2001)) Secondly, a user cost is inferred as traffic accident cast and traffic congestion cost is putting together. Thirdly, a method for evaluation of a urban road is inferred by user cost analysis. Fourthly a accident rate by segment predict with traffic accidents and data related to the accidents in $1996{\sim}1998$ on 11 urban road segments, Gwang-Ju, predicted accident rate. Traffic accident cost predict using predicted accident rate, and, traffic congestion cost predict using predicted average traffic speed(KHCM). Fifthly, a risk order are presented by predicted user cost at each segment in urban roads. Finally, it si compared and evaluated that LOS of 11 urban road segments, Gwang-Ju, by only a aspect of traffic operation without any concepts of safety and risk order by a method for evaluation of urban road in this paper.

A Study on High-level FSA for Korean-flagged General Cargo Ships (국적일반화물선 초기안전성평가(High-level FSA) 연구(2))

  • Lee, Jong-Kap;Na, Seong;Kim, Hong-Tae;Park, Jae-Hong
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
    • /
    • v.35 no.1
    • /
    • pp.23-30
    • /
    • 2011
  • This study was carried out in order to verity the usefulness of FSA(Formal Safety Assessment) methods as a tool to conduct a safety assessment of general cargo ships flying the Korean flag, and to provide useful information on 'the Safety of General Cargo Ships' for IMO committee's discussion on the matter at a future session. In the previous paper, "A Study on High-level FSA for Korean-flagged General Cargo Ships(1)", the concepts of the FSA methodology and its five steps were described and the results of Hazard Identification(Step 1) and Risk Analysis(Step 2) from the FSA study for the Korean-flagged general cargo ships were discussed. Subsequent to the Steps 1 & 2, the identification of Risk Control Options(RCOs-Step 3) for eliminating or reducing either the frequency or the severity of the risks identified and their Cost-Benefit Assessment(CBA-Step 4) were undertaken. In this paper, the results of the Steps 3 & 4 are discussed, and some recommendations are made.

Cost-Benefit Analysis in order to Select the Reasonably Practical Risk Reduction Measures(RRMs) on High Pressure Urban Gas Pipelines (도시가스 고압배관의 합리적인 위험감소조치 선정을 위한 비용-편익분석)

  • Ryou, Young-Don;Kim, Young-Seob;Lee, Su-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
    • /
    • v.15 no.2
    • /
    • pp.40-46
    • /
    • 2011
  • The purpose of CBA(cost-benefit analysis) in risk assessment is to show whether the benefits of implementing additional risk reduction methods(RRMs) derived through risk assessment outweigh its costs and it is proper to implement the methods. In this paper CBA has been conducted in order to select the most effective and reasonable RRM as implementing the RRM derived after QRA for the high pressure urban gas pipelines. As conducting QRA again by applying the derived RRMs, No. 10 measure which includes pipeline corrosion monitoring, MOV(motor operated valve) installation and the method to protect pipeline damage caused by third-party mechanical interference has showed the highest risk reduction effect. Also it has been considered to be reasonably practicable by conducting CBA and then is selected as the most effective and reasonable RRM on the objects of this paper.

Risk based Value Index Evaluation Model for Modular Design Alternatives in Plant Construction Projects (플랜트 건설사업의 모듈러 설계대안별 RVI 평가 모델)

  • Kang, Hyun Wook
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.23 no.5
    • /
    • pp.98-107
    • /
    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to suggest a model for evaluation of a risk based value index for modular design alternatives in plant construction projects. Accordingly, 1) Setting the basic project cost and the scope to apply the module, 2) Evaluating the importance, easiness, and effectiveness index for Engineering, Procurement, Fabrication, transportation, and construction work, 3) Estimating the total project cost by analyzing the risk reserve Step, 4) Comparing the effectiveness index and total project cost for each modular design alternative, it was composed of the steps of deriving RVI. To verify such a model, Plan-A, which applied a module to one process, and Plan-B, which applied a module to three processes, were composed to evaluate RVI.

Research Trend Analysis of Risk Cost Model for UAM Flight Path Planning (UAM 비행 경로 계획을 위한 위험 비용 모델 연구 동향 분석)

  • Jae-Hyeon Kim;Dong-Min Lee;Myeong-Jin Lee;Yeong-Hoon Choi;Ji-Hun Kwon;Jong-Whoa Na
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
    • /
    • v.28 no.1
    • /
    • pp.68-76
    • /
    • 2024
  • With the recent rapid growth of the domestic and international unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) market and the increasing importance of UAV operations in urban centers, such as UAMs, the safety management and regulatory framework for human life and property damage caused by UAV failures has been emphasized. In this study, we conducted a comparative analysis of risk-cost models that evaluate the risk of an operating area for safe UAM flight path planning, and identified the main limitations of each model to derive considerations for future model development. By providing a basic model for improving the safety of UAM operations, this study is expected to make an important contribution to technical improvements and policy decisions in the field of UAM flight path planning.

Exploratory Study on Risk Factors by Project Performance Areas in Software Project Management (정보시스템 프로젝트의 성과영역별 위험요인에 관한 탐색적 연구)

  • Lee Seogjun;Kim HaeJung;Suh Hyunsuk
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
    • /
    • v.11 no.4
    • /
    • pp.103-120
    • /
    • 2004
  • Identifying validated risk factors in software risk management is imperative for project managers. Although validated risk lists were provided by previous researchers, risk list associated with software project performance areas was not provided as yet. This paper represents a first step toward understanding risk lists by various project performance areas (time, cost, and quality) to help project managers alleviating the possibility of software project failure. Four simultaneous exploratory surveys were conducted with 29 experienced software project managers. Three different risk factor ranking sets for each project performance area were compared with, the risk ranking, which was provided without clarifying specific project performance areas. The risk lists and their corresponding perceived importance were different from previous research results. This implies that identifying risk factors for specific project performance areas can provide additional information for project managers. We concluded by discussing implications of our finds for both research and improving risk management practice.

  • PDF

The Study on the Failure Rate Sampling Plan Considering Cost (비용을 고려한 신뢰성 샘플링검사 설계에 관한 연구)

  • 조재립
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
    • /
    • v.23 no.59
    • /
    • pp.97-103
    • /
    • 2000
  • This study considers the design of life test sampling inspection plans by attributes for failure rate level qualification at selected confidence level. The lifetime distribution of products is assumed to be exponential. MIL-STD-690C and KS C 6032 standards provide this procedures. But these procedures have some questions to apply in the field. The cost of test and confidence level($1-{\beta}$ risk) are the problem between supplier and user. So, we suggest that the optimal life test sampling inspection plans using expected cost model considering product cost, capability, environmental test cost, etc.

  • PDF

Project Risk Management by Early Warning System (조기경보체계를 통한 프로젝트 위험 관리)

  • Lee, Jong-Seok
    • 한국IT서비스학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2005.11a
    • /
    • pp.400-407
    • /
    • 2005
  • Project의 Quality, Cost, Delivery의 세 가지 목표를 달성하기 위해서는 프로젝트 Risk의 조기 인식 및 대처는 프로젝트 성공의 가장 중요한 요소가 되고 있다 Project Risk는 1)프로젝트의 이해관계자(고객, 협력회사)간의 재무적, 법률적 Risk [수주 Risk]와 2)프로젝트 수행상의 제품공학, 개발환경, 외부제약조건 등의 Risk [수행 Risk]로 나눌 수 있으며, 수주 Risk는 분석 결과가 수행 Risk의 식별, Monitoring에 직접적으로 반영되어야 한다. 프로젝트 수행 Risk는 조기에 식별하고 정량적/정성적 영향을 분석하여 대응계획을 수립하여 지속적으로 Monitoring함으로서 영향을 최소화할 수 있으므로 Risk를 조기 식별하고 경보할 수 있는 시스템(EWS: Early Warning System)의 구축 운영이 반드시 필요하다. 본문에서는 프로젝트 Risk에 대한 분석 및 대웅방안, 프로젝트관리시스템 및 조기경보체계의 표준, 상호간의 관계에 대하여 SK C&C에서 수립하여 적용중인 실증적인 해법을 제시 하고자 한다.

  • PDF

Estimation of Environmental Costs Based on Size of Oil Tanker Involved in Accident using Neural Network (신경망을 이용한 유조선 기름 유출사고에 따른 환경비용 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Sung-Chul;Bae, Jeong-Hoon;Kim, Hyun-Soo;Kim, Seong-Hoon;Kim, Soo-Young;Lee, Jong-Kap
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.26 no.1
    • /
    • pp.60-63
    • /
    • 2012
  • The accident risks in the marine environment are increasing because of the tendency to build faster and larger ships. To secure ship safety, risk-based ship design (RBSD) was recently suggested based on a formal safety assessment (FSA). In the process of RBSD, a ship designer decides which risk reduction option is most cost-effective in the design stage using a cost-benefit analysis (CBA). There are three dimensions of risk in this CBA: fatality, environment, and asset. In this paper, we present an approach to estimate the environmental costs based on the size of an oil tanker involved in an accident using a neural network. An appropriate neural network model is suggested for the estimation,and the neural network is trained using IOPCF data. Finally,the learned neural network is compared with the cost regression equation by IMO MEPC 62/WP.13 (2011).