• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.73-91
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• 2010

All activities relate to railway traffic involve risk and that these arise from a combination of the nature of operating activities. Proper management system is required to provide the organizational capability to reveal, analyse and address these weaknesses over time and in reasonably practicable ways, which will determine the rate at which risks can be further reduced. This paper presents a systematic risk analysis approach to safety planning and decision making, informed by a range of risk assessment techniques. An railway organization's safety management system is also presented that shows the approaches taken to minimize the external risks, and identify the shared risks and explain how they will be controlled through collaboration with others.

• 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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• 제55권10호
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• pp.426-432
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• 2006

This paper describes the concepts of Static Line Rating (SLR) and Dynamic Line Rating (DLR) and the computational methods to demonstrate them. Calculation of the line capacity needs the heat balance equation which is also used for computing the reduced tension in terms of line aging. SLR is calculated with the data from the worst condition of weather throughout the year. Even now, the utilization ratio is obtained from this SLR data in Korea. DLR is the improved method compared to SLR. A process for DLR reveals not only improved line ratings but also more accurate allowed line ratings based on line aging and real time conditions of weather. In order to reflect overhead transmission line aging in DLR, this paper proposes the method that considers the amount of decreased tension since the lines have been installed. Therefore, the continuous allowed temperature for remaining life time is newly acquired. In order to forecast DLR, this paper uses weather forecast models, and applies the concept of Thermal Overload Risk Probability (TORP). Then, the new concept of Dynamic Utilization Ratio (DUR) is defined, replacing Static Utilization Ratio (SUR). For the case study, the two main transmission lines which are responsible for the north bound power flow in the Seoul metropolitan area are chosen for computing line rating and utilization ratio. And then line rating and utilization ratio are analyzed for each transmission line, so that comparison of the present and estimated utilization ratios becomes available. Finally, this paper proves the validity of predictive DUR as the objective index, with simulations of emergency state caused by system outages, overload and so on.

• 산경연구논집
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• 제7권2호
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• pp.13-20
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• 2016

Purpose - The purpose of this research is to discover whether the presence of the product average rating introduces biases or change the way people perceive information. We posit that review's overall rating has a predisposition effect on consumers' perception towards detailed review information. Research design, data, and methodology - To test these hypotheses, we conducted an empirical study on a real-world setting of online shopping platform. We choose the Amazon website to test our results. The data we use were collected by the Stanford Network Analysis Project1 (McAuley et al., 2013). Results - With a dataset containing reviews of seven product categories from amazon.com., our findings could possess more generalizability as they are produced on the typical and influential online market. Second, as our research provides alternative views of consumers' shopping behavior, it is better to test our hypotheses by data from the same source. Conclusions - Our study reveals the impact of the collective rating presence on consumers' diagnosticity perception and sheds light upon some of the conflictive results in prior studies. Our research generates implications to both theories and business practices, and suggests future directions for the research question.

• 산경연구논집
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.23-32
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• 2022

Purpose: This study used ESG grade, but defined AESG, adjusted to the size of a company and examines whether it can be used as an investment strategy. Research design, data and methodology: The analysis sample in this study is a company that has given an ESG rating among companies listed on the Korea Stock Exchange. We examine the results through portfolio analysis and Fama-macbeth regression analysis. Results: As result of examining the long-only performance and the long-short performance by constructing quintile portfolios, it was observed that a significant positive return was shown. It was observed that there was an alpha that could not be explained in asset pricing models. Also, AESG had a return prediction effect in the result of a Fama-Macbeth regression that controlled corporate characteristic variables in individual stocks. Next, we confirmed AESG's usage through various portfolio composition. In the portfolio optimization, the Risk Efficient method was the most superior in terms of sharpe ratio and the construct multi-factor model with Value, Momentum and Low Vol showed statistically significant performance improvement. Conclusions: The results of this study suggest that it can be helpful in ESG investment to reflect the ESG rating of relatively small companies more through the scale adjustment of the ESG rating (i.e.AESG).

• 생물정신의학
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• 제12권2호
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• pp.189-195
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• 2005

Objects:Some studies have suggested that brain-derived neurotrophic factor(BDNF), one of the most important neurotrophins, is involved in pathophysiology of depression and suicide. This study was performed to determine whether there is an abnormality in plasma BDNF concentration in suicidal attempters. Methods:The subjects were 71 suicidal attempters who visited emergency rooms in multi-medical centers. All subjects had been interviewed by using Structured Clinical Interview for DSM-IV(SCID), Hamilton Depression Rating Scale(HDRS), Young Mania Rating Scale(YMRS), and Positive And Negative Syndrome Scale(PANSS). The severity of the suicidal behavior was measured by Lethality of Suicide Attempt Rating Scale(LSARS) and Risk-Rescue Rating(RRR) system. Seventy-one age, sex, and diagnosis matched non-suicidal psychiatric patients who were consecutively admitted to a psychiatric ward during the same period recruited as psychiatric controls. They were drug-naive or drug-free at least more than 2 months. In addition, 80 healthy controls were randomly selected as normal controls. Plasma BDNF level was measured by the enzyme linked immunosorbent assay(ELISA) methods. Results:In overall F-test, differences of the plasma BDNF levels among the groups were statistically significant(F=20.226, p<0.001). In the multiple comparisons(Scheffe), while mean levels of plasma BDNF between normal controls and non-suicidal psychiatric patients were similar(p=0.984), the BDNF levels of suicidal attempters were lower than those of other two groups(p<0.001). LSARS and RRR did not reveal any significant correlations with BDNF levels in suicidal attempters. Conclusion:These results suggest that reduction of plasma BDNF level is related to suicidal behavior and BDNF level may be a biological marker of suicidal behavior.

• 정신신체의학
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• 제24권2호
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• pp.236-243
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• 2016

연구목적 본 연구는 자살시도에서 알코올이 자살시도의 심각성 및 치명도에 미치는 영향이 성별에 따라 차이가 있는 지 여부를 확인하고자 하였다. 방 법 총 1,152명의 자살시도자(남성 487명, 여성 742명)를 분석 대상으로 하였으며, 음주 양상에 따라 알코올사용 장애군, 급성알코올사용군, 비알코올사용군으로 나누었다. 자살시도의 심각성과 치명도는 자살의도척도및 위험-구조평가척도로 평가하였다. 결 과 남성에서는 급성알코올사용군에 비해 알코올사용장애군에서 자살의도척도의 총점이 유의하게 낮았지만, 여성에서는 각 군 사이에 유의한 차이가 없었다. 위험-구조평가척도에서 남성은 각 군간에 차이가 없었으나, 여성은 알코올사용장애군에서 가장 높은 구조도와 가장 낮은 위험도 점수를 보였다. 결 론 알코올사용장애가 있는 여성 자살시도자는 구조가 쉬운 상황에서 충동적인 자살 시도를 하는 경향이 있다면, 남성은 알코올 사용장애 환자보다 급성 알코올 중독상태일 때 자살의도가 더 강했다. 자살시도자의 알코올의 사용이 성별에 따라 다른 영향을 미칠 수 있으며, 특히 여성에서 중요한 위험 요인임을 시사하고 있다.

• 산업융합연구
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• 제21권7호
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• pp.29-39
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• 2023

최근 국내‧외적으로 많은 지진이 발생하고 있는 상황에서, 우리나라의 건물은 내진설계 및 지진피해에 매우 취약한 상황이다. 따라서 현 연구의 목적은 건물에 대한 지진취약도 등급화 및 위험건물 밀도분석을 수행하는 효과적인 방법을 발굴하고 이를 모델화하여, 시범지역(서울시)자료를 활용해 검증해 보는데 있다. 이를 위해 활용된 두 가지 모델링 기법 중, 통계 분석 기법의 예측정확도는 87%였고, 머신러닝 기법은 Random Forest모델의 예측정확도가 가장 높았으며, 해당 모델의 Test Set 정확도는 97.1%로 도출되었다. 분석결과, 구별 등급화 결과는 광진구와 송파구가 상대적으로 위험하다고 예측되었으며, 위험건물 밀도분석은 서초구, 관악구, 강서구가 상대적으로 위험하다고 예측되었다. 최종적으로, 통계분석 기법을 활용한 분석결과가 머신러닝 기법을 활용한 분석결과보다 위험하게 도출되었으나, 우리나라에서는 지진 강도 6.5(MMI)가 내진설계의 기준인데, 서울시 건물의 약 18.9%가 내진설계 되어있는 것으로 확인된 것을 고려하면, 머신러닝 기법의 결과가 더 정확할 것으로 예측되었다. 현 연구는 인구 및 인프라와 경찰서, 소방서 등을 고려 않은 오직 건물만을 고려한 한계점이 있으며, 해당 한계를 포함해 수행하면 더욱 포괄적인 연구가 될 것이다.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제56권2호
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• pp.115-124
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• 2023

현재 극한기상의 발생빈도가 많아지면서 극한기상현상이 발생하였을 때 피해규모는 증가하고 있다. 이게 과거부터 강우량의 예측을 위해 많은 시간과 제원을 투자하여 예측정보를 제공하고 있다. 하지만 이러한 정보는 전문가가 아닌 일반인이 이해하기 어려우며 특히 극한기상현상이 발생하였을 때 어느정도의 규모의 피해가 발생하는지에 대한 정보는 포함되어 있지 않다. 이에 본 연구에서는 영국에서 최초로 제시한 Risk Matrix 작성을 통해 영향예보 기준을 활용하여 호우피해 등급기준 Risk Matrix를 제시하였다. 먼저 강우량 자료와 피해자료와의 상관 분석을 통해 Risk Matrix 작성에 필요한 변수를 선정하고 선행연구에서 제시된 PERCENTILE (25%, 75%, 90%, 95%)과 JNBC(Jenks Natural Breaks Classification)기법을 이용하여 강우량과 피해에 따른 등급기준을 산정하여 두 개의 등급기준을 합성하여 하나의 기준을 제시하였다. 분석 결과에 이재민 세대수 결과의 경우 가장 많은 피해가 발생하였던 영산강, 섬진강유역에서 JNBC 보다 PERCENTILE이 가장 많은 분포를 보였으며, 충청도 지역에서는 유사한 결과를 나타내었다. 강우량의 등급화 결과를 살펴보면 PERCENTILE보다 JNBC의 등급이 높게 산정되었으며, 특히 전라도 지역과 충청도 지역에서 가장 큰 등급을 나타내었다. 또한 피해지역 호우특보 현황과 비교해 보면 JNBC가 유사한 것을 확인할 수 있다. Risk Matrix 결과에서 가장 피해가 심했던 세종, 대전, 충남, 충북, 광주, 전남, 전북지역을 살펴보면 PERCENTILE보다 JNBC가 잘 모사한 것을 확인하였다.

• 한국전기전자재료학회논문지
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• 제36권6호
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• pp.598-602
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• 2023

With the purpose of instilling an awareness of the safety of users of electrical equipment and inducing voluntary facility improvement through the safety rating system for general low voltage electrical equipment, simulation and field application of the safety rating of general low voltage electrical equipment were conducted. For the introduction and application of the safety rating system for general low-voltage electrical equipment, data related to domestic safety was investigated and analyzed, cases of introduction in other fields were reviewed, and for design, the 4M risk assessment method of the Korea Occupational Safety and Health Agency and the cases of safety index development in Korea were analyzed and standardized. Safety rating system simulations were conducted for general low-voltage electrical equipment, and problem improvement measures were prepared by analyzing the results through on-site verification and simulation applied to the initial design. Design standards for the introduction of the safety rating system for general low-voltage electrical equipment were prepared, and 394 youth training facilities were applied to the field to see if the design standards were practically applicable to the field. With the application of the safety rating system for low-voltage electrical equipment for general use, youth training facilities that had been classified as 'appropriate' were able to induce an upgrade to a higher level through voluntary facility improvement according to the application of grades (A to E). As a result of inducing voluntary repair projects based on the results of the 1st and 2nd inspection of youth training facilities, it was confirmed that 86 facilities received grade A, 225 facilities received grade B, and only 311 facilities received grade A to B out of a total of 394 facilities, and there was no grade E.

• 한국터널지하공간학회 논문집
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.63-74
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• 2007

불확실한 지반의 상태는 항상 터널 건설에 있어서 많은 문제점을 일으킨다. 그러므로 새로운 터널의 건설에 앞서 위험에 대한 평가가 필요하다. 이 논문은 수정된 안정계수를 이용한 간편 위험도 평가 시스템인 URI(Underground Risk Index)를 제안하였다. URI의 평가요소들은 각 요소의 등급에 따라 점수화하여 분석함으로서 설계단계에서 위험 가능성에 대한 평가에 이용이 가능하도록 하였으며, 기존의 Interaction Matrix에서 8개의 설계 요소 중(RQD, 일축압축강도, 풍화도, 안정계수, 토피고, 지하수위, RMR, 투수계수)안정계수 산정방법을 수정하여 보다 신뢰성을 높였다. 또한 현장적용에 대한 신뢰성을 검증하기위하여 URI 시스템을 실제현장에 적용하였다.