• 제목/요약/키워드: Risk Modeling

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토픽모델링을 활용한 실내환경 분야 연구동향 파악 : 실내환경학회지 초록 사례연구 (An analysis of indoor environment research trends in Korea using topic modeling : Case study on abstracts from the journal of the Korean society for indoor environment)

  • 전형진;김도연;한국진;김동우;손승우;이철민
    • 실내환경 및 냄새 학회지
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.322-329
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    • 2018
  • The objective of this study is to identify the research trend in the field of indoor environment in Korea. We collected 419 papers published in the Journal of the Korean Society for indoor environment between 2004 and 2018, and attempted to produce datasets using a topic modeling technique, Latent Dirichlet Allocation(LDA). The result of topic modeling showed that 8 topics ("VOCs investigation", "Subway environment", "Building thermal environment", "School health", "Building particulate matter", "Asbestos risk", "Radon risk", "Air cleaner and treatment") could be extracted using Gibbs sampling method. In terms of topic trends, investigation of volatile organic compounds, subway environment, school health, and building particulate matter showed a decreasing tendency, while the building thermal environment, asbestos risk, radon risk, air cleaners, and air treatment showed an increasing tendency. The results of this topic modeling could help us to understand current trends related indoor environment, and provide valuable information in developing future research and policy frameworks.

Development of Semantic Risk Breakdown Structure to Support Risk Identification for Bridge Projects

  • Isah, Muritala Adebayo;Jeon, Byung-Ju;Yang, Liu;Kim, Byung-Soo
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 9th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.245-252
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    • 2022
  • Risk identification for bridge projects is a knowledge-based and labor-intensive task involving several procedures and stakeholders. Presently, risk information of bridge projects is unstructured and stored in different sources and formats, hindering knowledge sharing, reuse, and automation of the risk identification process. Consequently, there is a need to develop structured and formalized risk information for bridge projects to aid effective risk identification and automation of the risk management processes to ensure project success. This study proposes a semantic risk breakdown structure (SRBS) to support risk identification for bridge projects. SRBS is a searchable hierarchical risk breakdown structure (RBS) developed with python programming language based on a semantic modeling approach. The proposed SRBS for risk identification of bridge projects consists of a 4-level tree structure with 11 categories of risks and 116 potential risks associated with bridge projects. The contributions of this paper are threefold. Firstly, this study fills the gap in knowledge by presenting a formalized risk breakdown structure that could enhance the risk identification of bridge projects. Secondly, the proposed SRBS can assist in the creation of a risk database to support the automation of the risk identification process for bridge projects to reduce manual efforts. Lastly, the proposed SRBS can be used as a risk ontology that could aid the development of an artificial intelligence-based integrated risk management system for construction projects.

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청소년의 위험행동 예방을 위한 역량모델 개발 (Development of the Competency Model for Prevention of Adolescent Risk Behavior)

  • 박현숙;정선영
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제41권2호
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    • pp.204-213
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    • 2011
  • Purpose: This study was done to identify fundamental data on competency reinforcement programs to prevent adolescent risk behavior by developing and examining a competency model. Methods: In this study, competences on prevention of adolescent risk behavior were identified through competency modeling, and a competency model was developed and tested for validity. Results: Competences for prevention of adolescent risk behavior defined by the competency model included the following: self-control, positive mutual understanding between parents and adolescents, and positive connectedness with peer group. Validation of the competency model showed the model to be appropriate. Conclusion: The competency model for prevention of adolescent risk behavior through competency modeling is expected to be the foundation of an integral approach to enhance competency in adolescents and prevent adolescent risk behavior. This kind of approach can be a school-centered, cost-efficient strategy, which not only reduces adolescent risk behavior but also improves quality of adolescent resources.

Predictive Modeling for Microbial Risk Assessment (MRA) from the Literature Experimental Data

  • Bahk, Gyung-Jin
    • Food Science and Biotechnology
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.137-142
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    • 2009
  • One of the most important aspects of conducting this microbial risk assessment (MRA) is determining the model in microbial behaviors in food systems. However, to fully these modeling, large expenditures or newly laboratory experiments will be spent to do it. To overcome these problems, it has to be considered to develop the new strategies that can be used data in the published literatures. This study is to show whether or not the data set from the published experimental data has more value for modeling for MRA. To illustrate this suggestion, as example of data set, 4 published Salmonella survival in Cheddar cheese reports were used. Finally, using the GInaFiT tool, survival was modeled by nonlinear polynomial regression model describing the effect of temperature on Weibull model parameters. This model used data in the literatures is useful in describing behavior of Salmonella during different time and temperature conditions of cheese ripening.

ATM 기반 초고속 정보통신망 기술경제성 평가 모형 (A New Techno-Economic Modeling for ATM Based High-Speed Networks)

  • 이영호;김정헌;김영부;이순석;강국창
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.115-129
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    • 2003
  • This paper Is concerned with a new techno-economic model Ing of ATM based h19h-speed networks. Coupled with advances of technology, the rapid development of new telecommunication services significantly increases the magnitude of risk in making an Investment decision. Naturally, the success of techno-economic modeling depends on how effectively we manage underlying risk factors such as cost and technology To deal with risk factors, we need to rely on modern decision and risk analysis while Implementing mathematical optimization for solving a complex capacity expansion problem of telecommunication systems during the planning period. We provide a case study that will enhance our understanding of the techno-economic analysis for emerging telecommunication systems.

ISM에 의한 어린이 보호구역의 잠재위험 요인 구조화 모형 구축 (A Study on Development of Interpretive Structure Modeling(ISM) for Potential Risk Factors in School Zone)

  • 박유경;정현정;김영지;금기정
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제14권6호
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 2012
  • PURPOSES : This study is to develop ISM for potential risk factor in School Zone. METHODS : Based on the literature review, the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) has been used most widely. However, it is difficult to apply in practice because the AHP results have the characteristics of the independence between each element and the interlayer can not explain the interrelationship. The Network Analysis Process (ANP) is possible to analyze the relationship between the elements and the network through the feedback. But, the reliability of the analysis fall because of complicated pair of comparison, also it is difficult to solve the super matrix. In this study, the complicated relationship between each element is inquired through the Interpretive Structural Modeling (ISM). RESULTS : The methodology of ISM is developed to remove the children's potential risk factors in school zone. CONCLUSIONS : It is possible to remove the children's potential risk factors from low level to high level step by step and improve safety. Through this, risk factors can be removed from the low-level, and upper-level will automatically improve.

AN OVERVIEW OF RISK QUANTIFICATION ISSUES FOR DIGITALIZED NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS USING A STATIC FAULT TREE

  • Kang, Hyun-Gook;Kim, Man-Cheol;Lee, Seung-Jun;Lee, Ho-Jung;Eom, Heung-Seop;Choi, Jong-Gyun;Jang, Seung-Cheol
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제41권6호
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    • pp.849-858
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    • 2009
  • Risk caused by safety-critical instrumentation and control (I&C) systems considerably affects overall plant risk. As digitalization of safety-critical systems in nuclear power plants progresses, a risk model of a digitalized safety system is required and must be included in a plant safety model in order to assess this risk effect on the plant. Unique features of a digital system cause some challenges in risk modeling. This article aims at providing an overview of the issues related to the development of a static fault-tree-based risk model. We categorize the complicated issues of digital system probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) into four groups based on their characteristics: hardware module issues, software issues, system issues, and safety function issues. Quantification of the effect of these issues dominates the quality of a developed risk model. Recent research activities for addressing various issues, such as the modeling framework of a software-based system, the software failure probability and the fault coverage of a self monitoring mechanism, are discussed. Although these issues are interrelated and affect each other, the categorized and systematic approach suggested here will provide a proper insight for analyzing risk from a digital system.

스마트폰중독 위험군 대학생의 대인관계문제, 스트레스 대처방식, 정신건강의 구조모형분석 (A study on the Structural Equation Modeling of Interpersonal problem, Stress coping strategy, Mental health of University students at risk of Smartphone addiction)

  • 이유리;박정숙
    • 한국융합학회논문지
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.293-299
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구의 목적은 구조방정식모형을 활용하여 스마트폰중독 위험군 대학생의 대인관계문제, 스트레스대처방식, 정신건강의 관계를 분석하는 것이다. 연구 결과, 대인관계문제는 정신건강의 심각성을 악화시키는 직접적 영향력을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 스트레스대처전략은 대인관계문제와 정신건강 사이의 영향관계에서 부분 매개효과를 갖는 것으로 나타났고, 소극적 대처는 위험요인, 적극적 대처는 보호요인으로 분석되었다. 이러한 결과를 바탕으로 스마트폰중독 위험군 대학생의 정신건강 증진을 위한 다양한 실천적 정책적 개입전략을 제시하였다.

핵심기반시설 사이버 보안 평가 모델링 기법 연구 (A study on the cyber security assessment modeling of critical infrastructure)

  • 엄익채
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제17권8호
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    • pp.105-113
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구는 원자력 발전소등의 국가 핵심기반시설에 대한 기존의 사이버 보안 위험 모델링 기법을 분석하고 이의 한계점 및 개선방안을 도출하는데 목적이 있다. 연구 대상은 전력 및 원자력 발전소, SCADA등의 국가 핵심기반시설의 사이버 보안 위험 모델링 기법이다. 연구에서는 SCADA, 전력, 원자력 발전의 사이버 보안 위험 모델링 분야의 총 26편에 대한 선행 연구 사례를 분석하고, 이를 정성적 모델링과 정량적 모델링 기법으로 구분하여 각각의 특징과 한계점에 대해 분석하였다. 최근 핵심기반시설은 디지털화 되어 가는 추세이며 Windows등의 운영체제를 사용하는 시스템들로 구성되어 있지만, 상시 운영되어야 하는 요구사항으로 인해, 취약점이 발견되더라도 패치등을 즉각 행할 수가 없는 특징이 있다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 제약사항들을 감안하여 취약점들이 핵심기반시설의 생명주기동안 어떤 특성으로 전파되고 예방 할 수 있는지에 대한 모델링 기법 방안을 제시하고 있다.

전자금융사기 위험 분석과 대응방안에 관한 연구 (A Study on Risk Analysis and Countermeasures of Electronic Financial Fraud)

  • 정대용;김기범;이상진
    • 정보보호학회논문지
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.115-128
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    • 2017
  • 전자금융사기의 수법이 계속 진화하고 있다. 이에 대응하기 위해 다양한 연구와 대응방안이 제시되었으나 근절하기 어려운 상황이다. 본 연구는 MS사(社)의 Threat Risk Modeling 기법을 통해 전자금융사기의 위험을 분석하고 그 대응방안을 제시하기 위한 목적으로 수행되었다. 분석 결과 인증수단의 차이에도 불구하고 파밍의 위험이 높으며 추가적인 인증수단이나 기기보안 혹은 사용자 인증 기반의 보안체계 만으로는 공격을 예방하기 어렵다는 것을 확인하였다. 이에 따라 보안수단별 거래 한도의 재조정, 계좌인증 등 예방수단 및 추가적인 물리적 보안수단의 도입, 전자금융사기 예방제도의 연계와 홍보 및 사용자 인식 개선을 통한 종합적인 전자금융사기 예방 정책의 수립 시행을 제안한다.