• Title/Summary/Keyword: Reserve rate

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Impact of Maintenance Outage Rate Modeling on the Minimum Reserve Rate in Long-term Generation Expansion Planning (예방정비율(MOR) 모델링 방식이 수급계획의 최소설비예비율 산정에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Hyoungtae;Lee, Sungwoo;Kim, Wook
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.66 no.12
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    • pp.1712-1720
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    • 2017
  • In South Korea, minimum reserve rate, which is to satisfy reliability standard, has been determined by simulation result using WASP. But, it is still controversial whether the level of minimum reserve rate is adequate. Thus, in this study, various analyses of minimum reserve rate are being conducted. WASP uses the probabilistic simulation technique to evaluate whether reliability standard is satisfied. In this process, forced outage rate and maintenance periods of each generator play important roles. Especially, the long-term plan can be varied depending on how maintenance periods deal with. In order to model maintenance periods in the probabilistic simulation technique, WASP uses derating method. However, broad analyses have to be conducted because there are various ways including derating method to model maintenance periods which result in different results. Therefore, in this paper, 3 different maintenance outage rate modeling methods are applied to arbitrarily modeled system based on the basic plan for long-term electricity supply and demand of South Korea. Results show impact of each modeling method on minimum reserve rate.

Development of Methodology of New Effective Installed Reserve Rate considering Renewable Energy Generators (신재생에너지전원을 고려한 새로운 유효설비예비율 평가방법의 개발)

  • Park, Jeong-Je;Choi, Jae-Seok
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.59 no.1
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    • pp.26-32
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    • 2010
  • This paper proposes a new effective installed reserve rate in order to evaluate reliability of power system considering renewable generators, which include uncertainty of resource supply. It is called EIRR(effective installed reserve rate) in this paper. It is developed with considering capacity credit based on ELCC by using LOLE reliability criterion. While the conventional installed reserve rate index yields over-evaluation reliability of renewable generators, the proposed EIRR describes actual effective installed reserve rate. However, it is not the probabilistic reliability index as like as LOLE or EENS but another deterministic effective reliability index. The proposed EIRR is able to evaluate the realistic contribution to the reliability level for power system considering wind turbine generators and solar cell generators with high uncertainty in resource supply. The case study in model system as like as Jeju power system size presents a possibility that the proposed EIRR can be used practically as a new deterministic reliability index for generation expansion planning or operational planning in future.

Automatic Generation of Reserve Prices and Bid Prices for a Group Buying System (공동 구매 시스템에서의 낙찰 예정가 및 입찰가 자동 생성)

  • 김신우;고민정;박성은;이용규
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.55-68
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    • 2002
  • Internet group buying systems have been widely used recently. In those systems, because the reserve price is provided by the buyer, the success rate can be decreased if the reserve price is set too low compared with the normal price. Otherwise, an unsuitable successful bid can be made if the reserve price is set too high based on inaccurate information. Likewise, the seller's providing too high a bid price can deteriorate his/her own successful bid rate, whereas a successful bid with too low a price may make no profit in the sale. Therefore, pricing agents that recommend adequate prices based on the past buying and selling history data can be helpful. In this paper, we propose two kinds of agents. One suggests reserve prices to buyers based on the past buying history database of the system. The other recommends bid prices to a seller based on the past bidding history data of the company using the cost accounting theory. Through performance experiments, we show that the successful bid rate can increase by preventing buyers from making unreasonable reserve prices. Also, we show that, for the seller, the rate of successful bids with appropriate profits can increase. Using the pricing agents, we design and implement an XML-based group buying system.

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Efficacy of ablation and sclerotherapy for the management of ovarian endometrioma: A narrative review

  • Jee, Byung Chul
    • Clinical and Experimental Reproductive Medicine
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    • v.49 no.2
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    • pp.76-86
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    • 2022
  • Ovarian cystectomy is the preferred technique for the surgical management of ovarian endometrioma. However, other techniques such as ablation or sclerotherapy are also commonly used. The aim of this review is to summarize information regarding the efficacy of ablation and sclerotherapy compared to cystectomy in terms of ovarian reserve, the recurrence rate, and the pregnancy rate. Several studies comparing ablation versus cystectomy or sclerotherapy versus cystectomy in terms of the serum anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) decrement, endometrioma recurrence, or the pregnancy rate were identified and summarized. Both ablation and cystectomy have a negative impact on ovarian reserve, but ablation results in a smaller serum AMH decrement than cystectomy. Nonetheless, the recurrence rate is higher after ablation than after cystectomy. More studies are needed to demonstrate whether the pregnancy rate is different according to whether patients undergo ablation or cystectomy. The evidence remains inconclusive regarding whether sclerotherapy is better than cystectomy in terms of ovarian reserve. The recurrence rates appear to be similar between sclerotherapy and cystectomy. There is not yet concrete evidence that sclerotherapy helps to improve the pregnancy rate via in vitro fertilization in comparison to cystectomy or no sclerotherapy.

Reserve Price Recommendation Methods for Auction Systems Based on Time Series Analysis (경매 시스템에서 시계열 분석에 기반한 낙찰 예정가 추천 방법)

  • Ko Min Jung;Lee Yong Kyu
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.141-155
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    • 2005
  • It is very important that sellers provide reasonable reserve prices for auction items in internet auction systems. Recently, an agent has been proposed to generate reserve prices automatically based on the case similarity of information retrieval theory and the moving average of time series analysis. However, one problem of the previous approaches is that the recent trend of auction prices is not well reflected on the generated reserve prices, because it simply provides the bid price of the most similar item or an average price of some similar items using the past auction data. In this paper. in order to overcome the problem. we propose a method that generates reserve prices based on the moving average. the exponential smoothing, and the least square of time series analysis. Through performance experiments. we show that the successful bid rate of the new method can be increased by preventing sellers from making unreasonable reserve prices compared with the previous methods.

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A research of optimum supply reserve levels for stability of power system (전력계통 안정을 위한 공급예비력 적정수준에 대한 연구)

  • Ahn, Dae-Hoon;Kwon, Seok-Kee;Joo, Haeng-Ro;Shin, Jung-Sun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of IIIuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.61-65
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    • 2008
  • Because of the high increasing rate of load demand, these days the necessity of deciding what optimum reserve level is appropriate to most stably supply electricity is being emphasized. This research studies the downward tendency of reverve ratio by analyzing the trend of change of the network scale, reserve, and reserve ratio while optimum reserve has been increased as the network system scale grow up. This means, at this moment 6,000MW is optimum level for short term prospect of power supply and demand. And also, it has been analyzed that, as the annual peak load exceeded 50,000MW, confirming the amount of optimum reserve level is more stable than keeping 10 to 12% reserve ratio.

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A Reserve Price Generation Agent for an Internet Auction System (인터넷 경매 시스템에서의 낙찰 예정가 자동 생성 에이전트)

  • Ko, Min-Jung;Kim, Shin-Woo;Park, Sung-Eun;Lee, Yong-Kyu
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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    • v.9D no.5
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    • pp.955-962
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    • 2002
  • Commercial internet auction systems have been successfully used recently. In those systems, because reserve prices of auction items are given by sellers only, the success bid rate can be decreased due to the large difference between the reserve price and the normal price. In this paper, we propose an agent that generates reserve prices to sellers based on past auction data and item prices gathered from the web. Through performance experiments, we show that the successful bid rate increases by preventing sellers from making unreasonable reserve prices. Using the pricing agent, we design and implement an XML-based auction system on the web.

A study on forecasting attendance rate of reserve forces training based on Data Mining (데이터마이닝에 기반한 예비군훈련 입소율 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Sangjoon;Ma, Jungmok
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.261-267
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    • 2021
  • The mission of the reserve forces unit is to prepare good training for reserve forces during peacetime. For good training, units require proper organization support agents, but they have difficulties due to a lack of unit members. For that reason, the units forecast the monthly attendance rate of reserve forces (using the x-1 year's result) to organize support agents and unit schedule. On the other hand, the existing planning method can have more errors compared to the actual result of the attendance rate. This problem has a negative effect on the training performance. Therefore, it requires more accurate forecast models to reduce attendance rate errors. This paper proposes an attendance rate forecast model using data mining. To verify the proposed data mining based model, the existing planning method was compared with the proposed model using real data. The results showed that the proposed model outperforms the existing planning method.

A Research of Optimum Supply Reserve Levels for Stability of Power System (전력계통 안전을 위한 공급예비력 적정수준에 대한 연구)

  • Ahn, Dae-Hoon;Kwon, Seok-Kee;Joo, Haeng-Ro;Choi, Eun-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.22 no.9
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    • pp.55-61
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    • 2008
  • Because of the high increasing rate of load demand these days the necessity of deciding what optimum reserve level is appropriate to most stably supply electricity is being emphasized. This research studies the downward tendency of reserve ratio by analyzing the trend of change of the network scale, reserve, and reserve ratio while optimum reserve has been increased as the network system scale grow up. This means, at this moment 6,000[MW] is optimum level for short term prospect of power supply and demand. And also, it has been analyzed that, as the annual peak load exceeded 50,000[MW], confirming the amount of optimum reserve level is more stable than keeping 10 to 12[%] reserve ratio.

Spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of ecosystem service value in the Sanjiangyuan nature reserve nature reserve

  • Liu, Hao;Shu, Chang;Sun, Lihui
    • Advances in nano research
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.319-336
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    • 2022
  • Evaluating the temporal and spatial changes in the ecosystem service value (ESV) of the Sanjiangyuan Nature Reserve is important for understanding the impact of human activities on natural ecosystem and guiding ecosystem restoration and environmental pollution control. In this study, remotely sensed land-cover data and the equivalent factor method were used to analyze the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of the ESV in Sanjiangyuan Nature Reserve from 1992 to 2015, and regression analysis was employed to determine the factors driving changes in the ESV. The results show that grassland was the main type of ecosystem in the study area, and the transformation of grassland into bare areas was the primary change in land cover. Additionally, the ESV in the study area first decreased and then increased, with an annual growth rate of 0.69%. The ESV mainly increased in the north of the Yellow River's source area, and mainly decreased in the northwest of the Yangtze River's source area. Finally, the gross output value of agriculture, urbanization rate and proportion of secondary industry were found to be the main factors driving the ESV in the study area.