• 대한산업공학회지
• /
• 제14권1호
• /
• pp.103-117
• /
• 1988

Replacement demand plays an important role to forecast the total demand of durable goods, while most of the diffusion models deal with only adoption data, namely initial purchase demand. This paper presents replacement demand forecasting models incorporating repurchase rate, multi-ownership, and dynamic product life to complement the existing diffusion models. The performance of replacement demand forecasting models are analyzed and practical guidelines for the application of the models are suggested when life distribution data or adoption data are not available.

• 한국경영과학회지
• /
• 제10권1호
• /
• pp.65-78
• /
• 1985

In this paper, the approach getting a total demand by forecasting the new demand and the replacement demand separately and adding them is used for long term forecasting of durable goods. Cross country analysis using the income as an independent variable and S-shaped growth curve as a fitting model is developed as a method of forecasting new demand. To get the replacement demand the methods using the number of ownership and the replacement rate and the methods using the past demand and the distribution of the product life are proposed. And the theoretical explannation for product life cycle's diversity, which is the one of the major considerations in the long term forecasting, is attempted by the combination of the new demand and the replacement demand patterns. This is applicated the long term forecasting of Korean passenger cars.

• 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국경영과학회 2006년도 추계학술대회
• /
• pp.161-164
• /
• 2006

The sales of consumer durables are composed of first time purchases and replacement purchases. Since the sales for most mature durable products are dominated by replacement sales, it is necessary to develop a model incorporating replacement component of sales in order to forecast total sales accurately. Several single product diffusion models incorporating replacement demand have been developed, but research addressing the multi-product diffusion models has not considered replacement sales. In this paper, we propose a model based on consumer choice behavior that simultaneously captures the diffusion and the replacement process for multi-product relationships. The proposed model enables the division of replacement sales into repurchase by previous users and transition purchase by users of different products. As a result, the model allows the partitioning of the total sales according to the customer groups (first-time buyers, repurchase buyers, and transition buyers), which allows companies to develop their production and marketing plans based on their customer mix. We apply the proposed model to the Korean automobile market, and compare the fitting and forecasting performance with other Bass-type multi-product models.

• 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
• /
• 제21권4호
• /
• pp.61-68
• /
• 2017

교량 바닥판은 대형 차량 및 제설제와 같은 다양한 환경 요인으로 인해 급속히 악화되는 부재이다. 한국에 건설된 교량의 수명이 길어짐에 따라 교량 바닥판의 교체 수요가 증가 할 것으로 예상된다. 다른 국가에서는 프리 캐스트 바닥판을 이용한 급속 교량 건설 기술이 열화된 교량 바닥판의 교체 수요 대응을 위해 적극적으로 사용되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 국내 교량 바닥판의 상태평가 데이터를 수집 및 분석하여 교량 바닥판 열화 모델을 제안 하였다. 또한 교량 규모의 관점에서 열화된 교량 바닥판의 미래 대체 수요를 예측하였다.

• 한국정보처리학회논문지
• /
• 제3권7호
• /
• pp.1669-1679
• /
• 1996

In this paper, we address the problem of how to replace huffers in multimedia database systems with time-varying skewed data access. The access pattern in the multimedia database system to support audio-on-demand and video-on-demand services is generally skewed with a few popular objects. In addition the access pattem of the skewed objects has a time-varying property. In such situations, our analysis indicates that conventional LRU(least Recently Used) and LFU(Least Frequently Used) schemes for buffer replacement algorithm(ABRN:Adaptive Buffer Replacement using Neural suited. We propose a new buffer replacement algorithm(ABRN:Adaptive Buffer Replacement using Neural Networks)using a neural network for multimedia database systems with time-varying skewed data access. The major role of our neural network classifies multimedia objects into two classes:a hot set frequently accessed with great popularity and a cold set randomly accessed with low populsrity. For the classification, the inter-arrival time values of sample objects are employed to train the neural network.Our algorithm partitions buffers into two regions to combine the best roperties of LRU and LFU.One region, which contains the 핫셋 objects, is managed by LFU replacement and the other region , which contains the cold set objects , is managed by LRUreplacement.We performed simulation experiments in an actual environment with time-varying skewed data accsee to compare our algorithm to LRU, LFU, and LRU-k which is a variation of LRU. Simulation resuults indicate that our proposed algorthm provides better performance as compared to the other algorithms. Good performance of the neural network-based replacement scheme means that this new approach can be also suited as an alternative to the existing page replacement and prefetching algorithms in virtual memory systems.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국건축시공학회 2012년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
• /
• pp.149-150
• /
• 2012

According to the increase of demand of the deteriorated building. The interest of the building's maintenance is continually increased, so studies about how to increase building's stability & prolonged life span are increased. This study's purpose is to maintain building's function, so we suggest a protocol type system of UI to estimate reasonable planning of demand of repair & replacement and to distribute budget.

• Journal of Biosystems Engineering
• /
• 제29권5호
• /
• pp.441-450
• /
• 2004

This study was performed to estimate mid and long term demands of a tractor, a rice transplanter, a combine and a grain dryer by using logistic curve function and Markov chain model. Field survey was done to decide some parameters far logistic curve function and Markov chain model. Ceiling values of tractor and combine fer logistic curve function analysis were 209,280 and 85,607 respectively. Based on logistic curve function analysis, total number of tractors increased slightly during the period analysed. New demand for combine was found to be zero. Markov chain analysis was carried out with 2 scenarios. With the scenario 1(rice price $10\%$ down and current supporting policy by government), new demand for tractor was decreased gradually up to 700 unit in the year 2012. For combine, new demand was zero. Regardless of scenarios, the replacement demand was increased slightly after 2003. After then, the replacement demand is decreased after the certain time. Two analysis of logistic owe function and Markov chain model showed the similar trend in increase and decrease for total number of tractors and combines. However, the difference in numbers of tractors and combines between the results from 2 analysis got bigger as the time passed.

• 식품과학과 산업
• /
• 제50권3호
• /
• pp.2-32
• /
• 2017

Due to the increasing demand for convenience and simplicity, Home Meal Replacement (HMR) has become a key trend in the food service industry. This study researched the current consumer trend and analyzed the national and international HMR product trend, aiming to find useful insights for the field. Results showed that in order to expand the HMR market demand, it is possible to consider diversifying the product category by making customized premium products, such as products for the elderly, infants, patients, and sports players, or products with enhanced nutritional fortification. From the industrial aspect, centralization through Central Kitchen (CK) and implementation of the scientific and advanced ISO and HACCP system are necessary. Lastly, to develop high value-added HMR products, it is deemed essential to utilize the so-called 'food tech', the technology which integrates core technologies of the fourth industrial revolution into the food industry.

• ETRI Journal
• /
• 제35권4호
• /
• pp.687-696
• /
• 2013

The development of proxy caching is essential in the area of video-on-demand (VoD) to meet users' expectations. VoD requires high bandwidth and creates high traffic due to the nature of media. Many researchers have developed proxy caching models to reduce bandwidth consumption and traffic. Proxy caching keeps part of a media object to meet the viewing expectations of users without delay and provides interactive playback. If the caching is done continuously, the entire cache space will be exhausted at one stage. Hence, the proxy server must apply cache replacement policies to replace existing objects and allocate the cache space for the incoming objects. Researchers have developed many cache replacement policies by considering several parameters, such as recency, access frequency, cost of retrieval, and size of the object. In this paper, the Weighted-Rank Cache replacement Policy (WRCP) is proposed. This policy uses such parameters as access frequency, aging, and mean access gap ratio and such functions as size and cost of retrieval. The WRCP applies our previously developed proxy caching model, Hot-Point Proxy, at four levels of replacement, depending on the cache requirement. Simulation results show that the WRCP outperforms our earlier model, the Dual Cache Replacement Policy.

• Journal of Chest Surgery
• /
• 제23권3호
• /
• pp.514-521
• /
• 1990

Patient with aortic valvular disease have increased left ventricular work and greater myocardial oxygen demand, which may aggravate the effect of concomitant coronary artery disease. Thus in patient who repair aortic valve replacement, concomitant aortocoronary bypass surgery is often performed when angiographically significant coronary artery disease is present. This approach is supported by reports that revascularization does not increase operative risk when associated coronary artery disease is present and significantly reduce the occurrence of late sudden death. Recently we have experienced one case of aortic valve replacement concomitant with aorta-coronary bypass surgery. The patient was 56 year-old male and admitted with complaint of anterior chest pain especially during his exercise. He was diagnosed as aortic valve stenosis and regurgitation [GIII] with proximal right main coronary artery occlusion We performed aortic valve replacement with aorta coronary bypass surgery by use of saphenous vein. Post operative course was uneventful and chest pain was relieved. Post operative coronary angiogram disclosed good patency of grafted vessel.