• Title/Summary/Keyword: Reliability analyses

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Progressive Fatigue Reliability Analysis of Offshore Structures (해양구조물의 진전하는 피로파괴에 대한 신뢰도해석)

  • Ryu, Jeong Soo;Yun, Chung Bang
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.51-58
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    • 1992
  • The primary objective of this study is the development of the system reliability analysis of offshore structures against progressive fatigue failure. Two methods based on the second moment reliability methods are used. One is the improved first order reliability method(IFORM) and the other is the modified probabilistic network evaluation technique(MPNET). Using idealized parallel member models, reliability analyses for progressive fatigue failures are carried out for various cases with multiple members composed of multiple connecting joints per member. Numerical results indicate that the effectiveness of the used methods over the conventional ones (i.e. the FORM and the PNET) increases very significantly as the number of failure modes of the system increases.

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Reliability analysis of surface settlement by groundwater drawdown from tunnel excavation (터널굴착시 지하수위저하에 의한 지표침하의 신뢰성 해석)

  • Jang, Yeon-Soo;Kim, Hong-Seong;Park, Jeong-Yong;Park, Joon-Mo;Lee, Seong-Ki
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2005.03a
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    • pp.1426-1433
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, reliability analysis of surface settlement by ground water drawdown is performed using a reliability-groundwater flow numerical model. The result is compared with that of the deterministic model to evaluate the influence of the uncertainty from hydraulic conductivity in the soft ground as well as to determine the range of hydraulic conductivity of grouted ground. From the analyses, it was found that probability of failure to exceed the tolerable settlement was very high, if the hydraulic conductivity of grouted ground is decided from the deterministic flow model only. Reliability analysis which evaluates variance of hydraulic conductivity should be used together with the deterministic model for grouting design of tunnels to prevent ground water drawdown.

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Risk Assessment for the Failure of an Arch Bridge System Based upon Response Surface Method(I): Component Reliability (응답면 기법에 의한 아치교량 시스템의 붕괴 위험성평가(I): 요소신뢰성)

  • Cho, Tae-Jun;Bang, Myung-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.21 no.6 s.78
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    • pp.74-81
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    • 2006
  • Probabilistic Risk Assessment considering statistically random variables is performed for the preliminary design of a Arch Bridge. Component reliabilities of girders have been evaluated using the response surfaces of the design variables at the selected critical sections based on the maximum shear and negative moment locations. Response Surface Method(RSM) is successfully applied for reliability analyses for this relatively small probability of failure of the complex structure, which is hard to be obtained by Monte-Carlo Simulations or by First Order Second Moment Method that can not easily calculate the derivative terms of implicit limit state functions. For the analysis of system reliability, parallel resistance system composed of girders is changed into parallel series connection system. The upper and lower probabilities of failure for the structural system have been evaluated and compared with the suggested prediction method for the combination of failure modes. The suggested prediction method for the combination of failure modes reveals the unexpected combinations of element failures in significantly reduced time and efforts compared with the previous permutation method or system reliability analysis method.

FMEA and FTA for Reliability Analysis of Hybrid Rocket Motor (하이브리드 로켓 모터의 신뢰성 분석을 위한 FMEA 및 FTA)

  • Moon, Keun Hwan;Kim, Dong Seong;Choi, Joo Ho;Kim, Jin Kon
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.27-33
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    • 2013
  • In this study, the FMEA and FTA for reliability analysis of hybrid rocket motor are performed, that was designed in the Hybrid Rocket Propulsion Laboratory of Korea Aerospace University. In order to carry out these analyses the structure of the hybrid rocket motor is hierarchically divided into 36 parts down to the component level and FMEA is carried out with 72 failure modes. Reliability is assessed based on the FMEA, and the results are used in the FTA to evaluate the overall system reliability. In the FMEA, the relationship between the cause and failure modes, effects and their risk priorities are evaluated qualitatively. 27 failure modes are chosen as those with the critical severity that should be improved with priority. As a result of the FMEA / FTA study, a series of design or material changes are made for the improvement of reliability.

The Explicit Treatment of Model Uncertainties in the Presence of Aleatory and Epistemic Parameter Uncertainties in Risk and Reliability Analysis

  • Ahn, Kwang-ll;Yang, Joon-Eon
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.64-79
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    • 2003
  • In the risk and reliability analysis of complex technological systems, the primary concern of formal uncertainty analysis is to understand why uncertainties arise, and to evaluate how they impact the results of the analysis. In recent times, many of the uncertainty analyses have focused on parameters of the risk and reliability analysis models, whose values are uncertain in an aleatory or an epistemic way. As the field of parametric uncertainty analysis matures, however, more attention is being paid to the explicit treatment of uncertainties that are addressed in the predictive model itself as well as the accuracy of the predictive model. The essential steps for evaluating impacts of these model uncertainties in the presence of parameter uncertainties are to determine rigorously various sources of uncertainties to be addressed in an underlying model itself and in turn model parameters, based on our state-of-knowledge and relevant evidence. Answering clearly the question of how to characterize and treat explicitly the forgoing different sources of uncertainty is particularly important for practical aspects such as risk and reliability optimization of systems as well as more transparent risk information and decision-making under various uncertainties. The main purpose of this paper is to provide practical guidance for quantitatively treating various model uncertainties that would often be encountered in the risk and reliability modeling process of complex technological systems.

Risk Assessment for a Bridge System Based upon Response Surface Method Compared with System Reliability (체계신뢰성 평가와 비교한 응답면기법에 의한 교량시스템의 위험성평가)

  • Cho, Tae-Jun;Moon, Jae-Woo;Kim, Jong-Tae
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2007.04a
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    • pp.295-300
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    • 2007
  • Probabilistic Risk Assessment considering statistically random variables is performed for the preliminary design of a Arch Bridge. Component reliabilities of girders have been evaluated using the response surfaces of the design variables at the selected critical sections based on the maximum shear and negative moment locations. Response Surface Method (RSM) is successfully applied for reliability analyses for this relatively small probability of failure of the complex structure, which is hard to be obtained by Monte-Carlo Simulations or by First Order Second Moment Method that can not easily calculate the derivative terms of implicit limit state functions. For the analysis of system reliability, parallel resistance system composed of girders is changed into parallel series connection system. The upper and lower probabilities of failure for the structural system have been evaluated and compared with the suggested prediction method for the combination of failure modes. The suggested prediction method for the combination of failure modes reveals the unexpected combinations of element failures in significant]y reduced time and efforts compared with the previous permutation method or system reliability analysis method.

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Development of Web-based Design Review System for Reliability and Safety Knowledge Management

  • Otsuka, Yuichi;Yukawa, Takashi;Mutoh, Yoshiharu
    • International Journal of Safety
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.22-28
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    • 2010
  • This paper describes a web-based design review system as a knowledge management system relating reliability and safety system design. Since people's consciousness for safety and security become sensitive and increases the need of establishing a proactive prevention method for internal failures and relating risks in products. It also means that prevailing tacit knowledge in retired workers, in order to transform them to be easily used to support new system development, become more important. When considering safety and reliability design, at least two data sheet are necessary; Failure Modes and Effects Analyses (FMEA) and Risk Assessment (RA). These two data are practically made separately. However, it includes the concerns that a risk by failures during long-term use may not be noticed. To overcome this insufficiency, a support tool for integrating reliability evaluation and risk assessment data simultaneously is expected to be revealed. The authors have then developed a web-based design review system for reliability and safety system design. The system include various profitable functions; making FMEA and RA sheet, retrieving past data sheet for engineering change management and new product development and web-based discussion to increase the efficiency of discussion. The system is applied to one practical development works in order to demonstrate its effectiveness that is to be made clear by interviewing user's qualitative comment.

The Study of Shot Peening Process Optimization for Reliability Improvement of an Aircraft Structural Part (항공용 구조물의 신뢰성 향상을 위한 숏피닝 공정 최적화 연구)

  • Nam, Yong-Seog;Jeong, Yoo-In;Kim, Hwa-Soo
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.325-331
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: There is active research that improves both reliability and fatigue life of structures which widely used in the aerospace fields of defense industry. The effects of three parameters (pressure, peening time, nozzle distance) on Almen intensity and coverage will be investigated by using the experimental and analyzed data. Methods: we employed a Box-Behnken design. Additionally, to verify the validity of the optimal condition obtained from experimental results, metallurgical analyses of the shot-peened aerospace part were conducted with respect to surface morphology, residual stress. Results: Optimal shot peening condition is determined as (distance, pressure, time) by optimizing simultaneously the two responses of intensity and coverage. At the optimal peening condition the prediction interval for Almen intensity is well within the required range. And, the validity of the condition was checked by using the real aerospace aluminum alloy plate. Conclusion: Shot peening introduces significant levels of compressive residual stress and induces improves both reliability and fatigue life of structures.

An Evaluation of the Validity and Reliability of the Face Mask Use Scale's Korean Version among Community-Dwelling Adults (한국어판 마스크 착용 이행 측정 도구의 신뢰도와 타당도 평가: 지역사회 거주 일반 성인을 대상으로)

  • Lee, Kyungmi;Shin, Nayeon;Kang, Younhee
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.51 no.5
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    • pp.549-560
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: This study evaluated the validity and reliability of the Korean version of the Face Mask Use Scale (K-FMUS) among community-dwelling adults. Methods: The participants of the study were community-dwelling adults in Korea using face masks during the COVID-19 pandemic. The English FMUS was translated into Korean using forward and backward translation procedures. The construct validity and reliability of the K-FMUS were evaluated using the exploratory and confirmatory factor analyses and the internal consistency reliability test. Results: The K-FMUS comprised 6 items divided into 2 factors. The variance of the factors was approximately 79.1%, which suggested that the scale indicated the effectiveness of face mask usage. The two factors were labeled as face mask use in society (4 items) and face mask use at home (2 items). Cronbach's α value for the overall scale was .88. Conclusion: The K-FMUS is a valid and reliable scale that can be used to measure face mask usage among community-dwelling adults in Korea during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Development of the Patient Caring Communication Scale (환자 돌봄 의사소통 측정 도구 개발)

  • Heo, Myoung Lyun;Im, Sook Bin
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.49 no.1
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    • pp.80-91
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: This study attempted to develop a scale that measures the level of patients' recognition of the nurses' care, based on Watson's caring theory, and confirmed its reliability and validity. Methods: The items were developed through a literature review and an expert content validity test. The questionnaires were administered to 285 inpatients of internal medicine and surgical units at two general hospitals. Construct validity was tested using exploratory and confirmatory factor analysis, and reliability was tested using Cronbach's alpha. Results: This process resulted in a preliminary scale composed of 34 items; We used item analysis and five exploratory factor analyses, and consequently selected 14 items composed of three factors (respect, genuineness, and relationality). The confirmatory factor analysis verified the model fit and convergent and discriminant validity of the final items; criterion validity was confirmed with the positive correlation with the measurement scale of the patient-perceived quality of nursing. The overall scale reliability had a Cronbach's alpha of .92, which indicated internal consistency and reliability. Conclusion: The developed scale showed content, construct, and criterion validity, and reliability, as well as convergent validity for each item and discriminant validity between the factors. This makes it suitable for use in a diverse range of future studies on nurse communication using structural equation models.