• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 4th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management Organized by the University of New South Wales
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• pp.432-438
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• 2011

The purpose of the present thesis is to develop bankruptcy prediction models capable of being applied to the Korean construction industry and to deduce an optimal model through comparative evaluation of final developed models. A study population was selected as general contractors in the Korean construction industry. In order to ease the sample securing and reliability of data, it was limited to general contractors receiving external audit from the government. The study samples are divided into a bankrupt company group and a non-bankrupt company group. The bankruptcy, insolvency, declaration of insolvency, workout and corporate reorganization were used as selection criteria of a bankrupt company. A company that is not included in the selection criteria of the bankrupt company group was selected as a non-bankrupt company. Accordingly, the study sample is composed of a total of 112 samples and is composed of 48 bankrupt companies and 64 non-bankrupt companies. A financial ratio was used as early predictors for development of an estimation model. A total of 90 financial ratios were used and were divided into growth, profitability, productivity and added value. The MDA (Multivariate Discriminant Analysis) model and BLRA (Binary Logistic Regression Analysis) model were used for development of bankruptcy prediction models. The MDA model is an analysis method often used in the past bankruptcy prediction literature, and the BLRA is an analysis method capable of avoiding equal variance assumption. The stepwise (MDA) and forward stepwise method (BLRA) were used for selection of predictor variables in case of model construction. Twenty two variables were finally used in MDA and BLRA models according to timing of bankruptcy. The ROC-Curve Analysis and Classification Analysis were used for analysis of prediction performance of estimation models. The correct classification rate of an individual bankruptcy prediction model is as follows: 1) one year ago before the event of bankruptcy (MDA: 83.04%, BLRA: 93.75%); 2) two years ago before the event of bankruptcy (MDA: 77.68%, BLRA: 78.57%); 3) 3 years ago before the event of bankruptcy (MDA: 84.82%, BLRA: 91.96%). The AUC (Area Under Curve) of an individual bankruptcy prediction model is as follows. : 1) one year ago before the event of bankruptcy (MDA: 0.933, BLRA: 0.978); 2) two years ago before the event of bankruptcy (MDA: 0.852, BLRA: 0.875); 3) 3 years ago before the event of bankruptcy (MDA: 0.938, BLRA: 0.975). As a result of the present research, accuracy of the BLRA model is higher than the MDA model and its prediction performance is improved.

• 한국농림기상학회지
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• 제23권2호
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• pp.122-133
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• 2021

작물 모형의 품종모수를 추정하기 위한 기상자료는 일반적으로 생육 관측 자료가 수집된 시험지의 인근에 위치한 종관기상 관측자료가 사용되어왔으나, 지형적인 원인이나 시험지와 기상관측소 사이의 거리로 인해 실제 시험지의 기상과 차이가 발생할 수 있다. 반면, 비교적 높은 밀도로 분포하는 방재기상 관측자료를 활용할 경우 이러한 문제점을 보완할 수 있을 것이다. 본 연구에서는 종관기상 관측자료와 방재기상 관측자료를 각각 사용하여 출수기에 영향을 미치는 DSSAT 모형의 모수들을 추정하고, 추정된 모수들의 신뢰도를 비교하고자 하였다. 모수 추정을 위해 사용한 재배관리 및 생육 관측값은 지역장려품종 선발시험과 작황시험으로부터 수집하였다. 모수 추정은 Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) 방법을 사용하였으며, 불확실성을 고려하여 100번의 반복 추정을 통해 100개의 모수 집합을 생성하였다. 모수 추정에 소요되는 시간을 단축하기 위해 도커 컨테이너를 기반으로 병렬적으로 GLUE를 구동하였다. 추정된 모수들을 사용하여 모의된 출수기의 평균은, 방재기상자료를 사용하였을 때 최대 4일로, 종관기상자료를 사용하였을 때 최대 오차가 7일이었던 것에 비하여 크게 개선되었다. 그러나, 방재기상자료의 원활한 활용을 위해서는 해당 자료에 대한 접근성이 향상되어야 할 것으로 예상되었다.

• 산업융합연구
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• 제18권1호
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• pp.87-96
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• 2020

본 연구는 노인의 신체이미지가 성공적 노화에 미치는 영향에서 성장 마인드셋과 희망의 이중 매개효과를 검증하는데 목적이 있다. 이를 위해 충청남도 D시, S시 및 D광역시의 노인 422명을 대상으로 설문조사하였고 수집한 자료는 SPSS 25.0과 PROCESS macro 3.4 프로그램을 활용하여, 빈도 분석, 신뢰도 분석, 상관 분석 및 부트스트랩을 통한 이중 매개 분석을 수행하였다. 연구의 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 상관분석 결과 각 변인들 간에는 통계적으로 유의미한 정적 상관관계가 있었다. 둘째, 경로분석 결과 신체이미지는 성장 마인드셋과 희망에 정적 영향을 미쳤고, 성장 마인드셋은 희망과 성공적 노화에 정적인 영향을 주었으며, 희망 또한 성공적 노화에 유의미한 영향을 미쳤다. 셋째, 이중 매개효과 분석 결과 신체이미지와 성공적 노화의 관계에서 성장 마인드셋과 희망은 이중 매개하였다. 본 연구는 노인들의 성공적인 노화를 위한 신체이미지, 성장 마인드셋 및 희망을 활용한 새로운 모델과 기초자료를 제공하였다.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제40권3호
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• pp.92-98
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• 2017

The rapid growth of engineering technology and the emergence of systemized and large-scale engineering systems have resulted in complexity and uncertainty throughout the lifecycle activities of engineering systems. This complex and large-scale engineering system consists of numerous components, but system failure can be caused by failure of any one of a number of components. There is a real difficulty in managing such a complex and large-scale system as a part. In order to efficiently manage the system and have high reliability, it is necessary to structure a system with a complex structure as a sub-system. Also, in the case of a system in which cause of failures exist at the same time, it is required to identify the correlation of the components lifetime and utilize it for the design policy or maintenance activities of the system. Competitive risk theory has been used as a theory based on this concept. In this study, we apply the competitive risk theory to the models with combined structure of series and parallel which is the basic structure of most complex engineering systems. We construct a competing risks model and propose a mathematical model of net lifetime and crude lifetime for each cause of failure, assuming that the components consisting a parallel system are mutually dependent. In addition, based on the constructed model, the correlation of cause of failure is mathematically analyzed and the hazard function is derived by dividing into net lifetime and crude lifetime.

• 융합신호처리학회논문지
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.1-5
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• 2013

The two major problems related to the blood flow in replaced prosthetic heart valve are thrombus formation and hemolysis. Reliability of prosthetic valve is very important because its failure means the death of patient. There are many factors affecting the valvular failures and their representatives are mechanical failure and thrombosis, so early noninvasive detection is essentially required. The purpose of this study is to detect the various thromboses formation by using acoustic signal acquisition and its spectral analysis on the frequency domain. We made the thrombosis models using Polydimethylsiloxane (PDMS) and they are thrombosis model on the disc, around the sewing ring and fibrous tissue growth across the orifice of valve. Using microphone and amplifier, we measured the acoustic signal from the prosthetic valve, which is attached to the pulsatile mock circulation system. A/D converter sampled the acoustic signal and the spectral analysis is the main algorithm for obtaining spectrum. Then the spectrum of normal and 5 different kinds of abnormal valve were obtained. Each spectrum waveform shows a primary and secondary peak. The secondary peak changes according to the thrombus model. To quantitatively distinguish the frequency peak of the normal valve from that of the thrombosed valves, analysis using a neural network was employed. Acoustic measurement has been used as a noninvasive diagnostic tool and is thought to be a good method for detecting possible mechanical failure or thrombus.

• 한국가스학회지
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• 제12권3호
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• pp.1-6
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• 2008

갈수록 성장하고 있는 LNG 산업에 있어서 안전관리는 필수적인 요소로 자리잡아가고 있다. 이에 따라 기존의 LNG 저장/수송 시설에 대한 안전 관리를 보다 발전시킬 수 있는 것이 필요하며 최근 발전된 IT 산업은 LNG 저장/수송 시설에 대한 통합 안전관리 시스템을 가능케 했다. 위험성 평가/분석 기술, 폭발, 누출 및 확산 모델 구축 기술, 실시간 모니터링 및 이상 진단 기술, Data reconciliation을 통한 공정 정보 신뢰성 향상 기술 등을 집약하며 웹 환경을 통하여 구축될 통합 안전관리 시스템은 LNG 산업의 안전성 향상과 향후 기술 수출에 큰 기여를 할 것이다.

• 방송공학회논문지
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• 제16권6호
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• pp.1058-1068
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• 2011

비디오 프레임 율 증가 변환은 최근에 가전 분야에서 비디오 정보원과 더불어 디스플레이 포맷의 폭발적인 증가에 힘입어 매우 많은 관심의 대상이 되었다. 대부분의 진보된 FRUC 알고리즘은 보간된 프레임들의 움직임 벡터장을 결정하는 효과적인 움직임 보간 기술을 사용하고 있다. 그러나 수신기의 후처리 분야와 같은 응용 분야에서는 움직임 보상 보간 프레임이 얼마나 잘 복원되었는지에 대한 정보를 필요로 한다. 이와 같은 목적을 달성하기 위해, 먼저, 본 논문에서는 움직임 보상 보간 프레임의 블록 단위로 신뢰도를 측정할 수 있는 비용 함수들을 도입한다. 그런 후에 이러한 함수들을 사용하여 움직임 보상 보간 프레임에서 얼마나 많은 잡음이 포함되어 있는지를 평가할 수 있는 두 가지의 왜곡 예측 모델을 제안한다. 모의실험을 통하여 제안된 왜곡 예측 방식은 움직임 보상 보간 프레임의 잡음을 효과적으로 예측할 수 있음을 보인다.

• 한국레이저가공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국레이저가공학회 1998년도 추계학술발표대회 초록개요집
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• pp.0-0
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• 1998

-Part I- As market needs become more various, the production of smaller quantities of a wider variety of products becomes increasingly important. In addition, in order to meet demands for more efficient production, long-term unmanned factory operation is prevailing at a remarkable pace. Within this context, laser machines are gaining increasing popularity for use in applications such as cutting and welding metallic and ceramic materials. FANUC supplies four models of $CO_2$ laser oscillators with laser power ranging from 1.5㎾ to 6㎾ on an OEM basis to machine tool builders. However, FANUC has been requested to produce laser oscillators that allow more compact and lower-cost laser machines to be built. To meet such demands, FANUC has developed six models of Slab type YAG laser oscillators with output power ranging from 150W to 2㎾. These oscillators are designed mainly fur cutting and welding sheet metals. The oscillator has an exceptionally superior laser beam quality compared to conventional YAG laser oscillators, thus providing significantly improved machining capability. In addition, the laser beam of the oscillator can be efficiently transmitted through quartz optical fibers, enabling laser machines to be simplified and made more compact. This paper introduces the features of FANUC’s developed Slab type YAG laser oscillators and their applications. - Part II - All-solid-state lasers employing laser diodes (LD) as a source of pumping solid-state laser feature high efficiency, compactness, and high reliability. Thus, they are expected to provide a new generation of processing tools in various fields, especially in automobile and aircraft industries where great hopes are being placed on laser welding technology for steel plates and aluminum materials for which a significant growth in demand is expected. Also, in power plants, it is hoped that reliability and safety will be improved by using the laser welding technology. As in the above, the advent of high-power all-solid-state lasers may not only bring a great technological innovation to existing industry, but also create new industry. This is the background for this project, which has set its sights on the development of high-power, all-solid-state lasers with an average output of over 10㎾, an oscillation efficiency of over 20%, and a laser head volume of below 0.05㎥. FANUC Ltd. is responsible for the research and development of slab type lasers, and TOSHIBA Corp. far rod type lasers. By pumping slab type Nd: YAG crystal and by using quasi-continuous wave (QCW) type LD stacks, FANUC has already obtained an average output power of 1.7㎾, an optical conversion efficiency of 42%, and an electro-optical conversion efficiency of 16%. These conversion efficiencies are the best results the world has ever seen in the field of high-power all-solid-state lasers. TOSHIBA Corp. has also obtained an output power of 1.2㎾, an optical conversion efficiency of 30％, and an electro-optical conversion efficiency of 12%, by pumping the rod type Nd: YAG crystal by continuous wave (CW) type LD stacks. The laser power achieved by TOSHIBA Corp. is also a new world record in the field of rod type all-solid-state lasers. This report provides details of the above results and some information on future development plans.

• 유통과학연구
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• 제13권10호
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• pp.101-108
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• 2015

Purpose - The convenience store business sector in South Korea has contributed to economic growth and job creation, and the growth potential of this market segment remains very high. In addition, service value is a more important factor than price in determining purchase intention. Research in the convenience store market is relatively very low compared to other retail sectors. In particular, research on service quality for the convenience of retailers who examine and analyze customer behavior and service quality factors used in the convenience store side of the situation is very inadequate. We have investigated the relationship of store service quality, service satisfaction, and store loyalty. In addition, we have examined the way service value moderates the relationship among these variables. Research design, data, and methodology - The questionnaire was developed using modified and supplementary questions based on the KD-SQS and RSQS models. The study suggested a theoretical model composed of 15 hypotheses on the relations between theoretic variables, and surveys conducted with consumers in discount stores in the Seoul and Gyunggi Metropolitan area in order to verify the hypotheses. We used the SPSS/PC statistical packages to analyze the results. The number of surveys used was 227. Moreover, a structural equating model was also used to analyze the reliability and validity of the composing elements and to verify the suggested hypotheses. Results - The overall results of this study are as follows. First, all service quality elements have a significant effect on service satisfaction. Second, all service quality elements have a significant effect on store loyalty. Third, service satisfaction has a significant effect on store loyalty. Finally, when the participants were divided into high and low service value the results of the multiple regression analyses showed that only the relationship between policy of service quality and satisfaction, and human interaction and policy of service quality and loyalty were significant. The implications are discussed based on the findings of the study. Conclusions - First, through direct hypotheses testing, we confirmed that the convenience service quality positively impacts the service satisfaction and loyalty of buyers. In particular, the reliability, origin benefit, and promotion were found to have more influence on satisfaction and loyalty of consumers of a convenience store. Further, for the service quality of the convenience for the consumer loyalty, greater human interaction was a high-value and statistically significantly higher than the degree of improvement in consumer loyalty. This underscores the importance of education and human services management of employees working in a convenience store. In particular, frequent changes in personnel generate results that negatively impact loyalty with customers. These results may lead to a serious problem in the economics of the store. Therefore, it should enhance the value of services through the establishment of training and compensation for employees. In addition, a certain educational level is required as well as a basis for compensation and retention.

• 지능정보연구
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• 제18권4호
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• pp.59-77
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• 2012

기업의 성장성, 수익성, 안정성, 활동성, 생산성 등에 대한 다양한 분석이 은행, 신용평가기관, 투자자 등 많은 이해관계자에 의해 실시되고 있고, 이에 대한 다양한 경영분석 지표들 또한 정기적으로 발표되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 경영분석 지표를 이용하여 어떤 기업이 가까운 미래에 유상증자를 실시하는지를 데이터마이닝을 통해 예측하고자 한다. 본 연구를 통해 어떠한 지표가 유상증자 여부를 예측하는데 도움이 되는가를 살펴 볼 것이며, 그 지표들을 이용하여 예측할 경우 그 예측의 정확도가 어느 정도인지를 분석하고자 한다. 특히 1997년 IMF 금융위기 전후로 유상증자를 결정하는 변수들이 변화하는지, 그리고 예측의 정확성에 분명한 차이가 존재하는지 분석한다. 또한 유상증자 실시 시기를 경영분석 지표 발표 후 1년 내, 1~2년 내, 2~3년 내로 나누어 예측 시기에 따라 예측의 정확성과 결정 변수들의 차이가 존재하는지도 분석한다. 658개의 유가증권상장법인의 경영분석 데이터를 이용하여 실증 분석한 결과, IMF 이후의 유상증자 예측모형이 IMF 이전의 예측모형에 비해 예측 정확도가 높았고, 학습용 데이터의 예측 정확도와 검증용 데이터의 예측 정확도 차이도 IMF 이후가 낮게 나타났다. 이러한 결과는 IMF 이후 재무자료의 정확도가 높아졌고, 기업에게 유상증자의 목적이 더욱 명확해졌다고 해석될 수 있다. 또한 예측기간이 단기인 경우 경영분석 지표 중 안전성에 관련된 지표들의 중요성이 부각되었고, 장기인 경우에는 수익성과 안전성뿐만 아니라 활동성과 생산성 관련지표도 유상증자를 예측하는 데 중요한 것으로 파악되었다. 그리고 모든 예측모형에서 산업코드가 유상증자를 예측하는 중요변수로 포함되었는데 이는 산업별로 서로 다른 유상증자 유형이 존재한다는 점을 시사한다. 본 연구는 투자자나 재무담당자가 유상증자 여부를 장단기 시점에서 예측하고자 할 때 어떠한 경영분석지표를 고려하여 분석하는 것이 바람직한지에 대한 지침을 제공하는데 그 의의가 있다.