• 제목/요약/키워드: Relative Uncertainty

검색결과 289건 처리시간 0.027초

내장형 힘 변환기를 이용한 대용량 힘 표준기 개발 (Development of a Large Force Standard Machine with Built-in Force Transducers)

  • 강대임;이정태;송후근;김엄기
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.667-675
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    • 2000
  • Force measuring devices should be calibrated to guarantee their test results. In order to establish the force standards in Korea, deadweight machines of 5 kN, 20 kN, 100 kN and 500 kN capacity and a hydraulic force standard machine of 2 MN capacity were installed at the Korea Research Institute of Standards and Science(KRISS). As heavy industries in Korea have been developed, we should measure large forces over 2 MN capacity precisely in industries. We developed a 10 MN force standard machine with built-in force transducers which is more compact and cheaper than hydraulic force standard machines which have been widely used as large force standards in most national metrology laboratories. Test results reveal that the relative expanded uncertainty of the force machine is less than 4.1 $\times$ 10-4 in the range of 1 MN-4.5 MN.

주행거리계의 기구적 오차에 강인한 개선된 상대 위치추정 알고리즘 (Advanced Relative Localization Algorithm Robust to Systematic Odometry Errors)

  • 나원상;황익호;이혜진;박진배;윤태성
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제14권9호
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    • pp.931-938
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, a novel localization algorithm robust to the unmodeled systematic odometry errors is proposed for low-cost non-holonomic mobile robots. It is well known that the most pose estimators using odometry measurements cannot avoid the performance degradation due to the dead-reckoning of systematic odometry errors. As a remedy for this problem, we tty to reflect the wheelbase error in the robot motion model as a parametric uncertainty. Applying the Krein space estimation theory for the discrete-time uncertain nonlinear motion model results in the extended robust Kalman filter. This idea comes from the fact that systematic odometry errors might be regarded as the parametric uncertainties satisfying the sum quadratic constrains (SQCs). The advantage of the proposed methodology is that it has the same recursive structure as the conventional extended Kalman filter, which makes our scheme suitable for real-time applications. Moreover, it guarantees the satisfactoty localization performance even in the presence of wheelbase uncertainty which is hard to model or estimate but often arises from real driving environments. The computer simulations will be given to demonstrate the robustness of the suggested localization algorithm.

자연배출량이 수도권 고농도 오존 사례에 미치는 영향범위 추정: 2004년과 2007년 6월 사례를 중심으로 (Estimating Influence of Biogenic Volatile Organic Compounds on High Ozone Concentrations over the Seoul Metropolitan Area during Two Episodes in 2004 and 2007 June)

  • 김순태
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제27권6호
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    • pp.751-771
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    • 2011
  • Biogenic Volatile Organic Compound (BVOC) emissions are estimated with BEIS3.12 (Biogenic Emissions Inventory System version 3.12) over the Seoul Metropolitan Area (SMA) and then used in CMAQ (Community Multiscale Air Quality) simulations for two high ozone episodes in 2004 and 2007 June. The first- and second-order sensitivity coefficients of ozone to BVOC emissions are estimated with High-order Decoupled Direct Method (HDDM) simulation in order to estimate the influence of BVOC emissions on ozone using the Zero-Out Contribution (ZOC) approach. ZOC analysis shows that relative contribution of BVOC emissions on daily maximum 1-hr ozone is as high as 30% for high ozone days above 100 ppb. However simulated isoprene concentrations were over-estimated by a factor of 2 when compared to the observations at the PAMS (Photochemical Air Monitoring Station) for the 2007 episode. When assumed that actual BVOC emissions are 50% less than estimated, the ZOC of BVOC emissions on daily maximum ozone drops by more than 10 ppb for the episode. The result indicates that uncertainty in BVOC emissions may have significant impact on high ozone prediction in the SMA.

풍력자원평가용 윈드큐브 라이다와 렘텍 소다의 비교.검증 - 포항가속기 원격탐사 캠페인 (Comparative Validation of WindCube LIDAR and Remtech SODAR for Wind Resource Assessment - Remote Sensing Campaign at Pohang Accelerator Laboratory)

  • 김현구;정진화;안해준;지영미
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제31권2호
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2011
  • The remote-sensng campaign was performed at the Pohang Accelerator Laboratory where is located in a basin 6km inland from Yeongil Bay. The campaign aimed uncertainty assessment of Remtech PA0 SODAR through a mutual comparison with WindCube LIDAR, the remote-sensing equipment for wind resource assessment. The joint observation was carried out by changing the setup for measurement heights three times over two months. The LIDAR measurement was assumed as the reference and the uncertainty of SODAR measurement was quantitatively assessed. Compared with LIDAR, the data availability of SODAR was about half. The wind speed measurement was fitted to a slope of 0.94 and $R^2$ of 0.79 to the LIDAR measurement. However, the relative standard deviation was about 17% under 150m above ground level. Therefore, the Remtech PA0 SODAR is judged to be unsuitable for the evaluation of wind resource assessment and wind turbine performance test, which require accuracy of measurement.

Multi-criteria Comparative Evaluation of Nuclear Energy Deployment Scenarios With Thermal and Fast Reactors

  • Andrianov, A.A.;Andrianova, O.N.;Kuptsov, I.S.;Svetlichny, L.I.;Utianskaya, T.V.
    • 방사성폐기물학회지
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.47-58
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    • 2019
  • The paper presents the results of a multi-criteria comparative evaluation of 12 feasible Russian nuclear energy deployment scenarios with thermal and fast reactors in a closed nuclear fuel cycle. The comparative evaluation was performed based on 6 performance indicators and 5 different MCDA methods (Simple Scoring Model, MAVT / MAUT, AHP, TOPSIS, PROMETHEE) in accordance with the recommendations elaborated by the IAEA/INPRO section. It is shown that the use of different MCDA methods to compare the nuclear energy deployment scenarios, despite some differences in the rankings, leads to well-coordinated and similar results. Taking into account the uncertainties in the weights within a multi-attribute model, it was possible to rank the scenarios in the absence of information regarding the relative importance of performance indicators and determine the preference probability for a certain nuclear energy deployment scenario. Based on the results of the uncertainty/sensitivity analysis and additional analysis of alternatives as well as the whole set of graphical and attribute data, it was possible to identify the most promising nuclear energy deployment scenario under the assumptions made.

Factors Affecting Efficiency of Electronic Customs and Firm Performance in Vietnam

  • NGUYEN, Hang Thanh;GRANT, David Bruce;BOVIS, Christopher;NGUYEN, Thuy Thi Le;MAC, Yen Thi Hai
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.151-164
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    • 2021
  • The paper identifies the enablers (drivers) and inhibitors (barriers) influencing e-customs implementation in Vietnam (known as a developing country with a lower technological environment) along with determining the impact of e-customs on firm performance. The survey was conducted with the representatives (managers) of firms in five cities and provinces dominating Vietnam's international trade. The data was analyzed using structural equation modeling (SEM). The findings show two significant drivers (enablers) - relative advantages and national culture, while compatibility and ease of use are the barriers. Previous studies showed that cultural dimensions related to 'uncertainty acceptance' and 'individualism' encourage innovation; however, this paper demonstrates that 'uncertainty avoidance' and 'collectivism' promote e-customs deployment in Vietnam. Previously, Vietnamese culture was known for scoring high on cultural dimensions related to 'power distance' and 'short-term orientation'. However, today, as an emerging country, Vietnamese has switched to 'low distance' and 'long-term orientation', especially in terms of e-customs innovation. Additionally, the paper also emphasized that e-customs implementation had a positive influence on firm performance in Vietnam. Based on the results of the paper, policy-makers can devise essential solutions to enhance e-customs implementation as well as managers of firms can set-up strategies to adapt to the modernized environment.

Artificial neural network reconstructs core power distribution

  • Li, Wenhuai;Ding, Peng;Xia, Wenqing;Chen, Shu;Yu, Fengwan;Duan, Chengjie;Cui, Dawei;Chen, Chen
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제54권2호
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    • pp.617-626
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    • 2022
  • To effectively monitor the variety of distributions of neutron flux, fuel power or temperatures in the reactor core, usually the ex-core and in-core neutron detectors are employed. The thermocouples for temperature measurement are installed in the coolant inlet or outlet of the respective fuel assemblies. It is necessary to reconstruct the measurement information of the whole reactor position. However, the reading of different types of detector in the core reflects different aspects of the 3D power distribution. The feasibility of reconstruction the core three-dimension power distribution by using different combinations of in-core, ex-core and thermocouples detectors is analyzed in this paper to synthesize the useful information of various detectors. A comparison of multilayer perceptron (MLP) network and radial basis function (RBF) network is performed. RBF results are more extreme precision but also more sensitivity to detector failure and uncertainty, compare to MLP networks. This is because that localized neural network could offer conservative regression in RBF. Adding random disturbance in training dataset is helpful to reduce the influence of detector failure and uncertainty. Some convolution neural networks seem to be helpful to get more accurate results by use more spatial layout information, though relative researches are still under way.

자외선 영역의 에어로졸 광학 깊이의 계절 분포 및 불확실도의 계산 (Seasonal Variation and Measurement Uncertainty of UV Aerosol Optical Depth Measured at Gwangju, Korea)

  • 김정은;김영준
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제21권6호
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    • pp.631-637
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    • 2005
  • A UV-MFRSR instrument was used to measure the global and diffuse irradiances in 7 narrowband channels in the UV range 299.4, 304.4, 310.9, 317.3. 324.5, 331.3 and 367.4 nm at Gwangju ($35^{circ}\;13'N\;126^{circ}\;50'E$), Korea. Spectral UV-AOD was retrieved using the Langley plot method for data collected from April 2002 to July 2004. Temporal variation of AOD at 367.4 nm ($AOD_{367nm}$) showed a maximum in June ($0.95\pm0.43$) and a minimum in February ($0.31\pm0.14$). Clear seasonal variation of $AOD_{367nm}$ was observed with average values of $0.68\pm0.29,\;0.82\pm0.41,\;0.48\pm0.22\;and\;0.42\pm0.21$ in spring, summer, fall and winter, respectively, Average Angstrom exponent for the entire monitoring period was $2.03\pm0.75$ in the UV-A ($324.5\∼367.4$ nm) range. Seasonal variation of the Angstrom exponent showed a maximum in spring and a minimum in summer. The lowest Angstrom exponent in summer might be due to hygroscopic growth of particles under conditions of high relative humidity. UV-AOD changes under different atmospheric conditions were also analyzed. Uncertainty in retrieving spectral UV-AOD was also estimated to range between $\pm0.218\;at\;304.4\;nm\;and\;\pm0.135\;at\;367.4\;nm$. Major causes of uncertainty were total column ozone retrieval and extraterrestrial irradiance retrieval at shorter and longer wavelengths, respectively.

선택실험법을 이용한 의약품 급여결정기준에 대한 선호분석 (Eliciting stated preferences for drugs reimbursement decision criteria in South Korea)

  • 임민경;배은영
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.98-120
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to elicit preference for drug listing decision criteria and to estimate the ICER threshold in South Korea using the discrete choice experiment (DCE) method. To collect the data, a DCE survey was administered to a subject sample either educated in the principle concepts of pharmacoeconomics or were decision makers within that field. Subjects chose between alternative drug profiles differing in four attributes: ICER, uncertainty, budget impact and severity of disease. The orthogonal and balanced designs were determined through computer algorithm to take the optimal set of drug profiles. The survey employed 15 hypothetical choice sets. A random effect probit model was used to analyze the relative importance of attributes and the probabilities of a recommendation response. Parameter estimates from the models indicated that three attributes (ICER, Impact, Severity of disease) influenced respondents' choice significantly(p${\pm}$0.001). In addition, each parameter displayed an expected sign. The Lower the ICER, the higher the probability of choosing that alternative. Respondents also preferred low levels of uncertainty and smaller impact on health service budget. They were also more likely to choose drugs for serious diseases rather than mild or moderate ones. Uncertainty however is not statistically significant. The ICER threshold, at which the probability of a recommendation was 0.5, was 29,000,000 KW/QALY in expert group and 46,500,000 KW/QALY in industry group. We also found that those in our sample were willing to accept high ICER to get medication for severe diseases. This study demonstrates that the cost-effectiveness, budget impact and severity of disease are the main reimbursement decision criteria in South Korea, and that DCE can be a useful tool in analyzing the decision making process where a variety of factors are considered and prioritized.

모의실험에 의한 온실가스 인벤토리 불확도 산정을 위한 지수분포 신뢰구간 추정방법 (Estimation of confidence interval in exponential distribution for the greenhouse gas inventory uncertainty by the simulation study)

  • 이영섭;김희경;손덕규;이종식
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.825-833
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    • 2013
  • 온실가스 인벤토리 불확도 산정을 위해서는 인벤토리의 신뢰구간 추정이 필수적이다. 일반적으로 모수에 대한 신뢰구간 추정시에는 모집단이 정규분포를 따른다고 가정한다. 그러나 자료의 구조가 복잡해짐에 따라 정규분포가 아닌 비대칭형 자료, 즉 양의 왜도를 갖는 자료의 경우 기존의 정규분포를 가정한 신뢰구간 추정 방식은 적합하지 않다. 본 연구에서는 비대칭형 분포인 지수분포의 신뢰구간추정 방법으로 모수적인 방법과 비모수적인 방법에 대해 각각 비교분석하였다. 모의실험을 통한 신뢰구간 추정 결과를 바탕으로 범위확률, 신뢰구간 길이, 상대적 편의를 비교한 결과 모수적 방법 중에서 예상했던 대로 정확한 방법인 카이제곱방법이 신뢰계수와 유사한 범위확률을 보이고 상대적 편의도 작아 모수적 방법 중에서 신뢰구간 추정에 가장 적합한 것으로 나타났다. 마찬가지로 비모수적 방법 중에서는 표준화된 t-붓스트랩 방법이 가장 적합한 것으로 나타났다.