• Title/Summary/Keyword: Regression Model Optimization

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A Comparative Study of Estimation by Analogy using Data Mining Techniques

  • Nagpal, Geeta;Uddin, Moin;Kaur, Arvinder
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.621-652
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    • 2012
  • Software Estimations provide an inclusive set of directives for software project developers, project managers, and the management in order to produce more realistic estimates based on deficient, uncertain, and noisy data. A range of estimation models are being explored in the industry, as well as in academia, for research purposes but choosing the best model is quite intricate. Estimation by Analogy (EbA) is a form of case based reasoning, which uses fuzzy logic, grey system theory or machine-learning techniques, etc. for optimization. This research compares the estimation accuracy of some conventional data mining models with a hybrid model. Different data mining models are under consideration, including linear regression models like the ordinary least square and ridge regression, and nonlinear models like neural networks, support vector machines, and multivariate adaptive regression splines, etc. A precise and comprehensible predictive model based on the integration of GRA and regression has been introduced and compared. Empirical results have shown that regression when used with GRA gives outstanding results; indicating that the methodology has great potential and can be used as a candidate approach for software effort estimation.

Efficient Optimization of the Suspension Characteristics Using Response Surface Model for Korean High Speed Train (반응표면모델을 이용한 한국형 고속전철 현가장치의 효율적인 최적설계)

  • Park, C.K.;Kim, Y.G.;Bae, D.S.;Park, T.W.
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.461-468
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    • 2002
  • Computer simulation is essential to design the suspension elements of railway vehicle. By computer simulation, engineers can assess the feasibility of the given design factors and change them to get a better design. But if one wishes to perform complex analysis on the simulation, such as railway vehicle dynamic, the computational time can become overwhelming. Therefore, many researchers have used a surrogate model that has a regression model performed on a data sampling of the simulation. In general, metamodels(surrogate model) take the form y($\chi$)=f($\chi$)+$\varepsilon$, where y($\chi$) is the true output, f($\chi$) is the metamodel output, and is the error. In this paper, a second order polynomial equation is used as the RSM(response surface model) for high speed train that have twenty-nine design variables and forty-six responses. After the RSM is constructed, multi-objective optimal solutions are achieved by using a nonlinear programming method called VMM(variable matric method) This paper shows that the RSM is a very efficient model to solve the complex optimization problem.

Run-flat Tire Optimization Using Response Surface Method and Genetic Algorithm (반응표면법과 유전자 알고리듬을 이용한 런플랫 타이어 최적화)

  • Choi, Jaehyeong;Kang, Namcheol
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.247-254
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    • 2015
  • Ride comfort is one of the major factors in evaluating the performance of the vehicle. Tire is closely related to the ride comfort of the vehicle as the only parts in contact with the road surface directly. Vertical stiffness which is one of the parameters to evaluate the tire performance is great influence on the ride comfort. In general, the lower the vertical stiffness, the ride comfort is improved. Research for improving the ride comfort has been mainly carried out by optimizing the shape of the pneumatic tire. However, demand for safety of the vehicle has been increased recently such as a run-flat tire which is effective in safety improvement. But a run-flat tire have trouble in practical use because of poor ride comfort than general tire. Therefore, In this paper, the research was carried out for improving the ride comfort through the optimization of the SIR shape inside a run-flat tire. Meta-model was generated by using the design of experiment and it was able to reduce the time for the finite element analysis of optimization. In addition, Shape optimization for improving the ride comfort was performed by using the genetic algorithm which is one of the global optimization techniques.

Bayesian Optimization Analysis of Containment-Venting Operation in a Boiling Water Reactor Severe Accident

  • Zheng, Xiaoyu;Ishikawa, Jun;Sugiyama, Tomoyuki;Maruyama, Yu
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.49 no.2
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    • pp.434-441
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    • 2017
  • Containment venting is one of several essential measures to protect the integrity of the final barrier of a nuclear reactor during severe accidents, by which the uncontrollable release of fission products can be avoided. The authors seek to develop an optimization approach to venting operations, from a simulation-based perspective, using an integrated severe accident code, THALES2/KICHE. The effectiveness of the containment-venting strategies needs to be verified via numerical simulations based on various settings of the venting conditions. The number of iterations, however, needs to be controlled to avoid cumbersome computational burden of integrated codes. Bayesian optimization is an efficient global optimization approach. By using a Gaussian process regression, a surrogate model of the "black-box" code is constructed. It can be updated simultaneously whenever new simulation results are acquired. With predictions via the surrogate model, upcoming locations of the most probable optimum can be revealed. The sampling procedure is adaptive. Compared with the case of pure random searches, the number of code queries is largely reduced for the optimum finding. One typical severe accident scenario of a boiling water reactor is chosen as an example. The research demonstrates the applicability of the Bayesian optimization approach to the design and establishment of containment-venting strategies during severe accidents.

Usage of coot optimization-based random forests analysis for determining the shallow foundation settlement

  • Yi, Han;Xingliang, Jiang;Ye, Wang;Hui, Wang
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.271-291
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    • 2023
  • Settlement estimation in cohesion materials is a crucial topic to tackle because of the complexity of the cohesion soil texture, which could be solved roughly by substituted solutions. The goal of this research was to implement recently developed machine learning features as effective methods to predict settlement (Sm) of shallow foundations over cohesion soil properties. These models include hybridized support vector regression (SVR), random forests (RF), and coot optimization algorithm (COM), and black widow optimization algorithm (BWOA). The results indicate that all created systems accurately simulated the Sm, with an R2 of better than 0.979 and 0.9765 for the train and test data phases, respectively. This indicates extraordinary efficiency and a good correlation between the experimental and simulated Sm. The model's results outperformed those of ANFIS - PSO, and COM - RF findings were much outstanding to those of the literature. By analyzing established designs utilizing different analysis aspects, such as various error criteria, Taylor diagrams, uncertainty analyses, and error distribution, it was feasible to arrive at the final result that the recommended COM - RF was the outperformed approach in the forecasting process of Sm of shallow foundation, while other techniques were also reliable.

A Multivariate Analysis of Korean Professional Players Salary (한국 프로스포츠 선수들의 연봉에 대한 다변량적 분석)

  • Song, Jong-Woo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.441-453
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    • 2008
  • We analyzed Korean professional basketball and baseball players salary under the assumption that it depends on the personal records and contribution to the team in the previous year. We extensively used data visualization tools to check the relationship among the variables, to find outliers and to do model diagnostics. We used multiple linear regression and regression tree to fit the model and used cross-validation to find an optimal model. We check the relationship between variables carefully and chose a set of variables for the stepwise regression instead of using all variables. We found that points per game, number of assists, number of free throw successes, career are important variables for the basketball players. For the baseball pitchers, career, number of strike-outs per 9 innings, ERA, number of homeruns are important variables. For the baseball hitters, career, number of hits, FA are important variables.

Design optimization in hard turning of E19 alloy steel by analysing surface roughness, tool vibration and productivity

  • Azizi, Mohamed Walid;Keblouti, Ouahid;Boulanouar, Lakhdar;Yallese, Mohamed Athmane
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.73 no.5
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    • pp.501-513
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    • 2020
  • In the present work, the optimization of machining parameters to achieve the desired technological parameters such as surface roughness, tool radial vibration and material removal rate have been carried out using response surface methodology (RSM). The hard turning of EN19 alloy steel with coated carbide (GC3015) cutting tools was studied. The main problem faced in manufacturer of hard and high precision components is the selection of optimum combination of cutting parameters for achieving required quality of surface finish with maximum production rate. This problem can be solved by development of mathematical model and execution of experiments by RSM. A face centred central composite design (FCCD), which comes under the RSM approach, with cutting parameters (cutting speed, feed rate and depth of cut) was used for statistical analysis. A second-order regression model were developed to correlate the cutting parameters with surface roughness, tool vibration and material removal rate. Consequently, numerical and graphical optimization were performed to obtain the most appropriate cutting parameters to produce the lowest surface roughness with minimal tool vibration and maximum material removal rate using desirability function approach. Finally, confirmation experiments were performed to verify the pertinence of the developed mathematical models.

Effect of Various Regression Functions on Structural Optimizations Using the Central Composite Method (중심합성법에 의한 구조최적화에서 회귀함수변화의 영향)

  • Park, Jung-Sun;Jeon, Yong-Sung;Im, Jong-Bin
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.26-32
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, the effect of various regression models is investigated on structural optimization using the central composite method. Three bar truss and the upper platform of a satellite are optimized using various regression models that are polynomial, exponential and log functions. Response surface method is non-gradient, semi-global, discrete and fast converging in optimization problem. Sampling points are extracted by the design of experiments using the central composite method. Response surface is generated using the various regression functions. Structural analysis for calculating constraints is executed to find static and dynamic responses. From this study, it is verified that the response surface method has advantage in optimum value and computation time in comparison to other optimization methods.

Multiple Regression Analysis for Piercing Punch Profile Optimization to Prevent Tearing During Tee Pipe Burring (다중 회귀 분석을 활용한 Tee-Pipe 버링 공정에서 찢어짐 방지를 위한 피어싱 펀치 형상 최적 설계)

  • Lee, Y.S.;Kim, J.Y.;Kang, J.S.;Hong, S.
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.271-276
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    • 2017
  • A tee is the most common pipefitting used to combine or divide fluid flow. Tees can connect pipes of different diameters or change the direction of a pipe run. To manufacture tee type of stainless steel pipe, combinations of punch piercing and burr forming have been widely used in the industry. However, such method is considerably time consuming with regard to performing empirical work necessary to attain process conditions to prevent upper end tearing of the tee product and meet target tee height. Numerous experiments have shown that the piercing profile is the main cause of defects mentioned above. Furthermore, the mold design is formed through trial and error according to pipe diameters and changes in requirements. Thus, the objective of this study was to perform piercing and burring process analysis via finite element analysis using DYNAFORM to resolve problems mentioned above. An optimization design method was used to determine the piercing punch profile. Three radii of the piercing punch (i.e., large, small, and joined radii) were selected as design variables to minimize thinning of a tee pipe. Based on results of correlation and multiple regression analyses, we developed a predictive approximation model to satisfy requirements for both thickness reduction and target height. The new piercing punch profile was then applied to actual tee forming using the developed prediction equation. Model results were found to be in good agreement with experimental results.

Basic Research on Structural Optimum Design of G/T 250ton Class Double-ended Car-Ferry Ship (G/T 250톤급 양방향 차도선의 차량갑판 구조 최적설계에 관한 기초연구)

  • Kang, Byoung-Mo;Oh, Young-Cheol;Seo, Kwang-Cheol;Bae, Dong-Gyun;Ko, Jae-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.729-736
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, It was performed to optimize for the deck's structural design of a double ended car ferry ship respect to Goal-Driven Optimization (GDO). It was examined for the strength and deformation of the deck and determined to save economic cost the optimal point. The deck thickness based on the Design of Experiments (DOE) and response surface method was increased to 110%. and can improve the deck's strength and stiffness. By performing the regression analysis respect to the result, we propose the optimal regression model formula as a third degree polynomial regression models. The coefficient of determination $R^2$ was about 0.98 and reliability could be obtained.