• Title/Summary/Keyword: Regression Curve

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Mortality Characteristics and Prediction of Female Breast Cancer in China from 1991 to 2011

  • Shi, Xiao-Jun;Au, William W.;Wu, Ku-Sheng;Chen, Lin-Xiang;Lin, Kun
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.2785-2791
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    • 2014
  • Aims: To analyze time-dependent changes in female breast cancer (BC) mortality in China, forecast the trend in the ensuing 5 years, and provide recommendations for prevention and management. Materials and Methods: Mortality data of breast cancer in China from 1991 to 2011 was used to describe characteristics and distribution, such as the changes of the standardized mortality rate, urban-rural differences and age differences. Trend-surface analysis was used to study the geographical distribution of mortality. In addition, curve estimation, time series modeling, Gray modeling (GM) and joinpoint regression were performed to estimate and predict future trends. Results: In China, the mortality rate of breast cancer has increased yearly since 1991. In addition, our data predicted that the trend will continue to increase in the ensuing 5 years. Rates in urban areas are higher than those in rural areas. Over the past decade, all peak ages for death by breast cancer have been delayed, with the first death peak occurring at 55 to 65 years of age in urban and rural areas. Geographical analysis indicated that mortality rates increased from Southwest to Northeast and from West to East. Conclusions: The standardized mortality rate of breast cancer in China is rising and the upward trend is predicted to continue for the next 5 years. Since this can cause an enormous health impact in China, much better prevention and management of breast cancer is needed. Consequently, disease control centers in China should place more focus on the northeastern, eastern and southeastern parts of China for breast cancer prevention and management, and the key population should be among women between ages 55 to 65, especially those in urban communities.

A New Hot-Plate Method using Threshold Temperature; its Application on the Study of the Interaction between Naloxone or Diazepam and Morphine (신열판실험방법(新熱板實驗方法)에 의(依)한 Naloxone과 Diazepam이 Morphine 진통효과(鎭痛效果)에 미치는 영향(影響)에 관(關)한 검색(檢索))

  • Moon, Young-Hwan;Chun, Boe-Gwun
    • The Korean Journal of Pharmacology
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.45-50
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    • 1982
  • Yeum et al. formulated a new hot-plate method using the threshold temperature, and there are some controversies on the effects of naloxone and diazepam on the antinociceptive action. In this paper, the comparison of three methods registering analgesic activity and the application of the new hot-plate method formulated by Yeum et al. on the study of the influences of naloxone and diazepam on the analgesic effect of morphine were tried in male mice. The results obtained were summarized as follows; 1) The least-square regression lines of the morphine analgesia plotted against log-dose showed the correlation coefficient of above 0.90, but the competitive antagonism produced by naloxone (0.1 mg/kg) against the analgesia was more prominently demonstated by the new hot-plate method than the other methods: original hot-plate method and electrical stimulation method. 2) In the experiment using the new hot-plate method, the log dose-response curve of morphine (y=7.30 x+49.80, r=0.998) was shifted to the right by the pretreatment of naloxone (0.1 mg/kg), but was slightly shifted to the left by the pretreatment of diazepam (2.5 mg/kg). This study suggests that for the analgesia experiment, the new hot-plate method is superior to the original hot-plate method or the electrical stimulation method, and that the potentiative effect of diazepam on the morphine anagesia is not significant.

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Outlier Detection of the Coastal Water Temperature Monitoring Data Using the Approximate and Detail Components (어림과 나머지 성분을 이용한 연안 수온자료의 이상자료 감지)

  • Cho, Hong-Yeon;Oh, Ji-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.156-162
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    • 2012
  • Outlier detection and treatment process is highly required as the first step for the statistical analysis of the monitoring data having many outliers frequently occurred in the coastal environmental monitoring projects. In this study, the outlier detection method using the approximate and detail (or residual) components of the (raw) data is suggested. The approximate and detail components of the data can be separated by the diverse filtering and smoothing methods. The decomposition of the data is carried out by the harmonic analysis and local regression curve, respectively. Then, the Grubbs' test and modified z-score method widely used to detect outliers in the data are applied to the detail components of the water temperature data. The new data set is reconstructed after removed the outliers detected by these methods. It can be shown that the suggested process is successfully applied to the outlier detection of the coastal water temperature monitoring data provided by the Real-time Information System for Aquaculture Environment, National Fisheries Research and Development Institute (NFRDI).

Books Location Estimation System by Image Processing (영상처리를 이용한 도서 위치 추정 시스템)

  • Cho Dong-Uk
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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    • v.12B no.1 s.97
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we will show that a control search methodology is a alternative method of a sequential search which is difficult in finding books for arrangement at library or a bookstore when books are out of place. To solve the problem of the sequential search, we apply a edge operator and the Hough Transform to boundary of a taken photograph image book. We generate histogram by a projected image from boundary range of selected books and select title areas from this and possible areas which are a character number of title, authors, a publishing company and an array sequence. Finally, we can select the final possible area of a book location by a curve fitting and a regression line extraction, and show utility through experiment.

Usefulness of Korean Version of Behavioral Cue Checklist for Predicting of Patient Violence in Emergency Departments (응급실에서의 폭력 환자 예측을 위한 한국어판 행동신호 사정도구의 유용성 검증)

  • Kim, Jang Mi;Lee, Eun Nam
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.48 no.3
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    • pp.289-297
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: This study aimed to evaluate the usefulness of a behavioral cue checklist (BCC) containing 17 items developed by Wilkes et al. (2010) for identifying potentially violent patients in emergency departments. Methods: This was a prospective observational study to evaluate the usefulness of the Korean version of a BCC (K-BCC) as an assessment tool for predicting patient violence in emergency departments, and was conducted over 4 weeks in a regional emergency medical center located in B City. A total of 1,324 patients were finally analyzed. Results: Logistic regression analysis was performed to investigate whether each item of the K-BCC predicts violence, and a parsimonious set of 8 statistically significant items was selected for the tool. Receiver operating characteristic analysis of the BCC showed that the area under the curve was .97 (95% confidence interval: .94~1.0). The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value at the cut-off score of 2 were 75.6%, 98.9%, 68.2%, and 99.2%, respectively. Conclusion: The K-BCC was found to be useful in predicting patient violence toward emergency department staff. This tool is simple, and fast to use and can play a significantly role identifying potentially violent patients. Owing to this advance identification, this tool can be helpful in preventing the potential for violence from manifesting as violent behaviors.

Assessing Process and Method Improvement of Reliability Growth Test Data with Growth Rate Changing During Testing (신뢰성성장시험 중 발생한 신뢰성성장률 변화를 고려한 고장 평가과정 및 평가방법 개선에 대한 연구)

  • So, Young-Kug;Jeon, Young-Rok;Ryu, Byeong-Jin
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.129-136
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    • 2014
  • Reliability test is focusing to detect the unexpected reliability failure and solve them for the high quality of products. The test data should be used to assess and project the current level of interesting product reliability and so it is very important to have the accurately assessing methodology with test data. There are two type of trend for test data as constant and changing one during testing and this paper shows the difference in the assessing results of these two cases. There is less information how to define the existence of reliability growth rate changing and calculate the parameters of the reliability growth models to make an accurate assessment with such condition, so i established the process and mathematical model to calculate the parameters at such condition to make reliability growth curve with high Goodness of Fit. I validated the new method with the data made from Monte Carlo Simulation and case from Demko (1993). Even the assessed result with the new methodology may be different with the case by case because of very diversity in test condition and testing product quality, but the process and method founded in this research can be applied to any case using Duane and AMSAA model for their test data assessment. I also present the evaluation method to see the effectiveness with new one which is a conventional knowledge and not popular to use, so it is possible to compare the results with the newly presented and conventional method for better business decision.

Age and Growth of Black Rockfish, Sebastes schlegeli in the Tongyeong Marine Ranching Area in Korea Waters (통영바다목장에 서식하는 조피볼락, Sebastes schlegeli의 연령과 성장)

  • Park, Kyeong Dong;Kang, Yong Joo
    • Korean Journal of Ichthyology
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 2007
  • Age and growth of black rockfish, Sebastes schlegeli sampled from the Tongyeong marine ranching area in Korea waters were determined from 1,173 otoliths from July, 2001 to May, 2004. Examination of outer margins of the otolith showed that the opaque zone was formed once a year. Marginal increment of the otolith formed annual ring from July. The von Bertalanffy growth curve had the growth parameters estimated from non-linear regression were $L_t=48.45(1-e^{-0.2139(t+0.4313)})$, $W_t=1,837.93(1-e^{-0.2139(t+0.4313)})^{3.02}$ 3.02 for females and, $L_t=49.32(1-e^{-0.1775(t+0.7403)})$, $W_t=1,887.83(1-e^{-0.1775(t+0.7403)})^3$ for males, where t is age (year) and Lt is body length (mm) at age t. Growth at the age of male and female shows significant difference (p<0.01).

Evaluation of the Shear Strength Component by Circular Transverse Reinforcement in Reinforced Concrete Columns (철근콘크리트 기둥에서 원형전단철근에 의한 전단강도 산정)

  • 하태훈;홍성걸
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.982-988
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    • 2002
  • Current design equations for shear strength of reinforced concrete columns generally overestimate the shear strength contribution by the circular transverse reinforcement. This is due to the simplification of the discrete distribution of the reinforcement to the continuous one and the imprudent application of the classical truss model to the circular section, which is different in shear-resisting mechanism from the rectangular section. This study presents a rational model for the prediction of shear strength contribution by the circular transverse reinforcement considering the starting location of a diagonal crack, the number of transverse reinforcing bars crossing the main crack and the geometrical strength component of the transverse resistance. It was found that, for lower amount transverse reinforcement, the crack starting point and the number of crack crossing bars greatly influence the shear-resisting capacity. Proposed model leads to a reliable design equation which is derived using a linear regression method and is in good agreement with the lower bound of exact strength curve.

THE STUDY OF THE EFFECT OF DENTAL ARCH FROM ON CHEWING MOVEMENT I. THE PROSTHETIC CONSIDERATIONS ABOUT THE CLASSIFICATION OF DENTAL ARCH FORM (저작운동에 미치는 치열궁형태의 영향에 관한 연구 I. 치열궁형태의 분류에 대한 보철학적 검토에 대하여)

  • Jo Byung-Woan;Chang Heun-Soo;Kim Jong-Pil;Ahn Sang-Hun;Ahn Jae-Jin
    • The Journal of Korean Academy of Prosthodontics
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.431-443
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    • 1994
  • As the dental arch is the curve connecting the cusp tip of tooth, the dental arch form, composing of the occlusion, is one the important factors of occlusal reconstruction. Many studies about the horizontal dental arch form have been reported, but until now, it is unclear to infer the position of the teeth in dental arch form, to evaluate the effect of the horizontal dental arch form on chewing movement. The purpose of this study is to make objective criteria to infer the position of the teeth in dental arch. In this study, 100 subjects with individdual normal occlusion were evaluated. By multiple regression analysis on the basis of the relation of the canine and the first molar, the positions of teeth in dental arch were inferred. According to buccolingual relationship of maxillary to mandibular posterior teeth, the dental arch forms were classified into five groups, i, e. the normal group, the group which the maxillary second molar positions buccal side, the group which the maxillary premolars position buccal side, the group which the maxillary premolar position lingual side. From the results, objective criterial to infer the positons of the first premolar, the second premolar, the second molar in dental arch were made.

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A Comparison of Assessment Tools for Prediction of Falls in Patients With Stroke (뇌졸중 환자의 낙상 예측을 위한 평가도구 비교)

  • Won, Jong-Im
    • Physical Therapy Korea
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.37-47
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    • 2014
  • Falls are common after stroke and most frequently related to loss of balance while walking. Consequently, preventing falls is one of the goals of acute, rehabilitative, and chronic stroke care. The purpose of this study was to investigate the incidence and risk factors of falls and to determine how well the Falls Efficacy Scale (FES), Timed Up and Go test (TUG), and Berg Balance Scale (BBS) could distinguish between fallers and non-fallers among stroke patients during inpatient rehabilitation. One hundred and fifteen participants with at least 3 months post-stroke and able to walk at least 3 m with or without a mono cane participated in this study. Fifty-four (47%) participants reported falling, and 15 (27.8%) had a recurrent fall. Logistic regression analysis for predicting falls showed that left hemiplegia [odds ratio (OR)=4.68] and fear of falling (OR=5.99) were strong risk factors for falls. Fallers performed worse than non-fallers on the FES, TUG, and BBS (p<.05, p<.01, respectively). In the receiver operator characteristic curve analysis, the TUG demonstrated the best discriminating ability among the three assessment tools. The cut-off score was 22 seconds on the TUG for discriminating fallers from non-fallers (sensitivity=88.9%, specificity=45.9%) and 27 seconds for discriminating recurrent fallers from single fallers and non-fallers (sensitivity=71.4%, specificity=40.2%). Results suggest that there is a need for providing fall prevention and injury minimization programs for stroke patients who record over 22 seconds on the TUG.