• 제목/요약/키워드: Regional prediction

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연안부근 복잡지형의 대기유동장 수치실험 II -부산광역지역에 대한 국지순환모형의 적용- (A Numerical Experiments on the Atmospheric Circulation over a Complex Terrain around Coastal Area. Part II :)

  • 김유근
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.151-158
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    • 2000
  • Since Pusan metropolitanarea where is composed complex terrain is connected to sea the sea-land breeze circulation and the mountain-valley circulation are apt to form A regional scale circulation system is formed at a region which has complex terrain because of curves of its and affect to the dispersion and advection of air pollutants. LCM Local Circulation Model which a propriety was verified described that sea breeze and valley wind at the daytime and land breeze and mountain wind at the nighttime were well devellped over the Pusan metropolital area. Next for the investigation of accuracy of simulated results an observed value at Kae-Kum and Su-Young on the pusan metropolitan area were compared with it at those points. From the comparison of the temperature and horizontal velocity between the results of LCM and an observed values they have a similar trend of a diurnal variation. For the prediction of dispersion and transportation of air pollutants the wind field should be calculated with high accuracy. A numerical simulation using LCM can provide more accuracy results around Pusan metropolitan area.

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한국에서 발생한 청천난류 사례에서 나타나는 종관규모 대기상태에 대한 연구 (An Investigation of Synoptic Condition for Clear-Air Turbulence (CAT) Events Occurred over South Korea)

  • 민재식;전혜영;김정훈
    • 대기
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.69-83
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    • 2011
  • The synoptic condition of clear-air turbulence (CAT) events occurred over South Korea is investigated, using the Regional Data Assimilation and Prediction System (RDAPS) data obtained from the Korea Meteorological Agency (KMA) and pilot reports (PIREPs) collected by Korea Aviation Meteorological Agency (KAMA) from 1 Dec. 2003 to 30 Nov. 2008. Throughout the years, strong subtropical jet stream exists over the South Korea, and the CAT events frequently occur in the upper-level frontal zone and subtropical jet stream regions where strong vertical wind shears locate. The probability of the moderate or greater (MOG)-level turbulence occurrence is higher in wintertime than in summertime, and high probability region is shifted northward across the jet stream in wintertime. We categorize the CAT events into three types according to their generation mechanisms: i) upper-level front and jet stream, ii) anticyclonically sheared and curved flows, and iii) breaking of mountain waves. Among 240 MOG-level CAT events reported during 2003-2008, 103 cases are related to jet stream while 73 cases and 25 cases are related to the anticyclonic shear flow and breaking of mountain wave, respectively.

강우감쇠의 영향 분석을 위한 국내 각 지역의 강우강도 분포 (Rainfall-intensity distribution for an analysis of the effects of rain attenuation)

  • 이형수;신철호
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.1006-1015
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    • 1998
  • 20GHz 이상의 주파수대에서 대기중 감쇠에 있어서 고려해야 할 인자로는 대기분자, 강우, 강설, 안개 등이 있으며 이 중 가장 큰 영향은 강우에 의한 감쇠이다. 강우로 인한 감쇠는 강우강도에 의해서 그 감쇠정도가 결정되고, 강우강도는 공간적 시간적으로 변동이 매우 다양하다. 따라서 강우강도에 의한 시간적 공간적 데이터의 확보와 정확한 강우강도의 추정은 정확하고 신뢰성 있는 회선설계를 위하여 필수적이다. 본 연구에서는 제주도를 제외한 남한전역의 32개 측후소로부터 얻을 수 있는 최근 10여년 간의 디지털 강우강도 데이터를 확보하여 지역별 강우강도와 시간율의 관계를 경험적으로 분석하였으며, 강우강도의 분포를 추정하기 위한 여러 가지 방법론을 비교 분석하였고 한국실정에 맞는 방법론을 제시하였다.

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상수도관로의 주변 지반침하 위험도 평가를 위한 안전감시 센서 (Safety Monitoring Sensor for Underground Subsidence Risk Assessment Surrounding Water Pipeline)

  • 곽필재;박상혁;최창호;이현동
    • 센서학회지
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    • 제24권5호
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    • pp.306-310
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    • 2015
  • IoT(Internet of Things) based underground risk assessment system surrounding water pipeline enables an advanced monitoring and prediction for unexpected underground hazards such as abrupt road-side subsidence and urban sinkholes due to a leak in water pipeline. For the development of successful assessment technology, the PSU(Water Pipeline Safety Unit) which detects the leakage and movement of water pipes. Then, the IoT-based underground risk assessment system surrounding water pipeline will be proposed. The system consists of early detection tools for underground events and correspondence services, by analyzing leakage and movement data collected from PSU. These methods must be continuous and reliable, and cover certain block area ranging a few kilometers, for properly applying to regional water supply changes.

태풍으로 인한 강풍 피해 추정을 위한 지상풍 산정 연구(Ⅰ) (Estimation of Surface Wind Speed on the Strong Wind Damage by Typhoon)

  • 박종길;정우식;최효진
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방재학회 2008년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
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    • pp.85-88
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    • 2008
  • Damage from typhoon disaster can be mitigated by grasping and dealing with the damage promptly for the regions in typhoon track. What is this work, a technique to analyzed dangerousness of typhoon should be presupposed. This study estimated 10m level wind speed using 700hPa wind by typhoon, referring to GPS dropwindsonde study of Franklin(2003). For 700hPa wind, 30km resolution data of Regional Data Assimilation Prediction System(RDAPS) were used. For roughness length in estimating wind of 10m level, landuse data of USGS are employed. For 10m level wind speed of Typhoon Rusa in 2002, we sampled AWS point of $7.4\sim30km$ distant from typhoon center and compare them with observational data. The results show that the 10m level wind speed is the estimation of maximum wind speed which can appear in surface by typhoon and it cannot be compared with general hourly observational data. Wind load on domestic buildings relies on probability distributions of extreme wind speed. Hence, calculated 10m level wind speed is useful for estimating the damage structure from typhoon.

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기상청 RCM전망의 다지점 인공신경망 상세화를 통한 합천댐 유역의 장기유출 전망 (Prediction of Long-term Runoff for Hapcheon Dam Watershed through Multi-Artificial Neural Network Downscaling of KMA's RCM)

  • 강부식;문수진;김정중
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2012년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.948-948
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    • 2012
  • 합천댐유역에 대한 기후변화에 따른 수문학적 영향을 정량적으로 분석하기 위해, 기상청에서 제공하는 공간해상도 27km의 MM5 RCM(Regional Climate Model)을 사용하였다. RCM의 기상변수들은 공간적 스케일의 상이성과 RCM 기후변수들의 불확실성 때문에 유출모형인 SWAT의 입력자료로 사용하기에는 어려움이 있다. 특히, RCM 변수들 중 강수량의 경우 한반도 지역의 6월과 10월 사이에 연강수량의 67%이상이 집중되는 계절성을 반영하지 못하고 있는 실정이기 때문에 국내 유역의 유출량 산정에 사용하기 위해서는 지역적 상세화(Downscaling)가 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 RCM 기후변수에 내포된 공간적 스케일의 상이성과 불확실성을 최소화하기 위해 강우관측소 지점을 단위로 한 다지점 인공신경망 기법을 적용하여 강수량, 습도, 최고기온 및 최저기온에 대한 상세화를 실시하였다. 강수의 경우 여름철 태풍사상을 모의하기 위한 Stochastic Typhoon Simulation기법과 Baseline(1991~2010)과 Projection(2011~2100) 사이의 강수량 보정을 위한 Dynamic Quantile Mapping 기법을 적용하여, 강수량의 불확실성을 최소화 하고자 하였다. 상세화된 기후자료를 이용한 SWAT 모형의 일(Daily) 단위 강우-유출 모의결과를 2011~2040년, 2041~2070년, 2071~2100년으로 구분하여 추세분석을 실시하였다.

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A Study on the Appropriate Size of Stores and Countermeasures in Decline Commercial Area in the Original Downtown

  • Ryu, Tae-Chang
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제19권11호
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    • pp.49-57
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: In this study, we try to figure out the appropriate size of commercial districts in the original downtown area through empirical studies targeting the Jinju Central Commercial Area in Gyeongnam and Cheonan Station in Chungnam, which are trying to regenerate a specific space that has been lost through government projects. Research design, data and methodology: The current status and characteristics of the shopping district were examined through on-site surveys of the central business district of Jinju, Gyeongnam Province, and Cheonan Station, Chungnam Province, and the size of the empty stores was determined. In addition, the standard median income was used as the survey data along with the survey of the mobile population in the commercial area. Result: The analysis result shows that 883 stores should be maintained considering the overall expenditure and gross sales profit within Cheonan Station in South Chungcheong Province. Currently, considering spending and margins in the Commercial Area, Jinju Central Commercial Area is a place where 222 stores can be sold excessively, and a proper commercial supply plan is needed. Conclusions: In this study, we conducted a demand prediction study in the commercial sector of the most basic sector to regenerate the commercial sector through major regional commercial districts.

Numerical Simulation of the Water Temperature in the Al-Zour Area of Kuwait

  • Lee, Myung Eun;Kim, Gunwoo
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.334-343
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    • 2019
  • The Al-Zour coastal area, located in southern Kuwait, is a region of concentrated industrial water use, seawater intake, and the outfall of existing power plants. The Al-Zour LNG import facility project is ongoing and there are two issues regarding the seawater temperature in this area that must be considered: variations in water temperature under local meteorology and an increase in water temperature due to the expansion of the thermal discharge of expanded power plant. MIKE 3 model was applied to simulate the water temperature from June to July, based on re-analysis data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and the thermal discharge input from adjacent power plants. The annual water temperatures of two candidate locations of the seawater intake for the Al-Zour LNG re-gasification facility were measured in 2017 and compared to the numerical results. It was determined that the daily seawater temperature is mainly affected by thermal plume dispersion oscillating with the phase of the tidal currents. The regional meteorological conditions such as air temperature and tidal currents, also contributed a great deal to the prediction of seawater temperature.

한국형 토양유실공식에 의한 토양유실량 현장예측 (Application of KORSLE to Estimate Soil Erosion at Field Scale)

  • 송재민;양재의;임경재;박윤식
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
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    • 제24권5호
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    • pp.31-41
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    • 2019
  • In 2013, the Ministry of Environment in South Korea promulgated a new regulatory bulletin that contained revised enforcement ordinance on soil management protocols. The bulletin recommends the use of Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE) for the soil erosion estimation, but USLE has limited applicability in prediction of soil erosion because it does not allow direct estimation of actual mass of soil erosion. Therefore, there is a great need of revising the protocol to allow direct comparison between the measured and estimated values of soil erosion. The Korean Soil Loss Equation (KORSLE) was developed recently and used to estimate soil loss in two fields as an alternative to existing USLE model. KORSLE was applied to estimate monthly rainfall erosivity indices as well as temporal variation in potential soil loss. The estimated potential soil loss by KORSLE was adjusted with correction factor for direct comparison with measured soil erosion. The result was reasonable since Nash-Stucliff efficiency were 0.8020 in calibration and 0.5089 in validation. The results suggest that KORSLE is an appropriate model as an alternative to USLE to predict soil erosion at field scale.

Proposed ICT-based New Normal Smart Care System Model to Close Health Gap for Older the Elderly

  • YOO, Chae-Hyun;SHIN, Seung-Jung
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.37-44
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    • 2021
  • At the time of entering the super-aged society, the health problem of the elderly is becoming more prominent due to the rapid digital era caused by COVID-19, but the gap between welfare budgets and welfare benefits according to regional characteristics is still not narrowed and there is a significant difference in emergency medical access. In response, this study proposes an ICT-based New Normal Smart Care System (NNSCS) to bridge the gap I n health and medical problems. This is an integrated system model that links the elderly themselves to health care, self-diagnosis, disease prediction and prevention, and emergency medical services. The purpose is to apply location-based technology and motion recognition technology under smartphones and smartwatches (wearable) environments to detect health care and risks, predict and diagnose diseases using health and medical big data, and minimize treatment latency. Through the New Normal Smart Care System (NNSCS), which links health care, prevention, and rapid emergency treatment with easy and simple access to health care for the elderly, it aims to minimize health gaps and solve health problems for the elderly.