• Title/Summary/Keyword: Regional model

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The Development of the DEA-AR Model using Multiple Regression Analysis and Efficiency Evaluation of Regional Corporation in Korea (다중회귀분석을 이용한 DEA-AR 모형 개발 및 국내 지방공사의 효율성 평가)

  • Sim, Gwang-Sic;Kim, Jae-Yun
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.29-43
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    • 2012
  • We design a DEA-AR model using multiple regression analysis with new methods which limit weights. When there are multiple input and single output variables, our model can be used, and the weights of input variables use the regression coefficient and coefficient of determination. To verify the effectiveness of the new model, we evaluate the efficiency of the Regional Corporations in Korea. Accordance with statistical analysis, it proved that there is no difference between the efficiency value of the DEA-AR using AHP and our DEA-AR model. Our model can be applied to a lot of research by substituting DEA-AR model relying on AHP in the future.

Establishments of the System of Regional Resource Circulation based on Environmental-Friendly Agriculture at Asan Area (아산시 친환경 지역농업의 자원순환시스템 구축방향)

  • Yoon, Jong-Yeol;Kim, Ho
    • Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.1-22
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    • 2005
  • This study was focused on the system of regional resource circulation(RRC) of Asan-Si as a case region. So 301 farmers(members of producer organization) who are managing environmental-friendly agriculture (EFA) are surveyed. The RRC system is focused on establishing the system of regional complex farming connected with the seedling fanning and the livestock. The main results surveyed are as follows : First, total cultivated acreage is 574ha. Second, the total quantity of by-products of rices, beans, wheats is 983M/T. Third, the total quantity of nutrient requirement for seeding fanning is 85,335.6kg This research shows how to develop the RRC system for EFA. The development model and strategies are as follows : The first model for the system of regional resource circulation can be called the scenario of the best output for the system of environmentally friendly resource circulation. It is considered to estimate the appropriate number of heads of Korean cattle and hen which can be bred simultaneously. And the second model can be called the scenario of the regional allotment for the appropriate number of heads of those. It is considered to estimate the appropriate number of heads of those which can be alloted by the individual farm or area.

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Simulation of Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall and Circulations with Regional Climate Model

  • Singh, G.P.;Oh, Jai-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Quaternary Association Conference
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    • 2004.06a
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    • pp.24-25
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    • 2004
  • It is well known that there is an inverse relationship between the strength of Indian summer monsoon Rainfall (ISMR) and extent of Eurasian snow cover/depth in the preceding season. Tibetan snow cover/depth also affects the Asian monsoon rainy season largely. The positive correlation between Tibetan sensible heat flux and southeast Asian rainfall suggest an inverse relationship between Tibetan snow cover and southeast Asian rainfall. Developments in Regional Climate Models suggest that the effect of Tibetan snow on the ISMR can be well studied by Limited Area Models (LAMs). LAMs are used for regional climate studies and operational weather forecast of several hours to 3 days in future. The Eta model developed by the National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), the Fifth-Generation NCAR/Penn State Mesoscale Model (MM5) and Regional Climate Model (RegCM) have been used for weather prediction as well as for the study of present-day climate and variability over different parts of the world. Regional Climate Model (RegCM3) has been widely . used for various mesoscale studies. However, it has not been tested to study the characteristics of circulation features and associated rainfall over India so far. In the present study, Regional Climate Model (RegCM-3) has been integrated from 1 st April to 30th September for the years 1993-1996 and monthly mean monsoon circulation features and rainfall simulated by the model at 55km resolution have been studied for the Indian summer monsoon season. Characteristics of wind at 850hPa and 200hPa, temperature at 500hPa, surface pressure and rainfall simulated by the model have been examined for two convective schemes such as Kuo and Grell with Arakawa-Schubert as the closure scheme, Model simulated monsoon circulation features have been compared with those of NCEP/NCAR reanalyzed fields and the rainfall with those of India Meteorological Department (IMD) observational rainfall datasets, Comparisons of wind and temperature fields show that Grell scheme is closer to the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis, The influence of Tibetan snowdepth in spring season on the summer monsoon circulation features and subsequent rainfall over India have been examined. For such sensitivity experiment, NIMBUS-7 SMMR snowdepth data have been used as a boundary condition in the RegCM3, Model simulation indicates that ISMR is reduced by 30% when 10cm of snow has been introduced over Tibetan region in the month of previous April. The existence of Tibetan snow in RegCM3 also indicates weak lower level monsoon westerlies and upper level easterlies.

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Inter-regional Employment Equilibrium and Dynamics

  • Park, Heon-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.143-161
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    • 1998
  • This paper applies dynamic versions of shift share models to a simple regional employment model. It tests for the existence of a long run interregional employment equilibrium and then estimates the impulse response functions for each employment series to determine which shocks are temporary and which are permanent.

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Economic Impacts of Transportation Investment on Regional Growth: Evidence from a Computable General Equilibrium Model on Japan's Cross-Prefectural-Border Region

  • Thi Thu Trang, HA;Hiroyuki, SHIBUSAWA
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.183-193
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    • 2023
  • This paper proposes and examines the economic impact of infrastructure improvement on the San-En-Nanshin region in the Chubu area of Japan. We develop a single transportation computable general equilibrium (CGE) model for each subregion within the San-En-Nanshin region. The explicit modeling of the transportation infrastructure is defined based on interregional commuting flows and business trips, considering the spatial structure of the San-En-Nanshin economy. A CGE model is integrated with an interregional transportation network model to enhance the framework's potential for understanding the infrastructure's role in regional development. To evaluate the economic impact of transportation improvement, we analyze the interrelationship between travel time savings and regional output and income. The economic impact analysis under the CGE framework reveals how transportation facilities and systems affect firm and household behavior and therefore induce changes in the production and consumption of commodities and transportation services. The proposed theoretical model was tested by using data from the 2005 IO tables of each subregion and the 2006 transport flow dataset issued by the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport, and Tourism in Japan. As a result, the paper confirms the positive effect of transportation investment on the total output and income of the studied region. Specifically, we found that while economic benefits typically appear in urban areas, rural areas can still potentially benefit from transportation improvement projects.

Empirical seismic fragility rapid prediction probability model of regional group reinforced concrete girder bridges

  • Li, Si-Qi;Chen, Yong-Sheng;Liu, Hong-Bo;Du, Ke
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.609-623
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    • 2022
  • To study the empirical seismic fragility of a reinforced concrete girder bridge, based on the theory of numerical analysis and probability modelling, a regression fragility method of a rapid fragility prediction model (Gaussian first-order regression probability model) considering empirical seismic damage is proposed. A total of 1,069 reinforced concrete girder bridges of 22 highways were used to verify the model, and the vulnerability function, plane, surface and curve model of reinforced concrete girder bridges (simple supported girder bridges and continuous girder bridges) considering the number of samples in multiple intensity regions were established. The new empirical seismic damage probability matrix and curve models of observation frequency and damage exceeding probability are developed in multiple intensity regions. A comparative vulnerability analysis between simple supported girder bridges and continuous girder bridges is provided. Depending on the theory of the regional mean seismic damage index matrix model, the empirical seismic damage prediction probability matrix is embedded in the multidimensional mean seismic damage index matrix model, and the regional rapid prediction matrix and curve of reinforced concrete girder bridges, simple supported girder bridges and continuous girder bridges in multiple intensity regions based on mean seismic damage index parameters are developed. The established multidimensional group bridge vulnerability model can be used to quantify and predict the fragility of bridges in multiple intensity regions and the fragility assessment of regional group reinforced concrete girder bridges in the future.

Development of an Annual Expenditure Assessment Model for Amenity-oriented Policy-making in Rural Areas (어메니티 지향적 지방행정을 위한 정책평가모델의 개발)

  • Jung, Nam-Su;Lee, Ji-Min;Lee, Jeong-Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.10 no.2 s.23
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    • pp.43-49
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    • 2004
  • According to the growing concerns of the public with efficiency and effects of regional policies, their assessment works have become an important issue. Up to now, several studies have been carried out on economic effects of policies using conventional cost/benefit analysis, while there have been few studies on assessment of amenity oriented policies. From the above consideration, this study tried to develop An Annual Expenditure Assessment Model (AEAM) for amenity-oriented policy-making in rural area. As a pre-work for model development, the hierarchical indices system for rural development and the classification system of expenditure were designed. Being based on high significant relationship between rural amenities and local government expenditure, a linear optimization model for maximization of regional amenity was constructed. Through a case study of Sunchang-gun, Chonbuk-province, the model applicability was ascertained.

A New Planning Model of Rural Villages for 21th Century Guidance - Style based on Regional Indigenous Resources - In the Case of the Villages Revitalization Projects of Suryon-dong in Wonju - (지역고유의 자원 활용에 기반한 21세기 선도형 농촌마을 개발 모델 - 강원도 원주시 수련동마을 계획을 중심으로-)

  • Song, Byeong-Hwa;Lee, Gwan-Gyu
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to suggest the model of rural villages for 21th century guidance-style based on regional Indigenous resources. As a development model on premise environmental sustainability, economic sustainability, social-cultural sustainability, this paper aims to established that accommodate actively change element of village environment that stabilizes local environment and ecosystem on the basis of development model's principle and contents and information area. Through this model development, To makes the national setting an example village and plans the 21th century guidance style farm village continuously is big that study does.

A development of bivariate regional drought frequency analysis model using copula function (Copula 함수를 이용한 이변량 가뭄 지역빈도해석 모형 개발)

  • Kim, Jin-Guk;Kim, Jin-Young;Ban, Woo-Sik;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.12
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    • pp.985-999
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    • 2019
  • Over the last decade, droughts have become more severe and frequent in many regions, and several studies have been conducted to explore the recent drought. Copula-based bivariate drought frequency analysis has been widely used to evaluate drought risk in the context of point frequency analysis. However, the relatively significant uncertainties in the parameters are problematic when available data are limited. For this reason, the primary purpose of this study is to develop a regional drought frequency model based on the Copula function. All parameters, including marginal and copula functions in the regional frequency model, were estimated simultaneously. Here, we present a case study of recent drought 2013-2015 over the Han-River watershed where severe drought risk is consistently found to increase. The proposed model provided a reliable way to significantly reduce the uncertainty of parameters with a Bayesian modeling framework. The uncertainty of the joint return period in the regional frequency analysis is nearly three times lower than that of the point frequency analysis. Accordingly, DIC values in the regional frequency analysis model are significantly decreased by 15. The results confirm that the proposed model is not only reliably representing characteristics of historical droughts and dependencies between drought variables, but also providing the efficacy of understanding regional drought characteristics.

Improving Forecast Accuracy of City Gas Demand in Korea by Aggregating the Forecasts from the Demand Models of Seoul Metropolitan and the Other Local Areas (수도권과 지방권 수요예측모형을 통한 전국 도시가스수요전망의 예측력 향상)

  • Lee, Sungro
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.519-547
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    • 2017
  • This paper explores whether it is better to forecast city gas demand in Korea using national level data directly or, alternatively, construct forecasts from regional demand models and then aggregate these regional forecasts. In the regional model, we consider gas demand for Seoul metropolitan and the other local areas. Our forecast evaluation exercise for 2013-2016 shows the regional forecast model generally outperforms the national forecasting model. This result comes from the fact that the dynamic properties of each region's gas demands can be better taken into account in the regional demand model. More specifically, the share of residential gas demand in the Seoul metropolitan area is above 50%, and subsequently this demand is heavily influenced by temperature fluctuations. Conversely, the dominant portion of regional gas demand is due to industrial gas consumption. Moreover, electricity is regarded as a substitute for city gas in the residential sector, and industrial gas competes with certain oil products. Our empirical results show that a regional demand forecast model can be an effective alternative to the demand model based on nation-wide gas consumption and that regional information about gas demand is also useful for analyzing sectoral gas consumption.