• 제목/요약/키워드: Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis

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적외선 체열 촬영을 이용한 수부냉증 진단의 절단값 산정 (The Cut Off Values for Diagnosing Cold Hypersensitivity of Hands by Using Digital Infrared Thermographic Imaging)

  • 조준영;박경선;이창훈;장준복;이경섭;이진무
    • 대한한방부인과학회지
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.95-102
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to define the cut off values of cold hypersensitivity of hands by using digital infrared thermographic imaging(DITI). Methods: Thermographic images of 130 patients with cold hypersensitivity of hands(CHHG, n=65) and non-cold hypersensitivity of hands(NCHHG, n=65) were retrospectively reviewed. We used the temperature difference the palm(PC8) and the upper arm(LU4) for diagnosing cold hypersensitivity of hands. The temperature differences of between two groups were analysed using independent samples t-tests. The cut off values were calculated by ROC curve analysis. Analyses were undertaken using SPSS version 17.0. P value of < 0.05 was considered significant. Results: The temperature difference the palm(PC8) and the upper arm(LU4) were significantly different between groups(p < 0.001). Using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, the sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve were 70.8%, 73.8%, respectively both hands. The AUC was 0.822 on right hand and 0.818 on left hand. The optimum cut-off value was defined as $-0.05^{\circ}C$. Conclusions: These results suggest that DITI is a reliable instrument for estimating the cold hypersensitivity of hands.

ROC평가 방법을 이용한 CR과 DDR 흉부 영상의 비교 (The Evaluation of CR and DDR chest image using ROC analysis)

  • 박연옥;박연정;정은경;남소라;정지영;김희중
    • 한국방사선학회논문지
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.25-30
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    • 2007
  • 본 연구의 목적은 ROC를 이용하여 일반 촬영기기에 따른 영상의 질을 평가해보고자 함이다. 본 연구의 수행을 위하여 CR(Computed Radiography)과 DDR(Direct Digital Radiography)을 사용하였으며 피사체로 흉부 팬텀을 사용하였다. 각 기기에서 영상을 획득한 후 ROC평가를 이용하여 영상의 질 및 기기의 특성을 평가하였다. 조사 조건으로 관전압 120kVp와 관전류량 3.2 mAs를 이용하였고 SID(Source to Image Distance)는 180cm로 설정하였다. 팬텀의 심장, 폐야, 흉추부위에 병소를 표현하였으며 각 장비에서 획득한 영상의 질 및 기기의 특성을 파악하기 위하여 방사선학 전공자 29명을 대상으로 ROC평가를 실시하였다. ROC 평가 결과 DDR의 TPF(true positive fraction)는 0.552, FPF(false positive fraction)는 0.474, CR의 TPF는 0.629, FPF는 0.405로 나타났다. 본 연구 결과 CR의 영상이 DDR의 영상보다 더 나은 영상의 질을 나타내는 것을 확인하였다. 영상의 질의 확연한 차이의 원인은 DDR의 경우 enhance board의 미 삽입으로 인한 영상 후처리의 미수행이라고 사료된다. 추후 DDR의 enhance board의 삽입 후 영상의 후처리가 가미된 DDR영상의 질에 대한 연구가 필요하며 본 연구의 결과로 인하여 영상의 후처리가 임상의 판독에 있어서 매우 중요한 요소임을 확인할 수 있었다.

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베이지안 예측모델을 활용한 농업 및 인공 인프라의 산사태 재해 위험 평가 (Landslide Risk Assessment of Cropland and Man-made Infrastructures using Bayesian Predictive Model)

  • 알-마문;장동호
    • 한국지형학회지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.87-103
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the risk of cropland and man-made infrastructures in a landslide-prone area using a GIS-based method. To achieve this goal, a landslide inventory map was prepared based on aerial photograph analysis as well as field observations. A total of 550 landslides have been counted in the entire study area. For model analysis and validation, extracted landslides were randomly selected and divided into two groups. The landslide causative factors such as slope, aspect, curvature, topographic wetness index, elevation, forest type, forest crown density, geology, land-use, soil drainage, and soil texture were used in the analysis. Moreover, to identify the correlation between landslides and causative factors, pixels were divided into several classes and frequency ratio was also extracted. A landslide susceptibility map was constructed using a bayesian predictive model (BPM) based on the entire events. In the cross validation process, the landslide susceptibility map as well as observation data were plotted with a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve then the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated and tried to extract a success rate curve. The results showed that, the BPM produced 85.8% accuracy. We believed that the model was acceptable for the landslide susceptibility analysis of the study area. In addition, for risk assessment, monetary value (local) and vulnerability scale were added for each social thematic data layers, which were then converted into US dollar considering landslide occurrence time. Moreover, the total number of the study area pixels and predictive landslide affected pixels were considered for making a probability table. Matching with the affected number, 5,000 landslide pixels were assumed to run for final calculation. Based on the result, cropland showed the estimated total risk as US $ 35.4 million and man-made infrastructure risk amounted to US $ 39.3 million.

퍼지관계 기법과 인공신경망 기법을 이용한 포항지역의 산사태 취약성 예측 기법 비교 연구 (A Comparative Study of Fuzzy Relationship and ANN for Landslide Susceptibility in Pohang Area)

  • 김진엽;박혁진
    • 자원환경지질
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    • 제46권4호
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    • pp.301-312
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    • 2013
  • 산사태는 지형, 지질, 임상, 토양 등과 같은 다양한 요인들이 복합적으로 작용하여 발생한다. 따라서 산사태 발생위치와 산사태 유발 요인 사이의 상관관계를 파악할 수 있는 다양한 분석 기법이 사용되고 있으며 본 연구에서는 산사태 위험지역을 정량적으로 예측할 수 있는 효과적인 기법을 제안하고자 퍼지관계 기법과 인공신경망 기법을 이용하여 포항지역의 산사태 취약성을 분석하였다. 취약성 분석을 위해 먼저 산사태 위치를 파악하여 현황도를 작성하였으며, 산사태 발생과 관련 있는 11개의 요인들에 대한 공간 데이터베이스를 구축하였다. 퍼지관계 기법에서는 cosine amplitude method를 이용해 각 요인 별 퍼지 소속 함수 값을 획득하고 퍼지관계 함수 연산을 이용하여 취약성도를 작성하였다. 인공신경망 기법에서는 오류 역전파 알고리즘을 이용하여 산사태와 관련 요인들 간의 상대적 가중치를 결정하고 취약성도를 작성하였다. 두 기법으로 도출된 산사태 취약성도의 ROC(Receiver Operating Characteristic)와 AUC(Area Under the Curve)를 통한 검증 결과는 82.18%와 87.4%로 나타났다. 퍼지 관계 및 인공신경망 기법 모두 높은 예측 정확도를 보여 취약성 분석 기법으로서의 적용 가능성이 있는 것으로 분석되었다. 한편 본 연구지역의 경우 인공신경망 기법이 퍼지관계 기법에 비해 좀 더 나은 예측 정확도를 보이는 것으로 분석되었다.

Applying a modified AUC to gene ranking

  • Yu, Wenbao;Chang, Yuan-Chin Ivan;Park, Eunsik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.307-319
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    • 2018
  • High-throughput technologies enable the simultaneous evaluation of thousands of genes that could discriminate different subclasses of complex diseases. Ranking genes according to differential expression is an important screening step for follow-up analysis. Many statistical measures have been proposed for this purpose. A good ranked list should provide a stable rank (at least for top-ranked gene), and the top ranked genes should have a high power in differentiating different disease status. However, there is a lack of emphasis in the literature on ranking genes based on these two criteria simultaneously. To achieve the above two criteria simultaneously, we proposed to apply a previously reported metric, the modified area under the receiver operating characteristic cure, to gene ranking. The proposed ranking method is found to be promising in leading to a stable ranking list and good prediction performances of top ranked genes. The findings are illustrated through studies on both synthesized data and real microarray gene expression data. The proposed method is recommended for ranking genes or other biomarkers for high-dimensional omics studies.

A Novel Unweighted Combination Method for Business Failure Prediction Using Soft Set

  • Xu, Wei;Yang, Daoli
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제15권6호
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    • pp.1489-1502
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    • 2019
  • This work introduces a novel unweighted combination method (UCSS) for business failure perdition (BFP). With considering features of BFP in the age of big data, UCSS integrates the quantitative and qualitative analysis by utilizing soft set theory (SS). We adopt the conventional expert system (ES) as the basic qualitative classifier, the logistic regression model (LR) and the support vector machine (SVM) as basic quantitative classifiers. Unlike other traditional combination methods, we employ soft set theory to integrate the results of each basic classifier without weighting. In this way, UCSS inherits the advantages of ES, LR, SVM, and SS. To verify the performance of UCSS, it is applied to real datasets. We adopt ES, LR, SVM, combination models utilizing the equal weight approach (CMEW), neural network algorithm (CMNN), rough set and D-S evidence theory (CMRD), and the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) and SS (CFBSS) as benchmarks. The superior performance of UCSS has been verified by the empirical experiments.

Nomogram for screening the risk of developing metabolic syndrome using naïve Bayesian classifier

  • Minseok Shin;Jeayoung Lee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.21-35
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    • 2023
  • Metabolic syndrome is a serious disease that can eventually lead to various complications, such as stroke and cardiovascular disease. In this study, we aimed to identify the risk factors related to metabolic syndrome for its prevention and recognition and propose a nomogram that visualizes and predicts the probability of the incidence of metabolic syndrome. We conducted an analysis using data from the Korea National Health and Nutrition Survey (KNHANES VII) and identified 10 risk factors affecting metabolic syndrome by using the Rao-Scott chi-squared test, considering the characteristics of the complex sample. A naïve Bayesian classifier was used to build a nomogram for metabolic syndrome. We then predicted the incidence of metabolic syndrome using the nomogram. Finally, we verified the nomogram using a receiver operating characteristic curve and a calibration plot.

Functional Prediction of Hypothetical Proteins from Shigella flexneri and Validation of the Predicted Models by Using ROC Curve Analysis

  • Gazi, Md. Amran;Mahmud, Sultan;Fahim, Shah Mohammad;Kibria, Mohammad Golam;Palit, Parag;Islam, Md. Rezaul;Rashid, Humaira;Das, Subhasish;Mahfuz, Mustafa;Ahmeed, Tahmeed
    • Genomics & Informatics
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.26.1-26.12
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    • 2018
  • Shigella spp. constitutes some of the key pathogens responsible for the global burden of diarrhoeal disease. With over 164 million reported cases per annum, shigellosis accounts for 1.1 million deaths each year. Majority of these cases occur among the children of the developing nations and the emergence of multi-drug resistance Shigella strains in clinical isolates demands the development of better/new drugs against this pathogen. The genome of Shigella flexneri was extensively analyzed and found 4,362 proteins among which the functions of 674 proteins, termed as hypothetical proteins (HPs) had not been previously elucidated. Amino acid sequences of all these 674 HPs were studied and the functions of a total of 39 HPs have been assigned with high level of confidence. Here we have utilized a combination of the latest versions of databases to assign the precise function of HPs for which no experimental information is available. These HPs were found to belong to various classes of proteins such as enzymes, binding proteins, signal transducers, lipoprotein, transporters, virulence and other proteins. Evaluation of the performance of the various computational tools conducted using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis and a resoundingly high average accuracy of 93.6% were obtained. Our comprehensive analysis will help to gain greater understanding for the development of many novel potential therapeutic interventions to defeat Shigella infection.

Scoring System for Factors Affecting Aggravation of Lumbar Disc Herniation

  • Lee, Sung Wook;Kim, Sang Yoon;Lee, Jee Young
    • Investigative Magnetic Resonance Imaging
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.18-25
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: To investigate the various imaging factors associated with aggravation of lumbar disc herniation (LDH) and develop a scoring system for prediction of LDH aggravation. Materials and Methods: From 2015 to 2017, we retrospectively reviewed the magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) findings of 60 patients (30 patients with aggravated LDH and 30 patients without any altered LDH). Imaging factors for MRI evaluation included the level of LDH, disc degeneration, back muscle atrophy, facet joint degeneration, ligamentum flavum thickness and interspinous ligament degeneration. Flexion-extension difference was measured with simple radiography. The scoring system was analyzed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Results: The aggravated group manifested a higher grade of disc degeneration, back muscle atrophy and facet degeneration than the control group. The ligamentum flavum thickness in the aggravated group was thicker than in the group with unaltered LDH. The summation score was defined as the sum of the grade of disc degeneration, back muscle atrophy and facet joint degeneration. The area under the ROC curve showing the threshold value of the summation score for prediction of aggravation of LDH was 0.832 and the threshold value corresponded to 6.5. Conclusion: Disc degeneration, facet degeneration, back muscle atrophy and ligamentum flavum thickness are important factors in predicting aggravation of LDH and may facilitate the determination of treatment strategy in patients with LDH. The summation score is available as supplemental data.

/오/-/우/ 합성모음 연속체에 대한 중국인 한국어 학습자의 청지각적 경계 (Perceptual Boundary on a Synthesized Korean Vowel /o/-/u/ Continuum by Chinese Learners of Korean Language)

  • 윤지현;김은경;성철재
    • 말소리와 음성과학
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.111-121
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    • 2015
  • The present study examines the auditory boundary between Korean /o/ and /u/ on a synthesized vowel continuum by Chinese learners of Korean language. Preceding researches reported that the Chinese learners have difficulty pronouncing Korean monophthongs /o/ and /u/. In this experiment, a nine-step continuum was resynthesized using Praat from a vowel token from a recording of a male announcer who produced it in isolated form. F1 and F2 were synchronously shifted in equal steps in qtone (quarter tone), while F3 and F4 values were held constant for the entire stimuli. A forced choice identification task was performed by the advanced learners who speak Mandarin Chinese as their native language. Their experiment data were compared to a Korean native group. ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristic) analysis and logistic regression were performed to estimate the perceptual boundary. The result indicated the learner group has a different auditory criterion on the continuum from the Korean native group. This suggests that more importance should be placed on hearing and listening training in order to acquire the phoneme categories of the two vowels.