• Title/Summary/Keyword: Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve

Search Result 517, Processing Time 0.021 seconds

Serum Levels of Interleukin-8 and Tumor Necrosis Factor-alpha in Coal Workers' Pneumoconiosis: One-year Follow-up Study

  • Lee, Jong-Seong;Shin, Jae-Hoon;Lee, Joung-Oh;Lee, Kyung-Myung;Kim, Ji-Hong;Choi, Byung-Soon
    • Safety and Health at Work
    • /
    • v.1 no.1
    • /
    • pp.69-79
    • /
    • 2010
  • Objectives: Various cytokines induced by inhalation of coal dust may mediate inflammation and lead to tissue damage or fibrosis, such as coal workers' pneumoconiosis (CWP). Methods: To investigate the relevance of serum cytokines in CWP, the levels of serum interleukin-8 (IL-8) and tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-${\alpha}$) as CWP biomarkers in 110 retired coal miners (22 controls and 88 CWP subjects) were related to cross sectional findings and 1-year progressive changes of the pneumoconiosis. Progressive changes of CWP were evaluated by paired comparison of chest radiographs. Analysis by a receiver operating characteristic curve assessed the biomarker potential of each cytokine. Results: The mean serum IL-8 level was significantly higher in CWP compared to controls and IL-8 levels correlated with the degree of CWP. The median serum TNF-${\alpha}$ level was significantly higher in subjects with progressive CWP compared to subjects without CWP progression. The area under the ROC curve for IL-8 (0.70) and TNF-${\alpha}$ (0.72) for CWP identification and progression, respectively, indicated the biomarker potential of the two cytokines. Serum cutoff values of IL-8 and TNF-${\alpha}$ were 11.63 pg/mL(sensitivity, 69%; specificity, 64%) and 4.52 pg/mL (sensitivity, 67%; specificity, 79%), respectively. Conclusion: The results suggest that high levels of serum IL-8 are associated with the presence of CWP and those of serum TNF-${\alpha}$ are associated with the progression of CWP.

Hydrocephalus: Ventricular Volume Quantification Using Three-Dimensional Brain CT Data and Semiautomatic Three-Dimensional Threshold-Based Segmentation Approach

  • Hyun Woo Goo
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
    • /
    • v.22 no.3
    • /
    • pp.435-441
    • /
    • 2021
  • Objective: To evaluate the usefulness of the ventricular volume percentage quantified using three-dimensional (3D) brain computed tomography (CT) data for interpreting serial changes in hydrocephalus. Materials and Methods: Intracranial and ventricular volumes were quantified using the semiautomatic 3D threshold-based segmentation approach for 113 brain CT examinations (age at brain CT examination ≤ 18 years) in 38 patients with hydrocephalus. Changes in ventricular volume percentage were calculated using 75 serial brain CT pairs (time interval 173.6 ± 234.9 days) and compared with the conventional assessment of changes in hydrocephalus (increased, unchanged, or decreased). A cut-off value for the diagnosis of no change in hydrocephalus was calculated using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. The reproducibility of the volumetric measurements was assessed using the intraclass correlation coefficient on a subset of 20 brain CT examinations. Results: Mean intracranial volume, ventricular volume, and ventricular volume percentage were 1284.6 ± 297.1 cm3, 249.0 ± 150.8 cm3, and 19.9 ± 12.8%, respectively. The volumetric measurements were highly reproducible (intraclass correlation coefficient = 1.0). Serial changes (0.8 ± 0.6%) in ventricular volume percentage in the unchanged group (n = 28) were significantly smaller than those in the increased and decreased groups (6.8 ± 4.3% and 5.6 ± 4.2%, respectively; p = 0.001 and p < 0.001, respectively; n = 11 and n = 36, respectively). The ventricular volume percentage was an excellent parameter for evaluating the degree of hydrocephalus (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve = 0.975; 95% confidence interval, 0.948-1.000; p < 0.001). With a cut-off value of 2.4%, the diagnosis of unchanged hydrocephalus could be made with 83.0% sensitivity and 100.0% specificity. Conclusion: The ventricular volume percentage quantified using 3D brain CT data is useful for interpreting serial changes in hydrocephalus.

A Study on Sasang Constitutional Classification Methods based on ROC-curve using the personality score (성격점수를 이용한 ROC-curve 기반 사상체질 분류 방법에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Ho-Seok;Jang, Eun-Su;Kim, Sang-Hyuk;Yoo, Jong-Hyang;Lee, Si-Woo
    • Korean Journal of Oriental Medicine
    • /
    • v.17 no.2
    • /
    • pp.107-113
    • /
    • 2011
  • Objectives : Sasang typology is extensively studied for the Sasang constitution diagnosis objectification with various data, for example, questionaires, reference materials, etc and analyzed with the several statistical methods. In this study, we used ROC-curve (Receiver Operating Characteristic curve) analysis to diagnose Sasang constitution, which is a kind of epidemiologic research methods and is away from traditional statistical methods. Methods : We collected personality questionnaire which consists of 15 items, from 24 oriental medical clinics. We analyzed the sensitivity and specificity using ROC curve method based on the score of personality questionnaire and also investigated classification accuracy and cut-off value of Sasang constitution. Results : The AUC (area under the ROC curve) value was 0.508 (p=.5511) for Taeeumin, 0.629 (p<.0001) for Soeumin and 0.604(p<.0001) for Soyangin, respectively. so the classification accuracy for Soeumin was highest Soeumin for over 30 points and Soyangin for below 28 points respectively. Conclusions : We suggest that Taeeumin is not classified easily in the ROC-curve analysis. We may classify Soeumin and Soyangin but the accuracy of Sasang constitutional diagnosis is still low.

Comparison of the Pediatric Balance Scale and Fullerton Advanced Balance Scale for Predicting Falls in Children With Cerebral Palsy

  • Kim, Gyoung-mo
    • Physical Therapy Korea
    • /
    • v.23 no.4
    • /
    • pp.63-70
    • /
    • 2016
  • Background: The Pediatric Balance Scale (PBS) and the Fullerton Advanced Balance (FAB) scale were used to assess balance function in patients with balance problem. These multidimensional clinical balance scales provide information about potential risk factors for falls. Objects: The purpose of this study was to investigate and compare the predictive properties of the PBS and FAB scales relative to fall risk in children with cerebral palsy (CP) using a receiver operating characteristic analysis. Methods: In total, 49 children with CP (boy=21, girl=28) who were diagnosed with level 1 or 2 according to the Gross Motor Function Classification System participated in this study. The PBS and FAB were performed, and verified cut-off score, sensitivity, specificity, and the area of under the curve (AUC). Results: In this study, the PBS scale was as a predictive measure of fall risk, but the FAB was not significant in children with CP. A cut-off score of 45.5 points provided optimal sensitivity of .90 and specificity of .69 on the PBS, and a cut-off score of 21.5 points provided optimal sensitivity of .90 and specificity of .62 on the FAB. Both scales showed moderately accurate of AUC with .79 and .76, respectively. Conclusion: The PBS is a useful screening tool for predicting fall risk in children with cerebral palsy, and those who score 45.5 or lower indicate a high risk for falls and are in need of balance intervention.

Prognostic Value of Preoperative Serum CA 242 in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Cases

  • Feng, Ji-Feng;Huang, Ying;Chen, Qi-Xun
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
    • /
    • v.14 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1803-1806
    • /
    • 2013
  • Purpose: Carbohydrate antigen (CA) 242 is inversely related to prognosis in many cancers. However, few data regarding CA 242 in esophageal cancer (EC) are available. The aim of this study was to determine the prognostic value of CA 242 and propose an optimum cut-off point in predicting survival difference in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted of 192 cases. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for survival prediction was plotted to verify the optimum cuf-off point. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to evaluate prognostic parameters for survival. Results: The positive rate for CA 242 was 7.3% (14/192). The ROC curve for survival prediction gave an optimum cut-off of 2.15 (U/ml). Patients with CA 242 ${\leq}$ 2.15 U/ml had significantly better 5-year survival than patients with CA 242 >2.15 U/ml (45.4% versus 22.6%; P=0.003). Multivariate analysis showed that differentiation (P=0.033), CA 242 (P=0.017), T grade (P=0.004) and N staging (P<0.001) were independent prognostic factors. Conclusions: Preoperative CA 242 is a predictive factor for long-term survival in ESCC, especially in nodal-negative patients. We conclude that 2.15 U/ml may be the optimum cuf-off point for CA 242 in predicting survival in ESCC.

Comparison of the Characteristics according to Injury Severity Score between Elderly and Non-elderly with Trauma (노인과 비노인 외상환자의 손상중증도에 따른 특성 비교)

  • Kim, Hyunju;Kim, Younkyoung
    • Journal of Korean Public Health Nursing
    • /
    • v.32 no.2
    • /
    • pp.304-318
    • /
    • 2018
  • Purpose: This study examined the characteristic of the Injury Severity Score (ISS) of Korean geriatric patients with a traumatic injury in a nationally representative sample to determine the optimal cutoff of ISS of mortality according to age. Methods: The subjects were 3,018 non-elderly patients and 1,584 elderly patients with an ISS and Korean Triage and Acuity Scale (KTAS) in 2016 from the data of the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service. The traumatic characteristics of the elderly and non-elderly were compared by stratifying the ISS. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to find the optimal cutoff of ISS of mortality according to age. Results: The elderly were more prone to severe trauma than the non-elderly were. The distribution of KTAS grades was lower, even though the severity of ISS was as high as that of the non-elderly. The optimal cutoff score of the ISS for mortality in the ROC curve was lower in elderly over 65 years than in the other age group. Conclusion: The elderly are more prone to severe trauma and death than non-elderly, even though their ISS is low. Therefore, a strategy to prevent elderly from experiencing serious trauma and managing their geriatric trauma actively is needed.

Neck Circumference as a Measure for Identifying Obesity in Female College Students (여대생의 비만평가 방법으로서의 목둘레)

  • Chaung Seung-Kyo
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Fundamentals of Nursing
    • /
    • v.12 no.3
    • /
    • pp.347-353
    • /
    • 2005
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to identify whether neck circumference might be correlated with other obesity indices and to determine the neck circumference cutoff level for obesity in female college students. Method: The data were obtained by measuring other anthropometric indices including BMI and neck circumference from 325 female college students in J city, Chungbuk Province. Receiver Operating Characteristic curve(ROC curve) analysis was used to find the optimal neck circumference cutoff level against BMI $25kg/m^2$. Results: The mean BMI was $21.4kg/m^2$, and the prevalence of obesity was 12.6%. Neck circumference was significantly correlated with body weight, BMI, waist circumference, hip circumference, waist to hip ratio, % body fat, triceps skinfold thickness, systolic and diastolic blood pressure. Neck circumference of 31.95cm was the best cutoff level for determining female students with a BMI over $25kg/m^2$, and the characteristic was acceptable with 97.6% sensitivity and 85.6% specificity. Conclusions: Neck circumference was strongly correlated with the other conventional obesity indices. Female college students with neck circumference over 31.95cm require an additional evaluation of obesity.

  • PDF

Seasonal Effects Removal of Unsupervised Change Detection based Multitemporal Imagery (다시기 원격탐사자료 기반 무감독 변화탐지의 계절적 영향 제거)

  • Park, Hong Lyun;Choi, Jae Wan;Oh, Jae Hong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
    • /
    • v.36 no.2
    • /
    • pp.51-58
    • /
    • 2018
  • Recently, various satellite sensors have been developed and it is becoming more convenient to acquire multitemporal satellite images. Therefore, various researches are being actively carried out in the field of utilizing change detection techniques such as disaster and land monitoring using multitemporal satellite images. In particular, researches related to the development of unsupervised change detection techniques capable of extracting rapidly change regions have been conducted. However, there is a disadvantage that false detection occurs due to a spectral difference such as a seasonal change. In order to overcome the disadvantages, this study aimed to reduce the false alarm detection due to seasonal effects using the direction vector generated by applying the $S^2CVA$ (Sequential Spectral Change Vector Analysis) technique, which is one of the unsupervised change detection methods. $S^2CVA$ technique was applied to RapidEye images of the same and different seasons. We analyzed whether the change direction vector of $S^2CVA$ can remove false positives due to seasonal effects. For the quantitative evaluation, the ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristic) curve and the AUC (Area Under Curve) value were calculated for the change detection results and it was confirmed that the change detection performance was improved compared with the change detection method using only the change magnitude vector.

Deep Learning in Thyroid Ultrasonography to Predict Tumor Recurrence in Thyroid Cancers (인공지능 딥러닝을 이용한 갑상선 초음파에서의 갑상선암의 재발 예측)

  • Jieun Kil;Kwang Gi Kim;Young Jae Kim;Hye Ryoung Koo;Jeong Seon Park
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
    • /
    • v.81 no.5
    • /
    • pp.1164-1174
    • /
    • 2020
  • Purpose To evaluate a deep learning model to predict recurrence of thyroid tumor using preoperative ultrasonography (US). Materials and Methods We included representative images from 229 US-based patients (male:female = 42:187; mean age, 49.6 years) who had been diagnosed with thyroid cancer on preoperative US and subsequently underwent thyroid surgery. After selecting each representative transverse or longitudinal US image, we created a data set from the resulting database of 898 images after augmentation. The Python 2.7.6 and Keras 2.1.5 framework for neural networks were used for deep learning with a convolutional neural network. We compared the clinical and histological features between patients with and without recurrence. The predictive performance of the deep learning model between groups was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, and the area under the ROC curve served as a summary of the prognostic performance of the deep learning model to predict recurrent thyroid cancer. Results Tumor recurrence was noted in 49 (21.4%) among the 229 patients. Tumor size and multifocality varied significantly between the groups with and without recurrence (p < 0.05). The overall mean area under the curve (AUC) value of the deep learning model for prediction of recurrent thyroid cancer was 0.9 ± 0.06. The mean AUC value was 0.87 ± 0.03 in macrocarcinoma and 0.79 ± 0.16 in microcarcinoma. Conclusion A deep learning model for analysis of US images of thyroid cancer showed the possibility of predicting recurrence of thyroid cancer.

Statistical Method of Ranking Candidate Genes for the Biomarker

  • Kim, Byung-Soo;Kim, In-Young;Lee, Sun-Ho;Rha, Sun-Young
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.14 no.1
    • /
    • pp.169-182
    • /
    • 2007
  • Receive operating characteristic (ROC) approach can be employed to rank candidate genes from a microarray experiment, in particular, for the biomarker development with the purpose of population screening of a cancer. In the cancer microarray experiment based on n patients the researcher often wants to compare the tumor tissue with the normal tissue within the same individual using a common reference RNA. Ideally, this experiment produces n pairs of microarray data. However, it is often the case that there are missing values either in the normal or tumor tissue data. Practically, we have $n_1$ pairs of complete observations, $n_2$ "normal only" and $n_3$ "tumor only" data for the microarray. We refer to this data set as a mixed data set. We develop a ROC approach on the mixed data set to rank candidate genes for the biomarker development for the colorectal cancer screening. It turns out that the correlation between two ranks in terms of ROC and t statistics based on the top 50 genes of ROC rank is less than 0.6. This result indicates that employing a right approach of ranking candidate genes for the biomarker development is important for the allocation of resources.