• 제목/요약/키워드: Real-Time Prediction

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대형구조물 구동계통 실시간 시뮬레이션 모델 유도 및 연동 특성 분석에의 응용 (A derivation of real-time simulation model on the large-structure driving system and its application to the analysis of system interface characteristics)

  • 김재훈;최영호;유웅재;유준
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.13-25
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    • 2000
  • A simulation model is developed to analyze the large-structure driving system and its integrated behavior in the whole weapon system. It models every component in the driving system such as mechanical and electrical characteristics, and it is programmed by simulation language in a way which strongly reflects the system's real time dynamics and reduces computation time as well. A useful parameter identification method is proposed, and it is tuned on the given physical system. The model is validated through comparing to real test, and it is applied to analysis and prediction of integrated system functions relating to the fire control system.

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On-line Real Time Soil Sensor

  • Shibusawa, S.
    • Agricultural and Biosystems Engineering
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.28-33
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    • 2003
  • Achievements in the real-time soil spectro-photometer are: an improved soil penetrator to ensure a uniform soil surface under high speed conditions, real-time collecting of underground soil reflectance, getting underground soil color images, use of a RTK-GPS, and all units are arranged for compactness. With the soil spectrophotometer, field experiments were conducted in a 0.5 ha paddy field. With the original reflectance, averaging and multiple scatter correction, Kubelka-Munk (KM) transformation as soil absorption, its 1st and 2nd derivatives were calculated. When the spectra was highly correlated with the soil parameters, stepwise regression analysis was conducted. Results include the best prediction models for moisture, soil organic matter (SOM), nitrate nitrogen (NO$_3$-N), pH and electric conductivity (EC), and soil maps obtained by block kriging analysis.

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지식 누적을 이용한 실시간 주식시장 예측 (A Real-Time Stock Market Prediction Using Knowledge Accumulation)

  • 김진화;홍광헌;민진영
    • 지능정보연구
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.109-130
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    • 2011
  • 연속발생 데이터는 데이터의 원천으로부터 데이터 저장소로 연속적으로 축적이 되는 데이터를 말한다. 이렇게 축적된 데이터의 크기는 시간이 지남에 따라 점점 커진다. 또한 이러한 대용량 데이터에서 정보를 추출하기 위해서는 저장공간, 시간, 그리고 많은 자원이 필요하다. 이러한 연속발생 데이터의 특성은 시간이 지남에 따라 축적된 대용량 데이터의 이용을 어렵고 고비용이 되게 한다. 만약 정보나 패턴을 추출할 때 누적된 전체 발생 데이터 중에서 최근의 일부만 사용 한다면 적은 일부 표본의 사용의 문제로 인하여 전체 데이터 사용에서 발견될 수 있는 유용한 정보의 유실이 있을 수 있다. 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위해서 본 연구는 연속발생 데이터를 발생 시점에서 계속 모으기 보다 이러한 발생되는 데이터에서 규칙을 추출하여 효율적으로 지식을 관리하고자 한다. 이 방법은 기존의 방법에 비하여 적은 양의 데이터 저장공간을 필요로 한다. 또한 이렇게 축적된 규칙집합은 미래에 예측을 위해서 언제든 실시간 예측을 할 수 있게 준비가 된다. 여러 예측 모델을 결합시키는 방법인 앙상블 이론에 의하면 본 연구가 제시하는 데로 체계적으로 규칙집합을 시간에 따라 융합시킬 경우 더 나은 예측 성과가 가능하다. 본 연구는 주식시장의 변동성을 예측하기 위하여 주식시장 데이터를 사용하였다. 본 연구는 이 데이터를 이용해 본 연구가 제시하는 방법과 기존의 방법의 예측 정확도를 비교 하였다.

베이지안 네트워크를 이용한 단기 교통정보 예측모델 (A Short-Term Traffic Information Prediction Model Using Bayesian Network)

  • 유영중;조미경
    • 한국정보통신학회논문지
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.765-773
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    • 2009
  • 최근의 텔레매틱스 교통정보제공서비스는 지능형 교통시스템의 구축을 통한 실시간 교통정보 수집이 가능해짐에 따라 다양해지고 있다. 본 논문에서는 고품질의 다양한 교통정보제공을 위해 필요한 미래시간에 대한 단기 교통정보 예측 모델을 제안하고 개발하였다. 단기 예측 모델은 현재로부터 가까운 미래의 교통 상황을 예측하기 위한 교통 모델로 본 연구에서 제안한 예측 모델은 각 도로에 대하여 5분 이후부터 1시간 이전까지의 미래시간에 대한 차량 평균 속도를 예측 결과로 준다. 본 연구에서 제안한 예측 모델은 베이지안 네트워크에 기반을 두고 있으며 각 도로의 미래시간 교통상황에 영향을 줄 수 있는 요인들을 분석하여 베이지안 네트워크의 원인노드로 설정하였다. 설계된 베이지안 네트워크에 대하여 실시간 교통정보데이터를 이용하여 가우시안 혼합 분포를 가정한 베이지안 네트워크의 결합 확률 밀도 함수를 EM(Expectation Maximization) 알고리즘으로 구하여 미래시간의 교통정보를 예측하였다. 예측 모델의 정확도 검증을 위해 실시간 교통데이터로 다양한 실험을 수행하였다. 실험결과 제안된 모델은 현재 시간으로부터 10분 이후, 30분 이후, 60분 이후 예측 오차로 각각 4.5, 4.8, 5.2의 RMSE(Root Mean Square Error) 값을 주었다.

Traffic Information Service Model Considering Personal Driving Trajectories

  • Han, Homin;Park, Soyoung
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.951-969
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we newly propose a traffic information service model that collects traffic information sensed by an individual vehicle in real time by using a smart device, and which enables drivers to share traffic information on all roads in real time using an application installed on a smart device. In particular, when the driver requests traffic information for a specific area, the proposed driver-personalized service model provides him/her with traffic information on the driving directions in advance by predicting the driving directions of the vehicle based on the learning of the driving records of each driver. To do this, we propose a traffic information management model to process and manage in real time a large amount of online-generated traffic information and traffic information requests generated by each vehicle. We also propose a road node-based indexing technique to efficiently store and manage location-based traffic information provided by each vehicle. Finally, we propose a driving learning and prediction model based on the hidden Markov model to predict the driving directions of each driver based on the driver's driving records. We analyze the traffic information processing performance of the proposed model and the accuracy of the driving prediction model using traffic information collected from actual driving vehicles for the entire area of Seoul, as well as driving records and experimental data.

서포트벡터 회귀를 이용한 실시간 제품표면거칠기 예측 (Real-Time Prediction for Product Surface Roughness by Support Vector Regression)

  • 최수진;이동주
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제44권3호
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    • pp.117-124
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    • 2021
  • The development of IOT technology and artificial intelligence technology is promoting the smartization of manufacturing system. In this study, data extracted from acceleration sensor and current sensor were obtained through experiments in the cutting process of SKD11, which is widely used as a material for special mold steel, and the amount of tool wear and product surface roughness were measured. SVR (Support Vector Regression) is applied to predict the roughness of the product surface in real time using the obtained data. SVR, a machine learning technique, is widely used for linear and non-linear prediction using the concept of kernel. In particular, by applying GSVQR (Generalized Support Vector Quantile Regression), overestimation, underestimation, and neutral estimation of product surface roughness are performed and compared. Furthermore, surface roughness is predicted using the linear kernel and the RBF kernel. In terms of accuracy, the results of the RBF kernel are better than those of the linear kernel. Since it is difficult to predict the amount of tool wear in real time, the product surface roughness is predicted with acceleration and current data excluding the amount of tool wear. In terms of accuracy, the results of excluding the amount of tool wear were not significantly different from those including the amount of tool wear.

AI-BASED Monitoring Of New Plant Growth Management System Design

  • Seung-Ho Lee;Seung-Jung Shin
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.104-108
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    • 2023
  • This paper deals with research on innovative systems using Python-based artificial intelligence technology in the field of plant growth monitoring. The importance of monitoring and analyzing the health status and growth environment of plants in real time contributes to improving the efficiency and quality of crop production. This paper proposes a method of processing and analyzing plant image data using computer vision and deep learning technologies. The system was implemented using Python language and the main deep learning framework, TensorFlow, PyTorch. A camera system that monitors plants in real time acquires image data and provides it as input to a deep neural network model. This model was used to determine the growth state of plants, the presence of pests, and nutritional status. The proposed system provides users with information on plant state changes in real time by providing monitoring results in the form of visual or notification. In addition, it is also used to predict future growth conditions or anomalies by building data analysis and prediction models based on the collected data. This paper is about the design and implementation of Python-based plant growth monitoring systems, data processing and analysis methods, and is expected to contribute to important research areas for improving plant production efficiency and reducing resource consumption.

Real-time prediction of dynamic irregularity and acceleration of HSR bridges using modified LSGAN and in-service train

  • Huile Li;Tianyu Wang;Huan Yan
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제31권5호
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    • pp.501-516
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    • 2023
  • Dynamic irregularity and acceleration of bridges subjected to high-speed trains provide crucial information for comprehensive evaluation of the health state of under-track structures. This paper proposes a novel approach for real-time estimation of vertical track dynamic irregularity and bridge acceleration using deep generative adversarial network (GAN) and vibration data from in-service train. The vehicle-body and bogie acceleration responses are correlated with the two target variables by modeling train-bridge interaction (TBI) through least squares generative adversarial network (LSGAN). To realize supervised learning required in the present task, the conventional LSGAN is modified by implementing new loss function and linear activation function. The proposed approach can offer pointwise and accurate estimates of track dynamic irregularity and bridge acceleration, allowing frequent inspection of high-speed railway (HSR) bridges in an economical way. Thanks to its applicability in scenarios of high noise level and critical resonance condition, the proposed approach has a promising prospect in engineering applications.

A Study on the Establishment of Odor Management System in Gangwon-do Traditional Market

  • Min-Jae JUNG;Kwang-Yeol YOON;Sang-Rul KIM;Su-Hye KIM
    • 웰빙융합연구
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.27-31
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: Establishment of a real-time monitoring system for odor control in traditional markets in Gangwon-do and a system for linking prevention facilities. Research design, data and methodology: Build server and system logic based on data through real-time monitoring device (sensor-based). A temporary data generation program for deep learning is developed to develop a model for odor data. Results: A REST API was developed for using the model prediction service, and a test was performed to find an algorithm with high prediction probability and parameter values optimized for learning. In the deep learning algorithm for AI modeling development, Pandas was used for data analysis and processing, and TensorFlow V2 (keras) was used as the deep learning library. The activation function was swish, the performance of the model was optimized for Adam, the performance was measured with MSE, the model method was Functional API, and the model storage format was Sequential API (LSTM)/HDF5. Conclusions: The developed system has the potential to effectively monitor and manage odors in traditional markets. By utilizing real-time data, the system can provide timely alerts and facilitate preventive measures to control and mitigate odors. The AI modeling component enhances the system's predictive capabilities, allowing for proactive odor management.

휴대인터넷에서 움직임 예측을 이용한 seamless handover 방법 (Seamless Handover with Motion Prediction in 802.16e)

  • 이호정;윤찬영;오영환
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2005년도 학술대회 논문집 정보 및 제어부문
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    • pp.397-399
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    • 2005
  • Handover is one of the most important factors that may degrade the performance of TCP connections and real-time applications in wireless data networks. We proposed a seamless handover with Motion Prediction in IEEE 802.16e-based broadband wireless access networks. By intergrating MAC and network layer handovers efficiently, this scheme minimizes the handover delay and eliminates packet losses during handover Simulations show that this scheme achieves loss-free packet delivery without packet duplication and increases TCP throughput significantly.

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