• Journal of Communications and Networks
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• 제5권1호
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• pp.65-72
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• 2003

Internet roundtrip delay/time (RTT) prediction plays an important role in detecting packet losses in reliable transport protocols for traditional web applications and determining proper transmission rates in many rate-based TCP-friendly protocols for Internet-based real-time applications. The widely adopted autoregressive and moving average (ARMA) model with fixed-parameters is shown to be insufficient for all scenarios due to its intrinsic limitation that it filters out all high-frequency components of RTT dynamics. In this paper, we introduce a novel parameter-varying RTT model for Internet roundtrip time prediction based on the information theory and the maximum entropy principle (MEP). Since the coefficients of the proposed RTT model are updated dynamically, the model is adaptive and it tracks RTT dynamics rapidly. The results of our experiments show that the MEP algorithm works better than the ARMA method in both RTT prediction and RTO estimation.

• 한국해양공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국해양공학회 2000년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.101-108
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• 2000

In this paper, the real-time prediction of high temperature creep life was carried out for the friction welded joints of dissimilar heat resisting steels(SUH3-SUH35). Various life prediction methods such as LMP(Larson-Miller Parameter) and ISM(initial strain method) were applied : The creep behaviors of those steels and the welds under static load were examined by ISM combined with LMP at 500, 600 and $700^{\circ}C$, and the relationship between these two methods was investigated. A real-time creep life( $t_{r}$ , hr) prediction equation by initial strain($\varepsilon$$_{0}$ , %) under any creep stress ($\sigma$, MPa) at any high temperature(T, K) was developed as follows : $t_{r}$ =$\alpha$$\varepsilon$$_{0}$ $^{\beta}$$\sigma$$^{1}$ where, (equation omitted) for SUH3-SUH35 friction weld of =16mm and =20mm, respectively.

• 한국해양공학회지
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• 제15권2호
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• pp.46-52
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• 2001

In this paper, the real-time prediction of high temperature creep life was carried out for the friction welded joints of dissimilar heat resisting steels (SUH3-SUH35). various life prediction method such as LMP (Larson_miller Parameter) and ISM (initial strain method) were applied. The creep behaviors of those steels and the welds under static load were examined by ISM combined with LMP at 500, 600 and $700^{\circ}C$, and the relationship between these two methods was investigated. A real-time creep lie (tr, hr) prediction equation by initial strain (${\varepsilon}_0$, %) under any creep stress ($\sigma$, MPa) at any high temperature (T, K) was developed as follows: $t_r={\alpha}{\varepsilon}_0^{\beta}{\sigma}^{-1}$ where, ${\phi}=16: {\alpha}=10^{51.412-0.104T+5.375{\times}10^5T^2}$, $ {\beta}=-83.989+0.180T-9.957{\times}10^{-5}T^2,{\phi}=20:$ ${\alpha}=10^{69.910-0.146T+7.744{\times}10^{-5}T^2$, ${\beta}=-51.442+0.105T-5.595{\times}10^{-5}T^2$ for SUH3-SUH35 friction weld of =16mm and 20mm, respectively.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제6권3호
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• pp.205-211
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• 1997

For the prediction of multi-site rainfall with radar data and ground meteorological data, a rainfall prediction model was proposed, which uses the neural network theory, a kind of artifical Intelligence technique. The Input layer of the prediction model was constructed with current ground meteorological data, their variation, moving vectors of rain- fall field and digital terrain of the measuring site, and the output layer was constructed with the predicted rainfall up to 3 hours. In the application of the prediction model to the Pyungchang river basin, the learning results of neural network prediction model showed more Improved results than the parameter estimation results of an existing physically based model. And the proposed model comparisonally well predicted the time distribution of ralnfall.

• 정보처리학회논문지:컴퓨터 및 통신 시스템
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• 제11권2호
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• pp.67-72
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• 2022

최근 인공지능을 활용한 다양한 지능형 응용서비스 개발이 활발히 진행 중이다. 특히, 제조 산업 현장에서는 인공지능 기반 실시간 예측서비스 연구가 활발히 진행 중이며 이중 화재 및 악취를 감지·예측할 수 있는 인공지능 서비스에 대한 요구가 매우 높다. 하지만 기존 감지·예측시스템은 화재 및 악취 발생 예측이 아닌 발생 후 감지 서비스가 대부분이다. 이는 인공지능 기반 예측서비스 기술이 적용되어 있지 않기 때문이다. 또한, 화재 예측 및 악취 감지·예측서비스는 초저지연 특징을 가진 서비스이다. 따라서 초저지연 예측서비스를 제공하기 위해 엣지 컴퓨팅 기술이 인공지능 모델과 결합되어 클라우드에 비해 빠른 추론 결과를 현장에 빠르게 적용할 수 있도록 개발 중이다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 제조 산업 현장에서 가장 많이 요구되는 화재 예측 및 악취 감지·예측에 사용할 수 있는 LSTM 알고리즘 기반 학습모델을 제안한다. 또한, 제안하는 학습모델은 엣지 다바이스에 구현이 가능하도록 설계하였으며 사물인터넷 단말로부터 실시간 센서데이터를 수신하고 이 데이터를 추론 모델에 적용하여 화재 및 악취 상태를 실시간으로 예측할 수 있도록 제안한다. 제안된 모델은 3가지 성능 지표를 통해 학습모델의 예측 정확도를 평가하였으며 평가 결과는 평균 90% 이상 성능을 보였다.

• 한국정보통신학회논문지
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• 제19권7호
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• pp.1568-1576
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• 2015

본 논문에서는 실시간 동작 환경인 VoIP에 적용 가능한 스팸 대응 기법으로서 예측 평판도 시스템을 개선하여 제안한다. 기존 논문의 SPIT 유무에 대한 임계치 기준을 도출함으로써 SPIT 판단 정확도를 높였다. VoIP 스팸을 차단하기 위한 연구가 다양하게 진행되고 있지만, VoIP 스팸 대응을 위한 기존 기법들은 사용자의 직접적인 개입으로 인한 사용자 불편성, 실시간 동작으로 인한 세션 설립 시간 지연 및 시스템 과부하 등과 같은 문제가 있다. 제안 기법은 발신자의 세션 설립 주기와 수신자의 통화시간을 기준으로 통계적 방법을 이용하여 평판도를 계산하는 시스템이다. 제안 기법은 사용자의 직접적인 개입이 없기 때문에 사용자의 불편성 문제를 해결할 수 있으며, 실시간 동작을 요구하지 않고 세션 설립 전에 통계적 방법으로 발신자의 평판도를 계산하기 때문에 실시간 동작 환경인 VoIP에서 효과적으로 SPIT에 대응할 수 있다.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2017년도 학술발표회
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• pp.194-194
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• 2017

Flooding is one of the most serious and frequently occurred natural disaster at many regions around the world. Especially, under the climate change impact, it is more and more increasingly trend. To reduce the flood damage, flood forecast and its accuracy analysis are required. This study is conducted to analyze the accuracy of the real-time flood forecasting of a coupled meteo-hydrological model for the Han River basin, South Korea. The LDAPS (Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System) products with the spatial resolution of 1.5km and lead time of 36 hours are extracted and used as inputs for the SURR (Sejong University Rainfall-Runoff) model. Three statistical criteria consisting of CC (Corelation Coefficient), RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) and ME (Model Efficiency) are used to evaluate the performance of this couple. The results are expected that the accuracy of the flood forecasting reduces following the increase of lead time corresponding to the accuracy reduction of LDAPS rainfall. Further study is planed to improve the accuracy of the real-time flood forecasting.

• 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국정보통신학회 2021년도 춘계학술대회
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• pp.547-549
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• 2021

인공지능 분석에서 모델을 만들고 이를 검증하는 과정은 이미 생성된 데이터를 가지고 수행하는 Batch Processing이기에 연산 처리시간이 필요한 작업이다. 우리는 주식이나 국방 정보와 같은 실시간으로 발생하는 데이터를 바로 앞에서 발생한 데이터를 가지고 실시간으로 모델을 세우고 검증하여 예측하는 것이 필요하다. 이를 위한 해결책으로, 인공지능 모델링 작업에 필요한 데이터를 시간 처리 순으로 분할하고 데이터를 여러 프로세스에서 분산 처리하는 기법을 적용하여 해결하였다.

• ETRI Journal
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• 제18권2호
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• pp.61-74
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• 1996

We propose two new rate control schemes to improve MPEG-2 rate control in view of visual quality when scene changes happen. Two proposed schemes are characterized by real-time and non real-time improvement to reduce the impact of scene changes. We also propose a new target-bit prediction method using spatial activity of pictures and present a simple and efficient scene change detection scheme using signed difference of mean absolute difference (MAD). Computer simulation results show that the proposed real-time algorithm effectively alleviates visual quality degradation after scene changes. The proposed non real-time algorithm gives maximum 2 dB improvement in peak signal-to-noise ratio (PSNR) at a scene-changed picture, compared with MPEG-2 rate control scheme and it shows better quality than the real-time one.

• International journal of advanced smart convergence
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• 제7권2호
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• pp.86-94
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• 2018

This study focuses on presenting the IT program module provided by real - time forecasting and database of the voluntary disclosure quality measure in order to solve the problem of capital cost due to information asymmetry of external investors and corporate executives. This study suggests a model of the algorithm that the quality of real - time voluntary disclosure can be provided to all investors immediately by IT program in order to deliver the meaningful value in the domestic capital market. This is a method of generating and analyzing real-time or non-real-time prediction models by transferring the predicted estimates delivered to the Big Data Log Analysis System through the statistical DB to the statistical forecasting engine.