• Title/Summary/Keyword: Range prediction

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Performance prediction of gamma electron vertex imaging (GEVI) system for interfractional range shift detection in spot scanning proton therapy

  • Kim, Sung Hun;Jeong, Jong Hwi;Ku, Youngmo;Jung, Jaerin;Kim, Chan Hyeong
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.6
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    • pp.2213-2220
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    • 2022
  • The maximum dose delivery at the end of the beam range provides the main advantage of using proton therapy. The range of the proton beam, however, is subject to uncertainties, which limit the clinical benefits of proton therapy and, therefore, accurate in vivo verification of the beam range is desirable. For the beam range verification in spot scanning proton therapy, a prompt gamma detection system, called as gamma electron vertex imaging (GEVI) system, is under development and, in the present study, the performance of the GEVI system in spot scanning proton therapy was predicted with Geant4 Monte Carlo simulations in terms of shift detection sensitivity, accuracy and precision. The simulation results indicated that the GEVI system can detect the interfractional range shifts down to 1 mm shift for the cases considered in the present study. The results also showed that both the evaluated accuracy and precision were less than 1-2 mm, except for the scenarios where we consider all spots in the energy layer for a local shifting. It was very encouraging results that the accuracy and precision satisfied the smallest distal safety margin of the investigated beam energy (i.e., 4.88 mm for 134.9 MeV).

High-resolution medium-range streamflow prediction using distributed hydrological model WRF-Hydro and numerical weather forecast GDAPS (분포형 수문모형 WRF-Hydro와 기상수치예보모형 GDAPS를 활용한 고해상도 중기 유량 예측)

  • Kim, Sohyun;Kim, Bomi;Lee, Garim;Lee, Yaewon;Noh, Seong Jin
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.57 no.5
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    • pp.333-346
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    • 2024
  • High-resolution medium-range streamflow prediction is crucial for sustainable water quality and aquatic ecosystem management. For reliable medium-range streamflow predictions, it is necessary to understand the characteristics of forcings and to effectively utilize weather forecast data with low spatio-temporal resolutions. In this study, we presented a comparative analysis of medium-range streamflow predictions using the distributed hydrological model, WRF-Hydro, and the numerical weather forecast Global Data Assimilation and Prediction System (GDAPS) in the Geumho River basin, Korea. Multiple forcings, ground observations (AWS&ASOS), numerical weather forecast (GDAPS), and Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS), were ingested to investigate the performance of streamflow predictions with highresolution WRF-Hydro configuration. In terms of the mean areal accumulated rainfall, GDAPS was overestimated by 36% to 234%, and GLDAS reanalysis data were overestimated by 80% to 153% compared to AWS&ASOS. The performance of streamflow predictions using AWS&ASOS resulted in KGE and NSE values of 0.6 or higher at the Kangchang station. Meanwhile, GDAPS-based streamflow predictions showed high variability, with KGE values ranging from 0.871 to -0.131 depending on the rainfall events. Although the peak flow error of GDAPS was larger or similar to that of GLDAS, the peak flow timing error of GDAPS was smaller than that of GLDAS. The average timing errors of AWS&ASOS, GDAPS, and GLDAS were 3.7 hours, 8.4 hours, and 70.1 hours, respectively. Medium-range streamflow predictions using GDAPS and high-resolution WRF-Hydro may provide useful information for water resources management especially in terms of occurrence and timing of peak flow albeit high uncertainty in flood magnitude.

Abnormal Water Temperature Prediction Model Near the Korean Peninsula Using LSTM (LSTM을 이용한 한반도 근해 이상수온 예측모델)

  • Choi, Hey Min;Kim, Min-Kyu;Yang, Hyun
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.265-282
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    • 2022
  • Sea surface temperature (SST) is a factor that greatly influences ocean circulation and ecosystems in the Earth system. As global warming causes changes in the SST near the Korean Peninsula, abnormal water temperature phenomena (high water temperature, low water temperature) occurs, causing continuous damage to the marine ecosystem and the fishery industry. Therefore, this study proposes a methodology to predict the SST near the Korean Peninsula and prevent damage by predicting abnormal water temperature phenomena. The study area was set near the Korean Peninsula, and ERA5 data from the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) was used to utilize SST data at the same time period. As a research method, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) algorithm specialized for time series data prediction among deep learning models was used in consideration of the time series characteristics of SST data. The prediction model predicts the SST near the Korean Peninsula after 1- to 7-days and predicts the high water temperature or low water temperature phenomenon. To evaluate the accuracy of SST prediction, Coefficient of determination (R2), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) indicators were used. The summer (JAS) 1-day prediction result of the prediction model, R2=0.996, RMSE=0.119℃, MAPE=0.352% and the winter (JFM) 1-day prediction result is R2=0.999, RMSE=0.063℃, MAPE=0.646%. Using the predicted SST, the accuracy of abnormal sea surface temperature prediction was evaluated with an F1 Score (F1 Score=0.98 for high water temperature prediction in summer (2021/08/05), F1 Score=1.0 for low water temperature prediction in winter (2021/02/19)). As the prediction period increased, the prediction model showed a tendency to underestimate the SST, which also reduced the accuracy of the abnormal water temperature prediction. Therefore, it is judged that it is necessary to analyze the cause of underestimation of the predictive model in the future and study to improve the prediction accuracy.

A Multithreaded Implementation of HEVC Intra Prediction Algorithm for a Photovoltaic Monitoring System

  • Choi, Yung-Ho;Ahn, Hyung-Keun
    • Transactions on Electrical and Electronic Materials
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.256-261
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    • 2012
  • Recently, many photovoltaic systems (PV systems) including solar parks and PV farms have been built to prepare for the post fossil fuel era. To investigate the degradation process of the PV systems and thus, efficiently operate PV systems, there is a need to visually monitor PV systems in the range of infrared ray through the Internet. For efficient visual monitoring, this paper explores a multithreaded implementation of a recently developed HEVC standard whose compression efficiency is almost two times higher than H.264. For an efficient parallel implementation under a meshbased 64 multicore system, this work takes into account various design choices which can solve potential problems of a two-dimensional interconnects-based 64 multicore system. These problems may have not occurred in a small-scale multicore system based on a simple bus network. Through extensive evaluation, this paper shows that, for an efficient multithreaded implementation of HEVC intra prediction in a mesh-based multicore system, much effort needs to be made to optimize communications among processing cores. Thus, this work provides three design choices regarding communications, i.e., main thread core location, cache home policy, and maximum coding unit size. These design choices are shown to improve the overall parallel performance of the HEVC intra prediction algorithm by up to 42%, achieving a 7 times higher speed-up.

Prediction of Tropospheric Amplitude Scintillation on Earth-Space Paths with High-Elevation Angle

  • Potilar, W.;Nakasuwan, J.;Griwan, J.;Sangaroon, O.;Janchitrapongvej, K.
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.2078-2081
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents the studies on prediction models of tropospheric scintillation. The prediction scintillation models are Karasawa and ITU-R , which can be improved for different locations and circumstances. In this paper, the investigation of average time between variance ${\sigma}_n\;^2$ and the wet part of refractivity $N_{wet}$ under various conditions of meteorological parameters have been carried out at King Mongkut’s Institute of Technology Lankrabang , Bangkok , Thailand , in the range of Ku-band (12.260 GHz) on high elevation angle from Thaicom2 satellite. From the studies results shows that average period of time of 30 days are best suitable for find out the relation between average time variance ${\sigma}_n\;^2$ and the wet part of refractivity $N_{wet}$ according to Karasawa model, the average time variance is express as ${\sigma}_n\;^2=(0.003N_{wet}-0.1313)^2$ , the appropriation model for occurrence of scintillation has been analyzed and experimental results are carried out.

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Psychophysical cost function of joint movement for arm reach posture prediction

  • 최재호;김성환;정의승
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1994.04a
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    • pp.561-568
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    • 1994
  • A man model can be used as an effective tool to design ergonomically sound products and workplaces, and subsequently evaluate them properly. For a man model to be truly useful, it must be integrated with a posture prediction model which should be capable of representing the human arm reach posture in the context of equipments and workspaces. Since the human movement possesses redundant degrees of freedom, accurate representation or prediction of human movement was known to be a difficult problem. To solve this redundancy problem, a psychophysical cost function was suggested in this study which defines a cost value for each joint movement angle. The psychophysical cost function developed integrates the psychophysical discomfort of joints and the joint range availability concept which has been used for redundant arm manipulation in robotics to predict the arm reach posture. To properly predict an arm reach posture, an arm reach posture prediction model was then developed in which a posture configuration that provides the minimum total cost is chosen. The predictivity of the psychophysical cost function was compared with that of the biomechanical cost function which is based on the minimization of joint torque. Here, the human body is regarded as a two-dimensional multi-link system which consists of four links ; trunk, upper arm, lower arm and hand. Real reach postures were photographed from the subjects and were compared to the postures predicted by the model. Results showed that the postures predicted by the psychophysical cost function closely simulated human reach postures and the predictivity was more accurate than that by the biomechanical cost function.

The Prediction of Compressive Strength and Slump Value of Concrete Using Neural Networks (신경망을 이용한 콘크리트의 압축강도 및 슬럼프값 추정)

  • Choi, Young-Wha;Kim, Jong-In;Kim, In-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.103-110
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    • 2002
  • An artificial neural network is applied to the prediction of compressive strength, slump value of concrete. Standard mixed tables arc trained and estimated, and the results are compared with those of experiments. To consider the varieties of material properties, the standard mixed tables of two companies of Ready Mixed Concrete are used. And they are trained with the neural network. In this paper, standard back propagation network is used. For the arrangement on the approval of prediction of compressive strength and slump value, the standard compressive strength of 210, $240kgf/cm^2$ and target slump value of 12, 15cm are used because the amount of production of that range arc the most at ordinary companies. In results, in the prediction of compressive strength and slump value, the predicted values are converged well to those of standard mixed tables at the target error of 0.10, 0.05, 0.001 regardless of two companies.

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Prediction of compressive strength of concrete using neural networks

  • Al-Salloum, Yousef A.;Shah, Abid A.;Abbas, H.;Alsayed, Saleh H.;Almusallam, Tarek H.;Al-Haddad, M.S.
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.197-217
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    • 2012
  • This research deals with the prediction of compressive strength of normal and high strength concrete using neural networks. The compressive strength was modeled as a function of eight variables: quantities of cement, fine aggregate, coarse aggregate, micro-silica, water and super-plasticizer, maximum size of coarse aggregate, fineness modulus of fine aggregate. Two networks, one using raw variables and another using grouped dimensionless variables were constructed, trained and tested using available experimental data, covering a large range of concrete compressive strengths. The neural network models were compared with regression models. The neural networks based model gave high prediction accuracy and the results demonstrated that the use of neural networks in assessing compressive strength of concrete is both practical and beneficial. The performance of model using the grouped dimensionless variables is better than the prediction using raw variables.

Sensitivity of Typhoon Simulation to Physics Parameterizations in the Global Model (전구 모델의 물리과정에 따른 태풍 모의 민감도)

  • Kim, Ki-Byung;Lee, Eun-Hee;Seol, Kyung-Hee
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.17-28
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    • 2017
  • The sensitivity of the typhoon track and intensity simulation to physics schemes of the global model are examined for the typhoon Bolaven and Tembin cases by using the Global/Regional Integrated Model System-Global Model Program (GRIMs-GMP) with the physics package version 2.0 of the Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems. Microphysics, Cloudiness, and Planetary boundary Layer (PBL) parameterizations are changed and the impact of each scheme change to typhoon simulation is compared with the control simulation and observation. It is found that change of microphysics scheme from WRF Single-Moment 5-class (WSM5) to 1-class (WSM1) affects to the typhoon simulation significantly, showing the intensified typhoon activity and increased precipitation amount, while the effect of the prognostic cloudiness and PBL enhanced mixing scheme is not noticeable. It appears that WSM1 simulates relatively unstable and drier atmospheric structure than WSM5, which is induced by the latent heat change and the associated radiative effect due to not considering ice cloud. And WSM1 results the enhanced typhoon intensity and heavy rainfall simulation. It suggests that the microphysics is important to improve the capability for typhoon simulation of a global model and to increase the predictability of medium range forecast.

CNN Architecture Predicting Movie Rating from Audience's Reviews Written in Korean (한국어 관객 평가기반 영화 평점 예측 CNN 구조)

  • Kim, Hyungchan;Oh, Heung-Seon;Kim, Duksu
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, we present a movie rating prediction architecture based on a convolutional neural network (CNN). Our prediction architecture extends TextCNN, a popular CNN-based architecture for sentence classification, in three aspects. First, character embeddings are utilized to cover many variants of words since reviews are short and not well-written linguistically. Second, the attention mechanism (i.e., squeeze-and-excitation) is adopted to focus on important features. Third, a scoring function is proposed to convert the output of an activation function to a review score in a certain range (1-10). We evaluated our prediction architecture on a movie review dataset and achieved a low MSE (e.g., 3.3841) compared with an existing method. It showed the superiority of our movie rating prediction architecture.