• Title/Summary/Keyword: Random indices

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Development of Prediction Model of Chloride Diffusion Coefficient using Machine Learning (기계학습을 이용한 염화물 확산계수 예측모델 개발)

  • Kim, Hyun-Su
    • Journal of Korean Association for Spatial Structures
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.87-94
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    • 2023
  • Chloride is one of the most common threats to reinforced concrete (RC) durability. Alkaline environment of concrete makes a passive layer on the surface of reinforcement bars that prevents the bar from corrosion. However, when the chloride concentration amount at the reinforcement bar reaches a certain level, deterioration of the passive protection layer occurs, causing corrosion and ultimately reducing the structure's safety and durability. Therefore, understanding the chloride diffusion and its prediction are important to evaluate the safety and durability of RC structure. In this study, the chloride diffusion coefficient is predicted by machine learning techniques. Various machine learning techniques such as multiple linear regression, decision tree, random forest, support vector machine, artificial neural networks, extreme gradient boosting annd k-nearest neighbor were used and accuracy of there models were compared. In order to evaluate the accuracy, root mean square error (RMSE), mean square error (MSE), mean absolute error (MAE) and coefficient of determination (R2) were used as prediction performance indices. The k-fold cross-validation procedure was used to estimate the performance of machine learning models when making predictions on data not used during training. Grid search was applied to hyperparameter optimization. It has been shown from numerical simulation that ensemble learning methods such as random forest and extreme gradient boosting successfully predicted the chloride diffusion coefficient and artificial neural networks also provided accurate result.

Development of an index that decreases birth weight, promotes postnatal growth and yet minimizes selection intensity in beef cattle

  • Kenji Togashi;Toshio Watanabe;Atsushi Ogino;Masakazu Shinomiya;Masashi Kinukawa;Kazuhito Kurogi;Shohei Toda
    • Animal Bioscience
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    • v.37 no.5
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    • pp.839-851
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    • 2024
  • Objective: The main goal of our current study was to improve the growth curve of meat animals by decreasing the birth weight while achieving a finishing weight that is the same as that before selection but at younger age. Methods: Random regression model was developed to derive various selection indices to achieve desired gains in body weight at target time points throughout the fattening process. We considered absolute and proportional gains at specific ages (in weeks) and for various stages (i.e., early, middle, late) during the fattening process. Results: The point gain index was particularly easy to use because breeders can assign a specific age (in weeks) as a time point and model either the actual weight gain desired or a scaled percentage gain in body weight. Conclusion: The point gain index we developed can achieve the desired weight gain at any given postnatal week of the growing process and is an easy-to-use and practical option for improving the growth curve.

Genetic Parameters for Milk Yield and Lactation Persistency Using Random Regression Models in Girolando Cattle

  • Canaza-Cayo, Ali William;Lopes, Paulo Savio;da Silva, Marcos Vinicius Gualberto Barbosa;de Almeida Torres, Robledo;Martins, Marta Fonseca;Arbex, Wagner Antonio;Cobuci, Jaime Araujo
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.28 no.10
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    • pp.1407-1418
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    • 2015
  • A total of 32,817 test-day milk yield (TDMY) records of the first lactation of 4,056 Girolando cows daughters of 276 sires, collected from 118 herds between 2000 and 2011 were utilized to estimate the genetic parameters for TDMY via random regression models (RRM) using Legendre's polynomial functions whose orders varied from 3 to 5. In addition, nine measures of persistency in milk yield ($PS_i$) and the genetic trend of 305-day milk yield (305MY) were evaluated. The fit quality criteria used indicated RRM employing the Legendre's polynomial of orders 3 and 5 for fitting the genetic additive and permanent environment effects, respectively, as the best model. The heritability and genetic correlation for TDMY throughout the lactation, obtained with the best model, varied from 0.18 to 0.23 and from -0.03 to 1.00, respectively. The heritability and genetic correlation for persistency and 305MY varied from 0.10 to 0.33 and from -0.98 to 1.00, respectively. The use of $PS_7$ would be the most suitable option for the evaluation of Girolando cattle. The estimated breeding values for 305MY of sires and cows showed significant and positive genetic trends. Thus, the use of selection indices would be indicated in the genetic evaluation of Girolando cattle for both traits.

Development of an ATM switch simulator (ATM 스위치 시뮬레이터의 개발)

  • 변성혁;김덕경;이승준;허정원;선단근;박홍식
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics A
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    • v.32A no.9
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    • pp.1209-1218
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    • 1995
  • In this paper, we develope an ATM switch simulator in order to evaluate the HAN/B-ISDN ATM switch currently being developed by ETRI. It models the basic cell switching functions of the target ATM switch with priority control and multicasting features and it also supports such various traffic models as random or bursty traffic, balanced or unbalanced traffic, multicast traffic models. Using this simulator, we can evaluate the performances of the ATM switch in terms of various performance indices, i.e. cell delay, cell loss probability, etc., and this simulator can be utilized in the system parameter tunings such as the common buffer size and address buffer size.

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A Study on the Probabilistic Reliability Evaluation of Power System Considering Wind Turbine Generators with A simplified Multi-state Model (간략화한 다개상태 모델을 갖는 풍력발전계통을 고려한 전력계통의 신뢰도평가에 관한 기초연구)

  • Wu, Liang;Park, Jeong-Je;Choi, Jae-Seok
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2008.07a
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    • pp.271-272
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    • 2008
  • Renewable energy resources such as wind, wave, solar, micro hydro, tidal and biomass etc are becoming important stage by stage, considering the effect of environment. Wind energy is one of the most successful sources of renewable energy for the production of electrical energy. What's more, due to wind speed random variation the wind turbine generators can not make two-state model as conventional generators. The method of obtaining reliability evaluation indices of wind turbine generators is different from the conventional generators. This paper presents a study on the reliability evaluation of power system considering wind turbine generators with a simplified multi-state model.

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Reliability Based Real-time Slope Stability Assessment

  • Lee, Seung-Rae;Choi, Jung-Chan;Kim, Yun-Ki
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.427-435
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    • 2008
  • A reliability based slope stability assessment method is proposed and examined considering the variation of matric suction which is measured by a real time slope monitoring system. Mean value first order reliability method and advanced first order reliability method are used to calculate reliability indices of a slope. The applicability of methods is compared by applying them to the range of matric suctions measured by the real-time monitoring system. Sensitivity analysis is also performed to examine the contribution of random variables to the reliability index of slope. Finally, the proposed method is applied to a model slope. The results show that the reliability index of slope can be used for efficient slope management by quantifying the risk of slope in real time.

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Crystallinity of yellow colored silkworm variety cocoons

  • Park, Bo Kyung;Nho, Si Kab;Um, In Chul
    • International Journal of Industrial Entomology and Biomaterials
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.51-55
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    • 2019
  • The structure and properties of silk polymers (fibroin and sericin) can be satisfactorily controlled by choosing a suitable silkworm variety and, hence, this parameter (i.e., silkworm variety) has attracted increasing attention. A previous study reported that the crystallinity of white colored silkworm cocoons depends on the silkworm variety. In the present study, sixteen yellow colored silkworm variety cocoons were produced and their molecular conformation and crystallinity were investigated. The conformation of the silkworm cocoons varied with the silkworm variety. Most cocoons exhibited ${\beta}$-sheet conformation, although random coil and ${\beta}$-sheet conformations co-existed in some cocoons (e.g., 21 and D90). The crystallinity of the silkworm cocoons varied with the silkworm variety and the measurement position of the cocoon (i.e., outer surface or inner surface). However, the difference in the crystallinity indices of the outer and inner surfaces comprising the cocoons varied with the silkworm variety, but was <2% for all cocoons, except for MAL.

Analysis of the Process Capability Index According to the Sample Size of Multi-Measurement (다측정 표본크기에 대한 공정능력지수 분석)

  • Lee, Do-Kyung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.42 no.1
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    • pp.151-157
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    • 2019
  • This study is about the process capability index (PCI). In this study, we introduce several indices including the index $C_{PR}$ and present the characteristics of the $C_{PR}$ as well as its validity. The difference between the other indices and the $C_{PR}$ is the way we use to estimate the standard deviation. Calculating the index, most indices use sample standard deviation while the index $C_{PR}$ uses range R. The sample standard deviation is generally a better estimator than the range R. But in the case of the panel process, the $C_{PR}$ has more consistency than the other indices at the point of non-conforming ratio which is an important term in quality control. The reason why the $C_{PR}$ using the range has better consistency is explained by introducing the concept of 'flatness ratio'. At least one million cells are present in one panel, so we can't inspect all of them. In estimating the PCI, it is necessary to consider the inspection cost together with the consistency. Even though we want smaller sample size at the point of inspection cost, the small sample size makes the PCI unreliable. There is 'trade off' between the inspection cost and the accuracy of the PCI. Therefore, we should obtain as large a sample size as possible under the allowed inspection cost. In order for $C_{PR}$ to be used throughout the industry, it is necessary to analyze the characteristics of the $C_{PR}$. Because the $C_{PR}$ is a kind of index including subgroup concept, the analysis should be done at the point of sample size of the subgroup. We present numerical analysis results of $C_{PR}$ by the data from the random number generating method. In this study, we also show the difference between the $C_{PR}$ using the range and the $C_P$ which is a representative index using the sample standard deviation. Regression analysis was used for the numerical analysis of the sample data. In addition, residual analysis and equal variance analysis was also conducted.

Detector Evaluation Scheme Including the Concept of Confidence Interval in Statistics (통계적 신뢰구간 개념을 도입한 검지기 성능평가)

  • Jang, Jin-Hwan;Kim, Byung-Hwa
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2011
  • This paper presents a new test technique for evaluating performance of vehicle detectors with interval estimation, not the conventional point estimation, for presenting statistical confidence interval. The methodology is categorized into three parts; sampling plan, analysis on the characteristic of evaluation indices, and the expression of evaluation results. Even though many statistical sampling plans exist, stratified random sampling is regarded as the most appropriate one, considering the detector performance characteristics that varies with traffic, illumination, and meteorological conditions. No magic bullet exists for evaluation index for detector evaluation, hence the characteristics of evaluation indices were thoroughly analyzed and a reasonable process for choosing the best evaluation index is proposed. Finally, the methodology to express the result of detector evaluation for the entire evaluation period and individual analysis interval is represented, respectively. To overcome the existing drawbacks in point estimation, interval estimation by which statistical confidence interval can be represented is introduced for enhancing statistical reliability of traffic detector evaluation. This research can make vehicle detector scheme improve one step forward.

An Evaluation of Sampling Design for Estimating an Epidemiologic Volume of Diabetes and for Assessing Present Status of Its Control in Korea (우리나라 당뇨병의 역학적 규모와 당뇨병 관리현황 파악을 위한 표본설계의 평가)

  • Lee, Ji-Sung;Kim, Jai-Yong;Baik, Sei-Hyun;Park, Ie-Byung;Lee, June-Young
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.135-142
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    • 2009
  • Objectives : An appropriate sampling strategy for estimating an epidemiologic volume of diabetes has been evaluated through a simulation. Methods : We analyzed about 250 million medical insurance claims data submitted to the Health Insurance Review & Assessment Service with diabetes as principal or subsequent diagnoses, more than or equal to once per year, in 2003. The database was re-constructed to a 'patient-hospital profile' that had 3,676,164 cases, and then to a 'patient profile' that consisted of 2,412,082 observations. The patient profile data was then used to test the validity of a proposed sampling frame and methods of sampling to develop diabetic-related epidemiologic indices. Results : Simulation study showed that a use of a stratified two-stage cluster sampling design with a total sample size of 4,000 will provide an estimate of 57.04%(95% prediction range, 49.83 - 64.24%) for a treatment prescription rate of diabetes. The proposed sampling design consists, at first, stratifying the area of the nation into "metropolitan/city/county" and the types of hospital into "tertiary/secondary/primary/clinic" with a proportion of 5:10:10:75. Hospitals were then randomly selected within the strata as a primary sampling unit, followed by a random selection of patients within the hospitals as a secondly sampling unit. The difference between the estimate and the parameter value was projected to be less than 0.3%. Conclusions : The sampling scheme proposed will be applied to a subsequent nationwide field survey not only for estimating the epidemiologic volume of diabetes but also for assessing the present status of nationwide diabetes control.