• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rainfall threshold

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A Study on the Management Method of Agricultural reservoir Using RCP Scenario (RCP 시나리오 분석을 통한 농업용 저수지 관리방안에 관한 연구)

  • Choo, Yeon Moon;Won, Chang Hee;Kim, Seong Ryul;Gwon, Chang Heon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.28-34
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    • 2020
  • A reservoir is defined as an artificial facility that stores and controls water during floods and droughts. Korea has constructed and managed reservoirs all over the country to benefit farming communities. The importance of reservoirs has decreased gradually due to urbanization and the spread of tap water, but the importance of water is increasing because of the recent shortage of water and the resulting rise in the price of water resources. Therefore, this study suggests countermeasures through an analysis of the used threshold for agricultural reservoirs. To this end, the forecast of rainfall up to 2100 was first analyzed using flood estimates and RCP scenarios through rainwater data collection. The increase in the RCP 8.5 scenario, the largest increase in the probability rainfall, was calculated by adding it to the current probability rainfall, and it was predicted that the marginal height of Odong Dam would reach its limit in 2028. Therefore, as a countermeasure against this, the measures to secure effective water storage were suggested through measures, such as lowering the height of Yeosu and installing movable beams. Overall, it is expected that effective management of the reservoirs used for agriculture will be possible in the future.

Estimation and evaluation on the return period of flash flood for small mountainous watersheds in the Han River basin (한강유역 산지소하천의 돌발홍수 재현기간 산정 및 평가)

  • Kim, Hwa-Yeon;Kim, Jeong-Bae;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.4
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    • pp.245-253
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    • 2019
  • The objectives of this study are to estimate the return period of flash flood and evaluate its appropriateness based on the actual observation events for small mountainous watersheds in the Han River basin. For these goals, Flash Flood Guidance (FFG) was estimated from 1-hr duration Threshold Runoff (TR) and Saturation Deficit (SD) of soil moisture which was derived from Sejong University Rainfall Runoff (SURR) model. Then, the return period of flash flood was calculated by comparing the rainfall quantile to the 1-hr duration rainfall that exceeded the FFG during the past period (2002-2010). Moreover, the appropriateness of the estimated return period of flash flood was evaluated by using the observation events from 2011 to 2016. The results of the return period of flash flood ranged from 1.1 to 19.9 years with a mean and a standard deviation of 1.6 and 1.1 years, respectively. Also, the result of the appropriateness indicated that 83% of the return periods derived from observation events were within the return period of flash flood range. Therefore, the estimated return period of flash flood could be considered as highly appropriate.

Pilot Study on the Statistical Characteristics of a Railroad Weather-Related Accidents and Incidents in Korea (철도기상사고의 통계적 특성)

  • Park, Jong-Kil;Jung, Woo-Sik;Lee, Man-Ki;Kim, Hi-Man;Lee, Jae-Su
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.19 no.7
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    • pp.917-929
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    • 2010
  • This paper aims to find out the statistical characteristics of the weather related railroad accidents and incidents. Data from Korea Railroad Operation Information System(KROIS) and Korea Railroad Accidents reports during 1996-2008 were used to investigate the occurrence frequency of railroad accidents and operation obstacles and their association with weather phenomena. The results are as follows; The occurrence frequency of railroad accidents and operation obstacles decrease gradually, and most of railroad accidents is a railroad traffic accidents. The amount of damages by a railroad weather-related accidents is higher than those of the railroad accidents and operation obstacles. It was also found that weather events influencing the railroad weather-related accidents and incidents are rainfall, snowfall, lightning, winds. And they caused a railroad weather-related accidents and incidents, such as railway obstruction, signal failure, and power supply failure. Therefore we need research about threshold review and a quantitative and qualitative analysis of a railroad weather-related accidents and incidents according to climate change.

A study on the landslide detection method using wireless sensor network (WSN) and the establishment of threshold for issuing alarm (무선센서 네트워크를 이용한 산사태 감지방법 및 경로발령 관리 기준치 설정 연구)

  • Kim, Hyung-Woo;Kim, Goo-Soo;Chang, Sung-Bong
    • 한국정보통신설비학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.08a
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    • pp.262-267
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    • 2008
  • Recently, landslides frequently occur on natural slope and/or man-made cut slope during periods of intense rainfall. With a rapidly increasing population on or near steep terrain, landslides have become one of the most significant natural hazards. Thus, it is necessary to protect people from landslides and to minimize the damage of houses, roads and other facilities. To accomplish this goal, many landslide monitoring systems have been developed throughout the world. In this paper, a simple landslide detection system that enables people to escape the endangered area is introduced. The system is focused on the debris flows which happen frequently during periods of intense rainfall. The system is based on the wireless sensor network (WSN) that is composed of wireless sensor nodes, gateway, and remote server system. Wireless sensor nodes and gateway are deployed by commercially available Microstrain G-Link products. Five wireless sensor nodes and one gateway are installed at the test slope for detecting ground movement. The acceleration and inclination data of test slope can be obtained, which provides a potential to detect landslide. In addition, thresholds to determine whether the test slope is stable or not are suggested by a series of numerical simulations, using geotechnical analysis software package. It is obtained that the alarm should be issued if the x-direction displacement of sensor node is greater than 20mili-meters and the inclination of sensor node is greater than 3 degrees. It is expected that the landslide detection method using wireless senor network can provide early warning where landslides are prone to occur.

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Debris Yield Prediction of Gangwon Mountain Region in Korea (강원 산간지역의 토석유출량 예측)

  • Kwon, Hyuk Jae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.182-182
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    • 2020
  • 최근 지구 온난화나 기상이변으로 인해 세계각지에서 많은 자연재해가 발생하고 있고 우리나라도 최근 전국 각지에서 국지성호우에 의한 많은 피해가 발생하고 있다. 특히 국지성호우로 인해 발생하는 산간지역의 토석류는 많은 재산피해를 일으키고 있다. 최근 토석, 토사, 혹은 부유 잡목 등의 유출로 인한 피해를 막기 위해 많은 사방댐을 축조하고 있으나 표면침식에 의해서 유출되는 토석량 혹은 토사량을 정확히 예측하지 못한다면 축조된 사방댐은 금방 제구실을 못할 수 있거나 혹은 과대 설계 및 시공되어 건설비를 낭비할 수 있다. 따라서 최적의 사방댐 건설을 위해 정확한 토석량의 산정은 매우 중요한 전제조건이라 할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 강원도 인제군 산간지역 4곳의 사방댐유역에 대해 토석량 예측모형 MSDPM(Multi-Sequence Debris Prediction Model)과 LADMP(Los Angeles District Method for Prediction of sediments yield)를 이용하여 산정한 토석량과 실제 준설량을 비교하였다. 이를 위해 강원 산간지역에 맞도록 예측모형을 보정하였으며 토석류 유발 강우강도(Threshold Maximum 1-hr Rainfall Intensity)와 토석류 유발 최소강우량(Total Minimum Rainfall Amount)개념을 도입하여 예측모형식을 적용하였다. 위 식이 갖고 있는 대표적 특징 중 하나인 산불계수를 사용해야 하지만 본 연구지역은 산불 피해규모가 미미하여 산불의 영향은 고려하지 않고 토석량을 산정하였다. 두 예측모형의 계산결과와 실제 준설량을 비교해본 결과, MSDPM의 결과가 LADMP의 결과보다 준설량과 더 일치하는 것으로 나타났다. 실제 준설량과 MSDPM의 계산결과는 평균 17.37%의 차이를 나타냈고 LADMP의 계산결과는 평균 41.87%의 차이를 나타냈다. 본 연구에서 사용된 토석량 예측 모형은 앞으로 많은 산지유역의 토석량 예측에 사용이 가능 할 것으로 판단된다. 하지만 본 연구에서 사용된 자료의 제한성 때문에 앞으로 많은 실측 준설자료를 통하여 예측모형식을 보정하는 작업이 우선되어야 할 것으로 판단된다. 이를 위해서 많은 산지유역의 토석량을 장시간 실측하여 데이터를 축적하고 이를 사용하여 다양한 토석량 예측모형을 검보정하는 노력이 필요할 것으로 판단된다.

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Concept of Seasonality Analysis of Hydrologic Extreme Variables and Effective Design Rainfall Estimation Using Nonstationary Frequency Analysis (극치수문자료의 계절성 분석 개념 및 비정상성 빈도해석을 이용한 유효확률강수량 해석)

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;Lee, Jeong-Ju;Lee, Dong-Ryul
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.1434-1438
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    • 2010
  • 수문자료의 계절성은 수자원관리의 관점에서 매우 중요한 요소로서 계절성의 변동은 댐의 운영, 홍수조절, 관계용수 관리 등 다양한 분야와 밀접한 관계를 가지고 있다. 그러나 지금까지의 수문 자료의 계절성 평가는 주로 이수과점에서 이루어지고 있으며 치수관점에서 극치수문량의 계절성을 평가하는 연구는 미진한 실정이다. 이는 극치수문량을 해석하는 방법론으로서 연최대치계열(annual maxima) 즉, Block Maxima가 이용됨에 따라 나타나는 문제점이다. 그러나 부분기간치계열(partial duration series)을 활용하게 되면 자료의 확충뿐만 아니라 자연적으로 극치수문량의 계절성에 대한 평가 또한 가능하다. 이러한 분석과정을 POT(peak over threshold)분석이라 하며 일정 기준값(threshold) 이상의 자료를 모두 취하여 빈도해석에 이용하는 방법으로서 기존 방법의 경우 연최대값이 일반적으로 7월과 8월에만 존재하게 되지만 POT 분석의 경우 여러 달에 걸쳐 빈도해석을 위한 자료가 구성되게 된다. 이를 빈도해석으로 연계시키기 위해서는 계절성을 비정상성으로 고려하여 모형화 할 수 있는 방법론의 개발이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 목적을 위해서 계절성을 고려할 수 있는 비정상성빈도해석 기법의 개념을 제시하고 모형으로 개발하고자 한다. GEV 또는 Gumbel 분포의 매개변수와 계절성을 연계시키기 위해서 Fourier 급수가 활용되며 매개변수는 Bayesian 기법을 통해 최적화 된다. 이를 통하여 설계강수량의 계절적 분포를 정량적으로 해석할 수 있으며 미래의 극치강수량에 대한 분포특성 또한 확률적으로 해석이 가능하다. 본 연구에서 제안된 방법은 국내외 시간강수량자료에 적용되어 적합성과 적용성이 평가된다.

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A Study on How to Reduce the Amount of Groundwater Used in the Dry Season and Improve the Water Quality of the Base Runoff (갈수기 지하수 물 사용량 저감 및 기저유출 수질 개선 방안 연구)

  • Kang, Tae-Seong;Yang, Dong-Seok;Yu, Na-Yeong;Shin, Min-Hwan;Lim, Kyoung-Jae;Kim, Jong-Gun
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.64 no.2
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    • pp.27-35
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    • 2022
  • Based on the current status of groundwater usage in the dry season through field surveys, this study tried to suggest countermeasures to reduce groundwater usage and to improve the water quality of baseflow from agricultural fields. For this purposes, basins with water curtain cultivation preceded were targeted where decreases of groundwater due to continuous use of groundwater in spring and winter annually observed. From monitoring groudwater usage of the study watershed, 130,058, 130,105 m3/day of water was pumped in during the water curtain cultivation period (October-February) in the Shindun, Seokwon watershed respectively. And the pilot application of the smart automated sensor-based water curtain cultivation system (smart WC system) developed in this study to reduce groundwater consumption has been conducted. As a result, the efficiency of the smart WC system when threshold temperature is set as 6.3 ℃ was 21.1% compared to conventional cultivation and efficiency increased as threshold temperature gets lower. Lastly, in this study, culvert drainage and Bio-filters were installed and rainfall monitoring was performed 15 times in order to analyze the baseflow securement and pollutant loads behavior. As a result, the test-bed with culvert drainage and Bio-filter installed together generated 61.4% more baseflow (4.974 m3) than the test-bed with only culvert drainage was installed (3.056 m3). However, the total pollutant load of all water quality contents (BOD, COD, T-N, TOC) except for the SS and T-P was found to be greater in the culvert drain and Bio-filter installed than in the culvert drain test-bed.

Determination of drought events considering the possibility of relieving drought and estimation of design drought severity (가뭄해갈 가능성을 고려한 가뭄사상의 결정 및 확률 가뭄심도 산정)

  • Yoo, Ji Young;Yu, Ji Soo;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.275-282
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    • 2016
  • The objective of this study is to propose a new method to determine the drought event and the design drought severity. In order to define a drought event from precipitation data, theory of run was applied with the cumulative rainfall deficit. When we have a large amount of rainfall over the threshold level, in this study, we compare with the previous cumulative rainfall deficit to determine whether the drought is relieved or not. The recurrence characteristics of the drought severity on the specific duration was analyzed by the conditional bivariate copula function and confidence intervals were estimated to quantify uncertainties. The methodology was applied to Seoul station with the historical dataset (1909~2015). It was observed that the past droughts considered as extreme hydrological events had from 10 to 50 years of return period. On the other hand, the current on-going drought event started from 2013 showed the significantly higher return period. It is expected that the result of this study may be utilized as the reliable criteria based on the concept of return period for the drought contingency plan.

Variations of Annual Evapotranspiration nnd Discharge in Three Different Forest-Type Catchments, Gyeonggido, South Korea (임상이 다른 3개 산림소유역의 장기 증발산량과 유출량의 변화)

  • Kim Kyong-Ha;Jeong Yong-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.174-182
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    • 2006
  • This study was to clarify the effects of forest stand changes on hydrological components of evapotranspiration and discharge. The forest-hydrological experimental stations in Gwangneung and Yangju, Gyeonggido near metropolitan Seoul have been operated by the Korea Forest Research Institute since 1979 to clarify the effects of forest types and practices on the water resources and nutrient cycling and soil loss. The hydrological regime of the forested catchments may change as forests develop. The ranges of change may be different depending on forest types. Evapotranspiration can be estimated to 679mm, 580mm and 368mm in planted young coniferous (PYC), natural old-growth deciduous (NOD) and rehabilitated young mixed (RYM), respectively. The slope of the discharge-duration curve shows the capacity of discharge control in a specific catchment. The slope tended to be steeper in RYM than NOD, the better forest condition. The slope in RYM became more gentle as the forest stand developed. Forests can modulate peak flows through interception, evapotranspiration and soil storage opportunity. PYC and RYM showed 100 and 50mm of threshold rainfall for modulating peak flows, respectively. The deciduous forest did not represent sudden changes of peak flow rates to rainfall, even 200 mm rainfall Forest development in PYC may play an important role in modulation of peak flows because peak flow rates reduced after 10 years.

Analysis of the Characteristics of Precipitation Over South Korea in Terms of the Associated Synoptic Patterns: A 30 Years Climatology (1973~2002) (종관적 특징에 따른 남한 강수 특성 분석: 30년 (1973~2002) 기후 통계)

  • Rha Deuk-Kyun;Kwak Chong-Heum;Suh Myoung-Seok;Hong Yoon
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.26 no.7
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    • pp.732-743
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    • 2005
  • The characteristics of precipitation over South Korea from 1973 to 2002 were investigated. The synoptic patterns inducing precipitation are classified by 10 categories, according to the associated surface map analysis. The annual mean frequency of the total precipitation, its duration time and amount for 30 years are 179 times, 2.9 hours, and 7.1 mm, respectively. About $59\%$ of the total precipitation events were associated with a synoptic low. The dominant patterns are identified with respect to seasons: A synoptic mobile low pressure pattern is frequent in spring, fall, and winter, whereas low pressure embedded within the Changma and orography induced precipitation are dominant in summer and in winter. For the amount of precipitation, precipitation originated from tropical air associated with typhoon, tropical convergence, and Changma is more significant than that with other pressure patterns. The statistical elapse time reaching to 80 mm, which is the threshold amount of heavy rainfall watch at KMA, takes 12.9 hours after the onset of precipitation. The probability distribution function of the precipitation shows that the maximum probability for heavy rainfall is located at the south-coastal region of the Korean peninsula. It is also shown that the geographical distribution of the Korean peninsula plays an important role in occurrence of heavy rainfall. For example, heavy precipitation is frequently occurred at Youngdong area, when typhoon passes along the coastal region of the back borne mountains in the peninsula. The climatological classification of synoptic patterns associated with heavy rainfall over South Korea can be used to provide a guidance to operational forecast of heavy rainfall in KMA.