• 한국산림과학회지
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• 제99권5호
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• pp.686-692
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• 2010

This study described the general pattern of genetic variation among ten teak (Tectona grandis Linn. f.) provenances in Myanmar and determined the most suitable seed sources for the plantation program in Bago Yoma region. Seeds of ten provenances were collected to cover the whole teak natural distribution in Myanmar and planted at four trial sites in Bago Yoma region in 1998. Seven years after planting, variation was assessed for growth, morphological characteristics and their correlation with geoclimatic factors. Statistical analysis using ANOVA revealed that there were significant differences in most of the traits measured among provenances, trial sites and provenance ${\times}$ site interaction at five percent level. A positive significant correlation (p<0.01) was found among most of the traits. The regression analyses between all traits and geoclimatic factors indicated the existence of ecoclinal variation in teak. Most of the traits were negatively correlated with the latitude while a positive significant correlation was found between longitude and C/B ratio, crown-diameter, average branch angle and leaf-remain. There was no significant correlation between the mean temperature and any other traits in this study. Furthermore, growth traits and crown diameter were positively correlated with the mean annual rainfall while negative correlation was found between the geographical distance and growth traits. Results indicate that the latitudinal pattern of teak genetic variations in growth performance was attributed to the limit of mean annual rainfall. Comparative assessment showed that local provenances were generally the best and could be use as suitable seed sources for the plantation program in the Bago Yoma region.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2015년도 학술발표회
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• pp.232-232
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• 2015

Land use and climate changes are the important factors to determine the runoff and sediment loads from the watershed. The changes also affected to runoff volume/pattern to the dam operation and may cause flood and drought situations in the downstream area. Sirikit Dam is one of the biggest dams in Thailand which cover about 25 % of the runoff into the Central Plain where the Bangkok Capital is located. The study aims to determine the effect of land use change to the runoff/sediment volume pattern and the rainfall-runoff-sediment relationship in the different land use type. Field measurements of the actual rainfall, runoff and sediment in the selected four sub-basins with different type of land use in the Upper Nan Basin were conducted and the runoff ratio coefficients and sediment yield were estimated for each sub-basin. The effect of the land use change (deforestation) towards runoff/sediment will be investigated. The study of the climate change impact on the runoff in the future scenarios was conducted to project the change of runoff volume/pattern into the Sirikit Dam. The improvement of the Sirikit Dam operation rule was conducted to reduce the weakness of the existing operation rules after Floods 2011. The newly proposed dam operation rule improvement will then be evaluated from the water shortage situations in the downstream of Sirikit Dam under various conditions of changes of both land use and climate when compared with the situations based on the existing reservoir operation rules.

• 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전자공학회 2002년도 ITC-CSCC -1
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• pp.262-264
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• 2002

The characteristic features of Malaysia's climate is has stable temperature, with high humidity and copious rainfall. Weather forecasting is an important task in Malaysia as it could affetcs man irrespective of mans job, lifestyle and activities especially in the agriculture. In Malaysia, numerical method is the common used method to forecast weather which involves a complex of mathematical computing. The models used in forecasting are supplied by other counties such as Europe and Japan. The goal of this project is to forecast weather using another technology known as artificial neural network. This system is capable to learn the pattern of rainfall in order to produce a precise forecasting result. The supervised learning technique is used in the loaming process.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2006년도 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.846-851
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• 2006

본 논문은 최근 발생한 집중호우와 이상강우를 고려하여 인천지역에서 사용중인 확률강우강도식에 대한 새로운 확률강우강도식을 제안하였으며, 기상청 자료를 이용하여 지속시간 10분${\sim}$24시간까지의 임의시간 연최대강우량을 산정하였다. 강우지속기간별 확률강우량을 추정하기 위하여 11개의 확률분포형을 적용하였으며 Chi-square 검정방법, Kolmogorov -Smirnov 검정방법, Cramer Von Mises 검정방법으로 적합도 검정과 함께 최근 강우에 대한 경향을 분석하고 실제 발생한 강우 중에서 최대 발생 강우량을 고려하여 적정분포인 GEV 분포를 확률 분포형으로 선정하였다. 확률강우강도식은 최소자승법을 사용하여 Talbot형, Sherman형, Japanese형, 통합형 Ⅰ 및 Ⅱ 형태로 산정하였고, 지역내 하수도 및 하천의 지속시간을 감안하여 확률강우강도식을 결정하였다. 또한 정확성을 고려하여 통합형 Ⅰ을 선택하였고 지속시간에 따른 강우강도식의 확률강우와 관측치를 감안한 강도식을 인천지역의 강우강도식으로 제안하였다.

• Korean Journal of Hydrosciences
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• 제8권
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• pp.69-83
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• 1997

The Parameters of the storage function model (SFM) are taken as constants, while they have different values during every rainfall period and the duration of the runoff. Therefore, the results of the SFM generally show remarkably large errors. In this study, the modified storage function model (MSFM), in which the time variant parameters are introduced, is proposed to improve the SFM which is a conceptual rainfall-runoff model. The fuzzy reasoning method is applied as a real-time control one of the time variant parameters of the proposed model. The applicability of the MSFM was examined in the Bochung river, at a tributary of the Geum River, Korea. The pattern of the predicted runoff hydrograph and the peak discharge by the MSFM with fuzzy control are very similar to the measured values, compared with the results produced by the SFM.

• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국방재학회 2008년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
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• pp.649-652
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• 2008

In urban area, flood risk is getting higher because of inland flood risk has grown up by changing rainfall intensity, rainfall pattern, changing land use and so on. Urban area is needed higher flood protection level to protect accumulated people, buildings and other infrastructures. However, even though former flood protection has focused on overflow from river, there is not a guide line for evaluating proper flood protection level. Thus, it is necessary to protect flood from inland flooding as well as overflow from river and need a proper method to evaluating flood protection level. This study present a method of determining flood protection elevation by using GIS tools for deciding proper flood protection level. The study result may contribute to urban flood protection measures in which inland flood risk increases.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2017년도 학술발표회
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• pp.189-189
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• 2017

Climate changes have impacted to many sectors including water resources in Vietnam. Vietnam is agricultural development country having more than 6,000 earth dam reservoirs. These reservoirs play a very important role in flow regulation for water supply to economic sectors. In the context of undesirable impacts of climate change such as increasing temparature, evaporation, and changing rainfall and rainfall pattern, water demands and inflow to reservoirs also are being influenced. This leads to changes of resevoir exploitation effects that needs to be assessed for adaptation solutions. This article summarizes evaluations on climate change impacts to 16 reservoirs in 4 regions of North-West, North-East, Central Part, and Central Highland of Vietnam. Research results showed that in the context of climate change, safety of these reservoirs will be decreased from 8% to 20% in both water supply and flood control capacity.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2016년도 학술발표회
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• pp.200-200
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• 2016

Climate changes have impacted to many sectors including water resources in Vietnam. Vietnam is agricultural development country having a lot of reservoirs. These reservoirs play a very important role in flow regulation for water supply to economic sectors. In the context of undesirable impacts of climate change such as increasing temparature, evaporation, changing rainfall and rainfall pattern, water demands and inflow to reservoirs also are being influenced. This leads to changes of resevoir exploitation effects that needs to be assessed for adaptation solutions. This arcticle summaries the development of a tool for quick assessement of climate change impacts on exploitation effect of reservoir in central provinces of Vietnam.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제31권1호
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• pp.37-53
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• 2024

In this study, flood records from 79 sites across Thailand were analyzed to estimate flood indices using the regional frequency analysis based on the L-moments method. Observation sites were grouped into homogeneous regions using k-means and Ward's clustering techniques. Among various distributions evaluated, the generalized extreme value distribution emerged as the most appropriate for certain regions. Regional growth curves were subsequently established for each delineated region. Furthermore, 20- and 100-year return values were derived to illustrate the recurrence intervals of maximum rainfall across Thailand. The predicted return values tend to increase at each site, which is associated with growth curves that could describe an increasing long-term predictive pattern. The findings of this study hold significant implications for water management strategies and the design of flood mitigation structures in the country.

• 한국토양비료학회지
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• 제40권3호
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• pp.208-213
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• 2007

1985년부터 1991년까지 일 강우량 80 mm 이상일 때의 유거량 자료를 이용하여 집중강우시 물유출 양상을 구명하였다. 지표유거가 발생하는 유거 발생 최소 강우량은 지표피복과 경사장에 따라 결정되는 것으로 나타났으며 토성과 경사각에 따라서는 별 차이를 나타내지 않았다. 유거 발생 최소 강우량을 기준으로 그 이후의 유거량은 강우량에 따라 직선적으로 증가하였다. 그러나 이 때의 기울기 즉, 유거율은 토성, 지표 피복형태, 경사각, 경사장에 따라 달라졌다. 유거율은 토성이 세립질로 침투속도가느릴 수록 커졌으며 콩 재배에 비해 물흐름에 대한 저항이 작은 나지에서 컸다. 또한 유거율은 경사각의 제곱근에 비례하여 증가하였으며 경사장이 길어짐에 따라 특정값에 수렴하면서 감소하였다. 이러한 결과를 바탕으로 집중강우 시 유거량을 모사할 수 있는 식을 다음과 같이 개발하였다. $$Runoff=a(s^{0.5}+l^b)(Rainfall-80(1-e^{-bl}))------(9)$$ 이 식에서 a는 토양의 침투특성과 관련된 토양계수, b는 지표 피복의 영향을 나타내는 지표피복계수, s는 경사각(radian), l은 경사장(m)이다. a는 토성에 따라 0.5~0.6으로 나타났으며 세립질일 수록 값이 컸다. b는 피복조건에 따라 나지에서 0.06, 콩 재배시 0.5 정도로 평가되었다.