• 제목/요약/키워드: Rainfall and Flood

검색결과 997건 처리시간 0.034초

장기유출 모의를 통한 도시유역 불투수율에 따른 유출계수 변화 (Estimation of runoff coefficient through impervious covers analysis using long-term outflow simulation)

  • 김영란;황성환
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제28권6호
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    • pp.635-645
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    • 2014
  • The changes of rainfall pattern and impervious covers have increased disaster risks in urbanized areas. Impervious covers such as roads and building roofs have been dramatically increased. So, it is falling the ability safety of flood defense equipments to exist. Runoff coefficient means ratio of runoff by whole rainfall which is able to directly contribute at surface runoff during rainfall event. The application of accurate runoff coefficients is very important in sewer pipelines design. This study has been performed to estimate runoff characteristics change which are applicable to the process of sewer pipelines design or various public facilities design. It has used the SHER model, a long-term runoff model, to analyze the impact of a rising impervious covers on runoff coefficient change. It thus analyzed the long-term runoff to analyze rainfall basins extraction. Consequently, it was found that impervious surfaces could be a important factor for urban flood control. We could suggest the application of accurate runoff coefficients in accordance to the land Impervious covers. The average increase rates of runoff coefficients increased 0.011 for 1% increase of impervious covers. By having the application of the results, we could improve plans for facilities design.

모바일 GIS에 의한 홍수재해관리 (Flood Hazard Management Using Mobile GIS)

  • 강택순;강성봉;손홍규;유환희
    • 한국측량학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국측량학회 2003년도 추계학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.297-302
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    • 2003
  • Recently, Flood hazard has been increased frequently in urban area by rainfall and Typhoon. To manage flood hazard effectively, it needs to construction of flood information management system. Especially, run-off by flood in urban area must be considered not only surface outflow by topographic gradient and elevation but also conduits outflow along conduit network. This paper suggests the flood hazard management system for analyzing flood outflow in urban area using conduits outflow simulation by ILLUDAS model and providing quickly flood hazard information using WebGIS and MobileGIS.

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Watershed Scale Flood Simulation in Upper Citarum Watershed, West Java-Indonesia using RRI Model

  • Nastiti, Kania Dewi;Kim, Yeonsu;Jung, Kwansue;An, Hyunuk
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2015년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.179-179
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    • 2015
  • Citarum River is one of the important river in West Java, Indonesia. During the rainy season, flood happens almost every year in Upper Citarum Watershed, hence, it is necessary to establish the countermeasure in order to prevent and mitigate flood damages. Since the lack of hydrological data for the modelling is common problem in this area, it is difficult to prepare the countermeasures. Therefore, we used Rainfall-Runoff-Inundation (RRI) Model developed by Sayama et al. (2010) as the hydrological and inundation modelling for evaluating the inundation case happened in Upper Citarum Watershed, West Java, Indonesia and the satellite based information such as rainfall (GSMaP), landuse and so on instead of the limited hydrological data. In addition, 3 arc-second HydroSHEDS Digital Elevation Model (DEM) is used. To verify the model, the observed data of Nanjung water stage gauging station and the daily observation data are used. Simulated inundation areas are compared with the flood extent figure from Upper Citarum Basin Flood Management Project (UCBFM).

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대도시에서의 인적·물적 홍수피해 추정을 위한 회귀함수 개발 (Development of regression functions for human and economic flood damage assessments in the metropolises)

  • 임연택;이종석;최현일
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제53권12호
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    • pp.1119-1130
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    • 2020
  • 기후변화와 기상이변으로 인해 최근 전세계적으로 홍수피해가 증가하고 있다. 우리나라에서는 피해복구가 일반적인 홍수피해 대응방안으로 사용되어 왔기 때문에, 홍수피해에 대한 예방적인 대책을 위해서는 강우특성에 따른 지역적 홍수피해규모를 예측할 필요가 있다. 따라서, 본 연구의 목적은 우리나라 7개 대도시에서의 강우에 의한 인적 및 물적 홍수피해 예측을 위한 회귀함수를 개발하는 것이다. 회귀분석은 1998년부터 2017년까지 최근 20년 동안의 인적 및 물적 손실의 2가지 피해특성자료에 대해 6개의 강우특성 인자를 4가지 형태의 비선형 방정식에 각각 적용한 총 48가지 유형의 단순회귀모형을 통해 종합적으로 수행되었다. 결정계수와 유의성 검정을 통해 회귀분석 결과를 검토하여 각 대도시의 피해추정함수를 최종 선정하였고, 이를 이용하여 100년 빈도 강우량에 대한 7개 대도시의 인적 및 물적 홍수피해 규모를 평가하였다. 본 논문의 결과는 홍수피해 저감대책을 위한 홍수피해 규모 평가에 기초정보를 제공할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

강우기록 및 수문계획에 의한 정수지수설지의 용지 현수험 결정방법 (A Method to Determine the Purchasing Limits of Reservior Flooding Area by Rainfall Data Hydrologric Estimation)

  • 김주영
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.1742-1748
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    • 1969
  • This is a method to determine the boundary line of reservoir flooding area which will be purchased. Until now, flood water level was used as the boundary line. By lowering this line from flood water level, purchasing cost of reservoir flooding area can be cut down. Sometimes, temporary flooding of arable land outside the boundary occurs. During the life of reservoir, flood damage to crop product on of this land must be indemified with net berefit from arable land between the bovndary line and normal water level. Following is the basic formula to determine the line. (Estimated flood damage to crop production of land outside the boundary line $\leqq$ Estimated net beneift from land between the boundary line and normal water level.) Minimum difference between both sides is needed to minimize the purchasing area. Flood damage and net benefit are estimated by hydrologic estimation with rainfall data and crop production estimation.

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기후변화 영향을 고려한 도시지역의 확률강우량 전망 (Prospect of Design Rainfall in Urban Area Considering Climate Change)

  • 손아롱;배성환;한건연;조완희
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제46권6호
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    • pp.683-696
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    • 2013
  • 최근 도시지역에서는 호우로 인한 침수피해가 빈번하게 발생하고 있다. 특히 치수계획 수립의 기초가 되는 확률강우량을 초과한 국지적인 집중호우는 도시지역 침수피해의 주요 원인이 된다. 따라서 강우의 지역적인 특성을 고려한 신뢰도를 향상시킨 확률강우량 산정이 요구된다. 그러나 현재의 확률강우량 산정에는 강우의 시 공간적인 특성을 고려하지 않고 기상청 강우관측소 지점의 자료를 모든 지역에 동일하게 적용하고 있는 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화 영향 및 강우의 시 공간적인 특성을 고려한 확률강우량을 예측하였다. 강우의 공간적인 특성을 고려하기 위하여 AWS의 자료를 활용하였으며, 부족한 강우자료를 확보하기 위하여 강우발생 모형인 WGR 모형을 적용하였고, 기후변화 시나리오는 RCP 4.5와 RCP 8.5를 적용하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 향후 치수대책 수립을 위한 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

FLASH FLOOD FORECASTING USING ReMOTELY SENSED INFORMATION AND NEURAL NETWORKS PART I : MODEL DEVELOPMENT

  • Kim, Gwang-seob;Lee, Jong-Seok
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.113-122
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    • 2002
  • Accurate quantitative forecasting of rainfall for basins with a short response time is essential to predict flash floods. In this study, a Quantitative Flood Forecasting (QFF) model was developed by incorporating the evolving structure and frequency of intense weather systems and by using neural network approach. Besides using radiosonde and rainfall data, the model also used the satellite-derived characteristics of storm systems such as tropical cyclones, mesoscale convective complex systems and convective cloud clusters as input. The convective classification and tracking system (CCATS) was used to identify and quantify storm properties such as lifetime, area, eccentricity, and track. As in standard expert prediction systems, the fundamental structure of the neural network model was learned from the hydroclimatology of the relationships between weather system, rainfall production and streamflow response in the study area. All these processes stretched leadtime up to 18 hours. The QFF model will be applied to the mid-Atlantic region of United States in a forthcoming paper.

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강우빈도해석에서 Bootstrap을 이용한 확률분포의 매개변수 추정에 대한 불확실성 해석 (Uncertainty Analysis for Parameter Estimation of Probability Distribution in Rainfall Frequency Analysis Using Bootstrap)

  • 서영민;박기범
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.321-327
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    • 2011
  • Bootstrap methods is the computer-based resampling method that estimates the standard errors and confidence intervals of summary statistics using the plug-in principle for assessing the accuracy or uncertainty of statistical estimates, and the BCa method among the Bootstrap methods is known much superior to other Bootstrap methods in respect of the standards of statistical validation. Therefore this study suggests the method of the representation and treatment of uncertainty in flood risk assessment and water resources planning from the construction and application of rainfall frequency analysis model considersing the uncertainty based on the nonparametric BCa method among the Bootstrap methods for the assessement of the estimation of probability rainfall and the effect of uncertainty considering the uncertainty of the parameter estimation of probability in the rainfall frequency analysis that is the most fundamental in flood risk assessement and water resources planning.

1999년 임진강 유역의 집중호우에 대한 DAD모형의 연구 (A Study on Depth-Area-Duration Models of Heavy Rainfall, 1999 in the Im-Jin River Basin)

  • 박상우;김백조;장석환
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제11권7호
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    • pp.621-626
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    • 2002
  • Depth-area-duration(DAD) relations are important to hydrological plans and designs for the water resources as well as the flood defence. And these relations have been still in analysis and use today because they can be applied to readily available data. In this paper, rational and consistent DAD models were developed using the multiple regression analysis and basic relationships of area ratio-runoff volume about heavy rainfall occurring in the Im-Jin river basin, 1999. In addition, revised DAD models and curves that can convert a maximum point rainfall to mean area rainfall were developed and evaluated. As results, these models seem to have predictive value in order to plan and design hydrological structures of flood defence in the Im-Jin river basin.

Synthetic storm sewer network for complex drainage system as used for urban flood simulation

  • Dasallas, Lea;An, Hyunuk;Lee, Seungsoo
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2021년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.142-142
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    • 2021
  • An arbitrary representation of an urban drainage sewer system was devised using a geographic information system (GIS) tool in order to calculate the surface and subsurface flow interaction for simulating urban flood. The proposed methodology is a mean to supplement the unavailability of systematized drainage system using high-resolution digital elevation(DEM) data in under-developed countries. A modified DEM was also developed to represent the flood propagation through buildings and road system from digital surface models (DSM) and barely visible streams in digital terrain models (DTM). The manhole, sewer pipe and storm drain parameters are obtained through field validation and followed the guidelines from the Plumbing law of the Philippines. The flow discharge from surface to the devised sewer pipes through the storm drains are calculated. The resulting flood simulation using the modified DEM was validated using the observed flood inundation during a rainfall event. The proposed methodology for constructing a hypothetical drainage system allows parameter adjustments such as size, elevation, location, slope, etc. which permits the flood depth prediction for variable factors the Plumbing law. The research can therefore be employed to simulate urban flood forecasts that can be utilized from traffic advisories to early warning procedures during extreme rainfall events.

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