• 제목/요약/키워드: Rainfall Rate

검색결과 771건 처리시간 0.026초

우량계 설치조건에 따른 관측치 신뢰성 평가 연구 (A Study on Confidence Evaluation of the Observed Data According to the Rain Gauges Installation Conditions)

  • 박지창;김남;강명주;류경식
    • 한국환경과학회지
    • /
    • 제18권10호
    • /
    • pp.1115-1121
    • /
    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the impact of rainfall measurement according to the installation conditions of rain gauges: windbreak, grass mat, installation elevation or obstacle. Rain gauges were installed by the standards of Korea Meteorological Administration(KMA), and the rainfall measurement was conducted daily unit during two years(2007~2008). In conclusion, observed error of rain gauge did not affect whether windbreak was installed or not. If there is the obstacle around rain gauge, average error rate was increased about 3.3%: (2007year-2.49%, 2008year-4.10%). If rain gauge is located in a high place, average error rate was increased about 4.89%. Additionally, the observed error of rain gauge according to the wind speed has a positive correlation with obstacle and installation elevation and has a negative correlation with windbreak and has no affection with grass mat.

Evaluation of Pollutant loads at Inflow Streams under Ara Waterway Basin

  • 한상윤;정종태
    • 도시과학
    • /
    • 제10권1호
    • /
    • pp.39-48
    • /
    • 2021
  • In this study, to evaluate the characteristics of the pollution in the major inflow tributaries and major environmental facilities in the watershed of Ara waterway, An inflow flow rate measurement and water quality analysis were conducted during dry and rainy seasons. In addition, the flow rate measurement, water quality analysis, and pollutant load at each monitoring point were compared and evaluated. Influx of BOD5, T-P and T-N into the tributaries of the ARA waterway watershed, excluding the Gulpo river watershed, during dry season were only 0.007%, 0.005% and 0.004% respectively of the incoming loads in the entire ARA waterway basin. In addition, it was confirmed that the discharge pollutant loads during rainfall event was about 440 times more for BOD5, about 545 times on T-P, and about 23 times on T-N in comparison to the pollutant loads during the dry days. When the Gulhyeon rubber dam was deflated, the discharged pollutant load during a rainfall was higher than the estimated load at the G7 monitoring point because the deposited pollutants from the upstream riverbed flowed down. Therefore, during a rainy season, it is necessary to manage the influx of high-load water pollutants from the overflow and deflation of the Gulhyun rubber dam as well as to find a strategy to reduce the pollutant loads in the Gulpo river watershed.

기후변화의 위험이 시중은행과 손해보험에 장기적으로 미치는 영향 (Climate Change-Induced Physical Risks' Impact on Korean Commercial Banks and Property Insurance Companies in the Long Run)

  • 김세완
    • 대기
    • /
    • 제34권2호
    • /
    • pp.107-121
    • /
    • 2024
  • In this study, we empirically analyzed the impact of physical risks due to climate change on the soundness and operational performance of the financial industry by combining economics and climatology. Particularly, unlike previous studies, we employed the Seasonal-Trend decomposition using LOESS (STL) method to extract trends of climate-related risk variables and economic-financial variables, conducting a two-stage empirical analysis. In the first stage estimation, we found that the delinquency rate and the Bank for International Settlement (BIS) ratio of commercial banks have significant negative effects on the damage caused by natural disasters, frequency of heavy rainfall, average temperature, and number of typhoons. On the other hand, for insurance companies, the damage from natural disasters, frequency of heavy rainfall, frequency of heavy snowfall, and annual average temperature have significant negative effects on return on assets (ROA) and the risk-based capital ratio (RBC). In the second stage estimation, based on the first stage results, we predicted the soundness and operational performance indicators of commercial banks and insurance companies until 2035. According to the forecast results, the delinquency rate of commercial banks is expected to increase steadily until 2035 under assumption that recent years' trend continues until 2035. It indicates that banks' managerial risk can be seriously worsened from climate change. Also the BIS ratio is expected to decrease which also indicates weakening safety buffer against climate risks over time. Additionally, the ROA of insurance companies is expected to decrease, followed by an increase in the RBC, and then a subsequent decrease.

우리나라 밭토양의 수분침투속도(水分浸透速度)에 관하여 (Infiltration Rate of Some Upland Soils in Korea)

  • 정영상;류관식;임정남
    • 한국토양비료학회지
    • /
    • 제13권1호
    • /
    • pp.1-6
    • /
    • 1980
  • 강우강도가 100mm/hr인 인공강우기(人工降雨器)를 이용(利用)하여 밭토양의 강우침투성(降雨浸透性)을 조사(調査)하고, 침투수(浸透水)의 토양중재분포를 Youngs의 이론식(理論式)에 의(依)하여 추정(推定)한 것과 비교(比較)한 결과(結果)는 다음과 같았다. 1. 토양별 한계강우침투속도(限界降雨浸透速度)는 강우강도 100mm/hr 조건하(條件下)에서 식양토 내지(乃至) 식토(埴土)에서 10mm/hr 이하(以下), 양토에서 10~20mm/hr, 사양토에서 20~30mm/hr, 및 사토(砂土)에서 30mm/hr 이상(以上)으로 나타났으며, 한계강우침투속도(限界降雨浸透速度)에 도달(到達)하는 시간(時間)은 15~20분(分) 이었다. 2. 토양별 표토(表土)의 포화투수계수는 삼각사양토에서 0.47mm/min, 송정식양토에서 0.16mm/min, 그리고 전남미사질식양에서 0.14mm/min로 나타났다. 3. 강우후(降雨後) 토양수분의 재분포상양(再分布相樣)은 Youngs 이론식(理論式)에 의(依)하여 추정(推定)된 것과 거의 비슷한 경향이었다.

  • PDF

MBCAST: A Forecast Model for Marssonina Blotch of Apple in Korea

  • Kim, Hyo-suk;Jo, Jung-hee;Kang, Wee Soo;Do, Yun Su;Lee, Dong Hyuk;Ahn, Mun-Il;Park, Joo Hyeon;Park, Eun Woo
    • The Plant Pathology Journal
    • /
    • 제35권6호
    • /
    • pp.585-597
    • /
    • 2019
  • A disease forecast model for Marssonina blotch of apple was developed based on field observations on airborne spore catches, weather conditions, and disease incidence in 2013 and 2015. The model consisted of the airborne spore model (ASM) and the daily infection rate model (IRM). It was found that more than 80% of airborne spore catches for the experiment period was made during the spore liberation period (SLP), which is the period of days of a rain event plus the following 2 days. Of 13 rain-related weather variables, number of rainy days with rainfall ≥ 0.5 mm per day (Lday), maximum hourly rainfall (Pmax) and average daily maximum wind speed (Wavg) during a rain event were most appropriate in describing variations in airborne spore catches during SLP (Si) in 2013. The ASM, Ŝi = 30.280+5.860×Lday×Pmax-2.123×Lday×Pmax×Wavg was statistically significant and capable of predicting the amount of airborne spore catches during SLP in 2015. Assuming that airborne conidia liberated during SLP cause leaf infections resulting in symptom appearance after 21 days of incubation period, there was highly significant correlation between the estimated amount of airborne spore catches (Ŝi) and the daily infection rate (Ri). The IRM, ${\hat{R}}_i$ = 0.039+0.041×Ŝi, was statistically significant but was not able to predict the daily infection rate in 2015. No weather variables showed statistical significance in explaining variations of the daily infection rate in 2013.

기상요인, 가격할인 및 주말효과가 의류상품 판매량에 미치는 영향 (The Influences of Meteorological Factors, Discount rate, and Weekend Effect on the Sales Volume of Apparel Products)

  • 황보현우;김은희;채진미
    • 한국의류산업학회지
    • /
    • 제19권4호
    • /
    • pp.434-447
    • /
    • 2017
  • This study investigated the effects of influencing factors on the sales volume of apparel products. Based on previous studies, weekend effect, discount rate, and meteorological factors including daily average temperature, rainfall, sea level pressure, and fine dust were selected as independent variables to calculate their effects on sales quantity of apparel products. The daily sales data during 2015 - 2016 were collected from casual brands and outdoor brands which "A" apparel manufacturing company had operated. The actual data of "A" company were analyzed using SAS(R) 9.4 and SAS(R) Enterprise Miner 14.1. The results of this study were as follows: First, the influencing factors on total sales volume of apparel products were proved to be the weekend effect, discount rate, and fine dust. Second, the analysis of influencing factors on sales volume of apparel products according to season showed: 1) In casual brands, the average temperature had a significant influence on the sales volume of spring/summer products, and the sea level pressure affected the sales volume of summer/fall/winter products significantly. 2) In outdoor brands, the average temperature and the fine dust had a significant influence on the sales volume of all season's products. The sea level pressure affected the sales volume of summer/fall/ winter products significantly. The weekend effect and the discount effect affected the sales volume of apparel products partly. Third, the effect of rainfall was not proven significant, which was different from the results of past studies.

산지 소유역의 홍수유출 예측을 위한 모의발생 수문모형의 개발 (Development of Hydrologic Simulation Model to Predict Flood Runoff in a Small Mountaineous Watershed)

  • 권순국;고덕구
    • 한국농공학회지
    • /
    • 제30권3호
    • /
    • pp.58-68
    • /
    • 1988
  • Most of the Korean watersheds are mountaineous and consist of various soil types and land uses And seldom watersheds are found to have long term hydrologic records. The SNUA, a hydrologic watershed model was developed to meet the unique characteristics of Korean watershed and simulate the storm hydrographs from a small mountaineous watershed. Also the applicability of the model was tested by comparing the simulated storm hydrographs and the observed from Dochuk watershed, Gwangjugun, Kyunggido The conclusions obtained in this study could be summarized as follows ; 1. The model includes the simulation of interception, evaporation and infiltration for land surface hydrologic cycle on the single storm basis and the flow routing features for both overland and channel systems. 2. Net rainfall is estimated from the continuous computation of water balance at the surface of interception storage accounting for the rainfall intensities and the evaporation losses at each time step. 3. Excess rainfall is calculated by the abstraction of infiltration loss estimated by the Green and Ainpt Model from the net rainfall. 4. A momentum equation in the form of kinematic wave representation is solved by the finite differential method to obtain the runoff rate at the exit of the watershed. 5. The developed SNUA Model is a type of distributed and event model that considers the spatial distribution of the watershed parameters and simulates the hydrograph on a single storm basis. 6. The results of verification test show that the simulated peak flows agree with the observed in the occurence time but have relative enors in the range of 5.4-40.6% in various flow rates and also show that the simulated total runoff have 6.9-32% of relative errors against the observed. 7. To improve the applicability of the model, it was thought that more studies like the application test to the other watersheds of various types or the addition of the other hydrologk components describing subsurface storages are needed.

  • PDF

GIS 기반의 HEC - HMS를 이용한 진위천 유역의 강우-유출모형 구성 (Modeling Rainfall - Runoff Simulation System of JinWie Watershed using GIS based HEC-HMS Model)

  • 김상호;박민지;강수만;김성준
    • 한국지리정보학회지
    • /
    • 제9권4호
    • /
    • pp.119-128
    • /
    • 2006
  • 본 연구의 목적은 홍수범람분석 및 홍수피해산정의 기본과정으로 GIS 기반의 수문모형인 HEC-HMS를 이용하여 안성천 유역의 일부인 진위천 유역 ($737.7km^2$)을 대상으로 강우-유출 모형을 구성하는데 있다. HEC-HMS의 입력 자료인 지형자료를 처리하기 위해 ArcView의 GIS 확장 모듈인 HEC-GeoHMS를 이용하였고 진위천 유역에 대하여 적용을 실시하였다. HEC-HMS 모형은 진위천 유역에 대하여 관측된 강우-유출 자료를 이용한 검정 및 보정을 실시하였고, 그에 따른 유출량을 산정하였다. 모형에서 수문학적 매개변수는 HEC-GeoHMS에서 추정하였고, HEC-HMS에서 최적화하였다. 본 연구의 분석결과는 홍수를 예측하고 그에 따른 피해를 최소화하는데 사용될 수 있을 것이다.

  • PDF

Time trend of malaria in relation to climate variability in Papua New Guinea

  • Park, Jae-Won;Cheong, Hae-Kwan;Honda, Yasushi;Ha, Mina;Kim, Ho;Kolam, Joel;Inape, Kasis;Mueller, Ivo
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
    • /
    • 제31권
    • /
    • pp.3.1-3.11
    • /
    • 2016
  • Objectives This study was conducted to describe the regional malaria incidence in relation to the geographic and climatic conditions and describe the effect of altitude on the expansion of malaria over the last decade in Papua New Guinea. Methods Malaria incidence was estimated in five provinces from 1996 to 2008 using national health surveillance data. Time trend of malaria incidence was compared with rainfall and minimum/maximum temperature. In the Eastern Highland Province, time trend of malaria incidence over the study period was stratified by altitude. Spatio-temporal pattern of malaria was analyzed. Results Nationwide, malaria incidence was stationary. Regionally, the incidence increased markedly in the highland region (292.0/100000/yr, p =0.021), and remained stationary in the other regions. Seasonality of the malaria incidence was related with rainfall. Decreasing incidence of malaria was associated with decreasing rainfall in the southern coastal region, whereas it was not evident in the northern coastal region. In the Eastern Highland Province, malaria incidence increased in areas below 1700 m, with the rate of increase being steeper at higher altitudes. Conclusions Increasing trend of malaria incidence was prominent in the highland region of Papua New Guinea, while long-term trend was dependent upon baseline level of rainfall in coastal regions.

영산강의 장기유출량에 관한 고찰 (An Analysis on the Long-Term Runoff of the Yong San River)

  • 한상욱;정종수
    • 한국농공학회지
    • /
    • 제18권3호
    • /
    • pp.4184-4194
    • /
    • 1976
  • Located in the southwestern part of Korea, the Yong San Gang river flows generally northeast to southwest, and because of the specific location, topography and climate, the basin area is subject to recurrent drought and flood damages. To eliminate the cause of such damages and ensure an increase in the farm income by means of effective irrigation supply and increased cropping intensity, efforts are being made to speed up implementation of an integrated agricultural development project which would include construction. of an estuary dam and irrigation facilities as well as land development and tidal reclarnation. In formulating a basin development project plan, it is necessary to study a series of long-term runoff data. The catchment area at the proposed estuary damsite is 3,471$\textrm{km}^2$ with the total length of the river channel up to this point reaching 138km. An analysis of runoff in this area was carried out. Rainfall was estimated by the Thiessen Network based on records available from 15 of the rainfall observation stations within the area. Out of the 15 stations, Kwang Ju and Mok Po stations were keeping long-term precipitation records exceeding some 60 years while the others were in possession of only 5-10 years records. The long-term records kept by those stations located in the center of the basin were used as base records and records kept by the remaining stations were supplemented using the coefficient of correlation between the records kept by the base stations and the remainder. The analyses indicate that the average annual rainfall measured at Kwang Ju during 1940-1972 (33 years) amounts to 1,262mm and the areal rainfall amounts to 1,236mm. For the purpose of runoff analysis, 7 observatories, were set up in the middle and lower reaches of the river and periodic measurements made by these stations permitted analysis of water levels and river flows. In particular, the long-term data available from Na Ju station significantly contributed to the analysis. The analysis, made by 4-stage Tank method, shows that the average annual runoff during 1940-1972 amounts to 2,189 million ㎥ at the runoff rate of 51%. As for the amount of monthly runoff, the maximum is 484.2 million ㎥ in July while the minimum is 48.3 million ㎥ in January.

  • PDF