• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rainfall Distribution

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Revised AMC for the Application of SCS Method (SCS 유효우량 산정방법 적용을 위한 선행토양함수조건의 재설정(장평유역을 중심으로))

  • Park, Cheong-Hoon;Yoo, Chul-Sang;Kim, Joong-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.578-582
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    • 2005
  • In this study, the conceptual foundation and development process of the Antecedent soil Moisture Condition(AMC) in SCS runoff curve number method are reviewed. Although the runoff volume is very sensitive with AMC condition, the AMC class limits developed in SCS(1972) are used in rainfall-runoff analysis without careful consideration. Tn this study, following the SCS curve number development process, rainfall-runoff characteristics of the Jang-Pyung subbasin subject to the Pyung-Chang River basin are analyzed to evaluate the reasonability of the AMC class limits at present. The New AMC class limits are proposed by the sensitive analysis of the antecedent rainfall - curve number value. As a result, the classification value of AMC-I with II is 22mm of antecedent 5-day rainfall amount, and the classification of AMC-II with III is 117mm in growing season. When the New AMC class limits are applied to Jang-Pyung subbasin, AMC probability distribution shows that the AMC-II has increased remarkably even though the AMC-I has a little higher value. But the AMC-III has the smallest one. According to the conceptual basis of the curve number method, the AMC probability distribution, the New AMC class limits adopted, gives reasonable results.

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Urban Runoff According to Rainfall Observation Locations (강우 측정 지점에 따른 도시 유역 유출량 변화 분석)

  • Hyun, Jung Hoon;Chung, Gunhui
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.305-311
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    • 2019
  • Recently, global climate change causes abnormal weather and disaster countermeasures do not provide sufficient defense and mitigation because they were established according to the historical climate condition. Repeated torrential rains, in particular, are causing damage even in the robust urban flood defense system. Therefore, in this study, the change of runoff considering the spatial distribution of rainfall and urban characteristics was analyzed. For rainfall concentrated in small catchment, rainfall in the watershed must be accurately measured. This study is based on the rainfall data observed with Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) and Automatic Weather Stations (AWS) provided by the Seoul Meteorological Administration. Effluent from the pumping station was estimated using the EPA-SWMM model and compared and analyzed. Catchments with rainwater pumping station are small with large portion of impermeable areas. Thus, when the ASOS data where is located from from the chatchment, runoff is often calculated using rainfall data that is different from rainfall in the catchment. In this study, the difference between rainfall data observed in the AWS near the catchment and ASOS away from the catchment was calculated. It was found that accurate rainfall should be used to operate rainwater pumping stations or forecast urban flooding floods. In addition, the results of this study may be helpful for estimating design rainfall and runoff calculation.

Probabilistic Analysis of Independent Storm Events: 1. Construction of Annual Maximum Storm Event Series (독립호우사상의 확률론적 해석: 1. 연최대 호우사상 계열의 작성)

  • Park, Min-Kyu;Yoo, Chul-Sang
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.127-136
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    • 2011
  • In this study, annual maximum storm events are proposed to determined by the return periods considering total rainfall and rainfall intensity together. The rainfall series at Seoul since 1961 are examined and the results are as follows. First, the bivariate exponential distribution is used to determine annual maximum storm events. The parameter estimated annually provides more suitable results than the parameter estimated by whole periods. The chosen annual maximum storm events show these properties. The events with the biggest total rainfall tend to be selected in the wet years and the events with the biggest rainfall intensity in the wet years. These results satisfy the concept of critical storm events which produces the most severe runoff according to soil wetness. The average characteristics of the annual maximum storm events said average rainfall intensity 32.7 mm/hr in 1 hr storm duration(total rainfall 32.7 mm), average rainfall intensity 9.7 mm/hr in 24 hr storm duration(total rainfall 231.6 mm) and average rainfall intensity 7.4 mm/hr in 48 hr storm duration(total rainfall 355.0 mm).

Uncertainty Analysis of Parameters of Spatial Statistical Model Using Bayesian Method for Estimating Spatial Distribution of Probability Rainfall (확률강우량의 공간분포추정에 있어서 Bayesian 기법을 이용한 공간통계모델의 매개변수 불확실성 해석)

  • Seo, Young-Min;Park, Ki-Bum;Kim, Sung-Won
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.20 no.12
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    • pp.1541-1551
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    • 2011
  • This study applied the Bayesian method for the quantification of the parameter uncertainty of spatial linear mixed model in the estimation of the spatial distribution of probability rainfall. In the application of Bayesian method, the prior sensitivity analysis was implemented by using the priors normally selected in the existing studies which applied the Bayesian method for the puppose of assessing the influence which the selection of the priors of model parameters had on posteriors. As a result, the posteriors of parameters were differently estimated which priors were selected, and then in the case of the prior combination, F-S-E, the sizes of uncertainty intervals were minimum and the modes, means and medians of the posteriors were similar to the estimates using the existing classical methods. From the comparitive analysis between Bayesian and plug-in spatial predictions, we could find that the uncertainty of plug-in prediction could be slightly underestimated than that of Bayesian prediction.

A SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT FOR ESTIMATING NON-POINT SOURCES POLLUTANT LOADS FROM WATERSHEDS USING GIS

  • Shim, Soon-Bo;Kim, Joo-Hun;Koh, Deuk-Koo
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.1 no.3
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    • pp.223-231
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of this study is the development of a system for estimating non-point sources pollutant loads from a watershed, which enables users to get insights of pollutant load distribution in the watershed during rain as well. Based on the Geographic Information System, this non-point source pollutant loading estimation system(NSPLES) consists of three distinct models such as a distributed rainfall-runoff model, a soil loss and delivery model, and a non-point source pollutant model. It also includes GIS modules for preprocessing the input data for the models and graphical postprocessing of the model outputs. The system output aren't only the hydrograph, sedimentograph, and pollutograph at the watershed outlet, but also various maps that show the distribution of soil loss over the watershed. The developed system was applied to the two upper stream areas of Sumjin river basin, Ssangchi and Gwanchon basins, and three rainfall events for respective subbasins during 1992 and 1998 were selected for the system application. The results of this showed relatively higher corelation between observed data and simulated data, and proved the applicability of the system.

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A Study on Determination of Probability Rainfall-Depth of Short Duration as Consideringthe Project Life and the Factor of Safety in Seoul (내용 안전치를 고려한 서울지방의 단시간 확률 강우량산정에 관한 연구)

  • 이원환;김재한;김채원
    • Water for future
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.101-105
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    • 1976
  • This Study is developed in order to determine the probability of a raintall depth of short duration in Seoul as considering the profect life and the factor of safety of hydraulic structures. The raw annual maximum rainfall data are selected from 1915 to 1974 about short duration (10min-120min.) in Seoul. The selected data are treated by frequency analysis, and the hypothesis that the distribution fuction of the raw data is normal Distribution is performed by chi-square test that signifcance level has 5%. With the parameters (mean and standard deviation) of the accepted distribution function, the probabilitn of a rainfall depth can be easily determined on the graph which is made on this paper.

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Rain Attenuation Analysis for Designing UAV Data Link on Ku-Band (Ku대역 무인항공기 데이터 링크 설계를 위한 강우감쇠 분석)

  • Lee, Jaeyoon
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.40 no.7
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    • pp.1248-1256
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    • 2015
  • It is necessary to apply an exact data and a precise prediction model for a rain attenuation to design the link margin for a data link using Ku-band with the serious effect by rain. In this paper, we investigate the regional rainfall-rate distribution of Korea proposed in TTAK.KO-06.0122/R1 and compare it with the distribution provided by Rec. ITU-R PN.837-1 and Crane. And, the rain rate climate regions similar with the rainfall-rate distribution of Korea in Rec. ITU-R PN.837-1 and Crane model are selected. Finally, using Rec. ITU-R P.618-8 and Crane rain attenuation prediction model, we derive and analyze the rain attenuation for Ku-band frequency according to the time percentage of an average year and the distance of wireless communication link between unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) and ground data terminal (GDT).

Estimation of Areal Reduction Factor Using a Mixed Distribution (혼합분포를 이용한 면적감소계수의 산정)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang;Kim, Kyoung-Jun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.37 no.9
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    • pp.759-769
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    • 2004
  • This study proposes a new methodology to derive the areal reduction factor (ARF) using mixed probability density functions. Estimation of ARFs requires using the simultaneous rainfall data over the basin, which is rarely available in general. The new methodology Proposed in this study uses more available daily rainfall data during a given period, so the mixed probability density functions should be introduced to explain both the rainfall intermittency and variability. This study applied the mixed gamma distribution for the derivation of ARFs for the Keum river basin, and found that the new method is easier for application as well as it provides very comparable results.

Runoff Analysis due to the Moving Storm (이동강우에 의한 유출영향분석)

  • Han, Kun-Yeun;Jeon, Min-Woo;Choi, Kyu-Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.37 no.10
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    • pp.823-836
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    • 2004
  • Using the simple geometry for the idealized catchment consisting of two plane surfaces and a stream between them, runoff was analysed for the moving storms based on the kinematic wave equation. The storm velocity applied in this study was 0.25∼2.0 m/s moving up, down and cross direction of catchment. Applied rainfall distribution types are uniform, advanced, delayed, intermediate type. The results indicate that the moving storms of cross direction generate the largest peak runoff, and the smallest runoff appears in the case of up stream direction. The sensitivity of runoff to rainfall distribution types decreases as storm velocity increases. It is clear that faster storm velocity generates faster peak time and becomes thin hydrographs rapidly.

Comparative Evaluation of Reproducibility for Spatio-temporal Rainfall Distribution Downscaled Using Different Statistical Methods (통계적 공간상세화 기법의 시공간적 강우분포 재현성 비교평가)

  • Jung, Imgook;Hwang, Syewoon;Cho, Jaepil
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.65 no.1
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2023
  • Various techniques for bias correction and statistical downscaling have been developed to overcome the limitations related to the spatial and temporal resolution and error of climate change scenario data required in various applied research fields including agriculture and water resources. In this study, the characteristics of three different statistical dowscaling methods (i.e., SQM, SDQDM, and BCSA) provided by AIMS were summarized, and climate change scenarios produced by applying each method were comparatively evaluated. In order to compare the average rainfall characteristics of the past period, an index representing the average rainfall characteristics was used, and the reproducibility of extreme weather conditions was evaluated through the abnormal climate-related index. The reproducibility comparison of spatial distribution and variability was compared through variogram and pattern identification of spatial distribution using the average value of the index of the past period. For temporal reproducibility comparison, the raw data and each detailing technique were compared using the transition probability. The results of the study are presented by quantitatively evaluating the strengths and weaknesses of each method. Through comparison of statistical techniques, we expect that the strengths and weaknesses of each detailing technique can be represented, and the most appropriate statistical detailing technique can be advised for the relevant research.