• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rainfall Distribution

검색결과 909건 처리시간 0.029초

Proposal of Early-Warning Criteria for Highway Debris Flow Using Rainfall Frequency (1): Proposal of Rainfall Criteria (확률 강우량을 이용한 고속도로 토석류 조기경보기준 제안 (1) : 강우기준 제안)

  • Choi, Jaesoon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2019
  • In this study, we propose rainfall frequency criteria for the development of early-warning system based on the evaluation of the highway debris flow that includes the contents of the rainfall recurrence cycle. The rainfall criterion was recommended based on the results of previous researches and the recommended rainfall criterion was 1 hour, 6 hours, and 3 days. At this time, the study subjects were located in Gangwon area and the probability rainfall of 8 stations in Gangwon area was collected. Also, the probabilistic distribution of the 1 hour, 6 hour, and 3 day rainfall criteria to be used for the early warning for the highway debris flow in Kangwon area was estimated through the probability analysis. In addition, we analyzed the correlation between 3 types of rainfall criteria selected from the rainfall data and the actual destructive damages of debris flow at 12 points in 7 lines of Gangwon highways. At this time, the rainfall criterion on the probability distribution was divided into an average value and a lower limit value. As a result of the review, it was found that the case of using the lower limit value of the rainfall according to the recurrence intervalwell simulates the situation of actual debris flow hazards.

Determination of Probable Rainfall Intensity Formulas for Designing Storm Sewer Systems at Incheon District (우수거 설계를 위한 인천지방에서의 확률강우강도식의 산정)

  • Ahn, Tae-Jin;Kim, Kyung-Sub
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.99-106
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents a procedure for determining the design rainfall depth and the design rainfall intensity at Incheon city area in Korea. In this study the eight probability distributions are considered to estimate the probable rainfall depths for 11 different durations. The Kolmogorov - Smirnov test and the Chi-square test are adopted to test each distribution. The probable rainfall intensity formulas are then determined by i) the least squares (LS) method, ii) the least median squares (LMS) method, iii) the reweighted least squares method based on the LMS (RLS), and iv) the constrained regression (CR) model. The Talbot, the Sherman, the Japanese, and the Unified type are considered to determine the best type for the Incheon station. The root mean squared (RMS) errors are computed to test the formulas derived by four methods. It is found that the Unified type is the most reliable and that all methods presented herein are acceptable for determining the coefficients of rainfall intensity formulas from an engineering point of view.

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The Regional Rainfall Intensity Formula Development Considering Climate Change of Gimhae City (기후변화를 고려한 김해시의 지역별 확률강우강도식 개발)

  • Woo, Sun-Bong;Park, Jong-Kil;Choi, Sun-Ho;Yoon, Jong-Sung
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • 제23권11호
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    • pp.1775-1790
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    • 2014
  • The regional rainfall intensity formula for Gimhae in Gyeongsangnam-do province is developed in this study. The nine points of rainfall observations were selected. In order to demonstrate the accuracy and the versatility of the proposed rainfall intensity formula, three regions under the jurisdiction of the Meteorological Agency near Gimhae, namely Busan, Changwon, Miryang observatories were selected. The present formula can be effectively employed for various design of hydraulic structures in Gimhae area since it is divided into several refined regions.

Regional Frequency Analysis of Drought Rainfall using L-Moments (L-모멘트법에 의한 가뭄우량의 지역빈도분석)

  • Lee, Soon-Hyuk;Yoon, Seong-Soo;Maeng, Sung-Jin;Ryoo, Kyong-Sik;Joo, Ho-Kil
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 한국농공학회 2003년도 학술발표논문집
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    • pp.451-454
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    • 2003
  • This study was mainly conducted to derive the design drought rainfall by the consecutive duration using probability weighted moments with rainfall in the regional drought frequency analysis. Selecting the drought rainfall series by the consecutive durations of drought observed for the long period all over the regions in Korea, optimal regionalization of the drought rainfall was classified by the climatologically and geographically homogeneous regions. Using the L-moment ratio and Kolmogorov- Smimov test, resonable frequency distribution for the drought rainfall was selected by the regions and consecutive periods of drought. Design drought rainfalls by the regions and consecutive durations were derived and compared by at-site and regional drought frequency analysis using the method of L-moments.

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A Study on Multi-site Rainfall Prediction Model using Real-time Meteorological Data (실시간 기상자료를 이용한 다지점 강우 예측모형 연구)

  • Jung, Jae-Sung;lee, Jang-Choon;Park, Young-Ki
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.205-211
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    • 1997
  • For the prediction of multi-site rainfall with radar data and ground meteorological data, a rainfall prediction model was proposed, which uses the neural network theory, a kind of artifical Intelligence technique. The Input layer of the prediction model was constructed with current ground meteorological data, their variation, moving vectors of rain- fall field and digital terrain of the measuring site, and the output layer was constructed with the predicted rainfall up to 3 hours. In the application of the prediction model to the Pyungchang river basin, the learning results of neural network prediction model showed more Improved results than the parameter estimation results of an existing physically based model. And the proposed model comparisonally well predicted the time distribution of ralnfall.

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An intercomparison of GMS image data and observed rainfall data (GMS 영상자료와 관측강수량 자료의 비교)

  • 서애숙;이미선;김금란;이희훈
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 1994
  • The purpose of this study is to find the relationship between GMS image data and hourly observed rainfalls data. Heavy rainfall cases over South Korea on 10th September 1990 and on 29th July 1993 were selected for studying of the relationship between the image data and reinfalls. First, image data were converted to TBB(Temperature of Black Body) and albedo and then these values were extracted for the pixels closest to the surface observation station to correlate with the rainfall data. Horizontal distribution of TBB and albedo tells roughly rainfall regions. The correlation between rainfall and TBB is found to be very low in quantitative analysis. The weak relationship between the brighter albedo and the higher rainfall probability is observed. This study suggests that the TBB values are useful in classifying rain areas and for heavy rainfalls the albedo values are more useful than the TBB. Low linear correlation between the fields may be attributed to the neglect of cloud types in this study.

Development of a Rainfall Time Distribution Model for Urban Watersheds (도시유역의 유출특성을 고려한 강우분포 모형의 개발)

  • Joo, Jin-Gul;Lee, Jung-Ho;Jo, Deok-Jun;Jun, Hwan-Don;Kim, Joong-Hoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • 제40권8호
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    • pp.655-663
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    • 2007
  • This study suggests a new time distribution method of rainfall for small urban watersheds. IETD (Interevent Time definition) determination method considering basin characteristics and dimensionless accumulation rainfall curves involving rainfall events with shorter duration than 3-hours are suggested. A new definition of IETD is the time period from the end of a rainfall event to the end of a direct runoff. Using the method, we drive an area-IETD regression curve for the Joong-Rang basin. The rainfall event with 10 year-return periods, 2-hour duration is distributed and applied four urban watersheds. In the four watersheds, we calculate hydrographs for four watersheds using SWMM and compare them with ones of the Huff's distribution model. From the comparison, we find that peak flows resulted from the developed methodology are $11\sim15%$ larger than ones from the Huff's model. As conclusion, the Huff method should be adopted for the urban watersheds with careful verification.

Application of Intensity-Duration-Frequency Curve to Korea Derived by Cumulative Distribution Function (누가분포함수를 활용한 강우강도식의 국내 적용성 평가)

  • Kim, Kewtae;Kim, Taesoon;Kim, Sooyoung;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • 제28권4B호
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    • pp.363-374
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    • 2008
  • Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) curve that is essential to calculate rainfall quantiles for designing hydraulic structures in Korea is generally formulated by regression analysis. In this study, IDF curve derived by the cumulative distribution function ("IDF by CDF") of the proper probability distribution function (PDF) of each site is suggested, and the corresponding parameters of IDF curve are computed using genetic algorithm (GA). For this purpose, IDF by CDF and the conventional IDF derived by regression analysis ("IDF by REG") were computed for 22 Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) rainfall recording sites. Comparisons of RMSE (root mean squared error) and RRMSE (Relative RMSE) of rainfall intensities computed from IDF by CDF and IDF by REG show that IDF by CDF is more accurate than IDF by REG. In order to accommodate the effect of the recent intensive rainfall of Korea, the rainfall intensities computed by the two IDF curves are compared with that by at-site frequency analysis using the rainfall data recorded by 2006, and the result from IDF by CDF show the better performance than that from IDF by REG. As a result, it can be said that the suggested IDF by CDF curve would be the more efficient IDF curve than that computed by regression analysis and could be applied for Korean rainfall data.

Estimation of Drought Rainfall by Regional Frequency Analysis using L and LH-Moments(I) - On the Method of L-Moments - (L 및 LH-모멘트법과 지역빈도분석에 의한 가뭄우량의 추정(I) - L-모멘트법을 중심으로 -)

  • 이순혁;윤성수;맹승진;류경식;주호길
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • 제45권5호
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    • pp.97-109
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    • 2003
  • This study is mainly conducted to derive the design drought rainfall by the consecutive duration using probability weighted moments with rainfall in the regional drought frequency analysis. It is anticipated to suggest optimal design drought rainfall of hydraulic structures for the water requirement and drought frequency of occurrence for the safety of water utilization through this study. Preferentially, this study was conducted to derive the optimal regionalization of the precipitation data that can be classified by the climatologically and geographically homogeneous regions all over the regions except Cheju and Ulreung islands in Korea. Five homogeneous regions in view of topographical and climatological aspects were accomplished by K-means clustering method. Using the L-moment ratio diagram and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, generalized extreme value distribution was confirmed as the best fitting one among applied distributions. At-site and regional parameters of the generalized extreme value distribution were estimated by the method of L-moments. Design drought rainfalls using L-moments following the consecutive duration were derived by the at-site and regional analysis using the observed and simulated data resulted from Monte Carlo techniques. Relative root-mean-square error (RRMSE), relative bias (RBIAS) and relative reduction (RR) in RRMSE for the design drought rainfall derived by at-site and regional analysis in the observed an simulated data were computed and compared. In has shown that the regional frequency analysis procedure can substantially more reduce the RRMSE. RBIAS and RR in RRMSE than those of at-site analysis in the prediction of design drought rainfall. Consequently, optimal design drought rainfalls following the regions and consecutive durations were derived by the regional frequency analysis.

Simulation of Run-Length and Run-Sum of Daily Rainfall and Streamflow (일수문량의 RUN-LENGTH 및 RUN-SUM의 SIMULATION)

  • 이순택;지홍기
    • Water for future
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.79-94
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    • 1977
  • This study is aimed at the establishment and examination of stochastic model to simulate Run-length and Run-sum of daily rainfall and streamflow. In the analysis, daily rainfall records in major cities (Seoul, Kangnung, Taegu, Kwangju, Busan, and Cheju) and daily streamflow records of Major rivers (Han, Nakdong and Geum River) were used. Also, the fitness of daily rainfall and streamflow to Weibull and one parameter exponential distribution was tested by Chi-square and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, from which it was found that daily rainfall and streamflow generally fit well to exponential type distribution function. The Run-length and Run-sum were simulated by the Weibull Model (WBL Model), one parameter exponential model (EXP-1 Model) based on the Nonte Carlo technique. In this result, Run-length of rainfall was fitted for one parameter exponential model and Run-length of streamflow was fitted for Weibull model. And Run-sum of rainfall and streamflow were fit comparatively for regression model. Hereby, statistical charactristics of Simulation data were sinilar to historical data.

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