• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rail Demand Modeling

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Travel Behavior Analysis for Short-term Railroad Passenger Demand Forecasting in KTX (KTX 단기수요 예측을 위한 통행행태 분석)

  • Kim, Han-Soo;Yun, Dong-Hee
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.1282-1289
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    • 2011
  • The rail passenger demand for the railroad operations required a short-term demand rather than a long-term demand. The rail passenger demand can be classified according to the purpose. First, the rail passenger demand will be use to the restructure of line planning on the current operating line. Second, the rail passenger demand will be use to the line planning on the new line and purchasing the train vehicles. The objective of study is to analyze the travel behavior of rail passenger for modeling of short-term demand forecasting. The scope of research is the passenger of KTX. The travel behavior was analyzed the daily trips, origin/destination trips for KTX passenger using the ANOVA and the clustering analysis. The results of analysis provide the directions of the short-term demand forecasting model.

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Quantifying Rail Travel Demand Changes using Observed Transport Data (수송실적자료를 이용한 철도교통 수요변화 추정 연구)

  • Eom, Jin-Ki;Heo, Tae-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.420-426
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    • 2009
  • Although the amount of travel demand is a critical factor in a benefit-cost (B/C) analysis of railway investment, the travel demand changes especially for induced demand have not been considered. Therefore, the basic study of how to estimate travel demand changes after railway investment is worth investigating. This study reviews the methodologies for estimating diverted and induced demand generated after railway investment, and proposes appropriate approaches that will help railway planners to practically apply them in a case study. Further, the research stimulates the needs of consideration of the travel demand changes in the feasibility studies of railway planning.

Sustainable Transportation Decision-Making Process with the Implementation of a Raster-Based SDSS - A Texas Urban Triangle (TUT) Case -

  • Kim, Hwan-Yong
    • Journal of KIBIM
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2017
  • Urban planning involves many different disciplines. In order for the related stakeholders to have better understanding and acceptable outcomes, planners are required to present a methodology that would properly reflect people's interest. In order to justify the demand and distribute people's interest, planners actively utilized the suitability analysis. Accordingly, a suitability analysis to find the optimal route for high-speed rail was performed in this paper. With ArcGIS and geographic data sets, simple map algebra could be used. The final product of this research was a map indicating the suitable routes for high-speed rail using the shortest path analysis.

Modeling the Distribution Demand Estimation for Urban Rail Transit (퍼지제어를 이용한 도시철도 분포수요 예측모형 구축)

  • Kim, Dae-Ung;Park, Cheol-Gu;Choe, Han-Gyu
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2005
  • In this study, we suggested a new approach method forecasting distribution demand of urban rail transit usign fuzzy control, with intend to reflect irregularity and various functional relationship between trip length and distribution demand. To establish fuzzy control model and test this model, the actual trip volume(production, attraction and distribution volume) and trip length (space distance between a departure and arrival station) of Daegu subway line 1 were used. Firstly, usign these data we established a fuzzy control model, nd the estimation accuracy of the model was examined and compared with that of generalized gravity model. The results showed that the fuzzy control model was superior to gravity model in accuracy of estimation. Therefore, wwe found that fuzzy control was able to be applied as a effective method to predict the distribution demand of urban rail transit. Finally, to increase the estimation precision of the model, we expect studies that define membership functions and set up fuzzy rules organized with neural networks.

Multinomial Logit Modeling: Focus on Regional Rail Trips (다항로짓모형을 이용한 지역간 철도통행 연구)

  • Kim, Gyeong-Tae;Lee, Jin-Seon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.25 no.1 s.94
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    • pp.109-119
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    • 2007
  • Increasingly, the emphasis in regional Passenger rail Planning is finding ways to more efficiently use existing facilities, with particular attention being Paid to Policies designed to spread Peak-Period travel demand more evenly throughout the week with consideration of train classification. In this context the individual's choice of time to travel is of crucial significance. This paper investigates the use of multinomial logit analysis to model ridership by rail classification using data collected for travel from Seoul to Busan during the one week in October 2004. The Particular model form that was successfully calibrated was the multinomial logit (MNL) model : it describes the choice mechanism that will Permit rail systems and operations to be planned on a more reliable basis. The assumption of independently and identically distributed(IID) error terms in the MNL model leads to its infamous independence from irrelevant alternatives (IIA) property. Relaxation of the IID assumption has been undertaken along a number or isolated dimensions leading to the development of the MNL model. For business and related rail travel patterns, the most important variables of choice were time and frequency to the chosen destination. The calibrated model showed high agreement between observed and Predicted market shares. The model is expected to be of use to railroad authorities in Planning and determining business strategies in the Increasingly competitive environment or regional rail transport.

A Study on the User Interface of Web-based Flexible Manufacturing System (웹기반 유연 생산시스템 사용자 인터페이스)

  • PARK JE-WOONG;KIM WON-JUNG
    • Proceedings of the Korea Committee for Ocean Resources and Engineering Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.68-72
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    • 2004
  • A practical method to investigate the user interface of web based Flexible Manufacturing System(FMS) on the internet environment is established. Because the industrial FMS controller requires a lot of gadget, such as switch, dial, button, etc., for actual work-site flexible operation sufficiently, the user interface of the controller is significantly complex. The support for operational convenience of FMS controller can increase productivity and efficiency of the user, operational personnel of FMS. While most FMS provide their application programming interface(API) and graphical user interface(GUI) with adequate mechanism itself when used in stand alone, there is increasing demand for FMS that can operate with the intuitional user interface find virtual reality(V/R) environment. This thesis considers the intuitional user interface of Web-based FMS first, and from this, goes a step further, improves as virtual reality environment of FMS on the internet environments by using the feature based modeling technique approach and cartoon rendering. The feature-based modeling technique approach is applied to FMS line which is consist of facilities such as machining center, CNC lathe, autonomous guided vehicle, rail guided vehicle, and various controllers. In this study, the FMS established the intuitional user interface is able to obtain not only the operational convenience but also the enough productivity and significant efficiency.

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A Study on Expansion of Inland Railway Use For Container Cargo (컨테이너 화물의 내륙철도이용 확대에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Kyoungsuk;Xia, Tongshui
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.97-108
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    • 2016
  • Over 80% of Korea's cargo transport relies on public roads. Such over-reliance has created a range of social problems including environmental damage. Korea thus faces an urgent need to establish an alternative mode of cargo transportation. In view of the changing international logistics environment, railway is clearly a superior mode of transport. The prerequisite task today for Korea is to enhance the competitiveness of inland railway by switching to railway and spurring new demand for cargo. This study examines inland railway cargo transport from the demand perspective. Specifically, through the use of a survey, the study identifies key factors influencing the decisions of container shippers regarding the use of railway for cargo transport. The survey responses were statistically tested using Smart PLS structural equation modeling. The results indicate that attitude toward railway use had the strongest influence on choice, while the key variable affecting attitude formation was cost.