• Title/Summary/Keyword: REGRESSION EQUATION

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Sequential prediction of TBM penetration rate using a gradient boosted regression tree during tunneling

  • Lee, Hang-Lo;Song, Ki-Il;Qi, Chongchong;Kim, Kyoung-Yul
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.523-533
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    • 2022
  • Several prediction model of penetration rate (PR) of tunnel boring machines (TBMs) have been focused on applying to design stage. In construction stage, however, the expected PR and its trends are changed during tunneling owing to TBM excavation skills and the gap between the investigated and actual geological conditions. Monitoring the PR during tunneling is crucial to rescheduling the excavation plan in real-time. This study proposes a sequential prediction method applicable in the construction stage. Geological and TBM operating data are collected from Gunpo cable tunnel in Korea, and preprocessed through normalization and augmentation. The results show that the sequential prediction for 1 ring unit prediction distance (UPD) is R2≥0.79; whereas, a one-step prediction is R2≤0.30. In modeling algorithm, a gradient boosted regression tree (GBRT) outperformed a least square-based linear regression in sequential prediction method. For practical use, a simple equation between the R2 and UPD is proposed. When UPD increases R2 decreases exponentially; In particular, UPD at R2=0.60 is calculated as 28 rings using the equation. Such a time interval will provide enough time for decision-making. Evidently, the UPD can be adjusted depending on other project and the R2 value targeted by an operator. Therefore, a calculation process for the equation between the R2 and UPD is addressed.

Surface roughness prediction with a full factorial design in turning (완전요인계획에 의한 선삭가공시 표면거칠기 예측)

  • Yang, Seung-Han;Lee, Young-Moon;Bae, Byong-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.133-140
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    • 2002
  • The object of this paper is to predict the surface roughness using the experiment equation of surface roughness, which is developed with a full factorial design in turning. $3^3$ full factorial design has been used to study main and interaction effects of main cutting parameters such as cutting speed, feed rate, and depth of cut, on surface roughness. For prediction of surface roughness, the arithmetic average (Ra) is used, and stepwise regression has been used to check the significance of all effects of cutting parameters. Using the result of these, the experimental equation of surface roughness, which consists of significant effects of cutting parameters, has been developed. The coefficient of determination of this equation is 0.9908. And the prediction ability of this equation was verified by additional experiments. The result of that, the coefficient of determination is 0.9718.

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An Analysis on the First Flush Phenomenon by Stormwater Runoff in Eutrophic Lake Watershed (부영양상태 호수유역의 강우유출수에 의한 초기세척효과 분석)

  • Cho, Jae-Heon;Seo, Hyung-Jun
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.341-350
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    • 2007
  • Lake Youngrang is a lagoon whose effluent flows into the East Sea. Because two resort towns and two golf courses are situated at the lake basin, many tourists visit this area. Stormwater runoff surveys were carried out for the eight storm events from 2004 to 2005 in the eutrophic lake watershed to give a basic data for the diffuse pollution control of the lake. Dimensionless mass-volume curves indicating the distribution of pollutant mass vs. volume were used to analyze the first flush phenomenon. The mass-volume curves were fitted with a power function and polynomial equation curves. The regression analysis showed that the polynomial equation curves were better than the power function in representing the tendency of the first flush, and second degree polynomial equation curves indicated the strength of the first flush effectively.

A Study on Deduction of Reasonable Inspection Time in Educational Facilities Based on Regression Analysis (회귀분석을 이용한 합리적인 교육시설물 점검시간의 산정 기준 도출에 관한 연구)

  • Seok, Hyun-Su;Cho, Chang-Yeon;Kim, Jae-On;Son, Jae-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Educational Facilities
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.34-42
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    • 2007
  • The investment of BTL(Build-Transfer-Lease) projects for the educational facilities has been increased since 2005. However, many trial errors and problems have been occurring due to the lack of inspection criteria in maintenance cost for the lift cycle of the facilities. Thus, purpose of this study is to derive regression equation for the daily inspection and the regular inspection through analysis of CAD data in order to set the inspection criteria. It is possible to calculate economical maintenance cost of BTL project in educational facilities using criteria of inspection time through the regression equation developed in this study.

A Study of Helicopter Initial Sizing using Statistical Methodology (통계적 기법을 적용한 헬기 형상설계 연구)

  • Kim, June-Mo;Oh, Woo-Seop
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.22-32
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    • 2007
  • This paper describes a study of a helicopter database for the sizing stage of a preliminary design process. The database includes specifications and performance parameters for more than 150 conventional single rotor helicopters currently in market. Design parameters, including configuration and weight parameters, have been analyzed and trend curve equations(regression equations) are derived using the regression analysis method. Finally, the applicability of this research result was verified whether the method is reliable for being adopted as a useful design tool in the early stage of a helicopter design process.

Quantitative Analysis and Mathematical Model for Spindle Vibration of the End-Milling by Design of Experiment (실험계획법을 이용한 엔드밀 가공시 주축 진동에 대한 정량적 분석 및 수학적 모형)

  • Park, Heung-Sik;Lee, Sang-Jae;Bae, Hyo-Jun;Jin, Dong-Kyu;Kim, Young-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.37-42
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    • 2004
  • End-milling have been widely used in aircraft, automobile part and moulding industry. However, various working factors such as spindle speed, feed rate and depth of cut in end-milling have an effect on spindle vibration. There it is demanded the quantitative analysis of spindle vibration in order to get the optimum surface roughness. This study was carried out to analyze an influence of working factors on spindle vibration by design of Experiment. The results are shown that mathematical model of regression equation for an influence of working factors on vibration acceleration of spindle in end-milling by regression analysis is presented.

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Reliability Improvement of In-Place Concreter Strength Prediction by Ultrasonic Pulse Velocity Method (초음파 속도법에 의한 현장 콘크리트 강도추정의 신뢰성 향상)

  • 원종필;박성기
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.97-105
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    • 2001
  • The ultrasonic pulse velocity test has a strong potential to be developed into a very useful and relatively inexpensive in-place test for assuring the quality of concrete placed in structure. The main problem in realizing this potential is that the relationship between compressive strength ad ultrasonic pulse velocity is uncertain and concrete is an inherently variable material. The objective of this study is to improve the reliability of in-place concrete strength predictions by ultrasonic pulse velocity method. Experimental cement content, s/a rate, and curing condition of concrete. Accuracy of the prediction expressed in empirical formula are examined by multiple regression analysis and linear regression analysis and practical equation for estimation the concrete strength are proposed. Multiple regression model uses water-cement ratio cement content s/a rate, and pulse velocity as dependent variables and the compressive strength as an independent variable. Also linear regression model is used to only pulse velocity as dependent variables. Comparing the results of the analysis the proposed equation expressed highest reliability than other previous proposed equations.

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Application of Statistical Analysis for Working Factors Effect of High Speed End-Milling for STD61 (열간금형용강의 고속 엔드밀 가공인자의 영향에 대한 통계적 분석의 적용)

  • Bae, Hyo-Jun;Lee, Sang-Jae;Woo, Kyu-Sung;Park, Heung-Sik
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.1148-1153
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    • 2004
  • Recently the high speed end-milling processing is demanded the high-precise technique with good surface rougj1ness and rapid time in aircraft, automobile part and molding industry. The working factors of high speed end-milling has an effect on surface roughness of cutting surface. Therefore this study was carried out to analyze the working factors to get the optimum surface roughness by design of experiment. From this study, surface roughness have an much effect according to priority on Spindle speed, feed rale, hardness and axial depth of cut By design of experiment, it is effectively represented shape characteristics of surface roughness in high speed end-milling And determination($R^2$) coefficient of regression equation had a satisfactory reliability of 89.7% and regression equation of surface roughness is made by regression analysis.

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Effects of Machining Conditions for Improvement of Surface Roughness on Micro End-Milling (마이크로 엔드밀 가공시 가공인자가 표면거칠기 향상에 미치는 영향)

  • Cho, Byoung-Moo;Kim, Sang-Jin;Park, Hee-Sang;Bae, Myung-Il
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.71-76
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    • 2008
  • Micro end-milling is one of effective technology that is able to do ultra-precision machining while increasing the productivity and has wide application field. But selection of machining condition is very difficult because of complicated machining mechanism. Therefore this study was carried out to select working factors to get the optimum surface roughness. Machining condition are depth of cut, feed rate and spindle revolution. The result of this study showed that Surface roughness was affected, in the other of depth of cut, spindle revolution, feed rate. And this study provided an regression equation relating surface roughness to working factors through Regression Analysis and determination coefficient of regression equation had a satisfactory reliability of 79%.

Analysis of Working Factors for Improvement of Surface Roughness on High Speed End-Milling (엔드밀 고속 가공시 표면정도 향상을 위한 가공인자의 영향 분석)

  • 배효준;박흥식
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.52-59
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    • 2004
  • Recently the high speed end-milling processing is demanded the high-precise technique with good surface roughness and rapid time in aircraft, automobile part and molding industry. The working factors of high speed end-milling has an effect on surface roughness of cutting surface. Therefore this study was carried out to analyze the working factors to get the optimum surface roughness by design of experiment. From this study, surface roughness have an much effect according to priority on distance of cut, feed rate, revolution of spindle and depth of cut. By design of experiment, it is effectively represented shape characteristics of surface roughness in high speed end-milling. And determination($R^2$) coefficient of regression equation had a satisfactory reliability of 76.3% and regression equation of surface roughness is made by regression analysis.