• Title/Summary/Keyword: Quantitative-Risk-Analysis

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QSPR analysis for predicting heat of sublimation of organic compounds (유기화합물의 승화열 예측을 위한 QSPR분석)

  • Park, Yu Sun;Lee, Jong Hyuk;Park, Han Woong;Lee, Sung Kwang
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.187-195
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    • 2015
  • The heat of sublimation (HOS) is an essential parameter used to resolve environmental problems in the transfer of organic contaminants to the atmosphere and to assess the risk of toxic chemicals. The experimental measurement of the heat of sublimation is time-consuming, expensive, and complicated. In this study, quantitative structural property relationships (QSPR) were used to develop a simple and predictive model for measuring the heat of sublimation of organic compounds. The population-based forward selection method was applied to select an informative subset of descriptors of learning algorithms, such as by using multiple linear regression (MLR) and the support vector machine (SVM) method. Each individual model and consensus model was evaluated by internal validation using the bootstrap method and y-randomization. The predictions of the performance of the external test set were improved by considering their applicability to the domain. Based on the results of the MLR model, we showed that the heat of sublimation was related to dispersion, H-bond, electrostatic forces, and the dipole-dipole interaction between inter-molecules.

Improvement of Outdoor Spaces for the Children's Safety in Public Rental Housing (어린이 안전을 위한 공공임대주택단지 외부공간 환경개선에 관한 연구)

  • Min, Young Hee;Ha, Mi-Kyoung;Byun, Gi-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean housing association
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.95-104
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    • 2015
  • Public rental housing in Korea has been initially provided for residential stability of low-income household focusing on solving quantitative insufficiency since 1980s. In the process of early stage of designing and planning public rental housing, qualitative aspects of considering children were not primary concern. This study aims to analyze the priority of environmental improvement of outdoor spaces for children's safety in public rental housing. First, literature review was performed in the reference of local residential safety guidelines, Universal Design, and CPTED guidelines. In each guidelines, common safety planning factors for children were extracted within different types of outdoor spaces. Second, based on literature analysis, residents evaluated importance and satisfaction level by different safety types, outdoor space type, and environmental planning factors. In results, residents evaluated high importance and showed low satisfaction for crime and traffic safety. Through IPA, facilities and parking space was evaluated where improvement is needed for the first priority, and planning factors were mostly concerned with surveillance and safety management system. Result shows general concern of public rental housing residents, about weak facility management and security system, and about socially isolated environment which heightened the fear of crime safety. Overall, poor maintenance of the complex environment and decrepit facilities are constantly raising risk of safety accidents especially for children. Considering residents' concern, environmental improvement should be considered in perspective of not only physical repair, but also facility management and security system.

Analysis on Differences in Dynamic Stability of Lower Extremity Caused by Unbalance of Hamstring/Quadriceps Ratio During Drop-landing (드롭랜딩 시 Hamstring/Quadriceps ratio 불균형에 따른 하지의 동적 안정성 차이 분석)

  • Hong, Wan-Ki;Kim, Min
    • Korean Journal of Applied Biomechanics
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.49-56
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    • 2015
  • Objectives : The purpose of this study was to present quantitative data and basic references to decrease the accident risk of soccer instructors. Methods : To obtain data, we conducted an investigation on how H/Q ratio affects the dynamic stability of the lower extremity at the time of drop landing. The study targeted 13 soccer players from C University who have not had any injuries or wounds in the lower extremity joints and in any other parts of their bodies over the last 6 months. By using CMIS (USA), the players were divided into two groups according to H/Q ratios higher and lower than 69%, respectively. The subjects in each group were instructed to perform a drop landing. Results : The H/Q ratio did not affect the maximal flexion angle of the knee joints at the time of drop landing. In addition the dominant group with a relatively high H/Q ratio was observed to have increased time to reduce shock and to efficiently absorb the ground reaction force during drop landing. Also, the dominant group with a relatively high H/Q ratio utilized the strong performances of the antagonistic muscles around the hamstrings and the controlled rotatory powers of the thighs that were applied to the tibias supported by the ground. Finally, H/Q ratio, load factors, and mean and maximum EMG were significantly negatively related, whereas GRFx showed a positive relationship. In fact, these factors all affected the impact of the load from the H/Q ratio to the knee joints. Conclusion : From these findings it can be concluded that unbalanced H/Q ratio can be considered as a predictor of knee joint injury at the time of drop landing.

Analysis on Management Status and Issues for Near Miss Reporting in Nuclear Power Industry (원전 사고근접사례의 보고체계 현황 및 현안분석)

  • Chung, Yun-Hyung;Kim, Dong Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.177-186
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    • 2016
  • When an event is occurred in a nuclear power plant (NPP), the NPP operator reports it referred by the regulation on reporting and public announcement of accidents and incidents. Some of the events do not need to be reported because they are not included in the reporting criteria of the regulation. However, it is necessary that they should be managed effectively because the accident can be occurred by the recurrence of a lot of them as precursors. Among the events not included in the reporting criteria of the regulation, near miss is the event that is not occurred but can generate a significant consequence. This can provide the cause of the event which does not result an accident. So, it is able to offer insightful knowledges to prevent higher level events about the function and process of NPP. The objective of this study is to analyze the issues of near miss events, prepare the defence against the risk, and improve the management process of NPP. To achieve it, this study performed to analyze the management structure and status of near miss events as well as the accident reporting system of the domestic and foreign regulation bodies. In case of Korea, the status was analyzed by quantitative data, licensee event reports and procedures. Based on these, we could find the causes that near miss events were not managed effectively. Then, systematic alternatives that reflected the perspective of man, technology and organization were drawn.

Typhoon-surge Characteristics in Relation with the Tide-surge Interaction (조석-해일 비선형성과 관련된 태풍-해일 특성)

  • Kang, Ju Whan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.25-37
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    • 2015
  • Tide-surge interaction during typhoon periods has been analyzed. The quantitative analysis of the Chi-square test shows that the interaction is most prominent at the Southwestern coast whereas the Western and the Southeastern regions are not. Patterns of surge type were divided into two groups, that is, steep type and mild type. Then, the interaction was turned out to be more prominent for mild type data. The weak interaction at the Western region is considered due to negative surges when the south-track typhoons attack. However, the interaction is remarkable when the west-track typhoons attack. The weak interaction at the Southeastern coast is, on the other hand, considered due to abundance of the steep type typhoons. Thus, inundation risk would be so apprehensive at that region because large-scale surge might be caused even at high tide.

Survival Outcomes after Whole Brain Radiation Therapy and/or Stereotactic Radiosurgery for Cancer Patients with Metastatic Brain Tumors in Korea: A Systematic Review

  • Hyun, Min Kyung;Hwang, Jin Seub;Kim, Jin Hee;Choi, Ji Eun;Jung, Sung Young;Bae, Jong-Myon
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.14 no.12
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    • pp.7401-7407
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    • 2013
  • Aim: To compare survival outcomes after whole brain radiation therapy (WBRT), stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS), and WBRT plus SRS combination therapy in Korea, by performing a quantitative systematic review. Materials and Methods: We searched 10 electronic databases for reports on Korean patients treated with WBRT or SRS for brain metastases published prior to July 2010. Independent reviewers screened all articles and extracted the data. When a Kaplan-Meier survival curve was available, median survival time and standard errors were calculated. Summary estimates for the outcomes in each study were calculated using the inverse variance random-effects method. Results: Among a total of 2,761 studies, 20 studies with Korean patients (n=1,053) were identified. A combination of 12 studies (n=566) with WBRT outcomes showed a median survival time of 6.0 months (95%CI: 5.9-6.2), an overall survival rate of 5.6% (95%CI: 1-24), and a 6-month survival rate of 46.5% (95%CI: 37.2-56.1). For nine studies (n=412) on SRS, the median survival was 7.9 months (95%CI: 5.1-10.8), and the 6-month survival rate was 63.1% (95%CI: 49.8-74.8). In six studies (n=75) using WBRT plus SRS, the median survival was 10.7 months (95%CI: 4.7-16.6), and the overall and 6-month survival rates were 16.8% (95%CI: 6.2-38.2) and 85.7% (95%CI: 28.3-96.9), respectively. Conclusions: WBRT plus SRS showed better 1-year survival outcome than of WBRT alone for Korean patients with metastatic brain tumors. However, the results of this analysis have to be interpreted cautiously, because the risk factors of patients were not adjusted in the included studies.

Systemic Review of Hyaluronate for the Treatment of Osteoarthritis (골관절염 치료제 히알우론산 임상연구결과의 Systemic Review)

  • Bang, Joon-Seok
    • Korean Journal of Clinical Pharmacy
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.38-45
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    • 2007
  • Background: The multitude of the therapeutic usefulness of intra-articular injection of hyaluronate on oateoarthritis of the knee is still in question. The objective of this systemic review was to elucidate both the therapeutic efficacy and the safety of intra-articular administration of hyaluronic acid for degenerative osteoarthritis of the knee joints. Methods: I searched MEDLINE and Korea Medical Database (KMbase) from January 1990 to April 2007 using a combination search terms for knee osteoarthritis and hyaluronic acid and a filter for randomized controlled trials. I extracted data on pain at rest, and during or just after movement, on joint function, and on adverse events. Results: Ten trials that reported usable quantitative information on any of the predefined end points were identified and included in the systemic review. Intra-articular injection of hyaluronic acid can decrease symptoms of osteoarthritis of the knee. The study revealed significant improvements in pain and functional outcomes with few adverse effects. However, there was significant between-study heterogeneity in the estimates of the efficacy of hyaluronic acid. Sub-group analysis showed that lower methodological quality such as a single-blind or single-center design resulted in higher estimates hyaluronic acid efficacy, and that patients older than sixty years of age and those with the most advanced radiographic stage of osteoarthritis were less likely to benefit from intra-articular injection of hyaluronic acid. Conclusion: According to the currently available evidence, intra-articular hyaluronic acid has been proven clinically effective for the patients bearing the knee osteoarthritis with NSAID-induced GI troubles or inapplicable to any surgery, and may be associated with lower risk of adverse events.

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Participants' Evaluation on the Payer-driven Medication Counseling Intervention for Individuals with Chronic Disease (만성질환자 대상 맞춤형 투약상담 중재 프로그램 시범사업에 대한 평가)

  • Sohn, Hyun Soon;Jang, Sunmee;Lee, Ju-Yeun;Han, Euna
    • Korean Journal of Clinical Pharmacy
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.245-253
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    • 2016
  • Objective: This study was conducted to evaluate payer-driven medication adherence intervention program from the patient's and counselor's perspectives. Methods: Target patients for intervention were selected by retrospective adherence measures based on national health insurance claims data for hypertension, diabetes and hyperlipidemia. As a serial intervention for higher risk groups of medication non-adherence, initial direct mailing, the first direct telephone call and the second direct call or a home visit were followed. Interview approach to qualitative inquiry was used to evaluate intervention results. Results: Participants including 4 patients received telephone calls, and 4 National Health Insurance Service staff and 4 pharmacists participated as counselors were interviewed regarding their impression of the intervention program. Three major themes arose: overall perception; necessities; and suggestions for success, of the intervention. Despite short period of intervention, educational intervention by telephone counseling involving pharmacists shows potential to improve self-management of chronic disease, and pharmacist-involvement. But more sophisticated selection of target patients requiring the intervention and complementation of electronic database system would be necessary. In addition, personal disposition of counselor was revealed to be an important factor for achieving successful outcome of intervention. Conclusion: The findings suggest that the individualized counseling intervention would be an efficient option for improved medication adherence. Further researches should include longer periods of interventions, a quantitative analysis using adherence measures based on claims data and consideration of clinical benefits associated with the intervention.

RELIABILITY DATA UPDATE USING CONDITION MONITORING AND PROGNOSTICS IN PROBABILISTIC SAFETY ASSESSMENT

  • KIM, HYEONMIN;LEE, SANG-HWAN;PARK, JUN-SEOK;KIM, HYUNGDAE;CHANG, YOON-SUK;HEO, GYUNYOUNG
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.204-211
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    • 2015
  • Probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) has had a significant role in quantitative decision-making by finding design and operational vulnerabilities and evaluating cost-benefit in improving such weak points. In particular, it has been widely used as the core methodology for risk-informed applications (RIAs). Even though the nature of PSA seeks realistic results, there are still "conservative" aspects. One of the sources for the conservatism is the assumptions of safety analysis and the estimation of failure frequency. Surveillance, diagnosis, and prognosis (SDP), utilizing massive databases and information technology, is worth highlighting in terms of its capability for alleviating the conservatism in conventional PSA. This article provides enabling techniques to solidify a method to provide time- and condition-dependent risks by integrating a conventional PSA model with condition monitoring and prognostics techniques. We will discuss how to integrate the results with frequency of initiating events (IEs) and probability of basic events (BEs). Two illustrative examples will be introduced: (1) how the failure probability of a passive system can be evaluated under different plant conditions and (2) how the IE frequency for a steam generator tube rupture (SGTR) can be updated in terms of operating time. We expect that the proposed model can take a role of annunciator to show the variation of core damage frequency (CDF) depending on operational conditions.

Study on Association between Risk of Eating Disorder and Self-Esteem on Body Image (일부 대학생의 체형 만족 정도와 식사 장애 위험 정도의 관계 연구)

  • Nam Hee-Jung;Kim Young-Soon
    • The Korean Journal of Food And Nutrition
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.115-126
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    • 2005
  • This Quantitative study was investigated to examine the relationship between self-esteem on body image and disordered eating patterns in some university students. This study used a cross-sectional study design. Total 347 students participated in this study (88 male and 259 female) among three universities. The assessment of eating disorder was conducted by Eating Attitudes Test (EAT-26), a score of >or=20 identified individuals likely have an eating disorder, including anorexia nervosa and bulimia nervosa. Ideal body weight and current body weight were completed with self-evaluation. A distorted body image was independently related to the eating problem in the Logistic regression analysis. There were stronger relationships between their EAT-26 scores and their expected weight changes and weight control behaviors. Compared with the men, women showed highly wishful to loss for current body weight. In the relationship between score of EAT-26 and BMI distance by sex, levels of eating disorder showed linearly elevated toward increased BMI distance (Ideal BMI-Current BMI) (F-value=18.794, p<0.0001) in women, but there were not significant in men (F-value=2.028, p>0.05). In estimate on state-trait anxiety inventory according to quartile of BMI distance by sex, levels of state-trait anxiety were not significant difference by degree of body dissatisfaction in all sex. In addition, higher distorted body image was significantly increased numbers of weight control method and experience of side effects in female, but there were not showed significant relation between two variables in male.