• 제목/요약/키워드: Quantitative risk assessment method

검색결과 167건 처리시간 0.025초

초도양산 군수품에 대한 정량적 위험등급평가 방안 연구 (A study on the quantitative risk grade assessment of initial mass production for weapon systems)

  • 정영탁;함영훈;노태주;안만기;고경와
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제46권3호
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    • pp.441-452
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to study quantitative risk grade assessment for objective government quality assurance activities based on risk management in initial mass production for weapon systems. Methods: The Defense quality management regulations and foreign risk assessment documents are referred to analyze problems performing quality assurance actives. The failure rate data, maintainability and cost of products have been studied to quantify the risk Likelihood and impact. The analyzed data were classified as risk grade assessment through K-means Cluster Analysis method. Results: Results show that a proposed method can objectively evaluate risk grade. The analyzed results are clustered into three levels such as high, middle and low. Two products are allocated high, eleven low and seven middle. Conclusion: In this paper, quantitative risk grade assessment methods were presented by analyzing risk ratings based on objective data. The findings showed that the methods would be effective for initial mass production for weapon systems.

열차제어시스템 안전성 확보를 위한 리스크 평가 방법 분석 (Risk Assessment Method for Guaranteeing Safety in the Train Control System)

  • 조현정;황종규;윤용기
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2006년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.870-877
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    • 2006
  • Recently, failures of equipments are linked directly to extensive damages of human lives or financial losses from the increasing uses of train control equipments utilizing computers. Then safety activities have to progress for guaranteeing safety during the system life-cycle. In this paper, we examine the methods for risk analysis and assessment of safety activities and propose optimized one method for risk assessment. There are original risk assessment methods; risk graph and risk matrix method under the qualitative analysis, IRF(Individual Risk Formula) calculations and statistical calculations method under the quantitative analysis. Best-Practice(BP) risk analysis method is proposed for combining advantages of the qualitative and the quantitative analysis. In the comparison of risk graph and risk matrix method for safety estimation, BP method has no applications published up to now, but we can expect that this method will be utilized widely for the risk assessment due to various strong points.

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화력발전설비 위험도 평가를 통한 기기별 정비주기 예측 (Prediction of Maintenance Period of Equipment Through Risk Assessment of Thermal Power Plants)

  • 송기욱;김범신;최우성;박명수
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제37권10호
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    • pp.1291-1296
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    • 2013
  • 위험도 평가 기술은 주로 플랜트의 많은 운영설비 중 대형사고나 피해를 유발할 수 있는 위험설비를 선별하는 목적으로 개발되었다. 설비의 위험도를 평가하여 위험도의 크기에 따라 순위를 정하고 이 순위를 기준으로 정비자원을 투입하는 순서나 정비작업의 시급성을 판단한다. 위험도란 고장이 발생할 확률과 고장이 발생할 경우에 수반되는 파손피해의 곱으로 정의된다. 위험도 평가방법으로는 간단한 손상 및 고장 평가기법을 이용하여 기본적인 고장확률 데이터를 확보하고 정성적인 문진을 통해 이를 보완하는 준 정량적 방법이 많이 사용되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 준 정략적 평가를 이용하여 석탄화력발전소의 보일러설비에 대한 위험도 평가를 수행하고 이를 기반으로 설비 별차기 정비주기를 선정하였다.

An Evaluation of the Quantitative Risk of Plastic Process Manufacturing Industries by Means of the 4M Method

  • Lee, Dong-Ho;Kim, Jong-In
    • International Journal of Safety
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.8-12
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    • 2007
  • This study includes a case study among plastic process manufacturing companies, based on which, the currently used 4M method is applied in terms of machine, media, man, and management, to conduct quantitative risk evaluation, and thus to contribute to reducing human and material loss as well as preventing accidents in industrial fields. The result of this study is analyzed based on the 4M-risk assessment to find out the hazardous risk elements, and the quantitative evaluation made it predictable the value of risk(frequency $\times$ intensity) in such classified levels as serious risk, critical risk, and intolerable risk. Further, Among the businesses with hazardous risk elements and high frequency of industrial disaster, risk analysis was conducted for each process, and as a result, 38 cases among 76, including those of serious risk, critical risk, and intolerable risk, were improved, and the risk was reduced. Besides, it is thought that with the engineering approach with 4M-Risk Assessment, the attempt to improve safety level contributes to prevention of accidents.

Case Studies of Risk Assessment in Analyzing Risks Associated with MSDS

  • Kim, Woo Jin;Jeong, Byung Yong
    • 대한인간공학회지
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.153-158
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    • 2013
  • Objective: This study aims to suggest different approaches in analyzing risks associated with musculoskeletal disorders (MSDS) for risk assessment. Background: Upon concluding that the changes in the industrial environments have made it hard to regulate diverse risk factors, the government has implemented a policy for risk assessment. Method: This study has proposed a method, creating programs using Excel that perform qualitative or quantitative analysis, for evaluating risk factors in risk assessments and has applied this in manufacture and service industries. Results: To verify the validity of the developed program, risk assessment has been performed on restaurant chefs as an example. For quantitative evaluation, the study has suggested approaches using the results for REBA evaluation and the analysis report on the work scenes of a fitting-shop in a shipbuilding industry. Application: Constructing and adapting a system using Excel in evaluating risk factors for risk assessments as this study suggests, is expected to contribute to revitalizing risk assessments.

정량적 위험성평가를 이용한 화학물질 운송경로에 관한 연구 (A Study on Transportation Route of Chemicals using Quantitative Risk Assessment)

  • 변윤섭
    • 한국가스학회지
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.46-52
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    • 2017
  • 화학물질 운송과정에서 교통사고로 인한 화학물질 누출사고가 발생할 경우에 대한 정량적 위험성평가를 실시하였고, 이를 기준으로 화학물질 운송경로의 적절성을 평가하였다. 이를 위해 사업장 내부에 설치되어 있는 화학물질 취급설비에서 화학물질 누출사고가 발생할 경우 적용하는 정량적 위험성평가방법을 제시하였고, 이를 화학물질 운송과정에 적용하였다. 운송 차량의 교통사고 건수를 분석하여 화학물질 운송시 화학물질 누출사고가 발생할 확률을 예측하였고, 차량을 이용하여 액화염소용기를 운송할 경우 발생할 수 있는 염소가스 누출사고에 대한 정량적 위험성평가에 적용하였다. 그 결과 위험도를 바탕으로 액화염소용기를 운송하는 차량의 가장 적절한 운행경로를 제시하였다.

A Study on the Risk Management Tools against Infectious Diseases in the Port-Utilizing Semi-Quantitative Bow-Tie Method

  • Lim, Kukhwan;Oh, Yong-Sik
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제46권2호
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    • pp.145-157
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    • 2022
  • Due to the global epidemic of infectious diseases, it has become important for all industries to respond to the risk of infectious diseases. Ports in each country are also responding to the risk of infectious diseases, but the occurrence of infectious diseases in ports of various countries is causing a lot of damage to the logistics of ports. Korea is in the same situation, and cases of infectious diseases in ports are steadily being announced. Therefore, this paper conducted semi-quantitative Bow-Tie risk assessment by substituting measures to cope with infectious disease risks in Korean ports into actual cases of port infectious diseases in Korea, deriving improvements and suggesting directions. As a result, it was concluded that it was necessary to standardize some of the countermeasures against infectious diseases and develop more countermeasures.

사업장의 기계재해 위험성평가에 관환 연구 (A study on quantitative risk assessment of mechanical accidents)

  • 한우섭
    • 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.140-152
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    • 2009
  • Recently the occurrence ratio of mechanical accidents in industrial disaster of korea is increased, but very little accident information has been given regarding the prevention of mechanical accidents. In this study, mechanical accidents by the analysis of industrial accident case was examined. And it was proposed the risk assessment method and building database for investigation of risk factors in mechanical accident. As a result, from mechanical accidents database, it was found that the occurrence ratio of mechanical accident by constriction and falling etc. is very high and death ratio by mechanical accident is larger than that of usual accident. And we applied the quantitative risk assessment method proposed by this study in the mechanical accident analysis of a domestic manufacturer. From the results, the risk factors due to constriction, curling, falling and scattering are principal causes of mechanical accidents. These result is similar to that of the analysis of mechanical accidents for recent 12 years in korea.

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준 정량적 방법의 위험성 평가에 대한 연구 (A study on the risk assessment based on the semi-quantitative methodology)

  • 정다운;오상민;유등렬;서정욱;김두일
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2011년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.1425-1432
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    • 2011
  • The various risk assessment methodologies have been introduced in the railway industries. The risk assessment suggested by CENELEC are described with two ways; quantitative and qualitative methods. However, in the industry application level, the quantitative method is hard to apply for a project because of somehow complicated or few statistical figures which was driven from the on-site and the qualitative method is too subject to have the confidence of its results fully. In this paper, the state-of-the-art methods which were suggested in Europe recently are introduced and compared to existing quantitative and qualitative methods. Furthermore, the application measures of railway projects are investigated.

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A quantitative assessment method of network information security vulnerability detection risk based on the meta feature system of network security data

  • Lin, Weiwei;Yang, Chaofan;Zhang, Zeqing;Xue, Xingsi;Haga, Reiko
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제15권12호
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    • pp.4531-4544
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    • 2021
  • Because the traditional network information security vulnerability risk assessment method does not set the weight, it is easy for security personnel to fail to evaluate the value of information security vulnerability risk according to the calculation value of network centrality, resulting in poor evaluation effect. Therefore, based on the network security data element feature system, this study designed a quantitative assessment method of network information security vulnerability detection risk under single transmission state. In the case of single transmission state, the multi-dimensional analysis of network information security vulnerability is carried out by using the analysis model. On this basis, the weight is set, and the intrinsic attribute value of information security vulnerability is quantified by using the qualitative method. In order to comprehensively evaluate information security vulnerability, the efficacy coefficient method is used to transform information security vulnerability associated risk, and the information security vulnerability risk value is obtained, so as to realize the quantitative evaluation of network information security vulnerability detection under single transmission state. The calculated values of network centrality of the traditional method and the proposed method are tested respectively, and the evaluation of the two methods is evaluated according to the calculated results. The experimental results show that the proposed method can be used to calculate the network centrality value in the complex information security vulnerability space network, and the output evaluation result has a high signal-to-noise ratio, and the evaluation effect is obviously better than the traditional method.