• Title/Summary/Keyword: Quantitative Estimation

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A Quantitative Method for Estimating Damages in Fishery Production due to Artificial Environmental Deterioration in the Tidal Flat Fishing Grounds (천해어장에서 인위적 환경훼손에 의한 어업생산 감소량 추정방법)

  • PARK Joo Seok;KANG Yong Joo;ZHANG Chang Ik
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.402-408
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    • 2003
  • A quantitative method was suggested for estimating damages in fishery production due to the diffusion and deposition of suspended silt and clay by various construction processes in tidal flat fishing grounds. Marine populations are maintained through the process of spawning, growth, recruitment, natural death and death by fishing each year. All of the year classes of the population in a fishery ground could be affected when damages occur by human activities such as land filling or reclamation. The propose of this study is to calculate damages in terms of fishery production using a quantitative population dynamic method. If the maximum age in the population is $X_\lambda,$ the starting year of damage is $t_s,$ and the ending year of damage is $t_e,$ the number of year classes damaged is $t_{s-n\lambda}-t_e,$ Many year classes present in the year $t_s,$ and so if damages occur, they Influence all the year classes which are present in the population. Damaged year classes in year $t_e$ would still be in the population until the year $t_{e+n\lambda}$, where $n_{\lambda}$ is the oldest age class. If the expected yield of a year class is constant, the total yield from year classes in the fishing ground during the construction periods can be calculated as follows: $Y_\Phi=[(t_e-t_s+1)+n_c]{\cdot}Y_E+\sum\limits^{n_\lambda-n_c}_{l=1}\;\sum\limits^{n_\lambda-n_c}_{l=i}\;Y_{n_c+i}$ This method was applied for damage estimation in the production of Ruditapes philippinarum in a tidal flat fishing ground.

Development of a Flood Runoff and Inundation Analysis System Associated With 2-D Rainfall Data Generated Using Radar II. 2-D Quantitative Rainfall Estimation Using Cokriging (레이더 정량강우와 연계한 홍수유출 및 범람해석 시스템 확립 II. Cokriging을 이용한 2차원 정량강우 산정)

  • Choi, Kyu-Hyun;Han, Kun-Yeun;Kim, Gwang-Seob;Lee, Chang-Hee
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.4 s.165
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    • pp.335-346
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    • 2006
  • Among various input data to hydrologic models, rainfall measurements arguably have the most critical influence on the performance of hydrologic model. Traditionally, hydrologic models have relied on point gauge measurements to provide the area-averaged rainfall information. However, rainfall estimates from gauges become inadequate due to their poor representation of areal rainfall, especially in situations with sparse gauge network. Alternatively, radar that covers much larger areas has become an attractive instrument for providing area- averaged precipitation information. Despite of the limitation of the QPE(Quantitative Precipitation Estimation) using radar, we can get the better information of spatial variability of rainfall fields. Also, rain-gauges give us the better quantitative information of rainfall field. Therefore, in this study, we developed improved methodologies tu estimate rainfall fields using an ordinary cokriging technique which optimally merges radar reflectivity data into rain-gauges data.

Rainfall Estimation by X-band Marine Radar (X밴드 선박용 레이더를 이용한 강우 추정)

  • Kim, Kwang-Ho;Kwon, Byung-Hyuk;Kim, Min-Seong;Kim, Park-Sa;Yoon, Hong-Joo
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.695-704
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    • 2018
  • The rainfall cases were identified by rainfall estimation techniques which were developed by using X - band marine radar. A digital signal converter was used to convert the signal received from the marine radar into digital reflectivity information. The ground clutter signal was removed and the errors caused by beam attenuation and beam volume changes were corrected. The reflectivity showed a linear relationship with the rain gauge rainfall. Quantitative rainfall was estimated by converting the radar signal into an cartesian coordinate system. When the rainfall was recorded more than $5mm\;hr^{-1}$ at three automatic weather stations, the rain cell distribution on the marine radar was consistent with that of the weather radar operated by Korea meteorological Adminstration.

A Comparative Evaluation of $K_{op}$ Determination and $\Delta{K}_{eff}$ Estimation Methods

  • Kang, Jae-Youn;Song, Ji-Ho;Koo, Ja-Suk;Park, Byung-Ik
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.961-971
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    • 2004
  • Methods for determination of the crack opening stress intensity factor ($K_{op}$) and for estimation of the effective stress intensity factor range ($\Delta{K}_{eff}$) are evaluated for crack growth test data of aluminum alloys. Three methods of determining $K_{op}$, visual measurement, ASTM offset compliance method, and the neural network method proposed by Kang and Song, and three methods of estimating $\Delta{K}_{eff}$, conventional, the 2/PIO and 2/PI methods proposed by Donald and Paris, are compared in a quantitative manner by using evaluation criteria. For all $K_{op}$ determination methods discussed, the 2/PI method of estimating $\Delta{K}_{eff}$ provides good results. The neural network method of determining $K_{op}$ provides good correlation of crack growth data. It is recommended to use 2/PI estimation with the neural $K_{op}$ determination method. The ASTM offset method used in conjunction with 2/PI estimation shows a possibility of successful application. It is desired to improve the ASTM method.

Evaluation of Growth Diagnosis in Rice Field using Spectral Characteristics, LAI, and SPAD (분광반사특성과 엽면적지수 및 SPAD를 이용한 벼의 성장단계별 생육상태의 평가)

  • Park, Jong-Hwa;Shin, Hyoung-Sub;Park, Jin-Ki
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.805-809
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    • 2008
  • Measurement of leaf area index (LAI) is useful for understanding rice growth, water use, and canopy light interception. The top nitrogen content(TNC) per unit area is an important quantitative index of the condition of nitrogen nutrition in rice production. The rapid and simple method of estimation of TNC, with the use of the existing nondestructive analyzing instruments chlorophyll meter SPAD-502 and plant canopy analyzer (PCA) LAI-2000, was scrutinized. Destructive measurement is time consuming and labor intensive. Our objective was to evaluate sampling procedures using the Li-Cor LI-1800, LAI 2000 plant canopy analyzer (PCA) for nondestructive estimation of rice LAI, and SPAD-502 on the Northern Plains of Cheongju. The LAI estimated by PCA tended to underestimate the LAI determined by actual measurement by about 20%. The estimation of LAI by PCA was judged to have a sufficient accuracy as a practical technique. A high positive correlation was obtained between the values of the SPAD reading and LAI. NDVI and LAI also showed a very high correlation. The values of the SPAD reading and LAI, and NDVI gave a high positive correlation. These results indicated that the method described in this study was effective as a simple and rapid method for the estimation of rice growth.

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Soft Sensor Design Using Image Analysis and its Industrial Applications Part 1. Estimation and Monitoring of Product Appearance (화상분석을 이용한 소프트 센서의 설계와 산업응용사례 1. 외관 품질의 수치적 추정과 모니터링)

  • Liu, J. Jay
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.48 no.4
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    • pp.475-482
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    • 2010
  • In this work, soft sensor based on image anlaysis is proposed for quantitatively estimating the visual appearance of manufactured products and is applied to quality monitoring. The methodology consists of three steps; (1) textural feature extraction from product images using wavelet transform, (2) numerical estimation of the product appearance through projection of the textural features on subspace, and (3) use of latent variables of textural features (i.e., numerical estimates of product appearance). The focus of this approach is on the consistent and quantitative estimation of continuous variations in visual appearance rather than on classification into discrete classes. This approach is illustrated through the application to the estimation and monitoring of the appearance of engineered stone countertops.

Development of Subsidence Hazard Estimation Method Based on the Depth of Gangway (갱도의 심도 정보만을 고려한 지반침하위험도 평가법 개발)

  • Jung, Yong-Bok;Song, Won-Kyong;Kang, Sang-Soo
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.272-279
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    • 2008
  • This paper describes the development of a simple and quantitative subsidence hazard estimation method appropriate to Korean coal mines using gangway depth information only. In spite of simpleness of estimation method, this new method gives good results close to those obtained using influence function method when applying to a virtual rectangular excavation model and to a closed mine where actual subsidence occurred. Therefore, this method can be effectively applied to the identification of zones liable to subsidence over closed coal mine in Korea where the shape of extraction is very complex and usually unknown.

Impact Analysis of an Eco-Park on the Adjacent Apartment Unit Price by Using the Hedonic Model - With a Focus on the Cheongju Wonheung-ee Park and Adjacent Apartments - (헤도닉 모델에 의한 생태공원의 인접 아파트 가격 영향 분석 - 청주 원흥이공원과 인접 아파트를 대상으로 -)

  • Ko, Hye-Jin;Yun, Ki-Bum;Shim, Young-Ju;Hwang, Hee-Yun
    • Journal of the Korean housing association
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.47-57
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this research is to demonstrate the necessity of conserving and maintaining eco-parks by estimating their economic value. Wonheung-ee Park in Sannam 3 District of Cheongju City was chosen as the subject and a quantitative estimation was conducted. The quantitative analysis utilized the hedonic price model that estimates the value of non-market goods. The summarized results of this study are follows. The subject park influenced the prices of its neighboring apartments. The most important factor was the distance between the park and the subject apartment. When the distance was longer than 400m, the impact was greatest. The quantitative assessment also showed that apartment prices and the distance between an apartment and the park had a negative relationship. When the distance increased by 1%, apartment prices decreased by 0.430%. This means that within a certain distance, the closer an apartment is to the park, the higher is the price. Demonstrating the economic value of eco-parks, this study also supports the importance of preserving eco-areas. It generally shows that when we develop a city, we should refrain destroying the ecosystem.

Quantitative risk assessment for wellbore stability analysis using different failure criteria

  • Noohnejad, Alireza;Ahangari, Kaveh;Goshtasbi, Kamran
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.281-293
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    • 2021
  • Uncertainties in geomechanical input parameters which mainly related to inappropriate data acquisition and estimation due to lack of sufficient calibration information, have led wellbore instability not yet to be fully understood or addressed. This paper demonstrates a workflow of employing Quantitative Risk Assessment technique, considering these uncertainties in terms of rock properties, pore pressure and in-situ stresses to makes it possible to survey not just the likelihood of accomplishing a desired level of wellbore stability at a specific mud pressure, but also the influence of the uncertainty in each input parameter on the wellbore stability. This probabilistic methodology in conjunction with Monte Carlo numerical modeling techniques was applied to a case study of a well. The response surfaces analysis provides a measure of the effects of uncertainties in each input parameter on the predicted mud pressure from three widely used failure criteria, thereby provides a key measurement for data acquisition in the future wells to reduce the uncertainty. The results pointed out that the mud pressure is tremendously sensitive to UCS and SHmax which emphasize the significance of reliable determinations of these two parameters for safe drilling. On the other hand, the predicted safe mud window from Mogi-Coulomb is the widest while the Hoek-Brown is the narrowest and comparing the anticipated collapse failures from the failure criteria and breakouts observations from caliper data, indicates that Hoek-Brown overestimate the minimum mud weight to avoid breakouts while Mogi-Coulomb criterion give better forecast according to real observations.

Application of AIG Implemented within CLASS Software for Generating Cognitive Test Item Models

  • SA, Seungyeon;RYOO, Hyun Suk;RYOO, Ji Hoon
    • Educational Technology International
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.157-181
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    • 2022
  • Scale scores for cognitive domains have been used as an important indicator for both academic achievement and clinical diagnosis. For example, in education, Cognitive Abilities Test (CogAT) has been used to measure student's capability in academic learning. In a clinical setting, Cognitive Impairment Screening Test utilizes items measuring cognitive ability as a dementia screening test. We demonstrated a procedure of generating cognitive ability test items similar as in CogAT but the theory associated with the generation is totally different. When creating cognitive test items, we applied automatic item generation (AIG) that reduces errors in predictions of cognitive ability but attains higher reliability. We selected two cognitive ability test items, categorized as a time estimation item for measuring quantitative reasoning and a paper-folding item for measuring visualization. As CogAT has widely used as a cognitive measurement test, developing an AIG-based cognitive test items will greatly contribute to education field. Since CLASS is the only LMS including AIG technology, we used it for the AIG software to construct item models. The purpose of this study is to demonstrate the item generation process using AIG implemented within CLASS, along with proving quantitative and qualitative strengths of AIG. In result, we confirmed that more than 10,000 items could be made by a single item model in the quantitative aspect and the validity of items could be assured by the procedure based on ECD and AE in the qualitative aspect. This reliable item generation process based on item models would be the key of developing accurate cognitive measurement tests.