• 제목/요약/키워드: Qualitative risk assessment

검색결과 158건 처리시간 0.026초

화력발전설비 위험도 평가를 통한 기기별 정비주기 예측 (Prediction of Maintenance Period of Equipment Through Risk Assessment of Thermal Power Plants)

  • 송기욱;김범신;최우성;박명수
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제37권10호
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    • pp.1291-1296
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    • 2013
  • 위험도 평가 기술은 주로 플랜트의 많은 운영설비 중 대형사고나 피해를 유발할 수 있는 위험설비를 선별하는 목적으로 개발되었다. 설비의 위험도를 평가하여 위험도의 크기에 따라 순위를 정하고 이 순위를 기준으로 정비자원을 투입하는 순서나 정비작업의 시급성을 판단한다. 위험도란 고장이 발생할 확률과 고장이 발생할 경우에 수반되는 파손피해의 곱으로 정의된다. 위험도 평가방법으로는 간단한 손상 및 고장 평가기법을 이용하여 기본적인 고장확률 데이터를 확보하고 정성적인 문진을 통해 이를 보완하는 준 정량적 방법이 많이 사용되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 준 정략적 평가를 이용하여 석탄화력발전소의 보일러설비에 대한 위험도 평가를 수행하고 이를 기반으로 설비 별차기 정비주기를 선정하였다.

확률분포에 따른 불확실한 변수를 고려한 위험도기반의 정성적 평가 (Qualitative RBI Analysis in Considered with Uncertain Variables by Probabilistic Distribution)

  • 허호진;정재욱;김주동;최재붕;최송천;황인주
    • 설비공학논문집
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.70-78
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    • 2013
  • Plants which are having conditions of high temperature and pressure always are exposed to danger. In order to prevent unexpected accidents, safety management that can effectively and appropriately examine facilities is required in plant operation. RBI(Risk-Based Inspection) technology in API 581 is one of standard management technique for evaluating risk on petroleum plants. There are qualitative and quantitative assessments in RBI methodology. Quantitative evaluation step is complex and required much information, so high-risk facilities in plant are selected firstly by qualitative method. Qualitative RBI is performed by choosing the answer in prepared questionnaire. However, it is difficult to believe thoroughly results from survey including ambiguous information. In this study, the procedure of qualitative RBI analysis with considering probability distribution concept were proposed by using Monte Carlo simulation method in order to increase reliability in spite of uncertain factors. In addition, qualitative risk of cooling system for LNG plant was evaluated using proposed procedure. Although 20 items of total 39 assessment items are applied to uncertain factors, risk section of high probability(89%) were verified. The detailed results were described in manuscript.

소각설비에 대한 확률론적 환경위험성 평가 적용 (An Application of Probabilistic Environmental Risk Assessment for An Incineration Facility)

  • 김영제;장의종;안경수
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2004
  • A wide spectrum of risk assessments including qualitative and quantitative approaches and the analyses of its consequence were performed for an environmentally sensitive object such as incineration facility. To find out the major risk concerns, HAZOP(Hazard and Operability) were performed. Then, the frequency of hazardous gas release scenarios was calculated. Finally consequence analyses were performed for the gas release scenarios. On the basis of analyses through evaluation, a more innovative way for making a better control system or the enhancement of operation procedure was given. The results from these analyses would act as a substantial benefits for the incineration facility operator, and giving some measured information for the neighbors and the people involved.

Quantitative Risk Assessment in Major Smartphone Operating Systems in Asian Countries

  • Joh, HyunChul
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제17권12호
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    • pp.1494-1502
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    • 2014
  • Since smartphones are utilized in the ranges from personal usages to governmental data exchanges, known but not patched vulnerabilities in smartphone operating systems are considered as major threats to the public. To minimize potential security breaches on smartphones, it is necessary to estimate possible security threats. So far, there have been numerous studies conducted to evaluate the security risks caused by mobile devices qualitatively, but there are few quantitative manners. For a large scale risk evaluation, a qualitative assessment is a never ending task. In this paper, we try to calculate relative risk levels triggered by software vulnerabilities from unsecured smartphone operating systems (Android and iOS) among 51 Asian countries. The proposed method combines widely accepted risk representation in both theory and industrial fields. When policy makers need to make a strategic decision on mobile security related agendas, they might find the presented approach useful.

건설공사 위험 정량화 모델 개발을 위한 기초 연구 (A Basic Study on the Qualitative Risk Assessment Model for Building Construction Sites Based on Claim Payouts)

  • 유영진;손기영;김지명
    • 한국건축시공학회지
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    • 제16권6호
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    • pp.487-495
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    • 2016
  • 보험통계포털에 따르면 건설 부문의 사고로 인한 손실액이 최근 10년 동안 크게 증가하였다. 이처럼 국내 건설 공사의 리스크 관리 방안에 대한 연구가 매우 중요해지고 있으며, 이를 위해서는 내재된 리스크 요인을 도출하고 분석해야하며, 불확실성을 다루기위한 통계학적인 기법이 요구된다. 하지만 건설 리스크에 관한 연구는 대부분 정성적이며 포괄적으로 진행되었으나, 신뢰성있는 리스크 분석을 위해서는 영향이 큰 리스크 인자에 집중하고 정량적인 분석이 요구된다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 공사 현장에 집중된 리스크 요인을 수집하기 위해 A보험사의 건설 현장 사고 데이터를 이용하였다. 이를 토대로 피해율과 상관 관계있는 인자를 분석하기 위해 상관분석을 수행하였다. 또한 본 연구의 목적인 건설 현장의 사고데이터를 활용한 적정 피해액 정량화 모델을 개발하고자 회귀분석을 수행하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 향후 지속적인 피드백을 통해서 데이터의 축적 및 효과검증을 통해 발전해 나갈 수 있으리라 기대된다.

결핵 환자의 초치료 중단위험 사정도구 개발 (The Development of a Scale Assessing the Risk of Discontinuation of Tuberculosis Treatment)

  • 최진옥;성경미
    • 성인간호학회지
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.156-169
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: This study identified the reasons why tuberculosis (TB) patients withhold treatment in a bid to develop a assessment scale to select patients who needs nursing intervention in the early stage and decrease the risk of discontinuation of treatment. Sample: There were two samples. A sample of 191 patients with TB and having primary treatment and a second sample of N who were under re-treatment Methods: The study design included qualitative and quantitative methods. Qualitative data were collected from in-depth interviews of TB patients under re-treatment. The quantitative data were collected from 191 patients with TB under primary treatment. Results: Exploratory factor analysis revealed 11 factors explaining 69.6% of total variance. These factors were categorized into four subgroups. A depression scale was used to establish concurrent validity. The depression scale had a positive relationship (r=54) with the discontinuing of primary treatment. The internal consistency reliability for the four subgroups was over .84. The confidence coefficient was Cronbach's ${\alpha}$ .95. The final scale was a self-reported four Likert scale including 50 items. Conclusion: Reliability and validity was established for the scale and the scale can be used to examine the risk of treatment discontinuation for TB. The scale is an important resource for nursing interventions in identifying and treating high risk clients.

Development of a human reliability analysis (HRA) guide for qualitative analysis with emphasis on narratives and models for tasks in extreme conditions

  • Kirimoto, Yukihiro;Hirotsu, Yuko;Nonose, Kohei;Sasou, Kunihide
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제53권2호
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    • pp.376-385
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    • 2021
  • Probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) has improved its elemental technologies used for assessing external events since the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station Accident in 2011. HRA needs to be improved for analyzing tasks performed under extreme conditions (e.g., different actors responding to external events or performing operations using portable mitigation equipment). To make these improvements, it is essential to understand plant-specific and scenario-specific conditions that affect human performance. The Nuclear Risk Research Center (NRRC) of the Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry (CRIEPI) has developed an HRA guide that compiles qualitative analysis methods for collecting plant-specific and scenario-specific conditions that affect human performance into "narratives," reflecting the latest research trends, and models for analysis of tasks under extreme conditions.

API기준에 근거한 RBI 절차 개발 및 소프트웨어의 구현 (I) 정성적 접근법 (Development of a RBI Procedure and Implementation of a Software Based on API Code (I) - Qualitative Approach)

  • 심상훈;송정수;김지윤;윤기봉
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.66-72
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    • 2002
  • During the last ten years, effort has been made for reducing maintenance cost for aged equipments and ensuring safety, efficiency and profitability of petrochemical and refinery plants. Hence, it was required to develop advanced methods which meet this need. RBI(Risk Based Inspection) methodology is one of the most promising technology satisfying the requirements in the field of integrity management. In this study, a qualitative assessment algorithm for RBI based on the API 581 code was reconstructed for developing an RBI software. The user-friendly realRBI software is developed with a module for evaluating qualitative risk category using the potential consequence factor and the likelihood factor.

CHARM을 통한 소화약제 위험성 평가에 관한 연구 (Risk Assessment of exposure to the extinguishing agents using CHARM)

  • 조중래;정태환
    • 한국방재안전학회논문집
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.35-41
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    • 2017
  • 최근 소화약제 취급 관련 중독사고가 다발하고 있다. 산업이 발전하고 건물이 고층화됨에 따라 다양한 소화약제가 개발되고 있으며, 이에 따라 소화약제의 안전한 사용의 문제가 중요하게 대두되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 소화약제(HCFC-123, HFC-125)에 대한 화학물질 위험성평가를 안전보건공단에서 개발한 CHARM기법을 통해 실시해보았고, 의미 있는 결과를 얻을 수 있었다. 동 연구 자료가 향후 화학물질 안전관리 체계수립에 도움이 될 수 있기를 바란다.

Principles of Chemical Risk Assessment: The ATSDR Perspective

  • Johnson Barry L.
    • 대한예방의학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한예방의학회 1994년도 교수 연수회(환경)
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    • pp.405-411
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    • 1994
  • Hazardous wastes released into the general environment are of concern to the public and to public health authorities. In response to this concern, the Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation, and Liability Act, as amended (commonly called Superfund), was enacted in 1980 to provide a framework for environmental, public health, and legal actions concerning uncontrolled releases of hazardous substances. The Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (ATSDR) was created by Superfund to address the public health issues of hazardous wastes in the community environment. Two key Agency programs, Public Health Assessments and Toxicological Profiles, are designed to assess the risk to human health of exposures to hazardous substances that migrate from waste sites or through emergency releases (e.g., chemical spills). The Agency's public health assessment is a structured process that permits ATSDR to identify which waste sites or other point sources require traditional public health actions (e.g.. human exposure studies, health studies, registries, health surveillance, health advisories). The ATSDR qualitative public health assessment complements the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's quantitative risk assessment. For Superfund purposes, both assessments are sitespecific. ATSDR's toxicological profiles are prepared for priority hazardous substances found most frequently at Superfund sites. Each profile presents the current toxicologic and human health effects information about the substance being profiled. Each profile also contains Minimal Risk Levels (MRLs), a type of risk assessment value. This paper covers ATSDR's experience in conducting public health assessments and developing MRLs, and it relates this experience to recommendations on how to improve chemical risk assessments.

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