• Title/Summary/Keyword: Proposed improvement measures

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An Accurate Cryptocurrency Price Forecasting using Reverse Walk-Forward Validation (역순 워크 포워드 검증을 이용한 암호화폐 가격 예측)

  • Ahn, Hyun;Jang, Baekcheol
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.45-55
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    • 2022
  • The size of the cryptocurrency market is growing. For example, market capitalization of bitcoin exceeded 500 trillion won. Accordingly, many studies have been conducted to predict the price of cryptocurrency, and most of them have similar methodology of predicting stock prices. However, unlike stock price predictions, machine learning become best model in cryptocurrency price predictions, conceptually cryptocurrency has no passive income from ownership, and statistically, cryptocurrency has at least three times higher liquidity than stocks. Thats why we argue that a methodology different from stock price prediction should be applied to cryptocurrency price prediction studies. We propose Reverse Walk-forward Validation (RWFV), which modifies Walk-forward Validation (WFV). Unlike WFV, RWFV measures accuracy for Validation by pinning the Validation dataset directly in front of the Test dataset in time series, and gradually increasing the size of the Training dataset in front of it in time series. Train data were cut according to the size of the Train dataset with the highest accuracy among all measured Validation accuracy, and then combined with Validation data to measure the accuracy of the Test data. Logistic regression analysis and Support Vector Machine (SVM) were used as the analysis model, and various algorithms and parameters such as L1, L2, rbf, and poly were applied for the reliability of our proposed RWFV. As a result, it was confirmed that all analysis models showed improved accuracy compared to existing studies, and on average, the accuracy increased by 1.23%p. This is a significant improvement in accuracy, given that most of the accuracy of cryptocurrency price prediction remains between 50% and 60% through previous studies.

Study to Improve the Legal System to Reduce Marine Accidents caused by Marine Plastic Litter (해양 플라스틱 쓰레기에 의한 부유물 감김 해양사고 저감 정책방안 연구 - 법제도 측면 개선 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Hye-Jin;Kim, Bo-Ram
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.27 no.7
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    • pp.967-976
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    • 2021
  • Over the last ten years, the number of entanglement marine accidents has increased more than other accident types. This study analyzed the annual statistical report of marine accidents from the Korea Maritime Safety Tribunal and Korea Coast Guard. Despite some discrepancies between data of the two organizations, it was found that marine accidents involving fishing vessels were more prevalent than those involving non-fishing vessels. In addition, the main floating materials that caused wounded entanglement accidents were fishing nets, fishing gear, and ropes, and the proportion of them was high. Foreign and domestic policies on marine plastics recognize most marine plastics as marine environmental hazards and focus on marine litter recovery and the prevention of marine pollution. The representative Acts related to the marine environment and marine litter, the Marine Environment Management Act and the Marine Waste and Sediments Management Act, recognize marine litter as a type of marine waste, and deal with the types and definition of this waste. However, clearly defining marine waste is difficult. Therefore, this study tried to examine the relevant legal system of marine litter on ship operation and suggested improvement measures. Moreover, the definition of marine litter for the safe navigation and operation of ships was clearly proposed.

Study on the Biofouling Management of International Ships Entering South Korea (국내입항 국제운항선의 선체부착생물 관리에 대한 연구)

  • Park, JeongKyeong;Hoe, ChulHoi;Kim, HanPil;Cho, YuKyeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.10-18
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    • 2022
  • With the increase in world trade through ships, the destruction of the marine ecosystem and socioeconomic damage due to invasive alien species (IAS) are continuously increasing. In particular, marine organisms attached on the hull surface and niche area increase the friction resistance of ships as well as the invasion of non-indigenous species, and causes a decrease in operational efficiency and an increase in GHG (Green House Gas) emissions. The International Maritime Organization (IMO) has recently begun revising guidelines for the control and management of ship's biofouling, and New Zealand and California in the United States are already regulating biofouling management under their own laws. This study investigated the management status of the submerged surface of ships and marine organisms attachments on five international ships entering South Korea, and analyzed species group and coverage (%) of biofouling communities to evaluate the LoF (Level of Fouling) rank. Macroflouling was observed on all ships surveyed, and specially, the adhesion of macro organisms in niche areas such as bow thruster, bilge keels and sea-chest gratings appeared to be at a serious level. This study proposed the management direction our country should take with regard to ship's biofouling and the improvement measures for evaluation of LoF rank and inspection methods of hull and niche ares.

The Effects of Yongin-Emotional Management Training Program on the Improvement of Life Care in Patients with Chronic Schizophrenia (만성 조현병 환자의 라이프케어 증진을 위해 용인 정서관리 훈련 프로그램이 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Eun-Young;Jin, Myung-Ja;Kim, Young-Woon
    • Journal of Korea Entertainment Industry Association
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.385-400
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    • 2019
  • We reviewed existing studies and proposed future research on the sustainability of short-term effects, and of the Yongin Emotion Management Training program (Y-EMT). In this study, we conducted Y-EMT to verify its effectiveness in relation to affective disorders associated with chronic schizophrenia. Thirty-five patients were assigned to the experimental group, and 35 to the control group. First, results of repeated-measures analysis supported the effectiveness of Y-EMT. Comparisons of the results on the pre-test with those for the 5-month and 1-year post-training tests showed significant differences in mean scores between the experimental and control groups. Furthermore, these differences persisted at the 2-year follow-up. Second, in the experimental group, interactions between emotional behavior and expression, self-efficacy, and changes in interpersonal relationships showed significant effects at 5 months after the program ended, and these effects continued to increase up to 1 year post-training. Taken together, the findings indicate that, to maintain the effects of therapy in patients with chronic schizophrenia, patients should undergo Y-EMT along with cognitive rehabilitation training and social skills training. Human relations training such as Y-EMT is most helpful for rehabilitation when it is paired with high levels of medication.

A study on the Construction of a Big Data-based Urban Information and Public Transportation Accessibility Analysis Platforms- Focused on Gwangju Metropolitan City - (빅데이터 기반의 도시정보·접대중교통근성 분석 플랫폼 구축 방안에 관한 연구 -광주광역시를 중심으로-)

  • Sangkeun Lee;Seungmin Yu;Jun Lee;Daeill Kim
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.11 no.11
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    • pp.49-62
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    • 2022
  • Recently, with the development of Smart City Solutions such as Big data, AI, IoT, Autonomous driving, and Digital twins around the world, the proliferation of various smart devices and social media, and the record of the deeds that people have left everywhere, the construction of Smart Cities using the "Big Data" environment in which so much information and data is produced that it is impossible to gauge the scale is actively underway. The Purpose of this study is to construct an objective and systematic analysis Model based on Big Data to improve the transportation convenience of citizens and formulate efficient policies in Urban Information and Public Transportation accessibility in sustainable Smart Cities following the 4th Industrial Revolution. It is also to derive the methodology of developing a Big Data-Based public transport accessibility and policy management Platform using a sustainable Urban Public DB and a Private DB. To this end, Detailed Living Areas made a division and the accessibility of basic living amenities of Gwangju Metropolitan City, and the Public Transportation system based on Big Data were analyzed. As a result, it was Proposed to construct a Big Data-based Urban Information and Public Transportation accessibility Platform, such as 1) Using Big Data for public transportation network evaluation, 2) Supporting Transportation means/service decision-making based on Big Data, 3) Providing urban traffic network monitoring services, and 4) Analyzing parking demand sources and providing improvement measures.

Low-income Female Single-Parent Families' Experience of Economic Burden and Its Improvement by COVID-19 (코로나19(COVID-19)로 인한 저소득 여성한부모가족의 경제적 부담경험과 개선방안)

  • Sung, Jung Hyeun
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.22 no.8
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    • pp.527-541
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to explore the economic hardship experiences of low-income single-parent families by COVID-19 to find ways to improve after COVID-19. To this end, 10 single parents with children under the secondary school age were recruited through snowball sampling method and in-depth interviews with economic activities, income, expenditure, and economic life. As a result of the study, participants suffered from unemployment and the disappearance of extra income activities in the early stages of COVID-19, additional expenses incurred by children's food and increased utility bills. In addition, it was recognized that COVID-19 has come to be more difficult and unequal to single-parent families of low-income women. It was found that the temporary living difficulties were resolved with disaster support funds, and it was helpful in the short term by spending according to priorities such as overdue monthly rent, food expenses, children's academy expenses, and purchasing home appliances. However, it was recognized that disaster support funds were inappropriate for customized disaster support and long-term and selective support was necessary. In the conclusion, to improve economic problems after COVID-19, it proposed measures to improve social welfare policies and practices

Study on Improving the Facilities of Power-Driven Water Leisure Crafts for the Deaf (청각장애인을 위한 동력수상레저기구 운영 개선방안에 관한 연구)

  • Won-Sam Choi;Bong-Kyu Jung;Cheor-Hong Park;Nam-U Lee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.29 no.7
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    • pp.836-842
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    • 2023
  • Under the Welfare of Disabled Persons Act, the national qualification test allows disabled and non-disabled people to appear for the same test, and the deaf do not fall under the reason for disqualification from obtaining a license for power-driven water leisure crafts; therefore, even the deaf can obtain a license. During a risk of collision at sea, ships and power-driven water leisure crafts notify the other party of dangerous signals such as maneuvering and warning signals through sound signals to prevent accidents that may occur because surrounding ships are not visible. However, a method is required to prevent marine accidents that may occur when the deaf cannot hear danger signals through sounds from nearby ships or power-driven water leisure crafts during leisure activities owing to hearing impairment. A sound reception system is a device installed on a ship where missionary work is completely deposed to display the amplification of external sounds and the direction of sound reception on the screen. Through visual display of sound signals such as dangerous signals that cannot be heard owing to hearing impairment, improvement measures were proposed to prevent marine accidents that can occur owing to the inability of the deaf to check sound signals during leisure activities.

A Study on Measures to Improve the Production and Service of Records of Presidential Overseas Trips: Focusing on "Records Collection" of the Presidential Archives Website (대통령 해외순방 기록의 생산과 서비스 개선방안 연구 대통령기록관 웹사이트 '기록컬렉션'을 중심으로)

  • Jeon, Na Hyeong
    • The Korean Journal of Archival Studies
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    • no.78
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    • pp.5-42
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    • 2023
  • Since presidential overseas trips are carried out as the head of state representing the Republic of Korea, the resulting records of such trips have high academic and historical significance and value both in contemporary times and for future generations. This study analyzes the status of production and service of overseas trip records, focusing on whether the records of the president's overseas trips are being produced properly and provided sufficiently to the public, and examines development plans for improvement. Currently, as a result of examining a total of 282 overseas trips provided by the Presidential Archives website, it is difficult for users to understand which records are being produced for even the basic records regarding the trips are not posted. In addition, the website is provider-centered, making users feel alienated rather than being considered in terms of search and provided records. In this study, for the production of high-quality overseas travel records, the "Presidential Overseas Trip Records Production Guidelines" established during the 'Participatory Government' will be supplemented, improved and applied. This archive policy will not be subject to any external variables, including changes in the government, and is suggested that it be consistent and unaffected. In addition, in order to improve the service provided, the following is proposed: first, provision of 'comprehensive information' that allows users to understand the overall context of the trip; second, use of the "file-record" layer and hyperlink function; third, a system that allows the stages of production and service of overseas trip records to be interconnected. In order to carry out these tasks, it would be essential to establish and operate an organization dedicated to records, such as the Secretariat of Archives and Records Management during the 'Participatory Government' period.

A Study on the Site-Level Assessment Criteria of OECM in Korea for Achieving Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework - Focusing on the National Gariwangsan Natural Recreation Forest - (쿤밍-몬트리올 글로벌 생물다양성 프레임워크 목표 성취를 위한 우리나라 OECM의 개별 평가 기준 연구 - 국립가리왕산자연휴양림을 중심으로 -)

  • Shim, Yun-Jin;Sung, Jung-Won;Lee, Kyeong-Cheol;Kweon, Hyeong-Keun;Lee, Da-Hyun;An, Jong-Bin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.17-28
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    • 2024
  • In order to achieve the management goals (30by30) mandated by the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework, this study established the site-level assessment criteria for OECMs, tailored to domestic circumstances using the Delphi analysis. Subsequently, a site-level assessment was conducted on the National Gariwangsan Natural Recreation Forest. As a result of the study, the initial step involved presenting criteria for the site-level assessment of OECMs, with 'consent for the assessment and recognition of OECM by competent and management authority' proposed as a prerequisite. Subsequently, seven evaluation criteria were established, including 'other than a legally protected area', 'spatially separated area with defined boundaries', 'effective in-situ conservation of biodiversity', 'sustainable management based on the competent and management authority', 'long-term sustainability of conservation outcomes', and 'provision of ecosystem services'. The results of applying site-level assessment criteria to the National Gariwangsan Natural Recreation Forest indicate that six criteria were met, while one criterion (sustainable management based on the competent and management authority) requires further improvement. Specifically, the key competent and management authorities for the National Gariwangsan Natural Recreation Forest are the Korea Forest Service and the National Natural Recreation Forest Management Office, with competent and management organizations established. However, the management focus is primarily on providing forest recreation services centered on users and facilities, making it difficult to confirm the long-term biodiversity conservation plans and implementation by the competent and management authorities. Therefore, it is deemed necessary to improve the long-term biodiversity conservation plans and implementation for the recognition of the National Gariwangsan Natural Recreation Forest as an OECM.

Resolving the 'Gray sheep' Problem Using Social Network Analysis (SNA) in Collaborative Filtering (CF) Recommender Systems (소셜 네트워크 분석 기법을 활용한 협업필터링의 특이취향 사용자(Gray Sheep) 문제 해결)

  • Kim, Minsung;Im, Il
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.137-148
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    • 2014
  • Recommender system has become one of the most important technologies in e-commerce in these days. The ultimate reason to shop online, for many consumers, is to reduce the efforts for information search and purchase. Recommender system is a key technology to serve these needs. Many of the past studies about recommender systems have been devoted to developing and improving recommendation algorithms and collaborative filtering (CF) is known to be the most successful one. Despite its success, however, CF has several shortcomings such as cold-start, sparsity, gray sheep problems. In order to be able to generate recommendations, ordinary CF algorithms require evaluations or preference information directly from users. For new users who do not have any evaluations or preference information, therefore, CF cannot come up with recommendations (Cold-star problem). As the numbers of products and customers increase, the scale of the data increases exponentially and most of the data cells are empty. This sparse dataset makes computation for recommendation extremely hard (Sparsity problem). Since CF is based on the assumption that there are groups of users sharing common preferences or tastes, CF becomes inaccurate if there are many users with rare and unique tastes (Gray sheep problem). This study proposes a new algorithm that utilizes Social Network Analysis (SNA) techniques to resolve the gray sheep problem. We utilize 'degree centrality' in SNA to identify users with unique preferences (gray sheep). Degree centrality in SNA refers to the number of direct links to and from a node. In a network of users who are connected through common preferences or tastes, those with unique tastes have fewer links to other users (nodes) and they are isolated from other users. Therefore, gray sheep can be identified by calculating degree centrality of each node. We divide the dataset into two, gray sheep and others, based on the degree centrality of the users. Then, different similarity measures and recommendation methods are applied to these two datasets. More detail algorithm is as follows: Step 1: Convert the initial data which is a two-mode network (user to item) into an one-mode network (user to user). Step 2: Calculate degree centrality of each node and separate those nodes having degree centrality values lower than the pre-set threshold. The threshold value is determined by simulations such that the accuracy of CF for the remaining dataset is maximized. Step 3: Ordinary CF algorithm is applied to the remaining dataset. Step 4: Since the separated dataset consist of users with unique tastes, an ordinary CF algorithm cannot generate recommendations for them. A 'popular item' method is used to generate recommendations for these users. The F measures of the two datasets are weighted by the numbers of nodes and summed to be used as the final performance metric. In order to test performance improvement by this new algorithm, an empirical study was conducted using a publically available dataset - the MovieLens data by GroupLens research team. We used 100,000 evaluations by 943 users on 1,682 movies. The proposed algorithm was compared with an ordinary CF algorithm utilizing 'Best-N-neighbors' and 'Cosine' similarity method. The empirical results show that F measure was improved about 11% on average when the proposed algorithm was used

    . Past studies to improve CF performance typically used additional information other than users' evaluations such as demographic data. Some studies applied SNA techniques as a new similarity metric. This study is novel in that it used SNA to separate dataset. This study shows that performance of CF can be improved, without any additional information, when SNA techniques are used as proposed. This study has several theoretical and practical implications. This study empirically shows that the characteristics of dataset can affect the performance of CF recommender systems. This helps researchers understand factors affecting performance of CF. This study also opens a door for future studies in the area of applying SNA to CF to analyze characteristics of dataset. In practice, this study provides guidelines to improve performance of CF recommender systems with a simple modification.


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