• Title/Summary/Keyword: Proportional hazards models

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Comparison of Proportional Hazards and Accelerated Failure Time Models in the Accelerated Life Tests

  • Jung, H.S.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.101-107
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    • 2009
  • In the accelerated tests, the importance of correct failure analysis must be strongly emphasized. Understanding the failure mechanisms is requisite for designing and conducting successful accelerated life test. Under this presumption, a rational method must be identified to relate the results of accelerated tests quantitatively to the reliability or failure rates in use conditions, using a scientific acceleration transform. Most widely used models for relating the results of accelerated tests quantitatively to the reliability or failure rates in use conditions are an accelerated failure time model and a proportional hazards model. The purpose of this research is to compare the usability of the accelerated failure time model and proportional hazards model in the accelerated life tests.

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ALMOST SURE LIMITS OF SAMPLE ALIGNMENTS IN PROPORTIONAL HAZARDS MODELS

  • Lim Jo-Han;Kim Seung-Jean
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.251-260
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    • 2006
  • The proportional hazards model (PHM) can be associated with a non- homogeneous Markov chain (NHMC) in the sense that sample alignments in the PHM correspond to trajectories of the NHMC. As a result the partial likelihood widely used for the PHM is a probabilistic function of the trajectories of the NHMC. In this paper, we show that, as the total number of subjects involved increases, the trajectories of the NHMC, i.e. sample alignments in the PHM, converges to the solution of an ordinary differential equation which, subsequently, characterizes the almost sure limit of the partial likelihood.

Development and Evaluation of Electronic Health Record Data-Driven Predictive Models for Pressure Ulcers (전자건강기록 데이터 기반 욕창 발생 예측모델의 개발 및 평가)

  • Park, Seul Ki;Park, Hyeoun-Ae;Hwang, Hee
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.49 no.5
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    • pp.575-585
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to develop predictive models for pressure ulcer incidence using electronic health record (EHR) data and to compare their predictive validity performance indicators with that of the Braden Scale used in the study hospital. Methods: A retrospective case-control study was conducted in a tertiary teaching hospital in Korea. Data of 202 pressure ulcer patients and 14,705 non-pressure ulcer patients admitted between January 2015 and May 2016 were extracted from the EHRs. Three predictive models for pressure ulcer incidence were developed using logistic regression, Cox proportional hazards regression, and decision tree modeling. The predictive validity performance indicators of the three models were compared with those of the Braden Scale. Results: The logistic regression model was most efficient with a high area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) estimate of 0.97, followed by the decision tree model (AUC 0.95), Cox proportional hazards regression model (AUC 0.95), and the Braden Scale (AUC 0.82). Decreased mobility was the most significant factor in the logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models, and the endotracheal tube was the most important factor in the decision tree model. Conclusion: Predictive validity performance indicators of the Braden Scale were lower than those of the logistic regression, Cox proportional hazards regression, and decision tree models. The models developed in this study can be used to develop a clinical decision support system that automatically assesses risk for pressure ulcers to aid nurses.

Estimation of Odds Ratio in Proportional Odds Model

  • Seo, Min-Ja;Kim, Ju-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.1067-1076
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    • 2006
  • Although the proportional hazards model is the most common approach used for studying the relationship of event times and covariates, alternative models are needed for occasions when it does not fit data. In the two-sample case, proportional odds models are useful for fitting data whose hazard rates converge asymptotically. In this thesis, we propose a new estimator of the relative odds ratio of the proportional odds model when two independent random samples are observed under uncensorship. We prove the asymptotic normality and consistency of the estimator by using martingale-representation. The efficiency of the proposed is assessed through a simulation study.

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Review on proportional hazards regression diagnostics based on residuas (잔차에 기초한 비례위험모형의 회귀진단법 고찰 - PBC 자료를 통한 응용 연구)

  • 이성임;박성현
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.233-250
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    • 2002
  • Cox's proportional hazard model is highly-used for the regression analysis of survival data in various fields. Regression diagnostics for the proportional hazards model, however, is not as well-known as the diagnostics for the classical linear models and so these diagnostic methods are not used widely in our practical data analyses. For this reason, we review the residuals proposed by several authors, and investigate how to use them in assessing the model. We also provide the results and interpretation with the analysis of PBC data using S-plus 2000 program.

The Comprehensive Proportional Hazards Model Incorporating Time-dependent Covariates for Water Pipes (상수관로에 대한 시간종속형 공변수를 포함한 포괄적 비례위험모형)

  • Park, Su-Wan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.445-455
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    • 2009
  • In this paper proportional hazards models for the first through seventh break of 150 mm cast iron pipes in a case study area are established. During the modeling process the assumption of the proportional hazards for covariates on the hazards is examined to include the time-dependent covariate terms in the models. As a result, the pipe material/joint type and the number of customers are modeled as time-dependent for the first failure, and for the second failure only the number of customers is modeled as time-dependent. From the analysis on the baseline hazard functions the failure hazards are found to be generally increasing for the first and second failure, while the hazards of the third break and beyond showed a form of a bath-tub. Furthermore, the changes in the baseline hazard rates according to the time and number of break reflect that the general condition of the pipes is deteriorating. The factors causing pipe break and their effects are analyzed based on the estimated regression coefficients and their hazard ratios, and the constructed models are verified using the deviance residuals of the models.

Pattern-Mixture Model of the Cox Proportional Hazards Model with Missing Binary Covariates (결측이 있는 이산형 공변량에 대한 Cox비례위험모형의 패턴-혼합 모델)

  • Youk, Tae-Mi;Song, Ju-Won
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.279-291
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    • 2012
  • When fitting a Cox proportional hazards model with missing covariates, it is inefficient to exclude observations with missing values in the analysis. Furthermore, if the missing-data mechanism is not Missing Completely At Random(MCAR), it may lead to biased parameter estimation. Many approaches have been suggested to handle the Cox proportional hazards model when covariates are sometimes missing, but they are based on the selection model. This paper suggest an approach to handle Cox proportional hazards model with missing covariates by using the pattern-mixture model (Little, 1993). The pattern-mixture model is expressed by the joint distribution of survival time and the missing-data mechanism. In the pattern-mixture model, many models can be considered by setting up various restrictions, and different results under various restrictions indicate the sensitivity of the model due to missing covariates. A simulation study was conducted to show the sensitivity of parameter estimation under different restrictions in a pattern-mixture model. The proposed approach was also applied to mouse leukemia data.

Bayesian Variable Selection in the Proportional Hazard Model

  • Lee, Kyeong-Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.605-616
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    • 2004
  • In this paper we consider the proportional hazard models for survival analysis in the microarray data. For a given vector of response values and gene expressions (covariates), we address the issue of how to reduce the dimension by selecting the significant genes. In our approach, rather than fixing the number of selected genes, we will assign a prior distribution to this number. To implement our methodology, we use a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method.

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Bayesian Variable Selection in the Proportional Hazard Model with Application to Microarray Data

  • Lee, Kyeong-Eun;Mallick, Bani K.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.17-23
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    • 2005
  • In this paper we consider the well-known semiparametric proportional hazards models for survival analysis. These models are usually used with few covariates and many observations (subjects). But, for a typical setting of gene expression data from DNA microarray, we need to consider the case where the number of covariates p exceeds the number of samples n. For a given vector of response values which are times to event (death or censored times) and p gene expressions(covariates), we address the issue of how to reduce the dimension by selecting the significant genes. This approach enables us to estimate the survival curve when n ${\ll}$p. In our approach, rather than fixing the number of selected genes, we will assign a prior distribution to this number. The approach creates additional flexibility by allowing the imposition of constraints, such as bounding the dimension via a prior, which in effect works as a penalty To implement our methodology, we use a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method. We demonstrate the use of the methodology to diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) complementary DNA (cDNA) data and Breast Carcinomas data.

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Comparison between Parametric and Semi-parametric Cox Models in Modeling Transition Rates of a Multi-state Model: Application in Patients with Gastric Cancer Undergoing Surgery at the Iran Cancer Institute

  • Zare, Ali;Mahmoodi, Mahmood;Mohammad, Kazem;Zeraati, Hojjat;Hosseini, Mostafa;Naieni, Kourosh Holakouie
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.14 no.11
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    • pp.6751-6755
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    • 2013
  • Background: Research on cancers with a high rate of mortality such as those occurring in the stomach requires using models which can provide a closer examination of disease processes and provide researchers with more accurate data. Various models have been designed based on this issue and the present study aimed at evaluating such models. Materials and Methods: Data from 330 patients with gastric cancer undergoing surgery at Iran Cancer Institute from 1995 to 1999 were analyzed. Cox-Snell Residuals and Akaike Information Criterion were used to compare parametric and semi-parametric Cox models in modeling transition rates among different states of a multi-state model. R 2.15.1 software was used for all data analyses. Results: Analysis of Cox-Snell Residuals and Akaike Information Criterion for all probable transitions among different states revealed that parametric models represented a better fitness. Log-logistic, Gompertz and Log-normal models were good choices for modeling transition rate for relapse hazard (state $1{\rightarrow}state$ 2), death hazard without a relapse (state $1{\rightarrow}state$ 3) and death hazard with a relapse (state $2{\rightarrow}state$ 3), respectively. Conclusions: Although the semi-parametric Cox model is often used by most cancer researchers in modeling transition rates of multistate models, parametric models in similar situations- as they do not need proportional hazards assumption and consider a specific statistical distribution for time to occurrence of next state in case this assumption is not made - are more credible alternatives.